Coping: Our Lost Sense of Adventure

We’ve been kicking around an interesting conversation over dinner the past few days:  What is our next big adventure in life?  This being a 3 1/2 day workweek for most, why not work a bit on the play calculations, right?

Sure we’re old,  and yeah, we agree that dying is an adventure, no doubt.  But, there’s just so much else to do before the time comes for that…let’s have some fun!

If you haven’t seen it, one of my “mandatory videos” for people over 50 is to watch is “The Bucket List” starring Morgan Freeman and Jack Nicholson – great acting, fine message.

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There are also an assortment of books on point.  One of them made it to my “maybe” list: The Bucket List: 1000 Adventures Big & Small.

The problem we have is that between us, we’ve “been there” and “done that” for the most part.

We’ve lived in three corners of the country (Seattle, San Diego, and south Florida), sailed extensively (Vancouver Island to San Diego), flown multiple trans-cons in our own plane, and lived in tiny spaces (ever live for a long time on a 40-foot boat?) and big spaces (1.2-million square feet of land out here)…so it isn’t like we’ve been sheltered.

Elaine likes the “faster” big city life, but with today’s crazies?  Uh….   Her tastes run to fine restaurants and the type of discos she was queen of in the 1970’s and 80’s.  Sadly, that world is gone.  People don’t “go out for drinks” much any more.  Too much risk, too many cops, and besides, it’s not really good for you.  Want a crooked waiter to swipe your MasterCard?  No thanks.  Happens when we travel…

Those Disco Days were like a “once in a lifetime” era.  Today, when we go out, I have exactly one glass of wine.  E might have two…but, when comes to it, we’re been there, done that.

Same thing when comes to hobbies:  I still love writing, ham radio, oddball physics, running the tractor, and making things in the shop.  Cut it, weld it, that’s my game.

Elaine’s worn-out the idea of sewing.  As she explained it, once you have been in the mode of “I’ll just go home and sew a new suit for dinner tonight…” (and she has), then what?

That’s one of those skills that ruin other pursuits, like shopping.  When E comes home from shopping and regularly says  “Most clothes today are crap…” I take that as Gospel.

She’s exactly right.  Let’s see: Bloom of shopping, disco, shopping…what’s left?

Sure, we kick over some of the ‘standard’ old-people’s pastimes:  Going on a cruise.  But we lived on a boat, so getting on a bigger boat isn’t a particular thrill.  For the most part, people on cruises have dumbed-down and dressed-down the experience.  (Did I mention, Fashion is dead?

The last cruise we were on, there was only one “formal” (or at least dark suit) dinner.  Rest of the time we opted for the (reservations required) optional on-ship specialty restaurants

Problem with these is that you can take a $2,000 per person cruise in a nice balcony or suite and turn it into a $3,500 per person cruise with not much effort.  Elaine’s trip to the salon?  Don’t ask, but she doesn’t look as good in straightened hair, lol.

What’s a $40 steak on a cruise ship is a $14 filet from the local store and I know the cook personally.

Several of our friends are into camping.  I’ve done so much camping that even with a trailer (or RV) it doesn’t seem to be “relaxing.”

If you have a trailer,  now you have to drag something around…so now you need a truck.  Bigger the trailer, bigger the truck.  Then there are surge brakes and then electric…and you start down some of these “complexity slides” and there’s no telling if you’ll ever get to the bottom of it all before bankruptcy overtakes.

My buddy the major has a nice 20-foot bumper-pull.  High-end, fiberglass. The one thing I keep forgetting to ask him is “How much ‘adventure’ is there to emptying the Port-a-Potty?”  We’ve been friends long enough I don’t think I’ll ask.

Elaine’s run the numbers: At $200/room night at a Hilton, a $150K pusher with slides is 750 nights (not counting Honors points) and who’s feeding the cat back home that long?

I talked to Elaine about an RV, but she did a trip with her dad (years back) from Seattle  to Phoenix.  Nice for making sandwiches and pulling over to pea when needed.  But a bugger to drive and they do suck down the gas.

God help you if something serious fails and you need a tow.  Boaters have the same nightmare – only that one involves oil slicks and EPA fines…

E’s idea of adventure (and I’ve come around to her way of thinking) is to use up some of our Honors points on a trip.

But where?

We love the Rockies (Telluride to Durango is a marvelous fall drive) but too late to get through there and have any fingernails left.

We both want to walk and climb a bit in Chaco Canyon.  Good Wiki entry on it here.  Getting late in the season and it’s cold up there now.

