In today’s Peoplenomics, we take the idea of AI “training states” out of the computer lab and apply it to human beings. Why do intelligent people examine the same evidence and reach completely different conclusions? Because every mind carries its own training stack: family, history, fear, incentives, ideology and survival lessons. Then we apply that … Read More

Maybe some better reporting will come out this weekend (talking heads, news-bobbers) but so far my impression is the media is soft-pedaling the real news of the week – economics is getting a hotfix, temporary patch, and a whole new software spin in the next year.  Which, as we’ve told you before, is a very … Read More

Early premarket futures were showing a DCB – dead cat bounce due at today’s opening. As much as we would love to be (Eric Hoffer style) true believers, that just ain’t in the cards today, kiddies.  Did I miss my meds? No.  But let me count the ways things can blow-up. We are into a three-day weekend … Read More

“The Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. The Committee reaffirmed its policy of maintaining ample reserves in the banking system.” We are looking for the real dancing to begin in a half hour with Warsh’s first … Read More

Peoplenomics is not simply another collection of headlines. The value is in connecting markets, economics, technology, preparedness and real-life decisions—then separating what matters from the daily noise. Subscribers receive the deeper Wednesday analysis, the Saturday follow-up, chart work, book previews and practical research that never appears on the public site. The annual subscription remains just … Read More

If you are old enough to remember the 1950s Mickey Mouse Club (on black and white TV): “Today is Tuesday, you know what that means…”  Guest Star Day!  Let’s meet today’s guest, shall we? No question in our mind what’s really going on.  Gavin Newsom – the California governator with presidential aspirations is going “Elvis Costello” … Read More

Sure, we will get to “the financials” in a moment, but I think the bigger story is a lot more complicated from the systems perspective than a few hit-and-run headlines. The Oasis Problem I have no idea how far you “domain walk” potential futures, but such lines of inquiry are especially useful on days when “Peace … Read More

Two weeks plus one day from now, do you know what happens? Mercury Retrograde! Here is why this is important, so follow along: When you are young, still think you are immortal and untouchable, you hear stories about “Mercury in retrograde” and you think: “Aw, that’s a load of horseshit.” Middle age is when your mind … Read More

This morning’s Peoplenomics opens with ChartPack: Launch Time? Markets have the smell of launch fever in the air, but that does not mean we are throwing caution overboard. The SpaceX buzz, oil/Iran headlines, and the coming Fed meeting all arrive at once, and our 1929 comparison work still leaves room for a push higher into … Read More

Even the paranoid in today’s (somewhat insane) world need a day off, once in a while.  This may be a good candidate – provided nothing silently or invisibly inbound from left field, or appearing as a flock of black swans doesn’t decide to land and spoil our most mundane of Friday outlooks. We will start at … Read More

Hell of a drop in the markets Wednesday. While futures pricing hinted at a possible “dead cat bounce today” let’s cut the bullshit and tell it “like it is.” The quality of life – as measured by after-obligations, true disposable income – hasn’t been moving much. America offshored its industrial base under the eyes of … Read More

Back in January, I did a Peoplenomics piece called “The Digital Anasazi,” looking at how once-great civilizations actually come apart. Not usually from one battle, one bad leader, or one bad economic number — but from too many stresses thrown into the blender at once. That is why today’s subscriber work updates the “news between” … Read More