War – with Inflation to Follow

A slider of economic data to begin, update on the wars, but then into Inflation to Come.  Which, we think will be a big problem by the end of the year.  Because war’s aren’t cheap. Toss in nearly two dozen views in our ChartPack and it’s a good time to be planning for “whatever follows.” … Read More

DDT: Data-Dense Tuesday – Fed – War

Retails Sales is the lead item today.  Remember, this could be a bit “lumpy” because of the on again, off again on tariffs… ” Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May 2025, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $715.4 billion, down 0.9 … Read More

New BoB? NTFPM (Near-Term Future Projections Monday)

New BoB?  (Battle of Britain replaying in the Middle East) A report from our consigliere who is becoming very pessimistic about nukes remaining “holstered” for another month.  When you read his briefing, you’ll understand why: “The NEW “Battle of Britain” is taking place RIGHT NOW in the skies over Israel and over Iran … but to … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Texas Frog Floater & Confessional

Let’s do the graphics story first. I told you iet rained this week?  Lots?  What Oilman2 calls a “Texas Frog Floater?” Here’s how to have a flood on the side of our mountain.  Step out to the welding table where an antenna project was  in progress (before the rains hit). Right at the foot of the … Read More

Cadence of War (and a book)

Two topics for the weekend: As we prepped for in detail in our last report, Israel attacked Iran this week.  But how fast this evolves (to resolution) or goes intercontinental is one area of focus this morning. The other – as promised – is the PDF for subscribers of my latest novel (“The Eisenhower Memo“) … Read More

TriskIranaPhobia? Senator News-Jacker, Agitprop Weekend, New Book

G.A. Stewart has been writing about “blows of steel” for a good long time. We’re pretty sure Stu’s got a “Blow of Steel” now, no question. With the Mossad and IDF carrying out strikes in Iran against the Iranian nuclear program and the military and scientists who support it. The short takes: The attack comes … Read More

Z-1 Trouble is? Households in Trouble

Lookie here:  The Fed’s latest (and its preliminary) z1.pdf – The Flow of Funds, Balance Sheets, and Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts of this-here country has just been dropped. I am sensitive to readers skepticism of our using lots of paid AI, but this is the kind of 2-00+ page dense financial report, where we leverage A.I. … Read More

PPI, Mil-Tense, Jobless Filings, Equinox Work

I guess we should begin with the Big Headline of the hour.  Just-released Producer Price information. The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.1 percent in May, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices declined 0.2 percent in April and 0.1 percent in March. (See table A.) On … Read More

Seatbelt Saturday

An ounce of Prevention column today ahead of the weekend. Which is when colliding ideologues could really light up headlines, social media, and light off a huge market decline if trigger-point events occur. Before we get to that, however, there is the CPI figures just out.  And anyone besides us curious about the perp count … Read More

Battle for America, II – Advice for Writers

This is way past stupid now. People like us, getting up to read the NFIB Small Business Optimism index, so we can fine-tune our ride into the future…  And instead, we’re slapped hard in the face with stupid domestic Marxist bullshit. WAR REPORT: LOS ANGELES UNDER SIEGE. LA protests live: Trump orders Marines to the … Read More

America’s Gaza – Californicated – As We Write On…

Today we draw an uncomfortable but increasingly relevant parallel: Southern California may become America’s Gaza. The radical left, which has been working for decades to destroy America, really “strutted their stuff” starting Friday with violent protests in Los Angeles over ICE and other federal agencies doing their jobs. Elaine and I were abhorred as L.A. … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Towering Antenna Troubles

Amateur Radio is a dandy hobby. Actually, it’s the “King of Hobbies,” said my late friend Don Stoner – author of many books of radio and computers. You need all conceivable skills to master ham radio. It’s not just soldering, mechanical assembling, but it can be 3D printing, woodworking, welding, arborist work, heavy equipment operator.  … Read More

Crime Marches On

No, Peoplenomics is not going yellow journo on you. But every once in a while a crime comes along that catches Ure’s eye; there’s a systemic angle to it. So we begin there today. Then back onto our regular path – Friday’s Consumer Debt report and the Jobs picture and CPI ahead. Please more than … Read More