I thought a reader was playing with me. When I opened the suggested link: Stock futures fall after the Nasdaq Composite closes at a 2-year low. Not like this wasn’t obviously in the works, already. Especially since we have been forecasting a sub-30-thousand reading in our Aggregate Index work for months and months. We’ll update … Read more
Charts and prospects as we watch the train wreck of an economy implode. Like dropping another 630 points off the Dow wasn’t a hint? We have written for years on this site about our focus “Replaying 1929.” Now that we’re within spitting distance not only of the long wave economics playing out as forecast, we’re … Read more
A study of charts, early futures, ADP Jobs data, and a fresh book chapter on tap here. After a manic running of the bears Tuesday, reason seems to be back with futures pointing lower ahead of the opening. Our focus is back on the “what’s personally actionable” aspect of future living. Imagine, if you will, … Read more
With markets in free-fall, we are again looking back at critical lessons to have internalized right now – like today – before we get into the Replay of 1929 any deeper. There are two main ones that come to mind. The first has to do with invention. So, in this regard, we’ll be focused on … Read more
Economics runs in reasonably clear cycles. At the moment, we are at (or just past) the top of a Housing cycle. The bottom, you’ll recall, was the spring of 2009. Prices firmed into 2010 as corporations bet on running rental pools of repossessed homes. Since then, it would be hard to find a better personal … Read more
This will sound paradoxical as hell. When can a stock market rally be bad? I mean really, really (potentially) bad? The answer is when it becomes part of the “last train out” before a global spasm of collapse which we figure will get organized in Europe within a month, that’s when! Let’s see what the longer … Read more
The ONLY question that matters today is “Will we bounce?” The stock market has been in hard down mode for a while now. And after the Futures markets became stable (a little after 5 AM Central) our long-term view (which told us a large Wave 3 Down was here) pointed to a nasty open. The … Read more
Henceforth this may be called Red Friday. June lows fell, but now trying to bounce a bit and kiss the lows again. While our lookahead allows for a modeled rally after today, the larger picture remains 50-shades of grim. About the only other counsel worth keeping is my consigliere, some colleagues I’ve worked on theory with … Read more
Old Man Ure needs to blow out super-early today. Car tabs come up so I need to make a run into town for the annual inspection (“yes, it’s a car”) and visit to the auto tabbery at the Courtly house in order to keep up the driveryly legalities. Twice a year the old Dog pickup … Read more
Glorious Thursday!~ It was a highly profitable Fed announcement for Ure’s, truly. And for a few of our readers, like D’Lynn for one. Yes, it was a dandy day. But punctuated with a reminder from my consigliere that although we are expecting something of a rally in here, “Counter Trend Trading is a great way … Read more
Welcome to Fed Day and the afternoon adventure of “How High Will They go?” As we collapse down into the Second Depression (our use of the term ought to be obvious within a year) we spot and tell you how to fix two of America’s dumbest decisions. This won’t be painful, except if you find … Read more
Fascinating historically based rambling-tale of a pseudo-academic logician’s thought processes kicks off today. Sudo apt-get install, shall we? From the top, then. The Vietnam War ended on April 30, 1975. Using this point alone, long wave economics can offer us AMAZING insight into the future of global conflicts. Including a couple of windows for the … Read more
We will give only a few lines to the queen’s burial today. We will – because there is so much media attention on the event – keep this morning’s remarks quite brief. Although, have to tell you, “live coverage” of a death event is somewhat oxymoronic to our clear-headed way of thinking. Yet here you … Read more