Four Futures – and a Joker

4 Wherein we look at Future’s “deal” over the next couple of years. Expanding with personal responses that follow the Friday UrbanSurvival column outline. While we await the next “turns of the screws” – indicated by the market opening bell Monday. Our eyes will be scanning the western horizon for hints about how Taiwan will play out. At the same time, however, a nervous glance over the shoulder at the middle east will be noticed …

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Collapse at Hand? Short of a Lifetime? Retail is Part…

37 1 The global economy is on the verge of collapse in coming weeks. Before we get into “How grim is it?”  We need to roll out one of the major numbers that will drive future:  Retail Sales.  Just out: Also out some imported energy data from Labor: “Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.4 percent in September following a 0.3-percent decrease in August. Export prices rose 0.1 percent in September, after increasing 0.4 percent the previous …

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Won’t Say “Told You So” – But….

28 2 Breaking:  PPI and Jobs Producer Prices report first:> “The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.7 percent in August and 1.0 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index rose 8.6 percent for the 12 months ended in September, the largest advance since 12-month data were first …

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Hiding Disaster with Excess Cash

16 2 A series of thought-experiments to ponder.  Which may be useful, given this morning’s release of CPI data which we will get to right away. We’re actually in a Depression right now.  But it’s being effectively papered-over.  We see through the fog of collapse by looking at some units sold figures. Also today:  Ways to extend failing eyesight due to aging. Thing is, money supplies are a lot more complex than most people realize.  …

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Markets and Walls of Worry

44 3 We’ll “set the table” today with a report just out from the National Federation of Independent Business which issues a monthly “Small Business Optimism Index.” Well, except it’s not too optimistic just now:  Here’s the top of the press release. “WASHINGTON, D.C. (Oct. 12, 2021) — The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased one point in September to 99.1. Three of the 10 Index components improved, five declined, and two were unchanged. “Small business owners are …

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