RRBS? Yes. Domain-walker shorthand for “re-rolled bull shit.”
A sad but useful lesson is why we built a useful toolset, threw out ads, and began measuring coherence and not revenue at UrbanSurvival.
The Backstory: A reliable reader offered a link in our Comments section Sunday to an article to a low cred website which was making outlandish claims about how the U.S. is about to implode financially. Comment is here.
I took the time to explain in detail why this should be weighted as pure BS: My remarks are here.
Cramplified Spew
(I get brain cramps tracking story propagation like this…)
We know that hysteria can not only be contagious, but it also (paradoxically) can be an easy monetization among phone-facing apes.
The contagious part is clear when the (misread) get amplified on other sites. The incept point of this seems to be a Hal Turner website, then to The Guardian, from there onto Drudge.
People with actual high-level economics capacity aren’t buying it. One such example is Martin Armstrong who notes in a line at Japan – The Debt Crisis Coming Home | Armstrong Economics that the overhyped press is blowing smoke: “This is where the so-called analysts the press routinely quotes reveal just how little they understand.”
For our readers, the takeaway should be clear: Useful economic analysis may be scored on accuracy of predictions. The rest of the web? Well, that’s where the trouble lives.
As we have explained many times, the web is incapable of popularizing “Truth” because it’s all operation under our long-term Everything’s a business model framework. Attention-jacking victims are “quick to click” and that means revenue.
And that, kiddies, is why the web has become an echo chamber that must be handled with the same care you would apply to any other (social manipulation) experimental tools.
Oh, and like we told Peoplenomics readers early Saturday? Up was our call for today’s U.S. session and by-God there are the futures. Dow’s up almost 540. (bows)
In electronics (esp. older AM radio receivers) there is a circuit called the Automatic Noise Limiter (abbreviated ANL). There isn’t such a thing (except such as you self-design and implement) to clean passing noise spikes like this on the web.
Our advice? Score results not clicks.
News Compressor: ON
Another “It’s all coming to get us” area is AI. We shamelessly use whatever powertools are laying about, if we can increase our mental acuity with them. Which is how we came to deploy an AI army to keep lookout on the noise-laden web. Here is the current result benchmarked against our Sunday OSINT column:
1. What has changed is the conditional Iran pause now has a scheduled diplomatic event. Vector: Newly scheduled. President Trump said negotiations would begin Monday afternoon, although he did not disclose the location, participants, or deadline. The supplied baseline contained only a conditional pause while regional governments explored terms; the addition of an announced meeting turns the pause into a measurable diplomatic hinge. Iran has not publicly accepted the full U.S. description, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz remains unverified. The principal American consequence is that oil, gasoline, inflation expectations, military risk, and Monday’s markets now turn on whether the meeting occurs and produces even a limited framework.
2. Worse than expected — Spokane’s wildfire emergency has moved from threatened infrastructure into mass displacement and physical destruction. Approximately 60,000 people were ordered to evacuate, roughly 600 structures were reported burned, and about 10,000 customers remained without electricity. The supplied baseline described 4,000 threatened structures and evacuation of specific facilities; the new figures establish an urban-scale disaster rather than a narrowly threatened perimeter. No deaths or missing people had been reported at scan time. The principal American consequence is a major housing, utility, insurance, medical-support, and regional fire-resource burden.
3. Confirmed — the United States and Japan jointly intervened to buy yen. Japan and the United States confirmed Friday’s coordinated intervention, the first joint yen-buying operation since 2011. The yen strengthened by more than 1% to about 155.20 per dollar after recently trading near a 40-year low around 164, and Japanese officials signaled they would act again if necessary. This development was absent from the supplied baseline. The principal American consequence is that Treasury has crossed from verbal concern into direct foreign-exchange management, potentially affecting Treasury yields, Asian equities, import prices, carry trades, and global liquidity.
4. Escalating — water-system cyber intrusions have widened from two states into a multistate operational campaign. The FBI said utilities in at least seven states had reported related incidents, with some operators forced into manual operations after hackers changed passwords or degraded systems. The baseline contained more than 30 Minnesota targets and nine Michigan systems; the fresh change is national geographic spread and confirmed operational disruption. Attribution remains unconfirmed, and no broad contamination event has been established. The principal American consequence is that small municipal utilities with exposed industrial-control equipment are now demonstrably part of the national cyberattack surface.
