Welcome to the Weimar

A simple snip from the (not so) Federal Reserve on what we’ve been telling you was Making Up Money (MUM) policy.    See 3-months M1…and think about buying a wheelbarrow… All of which exposes the key economic question: If the stock market was to drop 30%, but you threw in an offsetting amount of cash … Read More

How “Durable Goods?” Digital Uprising, Virus Plagues Net

Hard choice this morning, trying to “call it right” in terms of what will impact people’s lives most.  We remain on the cusp of economic Depression, the main driver of this – the virus – is still rolling with some areas reporting upticks now. As a consequence, the food situation is getting dicey – with … Read More

CV-19: America’s New Wealth – and Magic?

We’ve probably all heard the old saying “When Fortune hands you Lemons, make Lemonade.” Old sayings like that become old sayings because there’s an element of Truth to them.  And so, I got to thinking about how Elaine and I could turn Covid-19 into a positive thing in our lives. Surprisingly, the answer was simple:  … Read More

For Peoplenomics Subscribers

A cryptic graphic related to this morning’s discussion in the ChartPack: As always, we shall see…just remember 1.7% and we hit it within 20 minutes of the open. g

A Wednesday Two-Fer

Two items matter this morning:  Understanding dynamics of serialized news will satisfy our “news junkies.” While “Trading channels with expectation ranges” may help those transitioning from Vegas to Wall Street. After the usual doses of news and this morning’s Charts… More for Subscribers      |||   Not a Subscriber?  SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||   Subscriber Help Center

CV19: Monday Effect + Fed Learns Money Buys Time…

With the Price of Oil crashing to lifetime lows, it has become apparent that the Fed has seriously screwed-up and does not understand what happens when hyper-deflation (here at the bottom of the economic long wave cycle) runs into hyper-inflation as demanded by compounding effects of interest on the federal debt.  And egged further into … Read More

Markets: Overshoot Ends? Plus: Rambling Trump

I made a promise to myself this weekend:  I would try to write “tighter and brighter” columns.  That decision was reinforced when Elaine and I listened to the presidents press conference Sunday. Getting to the point matters: Over the course of 50+ years as a news/management/operations geek, old man Ure  (moi) has been to a … Read More

CV19: What are We Packing For? A Math Lesson

It’s never hard to pack for a trip – just so long as you know  where you will eventually end up.  Then, it’s easy to see – amongst all your present gear – what will work when you get to the new destination. You don’t pack too many sweaters for a trip to the Sahara.  … Read More

New America? Check the Rearview

Wherein we “look ahead in the rearview” with a unique historical guidepost system most people don’t think about. Not saying that we are going back to the “past-Ure” but if you’re wondering what will need doing in the “Post-Tech world” business ideas abound. Which will be grist for the brain after an assortment of headlines … Read More

Market “Crash-Up” – J. Powell as R. Mugabe

A group of investors ought to be formed to sue the hell out of the Federal Reserve for price-fixing.  Because, near as we can figure it, that’s just what they’re engaged in.  Making up money and distorting markets. I can’t think of a single provision under the Constitution law that permiting goverment a right to … Read More

Virus, Rate of Rise, Housing Starts

To the point this morning because much work remains to be done in  the garden today.  And we were busy as hell yesterday – more on that toward the end of this morning’s note. First Up:  Housing Starts Is there an economy left?  Well, sure…especially in big “coop-dweller” markets: Building Permits  Privately?owned housing units authorized by building permits in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,353,000.   This is 6.8 percent (±1.1 percent) below the revised February rate of 1,452,000, but is 5.0 percent (±2.4 percent) above the  March 2019 rate of 1,288,000. Housing Starts  Privately?owned housing starts in March were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,216,000.  This is 22.3 percent (±12.2  … Read More

Knockdown: Lifestyles a’ Changing

An obituary this morning, to the good old days with a silver living. It’s a look at bunkering and how, while the uber-rich may think it’ll save their butts, I thinking it won’t… The problem for the rich – and even for crooks – is that both classes became overly dependent on paper money, a … Read More

Food: The “Second Horseman?”

You are welcome to be skeptical, but 2-1/2 months ago I told you we were going hog-wild on  gardening this year and it was driven by the Wuhan Pandemic. So, let’s see how Ure’s outlook has been on this, alright?  Specifically, from our Feb. 2, 2020 column  “Seeds and Ozone” what was I telling you? … Read More