Housing Report: Dates Matter

Case-Shiller, S&P, CoreLogic Housing report is just out.  And like we told you, be ready for useful data, but from a little way back on the calendar because it takes so long for sales to close and deals to be done. “NEW YORK, AUGUST 30, 2022: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the … Read More

Holiday Rally Pressure – Home Sales Data Ahead

Reader note:  We will post the Case-Shiller housing data about 8:15 – so more to come today. We are back into the pre-holiday mindset now, what with the start of the Labor Day weekend just ahead. Yet the period is not without concerns:  Taiwan will experience some of the better military invasion tides of the … Read More

Reliving 1929: Scariest Chart – Ever!

We’ll get right to the chart our Peoplenomics.com subscribers see updated twice a week. This is based on work we have doggedly pursued since 2000 when the Internet Bubble was imploding.  After which, a funny thing happened.  The stock-sellers on Wall Street simply glossed over $5-7 TRILLION in losses.  The bait-and-switchers began talking about “blue chips” … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Ham Antenna Mystery, Winter Preps

Ever have one of those “little things go wrong” that turns into a massive time-sink?  One such “quick fix” bit me on the behind this week and as soon as this morning’s column is done, I’ll be back after it. Ham Antenna School I won’t try to explain the ARRL’s Antenna Handbook – because honestly, most 4-year … Read More

Listening for the Tumblers

Trying to “crack the safe” in the investment world, are you?  Years ago, an outfit that made saw-sharpening and locksmithing gear, Foley-Belsaw – had a dandy locksmithing course. Turned out, it was a lot more feel and less touch than cartoons had made it seem to a young feller. Point is, in really unlocking investments, … Read More

Transitory Madness: Trade and Dim Prospects

C.O.M.S.   (Crazy old man story – a nice wrap-up of the week.) Elaine and I watched a marvelous doc on Netflix last night about “How Cat’s Think.”  Well worth Ure’s time. Especially because Elaine calls me The Dog (all men really are dogs, after all).  And I call her The Cat (lithe, graceful, slinky and quiet…).  … Read More

Game Point Rally, GDP Omen, 2-Face Kids, Biden Lies Again

Not going to spend a lot of time on flowery wordsmithing today.  Instead, how about a little more direct – in Ure face – analysis? Game Point Rally As we postulated, Tuesday was the beginning of the market turn around.  However, the turn did not hold, so after climbing about a hundred Dow points during … Read More

Outlook from the ’29 Replay Model

Odds appear to be increasing that we are entering the larger Wave 3 down in markets.  Not that we won’t rally first; of course we will. But consider where our Aggregate Index work was on November 8, 2021:  41,953.86 .  Based on the close Tuesday, it had rallied from a low of 30,870.04 June 16th … Read More

Turnaround Tuesday? Half Off by Christmas

My consigliere called Monday.  Up scouting the slopes at Beaver Creek in Colorado.  Forgot to ask if he was wearing a gray Fedora with a black band. The reason for the call?  Most people – when you give them a set of numbers, and ask for a chart, will promptly open Excel and build a chart.  Others … Read More

Multi-War (WW III): Gold Going, Winds of War, CFNAI

We call it the Muli-War.  A War Over Everything.  WOE. It’s clicking into place even now.  No longer merely a World War (now passe!) the Multi-War extends into cyberspace, food and water supplies, space, and even the partialverse. Social Media’s in on it…hell, everything is in play. Everyone is winning and losing – all in … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Knowledge Preservation, Prepping

Good news – and bad – about those couple of old, tired, worn-out laptops here.  The good news is they are all screaming fast. Linux does that. The bad is they have forced me to look again – somewhat realistically – at the odds of the Internet going down within the next three years. As … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Egg Cartons and Solvent Selection

Last weekend’s column – the part about the Chinese sailboat build?  Well, that led to me mixing up another batch of Durham’s Rock-Hard Water Putty.  And that – in turn – had sent me sneaking into the kitchen. Elaine and I have very different ideas on recycling certain food containers.  She looks at everything as a … Read More

A Macroprudential Paradox

Every time a Bubble arises, supporters of the “new paradigm” argue that somehow “This time it’s different.“    The data says it hasn’t been different yet. One of these days that may be true.  However, we have come up with a method by which similarities may become clear between non-equivalent markets with wide temporal separation. Which … Read More