I suggested we might both have “location lists” we might want to visit for our upcoming writings.  Problem is that some of the locations require a lot of planning.

Take Las Vegas:  It will be too cold shortly, if memory serves. Unless you wanted all the scenes to be in the underground mall area at Ceasars, I suppose.

Might work for a trip because we could swing through Payson and see friends and offspring.  Maybe in March, then.

I’ve always wants to spend some time up in Wisconsin and Minnesota.  I think that was drummed into me with the Hamm’s Beer commercials…”…from the land of sky blue waters….Hamm’s the beer refreshing…Hamm’s beer…”

(If you don’t remember Hamm’s, or you’re under 50, click here to see what black and white commercials were like ‘back in the day.”)

Point is, that’s a summertime escape and even then huge mosquitos are an issue.  Sometimes the anti-aircraft guns take them down, but a lot of ’em get through the AA, Deet, and flak.

I have been around Elaine to take this “comfort traveling stuff” seriously.  The older we get the more comfort matters, too.

One of our adventure ideas is to take Amtrak somewhere.  But I don’t know if they have internet onboard yet.  You know how government projects run, lol.

We have friends from out in the Bay area who love to travel that way….so it’s on our list.  But no internet?  HA!….try to keep up with what century this is, please.  There’s a world outside the NE liberal corridor and we need communications, too.

GII (my son) has been trying to coax me into a tandem skydive.  But, seriously, I’ve done my “sky time” for this go-round.  Though bulldozing a runway for an ultralight keeps whirring through my head.  So does building a kit plane, but I don’t trust my welding.  I’m fair, but at 5-thousand feet hanging on my own welding?  Err…even with fresh shielding gas….err….

I mentioned plans to put in the Cottonmouth Golf and Country Club.  Nothing more than a sign and a half-dozen plastic coffee cans as holes, but that has great promise.

On the other hand, just in the past few days, a super “Texas Off-Road Golf Cart” came to me.  It would be made out of 5/8th’s rebar, three hunks of 4″ PVC pipe, and it would have 10-inch pneumatic wheels on it.  You can find those on Harbor Freight on sale every so often.  Might have a sliding tractor weight, too, for balance.

Since HF also has specials on 6-horsepower gas engines,  and a go-kart clutch is cheap enough, I’ve been thinking about a self-propelled “OffRoadGolf” machine.

I don’t know if you remember the old Gravely tractors?

They had about a 9-horse Wisconsin engine on them, and a couple of 18-inch, or so, tractor tires.  It was a 2-wheeled machine, but then people put a hitch on them and presto!  Small off-road vehicle for ranch and garden.

That got me to dreaming about this “off road golf” machine.  Eventually, I woke up.

Elaine’s been given the task of figuring our next “adventure travel” and when she gets to an answer, I’ll pass it along.  Brother-in-law is in the wings for guard duty at the homestead…so now it’s just figuring out where to go.  (People have been telling me to go to hell for years, but I can’t find any deals or discounts, so that will have to wait.)

Neither one of us thinks much of air travel anymore.  Elaine, especially, isn’t interested in being groped.  I’ve been writing clever quips just in case an airplane trip and TSA lines are what she settles on.

Best one so far is:

Hey, you trying to be a Hollywood film star or producer?”

Or, I might try “Are you asking me out?” but too many Tasers and not enough lawyers handy to try that one.

Is there a point – while I try to line up an organic turkey for you know what?  Not only has our sense of adventure in America dropped to the belt level, so has our humor.

Is there maybe another planet we could try?

Write when you get rich,

George@ure.net

Scenarios for the Future

We take some time this morning to look at crypto currencies, the future of autos, and where gold may go.

These are all topics of immediate concern to subscribers…but first a few headlines and a look at the charts.  Which, as we expected, ended the week in the U.S. right on our 9-day moving averages…

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Fed Moderates, Bitcoin Brightens, Markets Ponder

We need to go over three charts this morning because somewhere in them, there’s a message, but damned if I can figure out what it is just yet.

The three charts are the M2-Velocity of Money.  This one says, in so many words, how often money is “turned over” during the year.  The second chart updates our comments of Thursday because it now looks like (at a minimum) Bitcoin is setting a new higher-high and that brings either another stunning up-move, or at a minimum a huge head-and shoulders peak.

The third chart is where the stock market sits.  While yesterday was a “smoker” of a rally (and a finely sprung bear trap) we note the Fed has backed off the manic creation of money – and that argues that they will try to time (arb’ing up) the rates in January (*or so) when the possibility of some tax changes comings along.  That’s something of a long-shot, given what the Senate is looking likes – and that get’s us into a discussion of how both political parties turn out to have their own skeletons in the closet – some of which will talk – and some will talk for money.  Sleeves rolled up?

