Turn-down Thursday or Friday?

Finance is part statistics, part floating craps game, part mafiosa, part leap of faith and so on.  When I wrap all of these things up into a spreadsheet (and call ity Golem II, it suggests that the market going forward may work out something like this… As...

Social Credit Versus Credit Scores

Once again, our unconventional way of thinking has produced some useful ideas to ponder. This first is “how does government control people who might lose faith in depreciating money?”  A well-discussed concept here. In addition to pointing out how Social...

Prepping: Got a “POPPA?”

That’s a Personal Optimization Plan to Prevent Aging – I call it “POPPA” for short. Contrary to what some short-term prepper sites might have you belief, real prepping is a life-long exercise.  And, in order to have the long life for life-long...

News & Anti-News: Producer Prices

We hold to the silly notion that there is both “news” and “anti-news” in the world.  Sort of  like “matter” and “anti-matter.”  In case you’re not clear on what “anti-news” is, it’s the sheep...

Trump’s “Glass of Water Problem”

(Shorter than normal this morning due to a cranky server… publishing in sections, so update after 8 AM Central for the whole thing) Ever consider the “glass of water” problem? You know…the one where people are “optimistic” if they...

Prepping: Metal Detecting 101

In Saturday’s column I hinted that I would wade a little deeper into the idea of “hobbies that can make money” for you…and by the title, you ought to know where this one is going. For the gold! Bit of personal background:  When I lived in the...

Markets: Trump on Way Out?

This is one of those columns it sickens me to write.  But, since we believe our approach to be data-driven, there are some elements in news headlines and in the technical formation of the market that offer the prospect of a presidential departure and succession in the...

Prepping: Depression-Proof Hobbies

It’s the time of year when we should spend some time focusing on the important things in life…like having fun!!!  Christmas is coming, but what is the “right” kind of present? The theory is that people need “time to re-create.”  So,...

Markets: Hanging on Jobs and Trade

Reminder:  Today is the last day of Medicare Open Enrollment. As expected, stock market action was swinging wildly Thursday for multiple reasons, depending on which channel you happened to be watching: Some thought it was because of uncertainty over the Jobs report. ...

Markets: Black Thursday, Anyone? Gray?

Hopefully not, but those of us who prefer the “short side” of trading were looking at the early futures today and wondering if we’re not getting closer to a dramatic replay of 1929.  A couple of charts will explain the problem: As you can see here,...