Prediction-outcome coherence: The previous report’s de-escalation vector was directionally correct: a meeting has been announced and oil retreated sharply. It cannot yet be scored as fully confirmed because Iran has not publicly accepted the complete U.S. version and Hormuz reopening remains unverified.
Useful Modeling: Super Fires
Financial hysteria propagation is a waste of resources, from our view. Charles Mackay nailed most of it in Popular Delusions. Toss in Ponzi and the payload-free crypto hysteria and you’ve read a wide swath of economics.
Our focus has been on rereading Peshtigo. Which, in case you have forgotten, happened the same night in 1871 as the Great Chicago Fire, and was the largest of its kind to that time.
A theoretical “super fire” under extreme CONUS fuel loads, severe drought, and constrained firefighting water would function as a rapid landscape reset that strips protective vegetation and organic cover, then hands the system over to wind-driven erosion—producing a Dust Bowl–like regime, but accelerated and potentially deeper because modern water systems are already stressed.
Which matters because hacking attacks on water supplies are on the increase – so a fusing of elements (such as water supply hacking + drought-driven Super Fire potential) is showing up in our:
Inside Pages
(Collected by our AI surveillance of mass media.) This is where we seek deeply because most singular events are generally not life-altering. However event fusion is where dramatic shifts arise. In this list of articles getting traction, I have bolded the event convergence-related listings.
- Escalating — National wildfire activity reached 99 uncontained large fires with 27,934 personnel engaged and year-to-date acres exceeding 5.2 million, well above the 10-year average; Northwest remains at Preparedness Level 5.
- New — Oil prices dropped after the Iran strike pause announcement, with WTI futures reflecting the de-escalation signal.
- Confirmed — WestJet flight attendants strike suspended Canadian operations and cancelled hundreds of flights over a peak travel weekend; network take-down extended into early August.
- New — U.S. dollar weakened sharply against the yen after market interventions involving Trump administration and Japanese finance officials.
- Unchanged but consequential — National Interagency Fire Center reported moderate initial-attack activity (257 new fires) and critical fire weather continuing across northern Rockies, Great Basin, and Inland Northwest.
- New — Elon Musk’s xAI sued Minnesota over its first-in-the-nation law banning AI “nudification” technology; a federal judge allowed the law to take effect.
- Confirmed — Suspect identification and self-inflicted wound details closed the immediate threat phase of the Twin Falls shooting while investigation into motive continues.
- Escalating — Heat and extreme fire-weather conditions persisted across western and interior western states, compounding suppression difficulty.
- New — Jury findings in a landmark social-media addiction case held Instagram and YouTube liable in related reporting cycles (earlier verdicts continuing to shape platform liability discussions).
- Unchanged but consequential — Multiple states continue reporting water- and wastewater-system cyber probes; local operators maintained safe operations.
- New — Political developments included Republican efforts on Kansas Supreme Court selection and internal GOP friction over attorney-general related funding.
- Escalating — National fire year-to-date statistics (45,835 fires, >5.2 million acres) remain well above decadal averages, stretching national resource allocation.
- New — Canadian WestJet strike created cross-border travel disruption for U.S. passengers on Canadian routes during peak summer period.
- Confirmed — Spokane-area evacuations and structural losses elevated the Washington emergency from regional to national-resource priority.
- Unchanged but consequential — Strait of Hormuz remains contested in claims; U.S. insists it is open while Iranian statements emphasize control or approval requirements.
- New — Currency and equity market reactions to the Iran pause and Japanese intervention signals appeared in overnight trading.
- Escalating — Critical-to-extreme fire weather outlooks continued for Inland Northwest and Northern Rockies.
- New — Additional reporting on AI-generated non-consensual imagery regulation and First Amendment challenges.
- Unchanged but consequential — Domestic multi-fatality threshold events (Idaho) and large-scale evacuations remain priority under the casualty/disaster sweep protocol.
