BlinkLab News – and Some AI Perspective

First, the BlinkLab run—because I need coffee before digging any deeper: News Compressor: Dawn The weekend’s biggest change is that several pressure points we were already watching have moved from threat toward action. Middle East: Saudi Arabia says it intercepted a Houthi ballistic missile aimed at Riyadh, with attempted strikes also reported elsewhere in the … Read More

What You’re Missing on Peoplenomics Today

Today’s Saturday report runs about one-tenth the length of a typical novel — and that’s before you count the 37-page ChartPack and the separate Over-the-Horizon report. Seriously. A lot of UrbanSurvival readers have never taken a Peoplenomics subscription. Fair enough. But what you’re missing isn’t simply “more George.” It’s where we have room to follow … Read More

Friday Kind of Day

Software Hell Again — Thanks, Microsoft (NOT!!!) There was an overnight update to MS Edge which managed to roach half the useful stuff on my computer — hid links, moved tools around, and somehow scrambled display settings that had been working perfectly well yesterday. Like we don’t have real stuff to do? When will software … Read More

Fed Play Predictable – But Now What?

Energy prices. Thease are the most likely outcomes – a year-end run and new highs in 2027 OR the grim case. As should be clear: Extension of the lower red (rising) trend line is an obvious potential bounce point. OR as early as tomorrow depending on how the rest of global banking falls in. Either … Read More

A “Four-Course” Column – Verging on Too Much

Today’s Peoplenomics is one of those reports that refuses to stay inside the usual market-news box. We begin with Fed Shock Day, the Middle East energy squeeze, two fresh economic releases, and a nearly three-dozen-page ChartPack asking whether markets are setting up for a blow-off move — or something considerably less pleasant. Then we move … Read More

Who Owns These Wars? Fed Meets and a Writing Storm

I have been experiencing extremely insightful and useful dreams this week.  Not for their entertainment value, but because they answer a lot of long-held ponders.  Like “What is Life all about?” While I work on distilling this down into a (small book-length) Peoplenomics report for tomorrow, there’s some real gold already starting to pan out.  … Read More

Fed Week: Down Open, Handwriting on the Wall

A great deal of grist to review this morning, but we will keep it short, since Mondays will fade as Ure slides into more time off this fall.  Here’s a preliminary work plan: Orientation Market preview BlinkLabNews Fed Box At the Ranch: Back to school Handwriting and aging note The Morning Sight Dow futures – … Read More

ChopShop Sunday: OTH and ENSO

I will be keeping most of the latest details on our Over-the-Horizon software work over on the Peoplenomics side of the house. There is some very sincere research underway now, and I think we may be getting close to a useful way of separating actual forecasting from the very human tendency to recognize the future … Read More

Sunday Coffee: The Retirement Slide

Monday will be next, though tomorrow’s “ChopShop Monday” will be interesting for those interested in tossing darts at where the future will land… News Junkie Fix What changed overnight is a widening of the same pressure system we have been tracking: energy, war, inflation and rates are becoming less separable. Diesel being up nearly 80 … Read More

What to Buy for Ten Years Out – An Over-the-Horizon Update

This morning on Peoplenomics, we’re looking beyond next week’s Fed meeting and asking a much bigger question: What should you buy today that the world may have trouble making cheaply ten years from now? Productive land, gold and silver, machinery, repair parts and durable goods all make the list — but not simply because their … Read More

CPI Doesn’t Matter – THIS Does

Despite me telling you “CPI Doesn’t Matter” – because it’s a transient number, and rates are going higher, we still acknowledge there is a lot of investor focus on the numbers which have just been released – so let’s get that off the table before we make all the rest uncomfortably real. First is the headline: The Consumer … Read More

Rates, Rumbles, Fumbles, and Stumbles

Dominoes fall down, right? The more useful question this morning is whether enough of them can fall up. May I have the latest rate decision from the European Central Bank, please? The Governing Council today decided to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points. The conflict in the Middle East continues to … Read More