Job Report, Putin’s Birthday Candle?

Super short and on point, since Roofing Crew #2 – the metal roofers – will have the long-planned replacement of the guest room done this morning.  We’re trying to be “all ready for war.” So, with this in mind we will get to the job numbers in a second.  But first let’s talk about making … Read More

Pass Out the Nukes – Greasy Joe Stuff

Oh my God, what a grand Thursday it is.  Ure’s back from the Big Bad Ugly Rally we warned was coming and is ready to open a can of whup-ass on some Bulls. See, the thing is, there is very little in the headlines supporting anything near the “Build Back Better” fairytale. Walk with me. Challenger … Read More

Lifeboats and Earthships

A study of charts, early futures, ADP Jobs data, and a fresh book chapter on tap here.  After a manic running of the bears Tuesday, reason seems to be back with futures pointing lower ahead of the opening. Our focus is back on the “what’s personally actionable” aspect of future living. Imagine, if you will, … Read More

Market’s Worse than 1929: Shows Axial Symmetries

Sometimes I feel like a damned politician.  In fact, it’s been said (by Coleman Cox in the previous Depression) that “Writer’s aren’t supposed to have money, unless they be writers of checks.”~ 1931 in “As I See It.” This is not the first time I’ve partly missed the gangplank but got the right boat.  I … Read More

Rally? Future Sighted! New Book Pending

The first chapter of a (likely) new book should be posted on the Peoplenomics® website Wednesday.  The working title is “Crossover: The Combustion of Human Effort” is poised to drip out the end of my fingers. I was kicking around the possible nuclear escalation path in Ukraine over the weekend and I shared with him the … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Back-up Home Heating, Starlink In

Plus, some other nifty topics this morning, including my Yaupon Hedge experiment.  So, kick back with another cup and let’s think this project called Life through a little deeper… If War Is Coming We sure hope reasonable shows up at the party soon.  Because the accounting for this Ukraine War (thanks to maneuvering by the … Read More

Prepping: Last Train Out?

Although we don’t dwell on what it would be like to seriously prepare for global economic collapse, markets are driving today’s discussion.  Because if even a modest disruption in the Supply Chain can cause truck and auto deliveries to falter, and certain foods to become “unobtainium” we wonder what else might become scarce in the … Read More

Markets in Wiggle-Zone; Personal Income Joke

Our first discussion should be the state of financial markets which are momentarily in the “Wiggle Zone.” As you can see in the Elliott wave view of things, we are wiggling around a big red support line (lower right) here: Now let’s look at a bigger timescale and ask what might fit (for this is never … Read More

GDP – Recession or Not? Self Optimizations

Earlier this morning – before the GDP announcement, the Dow futures were down more than 200 points.  This, coming on the heels of a gain Wednesday of 548-points is not exactly the end of the world. The GDP – nominally the value of everything made in America – has become something of a political football.  … Read More

The Teaching Moments Ahead

With markets in free-fall, we are again looking back at critical lessons to have internalized right now – like today –  before we get into the Replay of 1929 any deeper.  There are two main ones that come to mind. The first has to do with invention.  So, in this regard, we’ll be focused on … Read More

Housing Rollover Begins

Economics runs in reasonably clear cycles.  At the moment, we are at (or just past) the top of a Housing cycle. The bottom, you’ll recall, was the spring of 2009.  Prices firmed into 2010 as corporations bet on running rental pools of repossessed homes. Since then, it would be hard to find a better personal … Read More

The Rally We Warned Of? Housing to Follow

This will sound paradoxical as hell.  When can a stock market rally be bad?  I mean really, really (potentially) bad? The answer is when it becomes part of the “last train out” before a global spasm of collapse which we figure will get organized in Europe within a month, that’s when! Let’s see what the longer … Read More

Are Depressions “Winnable?” CFNAI, Knee Sprain

The ONLY question that matters today is “Will we bounce?” The stock market has been in hard down mode for a while now.  And after the Futures markets became stable (a little after 5 AM Central) our long-term view (which told us a large Wave 3 Down was here) pointed to a nasty open. The … Read More