Event Fusion Analysis Note
When we see different aspects or attributes referenced multiple times on the “inside pages scan” we can begin “domain-walking” to understand the limits and consequences for planning.
That is the point of the exercise. A fire is a fire, a drought is a drought, and a water-system hack is a cyber nuisance—until they begin arriving on the same map at the same time. Then the arithmetic changes. Loss of water pressure impairs suppression, drought turns fuel into fuse, wind converts a regional emergency into a moving front, and stripped ground hands the aftermath to erosion, crop loss, insurance failure, migration, and municipal insolvency.
None of those outcomes requires conspiracy, prophecy, or financial hysteria. It requires only several individually manageable failures to overlap. That is why we watch the Inside Pages: not to count disasters, but to catch the moment when separate domains begin coupling into one larger machine.
History says the Super Fire is not hypothetical. “Super Fire” is our modeling term, not a formal historical category. Miramichi, Peshtigo, Hinckley and the Big Burn demonstrate that drought, accumulated fuel, multiple ignitions and extreme wind can fuse separate fires into a regional combustion system capable of destroying towns faster than organized suppression can react. San Francisco in 1906 adds the missing modern lesson: once water, communications and transportation fail together, fire stops being a forestry problem and becomes a systems-collapse mechanism.
The novelty today is not the fire. It is the number of electrically controlled, digitally exposed and mutually dependent systems now standing between ignition and successful suppression.
And the other novelty? The number of myopic clickers willing to hand over their attention.
Advanced Students of History
Forget attention-grabs like the Yen story. Chump change. Instead, study your fear-factor reactions to fires and earthquakes over time. There’s a lot to choose from in the historical record:
The 1906 San Francisco earthquake and fire did more than destroy a city—they set in motion a classic real-shock-to-monetary-aftershock sequence that helped produce the (Knickerbocker) Panic of 1907. Damage equaled roughly 1–1.5 percent of U.S. GNP. British and European insurers, heavily exposed, had to pay large claims and therefore sold American securities and pulled gold from New York. Scale modern fire fears to 1.5 percent of GDP as summer rolls out. That’s when you get to edge cases of standard derivative contracts and nonlinearity may follow…
The (SF Quake, 1906) capital outflows tightened U.S. money markets, forced the Bank of England to raise rates, and left the financial system already strained when speculative failures at the Knickerbocker Trust Company triggered runs in October 1907. In short, the earthquake’s insurance and gold flows drained liquidity months before the visible banking crisis, turning a regional disaster into a national monetary event and ultimately helping drive the reforms that produced the Federal Reserve.
Killing water targets isn’t just a Middle East risk exposure, following?
Planning Ahead – News Forecast
12–96 Hour Outlook
- Iran talks outcomes (Monday window extending 24–72 hours): 55% probability that a temporary Hormuz shipping arrangement or framework language is announced. Observable confirmation would be joint or sequential statements from U.S., Gulf partners, and Iran; failure would be renewed strike rhetoric or tanker incidents. Matters for oil, shipping insurance, and inflation expectations.
- Washington fire containment or expansion (next 48–96 hours): 40% probability that major Spokane-area fires achieve meaningful containment gains under current weather; higher wind or low RH would lower this. Matters for additional evacuations, structure loss, and federal resource requests.
- National fire resource strain (ongoing 12–96 hours): 70% probability that Preparedness Level 5 persists with new large fires reported. Confirmation via daily NIFC situation reports. Matters for mutual-aid availability nationwide.
- Oil price test (next 24–48 hours market opens): 60% probability that WTI remains below pre-pause levels if no new Hormuz disruption materializes. Observable via futures settlement. Matters for energy costs and inflation readings.
- Water-system cyber follow-on (next 72 hours): 45% probability of additional state or utility disclosures. Observable via FBI/CISA or state emergency management statements. Matters for critical-infrastructure defensive posture.
- WestJet strike resolution or extension (next 48–96 hours): 50% probability of tentative agreement or continued suspension beyond Aug. 5. Observable via union/company announcements. Matters for North American air travel and tourism flows.
- Severe weather or heat impacts outside the West (next 48 hours): 35% probability of significant additional eastern or central U.S. severe reports. Observable via SPC outlooks and local warnings.
