News

My consigliere called Monday.  Up scouting the slopes at Beaver Creek in Colorado.  Forgot to ask if he was wearing a gray Fedora with a black band. The reason for the call?  Most people – when you give them a set of numbers, and ask for a chart, will promptly open Excel and build a chart.  Others … Read More

We call it the Muli-War.  A War Over Everything.  WOE. It’s clicking into place even now.  No longer merely a World War (now passe!) the Multi-War extends into cyberspace, food and water supplies, space, and even the partialverse. Social Media’s in on it…hell, everything is in play. Everyone is winning and losing – all in … Read More

Good news – and bad – about those couple of old, tired, worn-out laptops here.  The good news is they are all screaming fast. Linux does that. The bad is they have forced me to look again – somewhat realistically – at the odds of the Internet going down within the next three years. As … Read More

Last weekend’s column – the part about the Chinese sailboat build?  Well, that led to me mixing up another batch of Durham’s Rock-Hard Water Putty.  And that – in turn – had sent me sneaking into the kitchen. Elaine and I have very different ideas on recycling certain food containers.  She looks at everything as a … Read More

Every time a Bubble arises, supporters of the “new paradigm” argue that somehow “This time it’s different.“    The data says it hasn’t been different yet. One of these days that may be true.  However, we have come up with a method by which similarities may become clear between non-equivalent markets with wide temporal separation. Which … Read More

Welcome to Options Friday.  The Index options expired at the higher close than where we go today. So, the way this works is Big Playahs Sell Index Options at the high Thursday.  Say an S&P 500 option to make it easy.  The price was based on the S&P close of 4,283.74.  Today, the futures indicate … Read More

35-pages of my latest book (on Collapse Capable Electronics Operators) can be quickly trained up in “Event of an Actual Emergency.” In this week’s partial release of the book are sections on HUMINT (HUman INTelligence) techniques as well as SIGINT (SIGnals INTelligence). This section has a very short, very worthwhile explanation of how American news … Read More

Short for “Operations Tempo” it’s the kind of thing military commanders coordinate.  One flank moves at a certain speed while another moves at something else.  Between, an enemy is “herded” into a disadvantageous position. In markets, there is an OPTEMPO, as well. Sometimes sector moves are fast, or at other times, painfully slow. This morning … Read More

Know what time it is? The Bulletin of The Atomic Scientists labeled the beginning of this year as “100-seconds to Midnight.”  At which time, turn off the lights, and settle into the remnant’s struggle to pick ourselves up again in a few thousand years. The truly paranoid think the president is already in hiding and … Read More

“So, this guy is walking down the street and turns into a market…”  That’s where our “philosophy of trading” discussion picks up this morning. With Ure taking a look back at something he quietly pioneered long before meeting Elaine. Statistical Dating (& Investing) This is really key to internalizing our crackpot theory of Aggregate market … Read More

Too busy with doctor appointments this week (checkups and a cardiologist follow up) to get much done in the Shop or Hobby Shop this week.  And it looks like things will be in go-slow mode since the next few weekends will be “Setting up for Fall” events. #1: Plant Fall Garden Fall into winter garden … Read More

Two stories headline our Saturday morning thinking:  Our previously “unthinkably bad Elliott Count has been validated.  And some comments from a retired senior Air Force contributor shine an embarrassing Light of Truth on crooked political assassination efforts. Either one is bad.  Combined, they can be taken as a sure sign of more troubles and stress … Read More

Right out of the chute this morning, we have to take a look at the new import and export prices report.  They show a nearly remarkable change in our position as the world’s leading grifter. The U.S. dollar – while down from near parity with the Euro a couple of weeks back – is still very … Read More