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So here are the charts and discussion starting with Velocity:

The Velocity of Money at M2 essentially explains how much money is in “real circulation” in America.  In  other words, you can print money all day long and if the money isn’t turning over – and in the process chasing goods and service – then you will NOT have inflation.

We know from looking at the latest Fed H.6 money stocks report that the Fed has dialed back a bit at M1 in the latest reporting period.  So that may prevent the stock market from getting too manic in here.  Also, when the Fed eases a bit at the printing press, it will result in a slow increase in the “cost of money” – which is why interest rates in here should firm and move a bit higher.

In the meantime, the Fed is trying to sell off sacks of troubled assets it bought in the wake of the Housing disaster – and when these are sold-back to investors, then the Fed will be ready for another crisis.

We don’t honestly anticipate the Big One (depression) to really get organized until mid next year.  We note the departure of three top Fed officials will be done by then, and a new round of Fed management will have been installed.  That will give the current round time to get to the rocking chairs before “the music stops.”

When it does, there comes to be a “perfect storm” of Wave 5 – the all-time final blow-off setting up.  It would come in the fall of 2018 when the oil glut is gone and we move into that horrible period of more demand than available production.  At that point, auto and travel in general/use will collapse.  Might be a fine time to short the hotel stocks and such.

On the other hand, since oil is out of favor right now, putting a few dollars into oil companies that have the largest proven reserves might be an interesting strategy – but more on that for Peoplenomics.com subscribers.  This is the “cheap seat in the bleachers” version, lol.

Next chart?

Driver?  See: Fork talk lifts bitcoin to all-time high near $8,000

In yesterday’s report, we were speculating on how low Bitcoin could go IF there was no quick, sustained up-move.  Specifically, what I said was:

The good news is there is still a count where what I have labeled wave 1 up on the left there doesn’t count and we need to look as a different count starting with the bottom of wave 2.  This underscores one of the weaknesses of Elliott in irregular markets.

So, this morning for your dining and dancing pleasure, we have the Bitcoin chart updated to show the break *(at least momentarily) to higher prices.

I also included the high and low lines for Wave 1 up, applied them so you can see how Wave 3 met the Elliott test of “larger than 1” and then, from the bottom (for now) of 4, we offer than since under Elliott, wave 5 must be at least as large as 1, then we can begin to sniff around the $9,500 Bitcoin dollar spread.

I know that’s going to make coiners deliriously happy…

Then we’re on to stocks.  Again, this is one of the charts updated for Peoiplenomics.com subscribers that we usually don’t share with the bleacher seats, but we note that the manic (bear-killer) rally of Thursday did NOT put a new all-time high into our Aggregate Index approach to markets.

What it did do, however, was generate a close above the red line, which is a 9- moving average.  We will have this all updated tomorrow on the subscriber side because it’s axiomatic in our work that it’s pretty damn tough to make a real “call” on market trends until the Hot Money has called it quits for the week and has their money back safely in banks and longer-term positions for the weekend.   

Then, the silliness will get underway again next week.  But for next week, we actually EXPECT the market could move higher because that’s what holidays tend to bring:  rallies in stocks.

For today, World stocks claw back losses but set for second weekly fall.

Turkey Day rallies are not usually as robust as the Santa Claus rallies that come next month.  One reason those tend to really “get legs” is that a lot of upper echelon Wall Streeters have their bonuses based on December levels and performances for the year.  The higher the better.

Expect a possible adjustment in late winter as prices could go down (thinking in terms of a macro-trend wave 4 down) to set up the all time high which would be a monster wave 5 which would bring the huge rally in oil, and gold, and another real estate bubble kind of top.

For now, the country has a shorter term set of problems:  The price of real estate in some of the especially bubbly markets seems to be softening a bit.  Elaine and I have been watching Seattle and Phoenix closely.  And then there’s the problem of consumer super-saturation.  That’s the “what’s left to buy that we actually need that’s out there?

Answer all of these correctly, figure how to lever them all to the max and good luck.

Our stated goal in life has been, and continues to be, to invest with the idea of better inflation by a fair bit and we continue to meet that objective.  Overly cautious at times, no doubt.