Around the Ranch: Lowdown on Mow Down
You may be able to (topically) infer what I was doing Sunday:
- Keep around the house well-mowed.
- Work on a wildland fire plan.
- Pull brush within 100-300 feet of your home, depending on area.
- Shop for roof sprinklers if you don’t have metal roofing.
- Pre-plan escape and “fire evasion.”
- Keep an eye on wide forecasts in particular.
I have been super happy with my several Chapin 4697: Industrial High Flow Firefighter Style Garden Hose Nozzle, Classic Fireman Style Grip Nozzle with Threaded Garden Hose Connection, Adjustable Twist Nozzle, Up to 250 PSI, Red/Black for under $14 bucks on Amazon. We even got one for our neighbors…
Plus (with available time increasing from recent schedule changes here) the grab and go for critical data and docs is up to date.
And bookmark the Climate Prediction Center work of NOAA over here.
Lots to think about but for now, the lower Rockies look OK based on precip, but even there, can it firewall the breadbasket?
Write when you get rich,
George@Ure.net
LIFE..
“In flamimis”
Just another Symptom of mother Natures wrath, we bee in the “feeling out” stage, She is just getting started.
Were youse all not warned ?
Natural Disasters is whats for Dinna, Lunch and Breakfast.
Speaking of ignorance – I would luv to take other side of 55% none sense regards fake fakers fakery faking moar fake news regards hormuz shipping arrangement.
No negotiations, No meetings, just mental judo moves, and Iran bee going Pre-Emptive soonly. Haifa (kiddie pornographers’ capital) has been “Gazaed” and Tel-Aviv not far behind – wonder why western press doesn’t show any of this ? Same reason no news, vids, pics coming out of targeted US base locations in ME.
* Not bad way to Die, in a hypersonic missile Strike. You hear a whooshing sound, BOOM,FLASH – fade to black…… Sure beats the shit out of dying from Cancer or some other gruesome neuro disease.
HiHo Major Kong ! -https://youtu.be/snTaSJk0n_Y?
What’s what with the Suez quake?
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000thpb/executive
M 5.0 – 36 km NNE of Suez, Egypt
2026-08-03 00:00:33 (UTC)30.292°N 32.627°E10.0 km depth
I’m wonder foreshock quack?
Vic
“Were youse all not warned ?
Natural Disasters is whats for Dinna, Lunch and Breakfast.”
And let’s not forget the Un-natural disasters on the menu
now too, like microplastics in the food chain.
“Sapiens” my arse!
Correcting the order of operations here tbs, FLASH,BOOM,then that wooshing sound after the arrival before it.
give us a shot of gin brother .
How did you know ?
pretty dam close – good enough for Horseshoes..
T&T’s for the win !
Think Ms Winehouse said it best…”hold on to that mic stand Baby, dont want you fallin down on stage”…https://youtu.be/bXAVIzSP4bI?
https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/westjet-strike-ends-tentative-agreement-cabin-crew
inanity is the biggest outcome of AI . university studies have shown , hallucinations and severe cognitive decline . delusional .
now he was a money launderer. this is a joke . its a bloody speak easy alright . rally eh G ? crooks . and i found the biggest gin joint . my god
Hmmm…Chec republic believes Russia moves west on/about Sept…. SPR oil reserve stops on/about 2nd week Aug. Iran says no go on negotiations. Trump says yes. S Korea stocks down 30%, China about 10%. Std is recession at 10%? No word on crops. Democrats may pick up 6 seats in Senate Nov. Should anyone be concerned?
Enter BIGU or not to BIGU ?
For this is the question that needs an answer prior too undertaking.
why ?
You need a Master’s guidance to handle the ALL NRG that comes with enter ing into and staying in a state of Bigu.
An echo out there – ‘America has suffered a strategic defeat against Iran’
What a disgrace.
Using A.I. tools someone should make an Apprentice style video of Trump firing Trump.
On the other hand buy Trump merch while it’s cheap. Trump Bibles, Trump NFTs, Trumpy Bears… buy now before they’re gone.
