The Jobs Report is out – and as we’ve been telling you, it doesn’t look half bad. “Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 235,000 in August, and the unemployment rate declined by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. So far this year, monthly job growth has averaged … Read More
It’s axiomatic that there’s a modest upside bias to markets ahead of three-day weekends. There’s also a bias to summer rallies. Perhaps related to more “sunshine Vitamin D” when people are out in it. Or, it’s just the Federal Reserve trying to paper-over the Second Depression which was ushered in a year-and-a-half ago when Covid-19 … Read More
I don’t like to be overly focused on “automatic money.” But it’s important to look at our returns on personal investments of time… Especially when some people spend hours every day looking at stock prices. Is there a good ROI in that? Automatic Money is a simple concept and it can usefully guide your “side … Read More
Housing is up more than 18-1/2% in one year! Want to ring the bell when you feel hyperinflation due to Fed money jiggering? YEAR-OVER-YEAR The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 18.6% annual gain in June, up from 16.8% in the previous month. The … Read More
Can someone please explain to me who is running up the market? We’re pretty sure that rampant CV-19 in a country whose military was just embarrassed by an inept CiC, and which will scream through $30-trillion in federal debt shortly, isn’t something a sane person would go out and “invest in.” Sure, gamble…aye, that’d be … Read More
We can already plot out the week, so an early column. Got up in the wee hours with my “brain on fire” about this week’s topic on Peoplenomics Wednesday: Automatic Money. Before digging into that, our Monday cuppa is pretty-much tame: Tick-Tock in Kabul Sorry, but color us skeptical of this report: “Taliban promises it will give … Read More
With the holiday weekend ahead – and a break in summer weather across the South from hurricane Ida, due to come ashore within the day – time to line up projects and tools for the big important projects this Fall. With this in mind, a quick overview of the first of our Four Shop Operations … Read More
Bond market isn’t growing as fast as the stock market. In relative terms, it’s shrinking. Which, we think offers a novel opportunity to offload the Federal Debt onto individual shareholders. The process takes a wee bit of explaining, but our point is that while the Federal Debt screams toward the $30-trillion level, there is a … Read More
Whether Joe Biden is a traitor, or merely incompetent, will likely be judged in the future. Not our job. We don’t ask about blackmail, control files, and such. However, we have to call Kabulshit on the release of ANY names of Americans or Afghan workers who supported our efforts in the sand/rock box. NOC lists … Read More
Data, huh? Mean like the weekly unemployment claims and the GDP report, or the corporate profits report? Well, let’s take ’em one at a time, starting with U.I. filings: So does this mean things are really that good? No. Take up the question of people whose bennies have run out as a side discussion. Then there’s … Read More
Nature abhors a vacuum – and the Biden mess in Afghanistan is creating a huge one. With the Chinese having said – almost forever – that reunification with Taiwan will happen – the pending debacle still in the early stages of unfolding in the Middle East may offer China an unprecedented window of opportunity. Will … Read More
A short sit-rep because honestly, not much has changed overnight. A number of readers are worried about the Covid Confuserator so we’ll get a wrench after that, here in a sec. But first? Global Theater Review Let’s walk through a somewhat abbreviated “threat board” this morning because pre-holiday doldrums loom. Push Back Crash Worries to … Read More
Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator is just out. Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.53 in July from –0.01 in June. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in July, and three categories improved from June. The … Read More