CV19: 5.75% to Go? – And “CV19 as a Passover Rhyme?”

A good night’s sleep and I wake up with interesting things to consider in the day ahead.  And so began this morning’s adventures in “Spreadsheet Land.” In my (crazy, nutcase, Wildman in the Woods) view, we may slow the descent of markets with the Fed move this morning.  And it would be a lovely “Rhyme … Read More

COVID-19: The Space Ship Problem

Don’t look now, but there are huge things going on that most people are not tying together.  Since it’s the weekend – and you may not feel like going to work tomorrow, let’s do some “intelligent speculating,” shall we? The timing of the COVID outbreak is extremely interesting when taken with a dose of UAP.  … Read More

Self-Check, Spread Data & Some Useful Advise

Two Posts this morning – as my fingers wake up.  This being the first of said duo… No shortage of things to talk about (so we will):  Before we roll up sleeves, though, a number of stops on the morning inspection report of our local conditions.  Some is amusing, others less so.  For example…. Septic … Read More

The Virus: From Beyond "Iron Mountain"

It’s an honest writer’s confession that I admired the late author Leonard C. Lewin.  You’ll remember him as the author of the best-selling Report From Iron Mountain: On the Accessibility and Desirability of Peace.  This was one of my favorite books.  It amplified the lessons of “thinking the unthinkable” I’d learned as a newsman years … Read More

CV Aside: The “Good Witching” Day

This morning began with an unusual task:  Looking for a copy of  Javelin analytics software on 1.4 MB floppy disks. “WTF?  Tell us about the damn virus and Depression, Ure!” Sometimes, life is not so simple…let me get you up to speed. A report out this morning notes that California health officials are now predicting … Read More

COVID19: Worse than ALL U.S. Wars?

We begin with a sobering statistical Reality: IN WW II: 418,500 for both U.S. civilians and .mil deaths in WW II. In WW I: 116,516 Americans were killed – same metrics In Korea: 36,574 Americans were killed. In Vietnam:58,314 Yanks were killed. In U.S Civil War, 820,000 -1,200,000 (generally rounded to 1-million) were killed. War … Read More

Directorate 153: Entangled Communications

Welcome to another Lock-limit and crash risk day.  No surprise to subscribers, though. Our death-toll outlook now surpasses WW-II by mid-July at current rates. We need a break.  So, in today’s report we try to look past the virus spread, toward some new technology that holds amazing implications. Because sometimes in a crisis, it’s useful … Read More

Cases Calm, Mortality Up, Markets May Rally

Reader Note:  Posting in segments today due to heavy precip taking down satcoms.  CenturyLate DSL up and down.  Patience, please…. Daily Data Check These will change around noon as new data comes out and adds: Our back-of-the-envelope – unofficial – numbers forward:  Cases ahead first: Then, projected death toll globally based on current rates of … Read More

FED Panics: Synthetic Depression Looms

Our “Big View” is scary:  A “Synthetic Depression” is being rolled out.  Not trying to make you paranoid, but we are following the data…. We think sometimes you don’t try to save all the financial Big Players, as the IMF planning to piss-away a Trillion Dollars which makes no sense.  Unless, of course, you don’t … Read More

Viral Stupidity: Will PC Democrats Kill NYC…and CONUS?

I am so fit to be tied I could just spit.  Just when I thought democrats couldn’t get anymore stupid, this headline in the  Washington Times catches my eye: “Smart move or grave mistake? NYC keeps schools open.” What God’s name is their demagogic logic?  Well, says the story “They’re keeping the nation’s largest school … Read More

Prepping for Quarantine

Been a busy week around the old “double-wide in the woods” – getting ready for the Big Shut-In, which seems about an equal proposition, as we see it. As we have hinted-at before, once you have “the basics” covered, there’s not too much else to do except figure out which of your hobbies will have … Read More

Complexity Impodes

Here’s a dirty secret about the Big Bang:  It doesn’t go on for ever…and eventually it reverses.  Same for stock bubbles.  The question that damns us all is “When???” And therein lies today’s modest projections of coming attractions due to COVID.  Reversal, sadly, is a good distance ahead. For millions of years, life developed on … Read More

The COVID Path the WW III

@ COVID Box Scores First The data early this morning @ 3:30 AM was looking pretty good.  But, just in the past hour the new data has come in and it shows a persistent increase in the numbers of cases (and deaths) being reported. No worries by the markets, though.  With the Fed in for … Read More