NextEra Energy is developing a $16 billion natural gas-fired power generation hub in rural Anderson County, Texas, capable of generating 5.2 GW of power to support future data center and advanced manufacturing demand. This project is part of a $550 billion U.S.-Japan strategic investment agreement and will be jointly owned by the U.S. and Japanese governments, with Comstock Resources supplying the natural gas.
While the power infrastructure is approved, Anderson County officials are actively managing potential development through regulatory measures. The county launched a petition to pause data center developments until May 31, 2026, citing concerns over water usage from sources like Lake Palestine and the Neches River. Additionally, the county is amending its Zoning Resolution to establish performance standards for data centers and crypto-mining facilities, though officials state there are currently no specific data center projects planned or under construction in the unincorporated area.
Spokane is burning!
“Spokane County Emergency Management describes the emergency as “Level 3: Go, Leave Now, Leave Immediately!”
“Officials said 60,000 people within Spokane city limits have been evacuated. Spokane County Fire District 3 Fire Chief Cody Rohrbach said 640 structures were destroyed in the Old Trails Fire alone.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/washington-state-wildfires-trigger-mass-evacuations-emergency-declaration
Enbridge’s Line 5 (pipeline to be constructed under Lake MI) struck down by MI Supreme Court:
https://apnews.com/article/enbridge-pipeline-michigan-supreme-court-0c2dead99a24b512ce09cb442229e3d1
‘Opponents of the pipeline say this type of project has never been done anywhere else and would turn the Straits of Mackinac, which is a sacred site for the Indigenous Anishinaabe tribes, into a construction site for years.
“Whether Line 5 is suspended in the water or encased in a tunnel, it is simply a terrible idea to pump more than half a million barrels of oil every day through the middle of the Great Lakes,” attorney David Gover with the Native American Rights Fund said in a statement.’
https://www.sierraclub.org/michigan/kalamazoo-river-disaster
‘The July 25, 2010 Kalamazoo River Disaster caused by Enbridge Energy’s broken pipeline is the biggest inland oil spill in U.S. history. ‘
The CURRENT Pipeline under the Straits is laid on the floor of the Straits, slightly elevated, and CURRENTLY CARRIES MORE THAN 1/2 million barrels day. That current pipeline is now carrying close to 1 million barrels a day with the pumping station upgrades along the pipeline that are now completed. (the 500,000 b/d was the OLD capacity of the pipeline when the litigation started … NOT what it is currently carrying)
The “tunnel” was so as to put the pipeline inside the tunnel UNDER the bottom of the Straits so that anchors and boats could not damage it and cause a spill. If it broke inside the tunnel the tunnel itself would contain the spilled oil.
Embridge was supposed to finish building that tunnel almost 15 years ago as I recall but has delayed delayed delayed building it because they don’t want to pay the cost.
The current pipeline has been hit and slightly damaged several times over the decades from ship anchors (remember Great Lake freighters are up to the size and weight of aircraft carries), thankfully it has never been broken such as to spill oil but a very important item to keep in mind is that it takes over 80 years for Lake Michigan to “flush itself out” (one turn – Huron is less) so any spill into the water of that part of the Great Lakes will linger FOR DECADES, it will NOT be washed away even in a decade.
What the Michigan Supreme Court has done is give Enbridge’s CURRENT above the floor of the Straits pipeline another at least 10 years, probably 15, and maybe 20 years of use before they have to do anything about it or shut it down!! (the tunnel construction from where they stopped about 15 years ago was last estimated to be able to be completed in about 3 years, 2 years if they pushed the construction since construction had already been started)
Sure the Indians don’t want the pipeline at all, but it is NOT going away since it is a critical pipeline for providing the oil needed for refining not just at Sarnia Ontario but also at the mid Michigan Total refinery and the big capacity Sun refinery in Toledo Ohio. (there may also be one that it feeds in the Detroit area, not sure unless I look at my refinery list).
This is NOT a WIN for environmentalists. IT IS A LOSS. It is exactly what Enbridge WANTED TO HAPPEN.
This ruling saves Enbridge the Billion or so dollars that they would have to spend to finish the tunnel that they started building 20 years ago AND LEAVES THE GREAT LAKES AT RISK FOR A MAJOR OIL SPILL!!