But that’s why young people can “take a flyer” on something like Bitcoins – because if they drop to nearly zero it doesn’t matter if you still have 30-years of work life ahead to recoup the loss and go on to more rational investments.  But the world is changing and more on that for subscribers tomorrow…

Sexatics

Let me see if I have this right:  If a republican – like Roy Moore – is taken out of a race because of allegations of chasing after under4-aged girls, how come the Washington Post is rolling with a liberal apologist piece when democrat Al Franken is the poser in the photogs?

Yet there it is for you, another case of liberals defending their own in “I’m a feminist. I study rape culture. And I don’t want Al Franken to resign.”

I’m a normal senior male, I study liberal issue-manipulation, and I DO want Franken to resign.

The democrats have a “double-standard” take-out window.  Which is why Uranium One is still not being probed.  Teflon spray, perhaps?

Or not as “Bill Clinton Should Have Resigned After Monica Lewinsky Affair, Democratic Senator Says.”  Amen.

Giving Head?

No, not a sex story.  Instead this is about how the “World’s first human head transplant successfully carried out.”

(You didn’t really think we would blow our PG-rating, did you?)

Passings

Sicilian Mob Boss Salvatore ‘Toto’ Riina Has Died While Serving 26 Life Sentences.

“Totò is another nickname for “Salvatore”), was an Italian mobster and the chief of the Sicilian Mafia, known for a ruthless murder campaign that reached a peak in the early ’90s, when the deaths of Antimafia Commission prosecutors Giovanni Falcone and Paolo Borsellino caused widespread public revulsion and led to a major crackdown by the authorities. He was also known by the nicknames la belva (“the beast”) and il capo dei capi (Sicilian: ‘u capu di ‘i capi, “the boss of the bosses”),” says Wikipedia.

The Sicilian mob also has its own 10 Commandments:

  1. No one can present himself directly to another of our friends. There must be a third person to do it.
  2. Never look at the wives of friends.
  3. Never be seen with cops.
  4. Don’t go to pubs and clubs.
  5. Always being available for Cosa Nostra is a duty – even if your wife is about to give birth.
  6. Appointments must absolutely be respected. (probably refers to formal rank and authority.)[134]
  7. Wives must be treated with respect.
  8. When asked for any information, the answer must be the truth.
  9. Money cannot be appropriated if it belongs to others or to other families
  10. People who can’t be part of Cosa Nostra: anyone who has a close relative in the police, anyone with a two-timing relative in the family, anyone who behaves badly and doesn’t hold to moral values.

Just so’a you know.

The passing of Toto, however, doesn’t impact the operations of other Italian mobs and the Ndragnheta in  particular:

The ‘Ndràngheta (Italian pronunciation: [(n)?dra??eta])[2] is an organized crime group centered in Calabria, Italy. Despite not being as famous abroad as the Sicilian Mafia, and having been considered more rural than the Neapolitan Camorra and the Apulian Sacra Corona Unita, the ‘Ndrangheta became the most powerful crime syndicate in Italy in the late 1990s and early 2000s. While commonly tied together with the Sicilian Mafia, the ‘Ndrangheta operates independently from them, though there is contact between the two, due to the geographical proximity and shared culture and language between Calabria and Sicily. A US diplomat estimated that the organization’s narcotics trafficking, extortion and money laundering activities accounted for at least 3% of Italy’s GDP in 2010.[3] Since the 1950s, the organization has spread towards Northern Italy and worldwide. According to a 2013 “Threat Assessment on Italian Organised Crime” of Europol, the ‘Ndrangheta is among the richest and most powerful organised crime groups at a global level.[4]

Now you understand a bit more about how The Network operates…

Las Vegas Leftovers…

Speaking of conspiracies and such…

While the change in command of Saudi Arabia has been making headlines, watch the video over here on YouTube because it lays out how the LV Shooting may have been fallout from a failed attempt to kill the incoming crown prince of Saudi Arabia.

Videos like this one, imply that the alleged shooter, may have been working for the US FedGov.

Which, brings into focus the idea that some of the “soon to be removed” princes at the time may have gotten wind of the pending changes in Saudi and planned the “hit” in LV.

When that went south, a mass shooting ensued to “cover up” the failed attempt on the crown prince.

It makes for “who done it?” conversation at the Thanksgiving table.  Gone are the days about talking about uncle Herman, eh?

To rejoin the games in play, click Saudi offer in corruption crackdown: ‘cough up the cash and go home’ and then Saudi Arabia Faces Pressure To End Blockade As Crisis Worsens In Yemen.

Just Out: Housing Starts:

Privately-owned housing starts in October were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,290,000. This is 13.7 percent (±10.5 percent) above the revised September estimate of 1,135,000, but is 2.9 percent (±10.1 percent)* below the October 2016 rate of 1,328,000. Single-family housing starts in October were at a rate of 877,000; this is 5.3 percent (±12.1 percent)* above the revised September figure of 833,000. The October rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 393,000.

