Market Futures were down earlier when I posted this – earlier than normal – because Ure is on multiple missions around here today. Time is of the essence. [A saying that makes no sense beyond contract law…]
GCMD: Global Communicable Mental Diseases
What occasions today’s early start was not being able to get back to sleep at 3 AM. Elaine and I got into a most useful conversation about how the Internet – coupled with too many “news” channels and not enough “content” has resulted in the information society’s pivot off bi-polar disorder.
The present fixation around which, almost all “news stories” have a “hook” is CV-19. Good reason? Yes…but no…
The Fed Matters
We’ve talked about this before: Whether something is really “worth your time” depends on how close it is to intruding into your life. No money is bad. More money is good. Too much, however, is hyperinflation. At which time, money becomes worthless.
Leaving the Fed is navigating between Depression on one side of the ledger and hyperinflation on the other.
The ONE story that really matters to all of us is what was in the Federal Reserve’s Minutes from their April 28-29 meeting. Forget all the hooey from J. Powell when the cameras were rolling before Fools on the Hill.
A couple of notes from the Fed minutes (with highlights by moi):
“The staff observed that uncertainty regarding the economic effects of the coronavirus outbreak was extremely elevated and that the historical behavior of the U.S. economy in response to past economic shocks provided limited guidance for making judgments about how the economy might evolve over coming quarters. In light of the significant uncertainty and downside risks associated with the evolution of the coronavirus outbreak, how much the economy would weaken, and how long it would take to recover, the staff judged that a more pessimistic projection was no less plausible than the baseline forecast. In this scenario, a second wave of the coronavirus outbreak, with another round of strict restrictions on social interactions and business operations, was assumed to begin around year-end, inducing a decrease in real GDP, a jump in the unemployment rate, and renewed downward pressure on inflation next year. Compared with the baseline, the disruption to economic activity was more severe and protracted in this scenario, with real GDP and inflation lower and the unemployment rate higher by the end of the medium-term projection.”
“Participants assessed that the second quarter would likely see overall economic activity decline at an unprecedented rate. “
” Participants were further concerned that even after social-distancing requirements were eased, some business models may no longer be economically viable, which could occur, for example, if consumers voluntarily continued to avoid participating in particular forms of economic activity. In addition, participants expressed concern that the possibility of secondary outbreaks of the virus may cause businesses for some time to be reluctant to engage in new projects, rehire workers, or make new capital expenditures.“
The minutes (which you can study here) paint a picture of a Fed trying to “out-print” the onset of a Second Depression.
Since our core belief is that “Everything is a Business Model” our fear and trepidation is stoked when the Fed comes right and as says “…some business models may no longer be economically viable.”
This kind of background and we rallied how much yesterday? Crack pipe, please? Oh…just dumping paper of the dim…well, that’s more like it.
Death by Ripples? Or, Immortals?
Airline flights being grounded are more than a concern for hotels, Uber, Lyft, Hertz, and restaurants. These things push back up their supply chains.
Work from home is an axe-murderer of commercial real estate. And e-tailing will finish off the struggling malls that Amazon and Wal-Mart already had on the ropes.
Out here in the Outback, we’ve long-wondered if our “living apart” from other people (first on the sailboat and then in semi-isolation on 30 acres of trees) has something to do with slowing down the aging process.
Here’s a serious ponder for you: How much of aging is brought about by yet-to-be-discovered communicable diseases. The evidence offers that CV-19 may have been around much longer than first thought. Is there any complete list of coronaviruses that periodically circulate? Who’s to say that some virus in the wings isn’t what causes aging?
The Best (and worst) outcome of all the present rush into research would be finding a virus that drives a large portion of aging.
Sounds great – until you model it out: Then the world is far too over-crowded and runs out of resources as the economy craters due to actuarial impacts.
Eventually, Social Security would have to cut-off at some age. We find the prospect of 200-years on the dole to be acceptable… provided we’re not locked-down and can hit a casino, take a cruise, or visit what’s left of Europe by then!
First real data point that matters?
In the week ending May 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 2,438,000, a decrease of 249,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised down by 294,000 from 2,981,000 to 2,687,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,042,000, a decrease of 501,000 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised down by 73,500 from 3,616,500 to 3,543,000.