S2, Thx for filling in the missing parts of the story! Let me add the ‘Big Picture’ lol!
Trump bows down to the Saudi Sultans but throws Canada under the bus, can Trump’s oil/foreign relations get any worse?
U.S. now imports 61% of it’s crude oil from Canada:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenroberts/2026/04/22/canada-responsible-for-a-record-61-of-us-oil-imports-in-2025/
‘Even though U.S. imports from the largest Middle Eastern nations have been sharply curbed over the years, it appears that does not preclude Americans from feeling the pinch of oil being blocked from departing through the Strait of Hormuz, largely bound for Asia. Canada has been the No. 1 source of U.S. oil imports since 2005, when Venezuela ranked first, but in years prior, it had been Saudi Arabia.
(Our home grown oil goes elsewhere, since our refineries are mostly equipped for ‘heavy crude’, not the ‘light crude’. that U.S. has to ship elsewhere for refinement.)
‘The Netherlands, South Korea and, well, Canada, now account for 44% of U.S. oil exports. Prior to the U.S. trade war with China, China briefly accounted for just under 20% of U.S. oil exports. All four countries can handle lighter crude as newer processing plants are better equipped to handle multiple grades.
Canada’s oil matters, even as overall trade between the two nations has decreased. It keeps U.S. refineries running and gas prices in check, particularly critical now as Middle East conflict squeezes global supply through the Strait of Hormuz. ‘
Imagine Iranians attacking Big Water by cracking that pipe. Out of sight out of mind is how it works.
Water System Attacks:
After all the attacks on all sorts of entities, often with ransom demanded, over the last 3 years WHY would any water system have any part of their Water Systems connected to the Internet? Seems like a FAILURE OF MANAGEMENT more than anything else to me.
Time for those in management to WAKE UP and get rid of the Internet in any way, shape or form, being able to have access to their operating systems.
Sheesh … The laziness of govenment employees at just watching the news for using their brains a bit shows up AGAIN. No matter how many news programs have run on the national news about systems from government entities to private entities being hacked (and there have been a LOT) those people still just don’t get it.
Take the matches and gasoline away from where the little kids can get them guys!!
“The novelty today is not the fire. It is the number of electrically controlled, digitally exposed and mutually dependent systems now standing between ignition and successful suppression.”
But how do you trust the electrically controlled system when electricity
itself can be a source of ignition? Ain’t that like the fox guarding the
hen house? Oh, and humans themselves have been known to spontaneously combust you know.
I think PG&E spent a few billion answering that out NorCal way in recent years.
Lol lol lol… I knew a guy that way back bought a couple thousand dollars of Proctor and gamble stock when it was just starting to sell stocks for pennies… he lined his dresser drawers with them thought they were worthless..
It ALL screams get floating more and more every day.
The wet desert is truly the safe zone.
That’s all.
Stiks
I don’t know Stiks – is it a Southern Hemisphere thing? me in Perth and you on the other side.
only wish I could cast off from all the madness.
mass psychosis, soulless AI babble, the only thing I trust is the sky, wind, sun and stars…
So, nowhere near Lightening Ridge ?
Black potch on Opal = GOLD!
I watch Justin over on Blackopaldirect on Youtube, never miss an episode. Rough Opal is tres Difficult to cut and polish, done right one small stone could be worth THOUSANDS, not done right..worthless.
Justin maybe the most talented Opal cutter I have ever seen…MAD SKILLETS this Aussie, plus he knows how to have Fun.
His Son has started to integrate into the channel/business, and is a ton of fun watching new generation “learn the ropes”.
Deep subject today George…… The Hal Turner article points at something people often misunderstand….most imagine a sudden collapse, but in my mind that’s not how monetary systems fail. Like every other failed civilization, they erode slowly when the underlying economy stops supporting them. What concerns me isn’t the dollar disappearing — it’s the pattern we’re repeating that every other failed country has already gone through.
