News

Despite the upward bias in markets, we again may be the only people who can read, around here. S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX DECLINE CONTINUED IN DECEMBER NEW YORK, FEBRUARY 28, 2023: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. … Read More

We have been telling you for years:  If you are young, don’t expect to retire until at least 68 – and as of this morning it looks like the FRA (full retirement age) could be bumped to 70. Take a careful read of A bipartisan group of Senators is talking about raising the retirement age … Read More

Bipolar disorder is a great place to start.  Although, like gout, BPD does come with some benefits.  Like super creativity – depending on where you are in the cycle.  Over on the subscriber side, I’ve been working on the market BPD indicator.  Which as the preopen today was trying to tell us: On the subscriber … Read More

The ShopTalk Sunday column is about making things to eat.  But not just any things.  There’s the whole aspect of doing of things to perfection woven into the mix, too. Which leads directly to Tuesday’s disaster which rippled to within inches of becoming a $249 Chocolate Chip Cookie. However, many “Foodie” things are “cooking” here. 1- We will … Read More

When I checked early this morning, Crypto’s leader (BTC) was down into the $23,800 range.  Considering the high this week was over $25,000 three days ago; this was hardly encouraging news. The story out Thursday that got very little play was a joint statement by the Federal Reserve, Comptroller of the Currency, and FDIC.  Bottom … Read More

Although the new GDP (gross domestic product) report is out, I want to tell you why it’s a bad indicator in many ways.  All has to do with inflation. So, pretend you show up at a used car lot.  You need a beater for getting to work.  You spy some 20-year old import and the … Read More

Our “Monday on Tuesday” ponder is this matter of whether time is a pure notion, or one vastly misunderstood. I mean, conventional thinking is that time is relatively linear in how it works.  You go 5,280-feet in one minute and it’s a nice 60-(statute) miles-per-hour.  Over large spans of time, therefore, linearity seems to work. Scales … Read More

Now that I’ve rolled over 74-years-of-age, I have increased the daily dose of cynicism medicine.  Because, by God, Inquiring Minds Want to Know… As the Birthday Weekend wraps up we just throw all the so-called news in the blender and see what sticks. Markets are closed in the U.S. because they can. Crooked Border Biden … Read More

Actual progress around the Ure joint, even with the house guest this week.  Elaine’s son is an extremely useful fellow.  Having run something of a Home Handyman Service before going to work for the post office. Hard to explain to people sometimes, how useful (and valuable!) that wide range of “hands-on” work can be.  Seems … Read More

No.  We will not tell you here how to build a differential trading model, though on Peoplenomics.com for subscribers, sure. Instead, we will only give you the Big Picture based on early Futures prices today.  The grim news today is that IF the market closes at the early futures pricing, THEN we are increasingly likely … Read More

Out of recognition of my personal dopamine addiction tendency to over-trade a bit, we need to begin with the set-up going into a three-day weekend. This is one I MAY short.  Because things will likely be runaway positive next week, or we will slip down the icy slope toward global collapse (and war to follow). … Read More

Yes, we’re figuring things are going seriously off the rails, and we are holding a (painfully expensive so far) short position against the market going into today.  We think it’s way overpriced. Why?  (CPI) Well, that’s a good one, ain’t it?  We are at an illogical point, even up through the futures this morning before the … Read More