Timing the “End of the World”

“How Long Do We Have?” is this morning’s focus.  That’s because, every so often, one of the children will call.  Besides the “Hey dad, how are you?” there is often a “What do you think is going to happen?“They will plug-in whatever the news story du jour is – not that it makes a difference.  I then patiently (or not) explain that news is only of ANY value if it is specifically actionable.Today, we’re going to focus on the “How long do we have?” question. More for Subscribers       ||| SUBSCRIBE … Continue reading

The Mueller Indictments are Troubling

I have suggested many times that the Mueller Investigation would end with little other than a series of allegations. So here they are in the press release out today from the Justice Department: “FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE (Continues below)   The press release continues: Friday, February 16, 2018 Grand Jury Indicts Thirteen Russian Individuals and Three Russian Companies for Scheme to Interfere in the United States Political System The Department of Justice announced that a grand jury in the District of Columbia today returned an indictment presented by the Special Counsel’s … Continue reading

How to Play This Holiday Weekend

As usual, I will begin with disavowing making financial recommendations.  It is not what we do around here! On the other hand, we are very inclined, and in fact anxious, to talk about longwave economic theory. The idea that there are long waves (greater than 50 years) in the global economy is not new.  It has been around since it was first observed by Russian Nikolai Kondratiev during the Stalin era in the Soviet Union.  The economic longwave consists of a low point in long cycle interest rates.  The last … Continue reading

Coping: With the Voice-Controlled Home

[Adult language alert!] So, you think this is funny, do yah? A few months back, I posted a rather negative review on the whole notion of the “smart home” as embodied by the app-crazed marketers of the world. The product involved was TP-Link HS100 Smart Plug (2-Pack), No Hub Required, Wi-Fi, Works with Alexa and Google Assistant, Control Your Devices from anywhere (HS100 KIT) – basically 2 “smart switches” that cost your $45. As much as I worry about unauthorized access to anything, this may seem a confusing and contradictory move.  … Continue reading

The “Murder Cycle” is Not Dead

Longtime readers of this website will remember we have written many times about an oddity in human behavior: it appears humans (in this age of mass media/hysteria) have evolved something we label the murder cycle. This popped out of the data many years ago.  I noticed that mass murderers seem to do their dirty deeds within 135 to 150 days of one another preceding event.  It is very difficult to be more precise than a date range because we are dealing with something that on a scatter chart looks like … Continue reading

Coping: Prepping Paranoid – the Short Course

I assume by now you know that every single piece of mail that is delivered to your home is photographed by the US Postal Service and is shoved into a database which features an entry for every American, right? You did know that, right? What you are looking at in the photograph is the email sent to me yesterday by the Postal Service, which contained a photograph of every piece of mail that I would receive later in the day from my local carrier. They do not get all the … Continue reading