Inflation has been rising far faster than wages…( I for one was better off at four dollars an hour than I am today) In just a short period, housing costs have outpaced income for an entire generation…. Meanwhile, federal spending continues to exceed revenue year after year…. Add in the enormous cost of global military commitments, and we’re recreating the same structural imbalance that damaged countries like Zimbabwe, Argentina, and Greece.
Their currencies didn’t fail overnight. They weakened because governments spent more than they earned, debt grew faster than GDP, and everyday life became unaffordable for ordinary people. The U.S. isn’t collapsing, but it is drifting in that direction — not because of a memo or a dramatic headline (that’s just doom?porn), but because of long term fiscal mismanagement and political gridlock… ( hell doge discovered them giving huge amounts of revenue to an empty building on a program that had been discontinued in the late sixtie) It’s going to make for an interesting future. The bubble we’re in will eventually burst or break..lets face it if an essential service goes up fifty dollars a month and your wage didn’t then you have to either cut back..or like most that I know are using plastic to compensate…. As long as faith in fiat currency exists, it will continue to be valued — it’s simply a money game…numbers generaged..as prices go up and the value goes down..if the interest doesn’t meet the savings proportional to the falling value those with huge numbers are basically losing capital..
The danger isn’t the end of fiat currency. The slow devaluation that makes life harder for the people who rely on the system the most. Right now, plastic is what’s keeping a lot of people’s heads above water — but once the plastic is maxed out, the real issues… begins…. Now I’m no accountant..the numbers I have is probably coffee break spending.. but from the bottom I see there is a very interesting future ahead.. a failing infrastructure.. mismanagement of capital spending more and neglecting the needs of the average wave earner..
Pg&e fought a couple of fire issues as i recall
1) Santa anna Los Angeles winds moved north. So strong power lines touched each other and arced to-ground causing fires
2) santa anna winds vertical friction created dry lightning creating fires
3) normal storms lightning didn’t help
4) firecrackers. Dumb kids. Shooting rocks.
All blamed on 1)
Drought, wind, and breakdown in water supply will lead to more fire. Leftist firebugs on every corner provide for reliable ignition. Haven’t seen piles of tinder being dumped at regular intervals like I have in prior election years, but I’m watching.
“like we told Peoplenomics readers early Saturday? Up was our call for today’s U.S. session and by-God there are the futures. Dow’s up almost 540. (bows)”
you’ve totally lost it George. the Grifter-in-Chief is orchestrating the markets. attack Iran – market tanks. pause for negotiations – market rebounds. you take a bow???? for stating the bleeding obvious?
take some time off – no posting – no eyes glued on the dopamine screen – rest and recalibrate.
you were tracking traffic to your site and making all kinds of wild-eyed extrapolations just like corps tracking eyes on screens. you try to spin that as interest in the markets, interest in your offerings. maybe a big NO to that. some people just like to read the comments as a way of connection and story-telling.
have you ever considered the skewed perception from living as a hermit in the woods?
Yup. Still bowing.
You are correct that the immediate mechanism was not mysterious: escalation with Iran increased oil and market risk; the negotiation pause reduced both. Explaining that after it happens is easy.
The relevant point is that we told Peoplenomics readers early Saturday that the next major move would be up—before Monday’s session and before the futures were showing it. When I wrote the bow line, the Dow was up about 540 points. It has since added roughly another 900 points. That does not make me infallible, but it does mean the directional call was right.
—
For context, this commenter does not appear to be a Peoplenomics subscriber. He therefore did not see the Saturday call when it was published—or the 40-plus pages of chart work and market discussion behind it.
—
Your point about site traffic is fair in one respect: people visit for many reasons. Some come for markets, some for the articles, and some mainly for the comments and sense of community. I have never claimed every page view represents a market signal. I look for correlations, test them, and sometimes find something useful; other times the relationship disappears.
As for being a hermit in the woods: rural isolation can certainly skew perspective. So can living inside Washington, Wall Street, academia, television news, or social media. Every observation post has blind spots. Mine happens to have pine trees, antennas, tractors—and a market forecast that was on the right side of nearly 1,500 Dow points.
Criticism of the call is welcome. Diagnosing my mental health because you dislike the bow is less persuasive.
Still bowing—but now with one eye on the exit.