The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 17.2 percent for the week ending May 9, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the previous week’s revised rate. The previous week’s rate was revised down by 0.2 from 15.7 to 15.5 percent. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending May 9 was 25,073,000, an increase of 2,525,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised down by 285,000 from 22,833,000 to 22,548,000. The 4-week moving average was 22,002,250, an increase of 2,313,500 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised down by 71,250 from 19,760,000 to 19,688,750.
I wouldn’t get too worked up over initial claims dropping – running out of people to be first-time claimants. Meanwhile, after the number, futures were down 102 on the Dow.
Not much going on, except a decline into Friday’s close wouldn’t be surprising. How many people are ready to hold stocks over a three-day weekend in this kind of World? “Not I,”
said Chicken Little. (“Long, anyway,” continued the fowl comment. )
More guidance after the market close today when we get the next Fed confessional on how fast the printing presses have been running.
Bioweapon Hits 5-Million
As of early today, we passed 5-million cases globally as “the spread” continues.
As it does, statistical evidence of it being a bioweapon, whether released intentionally, or not is climbing. Consider:
- The USA represents 330-million people. Global Pop is 7.6 billion (7,600-million). The USA is 4.34% of Global Pop.
- However, we have already found 1.552-million Cases out of the 5-million passed this morning. We have 31% of Global Cases in the good ol’ USA. Testing more here or weapon results?
- China has 84,063 cases reported. The U.S. has 18.46 TIMES more cases than China.
- On a per capita basis, Your odds of getting CV in China were .006%. Yeah, 6-10-hundreth’s of one percent. In the USA? About 4.7%.
This last figure is debatable since China is not updating on the Johns Hopkins website. Lies from the commies, anyone?
Still, the virus looks highly asymmetric. And when there’s a global economic battle for supremacy and the future underway, you’d have to be an idiot not to wonder what truth the data is telling us…or hiding from us, for that matter.
Useful and Useless Dept.
China’s copying the “Patriot Act?” Beijing Legalizes Persecution Of Hong Kong’s Pro-Democracy Movement With New ‘National Security’ Law.
Finger-pointing outbreak predicted in Michigan after that dam break: Investigators to examine safety issues that may have worsened Michigan flooding.
Die or Work – Russia has the same problem (money addiction) that we do, as we read how Putin Wants Russia to Get Back to Normal. New Outbreaks Show It May Be Too Early.
Leftist mind-control backfire? After nationwide backlash, a school board rescinded its vote to scratch 5 books off high school curriculums.
Truth from Fiction: Media Bias Fact Check has a useful summary page of lies and such here. Some days it’s faster to read what the lies are than what the actual news is…
Woo-Woo: Smoke Curls Down
This will take a minute to explain.
[DISCLAIMER: None of this is medical advice. Seek healthcare input from a licensed professional healthcare practitioner before doing any of these things!]
I don’t talk much about my “getting ready for the day” routine. Not that it’s complicated, but there is one aspect of it – my light input – that may seem a bit odd.
After my morning vitamins (10,000 IU of Vit. D, selenium, magnesium, HCTZ for BP, lithium orotate, huperzine-a, and a chewable multi with extra zinc) all washed down by 1-1/2 cups of fresh coffee) I go through three (sometimes four) light feedings.
Before you get worked up over a very low dose of lithium, do some reading and remember that soft drink 7-Up? Originally a lithiated soda for its mood and wellness improving qualities. Says here that:
“It was one of a number of patent medicine products popular in the late-19th and early-20th centuries. Its name was later shortened to “7 Up Lithiated Lemon Soda” before being further shortened to just “7 Up” by 1936.”
A visit to the Tahoma Clinic articles on lithium and anti-aging is also worth some study. Read the cites, as well.
Sure! Amped and optimized, that’s the goal of the morning routine. Once the coffee and vitamins are at work, my “light work” goes like this.
This is a stripped-out skateboard helmet into which about 15-feet of 660 nm (deep red) light rope has been attached with glue. I wrote this up in 2017 on the Peoplenomics side and it’s in my book Dimensions Next Door.
Red light has amazing healing properties and there are more than 7-thousand light/photobiomodualtion studies on ClinicalTrials.gov, but under LLLT (low level laser light therapy) consider reading a few like the University of Texas (Austin) research project Cognitive Enhancement Through Transcranial Laser Therapy.
We are not alone.
This involves applying a 50-50 mix of 660 nm deep red and 850 nm infrared *which penetrates deeper to the chest for about 4-1/2 Joules worth.
