Longer-Term Market Breaks

A novel thought has crossed my mind while looking at the data – and particularly in retooling our “trading Golem” this week. Not completely original – since the idea is there in some of Didier Sornette’s work (see Why Stock Markets Crash:...

Prepping: Minimal Survival Levels (ICoD2)

In Case of Depression #2 today.  Since we covered some of the basics of the economic and social drivers already, so let’s move on to the “worst case” minimums to think about as we edge toward the uncertain future. We have seven quantitative...

Note for Mobile Users

I mentioned this morning that the “hamburger menu” was not working right – but I think the problem is now fixed.  When you “hit the burger” on the upper right of your phone, the menu should now pop open. Traced back to a caching program...

Down Again Next Week?

We have been holding to the idea lately that the market would be at one of those “turn either way” points when the election gets here. Over the last day, or two, one of our trading indicators (which our Peoplenomics.com subscribers will know as “the...

Mexico’s Slow Motion War with the US

Once again this morning, we are beset by three things in America that no one wants to deal with. Our first one is Mexico’s slow-motion war with America. For those incapable of clear-thinking on the matter, Nations have borders.  That’s what the dopes in...

Beyond ERP: LRP and PRP?

Peace with the Robots?  A Life Resource Planner to better use global resources?  Sounds a bit sci-fi, to be sure, but we may have no choice. Today on the UrbanSurvival side, I offer a few public comments about the Lifealyzer concept,  That is:  Are we approaching a...

Smarmy Markets & Dirty Politics

Our work has been indicating for some time (at least if you subscribe to our Peoplenomics.com site) that the markets are likely to place themselves in a “break-either-way” position by the time we get out to the congressional mid-term circus three weeks...

Idiolutionaries and Retail Sails

We begin the week with a short lecture to antifa.  Hopelessly misguided as events in the socialist city-state of Portland this weekend revealed (again).  Please take the time to read how “Bear spray, bloody brawls at Patriot Prayer ‘law and order’...

Projecting Markets in Chaos

Yet another week of chaotic markets.  So this morning we’ll give you some ideas on how to noodle your way through figuring out what comes next. It’s an imperfect process (or we’d all be rich by now) but any improvement over 50-50 seems worth...

Coping: Social Credits or Accreditation?

Adventures of a rambling mind:  The other day I chanced to look at a piece of tile that Elaine had placed on the window sill of the guest room bath. That got me to thinking about a few other such tiles we’ve collected over the years.  A few from cruises...

Depression Warning: Is it a “1-Down” or a “4?”

These are interesting (trips-to-the-bathroom-inducing) times to be trading the markets.  Another 500-odd Dow points to the downside Thursday reminds us of several points average people will miss.  If I may? We are reminded that the fiercest forces of all are Mother...

Market Fails: Trump to Reprise Hoover? CPI Holds

Sure, Florida is an awful mess this morning in the wake of the hurricane hit Wednesday.  The storm is moving off to the northeast, vastly diminished. But we may have a bigger problem:  The Market.  Which blew through 800+ points yesterday for reasons that aren’t...

A Gentle Introduction to Mixed-Mode Modeling

Yes…today’s “deep thinking” piece is about mathematical modeling. But the really good news is that we will use hardly any mathematical terminology.  Other than some of the most basic functions anyone acquainted with Excel (and clones) can...