Why? Well just below the collar bone is a gland called the thymus and it’s where T-cells are made. Or, were when we were younger. Might start your readings with the MedicalExpress article “Can we turn back the clock on an aging thymus?”
Since the thymus becomes fatty and decreases its T-cell output with aging, anything to “heal” or “restore” (increase T-cell production) it seems like a personal experiment with little downside risk. We know LLLLT works, heals, so WTF, right?
Visual Cortex Work
As long as I was sitting in the chair with my light source, I decided to also apply a few Joules to my temple area because that’s where the trigeminal nerve bundle is.
The area of “science” I have found most interesting is the part where science admits that when neurons fire, they release a photon. Stupidly, I got to wondering whether “light pumping” could “recharge” the brain a bit. Science “ain’t there, yet.”
Since I knew that there are some LLLLT combinations that are very much like being on speed (more on this in a sec.) I wanted to try simple red and infrared pumping.
Being careful to close my eyes, because although LLLLT can seemingly delay or even roll-back age-related (dry-eye) macular degeneration [AMD] (see notes from Lumithera on their Lightsite I study here), and has for Elaine, I was wanted to simply pump photons to the side of the occular nerve.
With the light in the correct position, you can see a definite bright red. But here’s the trick: Turns out – at least in me – that I can work on two “halves” if you will of my visual cortex.
When you see something through your eyes, there are two visual inputs to the brain. Things like depth perception are driven by the two eyes differential inputs.
Now, what I found was, doing this “light pumping” in a darkened room, I could change my mental focus to either look at the Bright input, or the Dark input.
Takes some getting used to.
BUT, here’s the cool part: When done correctly, there are patterns that are seen on the “dark” surface. And the patterns change depending on time of day, general health, and so on. It also is where occasional runic images seem to appear.
Now Comes the Woo-Woo Part
I began this morning with red light sources over the left temple.
The visual field of my brain became brightly lit, at once. After 15-seconds, or so, I became able to focus on the non-lit side of the brain and here a pattern (“dancing amoebas”) with a tilt down and to the left appeared with “dancing light sticks” between them.
Then a most curious thing occurred. Best described as “smoke curls downward.” Looked like this (over a fabric of dancing amoebas):
Not sure what it means – or whether it is simply “optical noise” but it was a left-illuminated effect only. The right temple was a different pattern entirely.
One of these days I will have to make detailed notes on how this change of awareness to the “unlit” part of the brain when one side is being light-pumped works, but this may be where stories of “runes” come from.
Imagine, sitting around an ancient fire somewhere, turning your head to the side, and really focusing on this “dark side of the brain showing “dancing amoebas” that are “outlined in light sticks” (almost like a live fabric) and along come the odd waves from different directions and the occasional “figure” or symbol.
Today’s was “smoke curls down…”
If you see some kind of news item today that would fit this symbol, let me know. It was curious and who knows, if there’s anything to it, or not.
Red light therapy is relaxing, healing, and quite enjoyable.
When I need a jolt – like a week in hyper-speed, I go to a different light regimen and it’s a mix of blue and green light. Green right, blue left for me.
After 20-minutes a day for a week…OMG! Only 3-4 houtrs of sleep needed, hyper-energy levels, but hard to manage. Almost too much after five or six days use.
I believe this is the light-pumping effect which is written of in Indian religious doctrine where the effects of Hindu color balancing of chakras is discussed. Think of these colors as “spinning up your Chakras.
(See Randall McClellan’s book “The Healing Forces of Music: History, Theory, and Practice” for more. Then understand Color Symbolism in Hinduism.
Piece of Truth are all over the place on this rock.)
This may seem like some “mighty odd stuff” to be messing with – and sure, in a conventional “limited herd member” perspective, I’m sure it is.
On the other hand, since I already live two distinct lives (one away, one asleep where I venture in highly lucid Dream Realms) its best taken as “just trying to find the real fence lines” of the waking state. People who don’t go looking for (and testing) such lines are likely to have a sucky “Whatever Comes Next.”
In order to own the Future, you have to grab the Present and use it for all it’s worth.
[DISCLAIMER: None of this is medical advice. Seek healthcare input from a licensed professional healthcare practitioner before doing any of these things! Well, except the grab the Present to own the Future, part, I suppose.]
Write when you wake up,