Dow futures down about 40 – so we may end the week right around the 9=day moving average.  More tomorrow for Peoplenomics subscribers…and let’s all meet up here Monday, shall we?

Coping: With the Return of REAL Typewriters

I mentioned a while back that I was planning to pick up an IBM Selectric II because to my way of thinking they were the absolute best keyboard ever made.  That is, if you don’t count that seven-pound marvelous mechanical keyboard that shipped with the original IBM-PC’s and which I used at a number of job sites in Ure’s Halt & Catch Fire-era.

Lots of UrbanSurvival readers write.  And not useless social jots.  Since A.G. Kimbrough wanders by often-enough I’ve actually focused on reducing typos.  And then there are colleague – like G.A. Stewart, probably the best Nostradamus writer on the planet, presently. Plus, I hold Chris Tyreman of The Chronicle Project in very high regard as well.  Not just as a reader, but as a graphic artist to boot.  And let me not overlook Lt. Col. (Retd.) Chris McCleary who picked up the National Dream Center project I launched back in 2008 and continues producing fine reports on what dreams foretell.  It’s an honor to be in such esteemed writing company.

Thing is, we all bash words for money (or love of research and intellectual jollies) and that requires the RIGHT machine.  Like selecting a spouse, car, or right sailboat, there are classics.  And that gets us to an interview with Daniel Marleau, another professional wordsmith, who has a dandy site The Typewriter Review which you can find over here…

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While my own preferences run to the Selectric I or correcting Selectric II, Dan’s focus is on the REAL machines.  Ones with no plug.  The manual machines that birthed everything from Hemmingway to…well, you name it.  Most great books haven’t come off keyboards, at least until lately.  Hemmingway wrote standing up, writer Coy up the street reminds us.  First of the Stand-Up-Desk crowd?

Since Urban is about making money and prepping (in other words, buy a future instead of social status crap) I though it’d be interesting to pop some questions over to Dan and see how a real typewriter aficionado looks at that’s out there…

I began my chat with Dan of Typewriter Review with the obvious: Are old geezers like me (*and maybe you) the only ones interesting in getting back to our typing roots?

Seems like the crafting crowd has gotten into typewriters for crafty projects. I’ve seen a new typewriter for sale at Michael’s craft store. I played around with it. As expected — unless you’re tapping out a few greeting cards, then avoid.? Plus, I’m not much of an electric guy, as you can tell. Though I’d love to give the vaunted IBM Selectric a spin! It’s an ICON! My dad’s secretary was a whiz on that thing. 

I could regale you with tales of the quarter-million newscasts I cranked out of a Selectric during my broadcast days.  The sound of the old Model 19 teletype, precut half-sheets of news print for stories…cigs going up in smoke in the ashtray… real audio tape cassettes of news-makers recorded on an early vintage Sony TV-110 – yeah, that was journalism at it’s finest.

Back to point, I asked Dan, “If you were a prepper – and wanted to be able to type when the net goes down (and presumably the power) what would you recommend? Your top 10 list?”

A proper prepper packs a pallet of pencils! I wouldn’t want to be making undue noises that’d call attention to my stash. ?Unless you’re living in an underground bunker, then I’d recommend at least 5 meters of concrete between you and your noisy machine. Still want to take chances with drawing looters? Go with the Remington Noiseless. I had one, it was so quiet that it barely made an impression on the paper! But if you insist on posting communiques with the outside world and want a minimalist machine with a small footprint that is somewhat quiet, go with the Olivetti Lettera 32. Zip up case for easy travel in case you need to hit The Road. It’s so small you don’t even need a table. Works great on the lap or from the horse’s saddle. I want a horse if things go south. 

What about full-sized machines? We see a lot of copy about the smaller portables, but what about those YUGE machines that were such a joy?

Full-sized , aka, The Standard. I wrote a post, “Titans of the Typosphere,” that touched on this subject. Despite their size, the YUGE ones are often superior machines — even if your fingers are small.

https://typewriterreview.com/2017/05/12/titans-of-the-typosphere/

Having had a machine get wrecked in shipping (the first effort to buy a Selectric II) are there any packing (and for that matter shopping) tips you could suggest?

You read my mind! Got a post in the works with detailed instructions on how to pack along with pics. BUT — getting the average seller to abide by these tips is another matter! See answer to next question. ?Quick answer. 4 inches of padding all around the case. Ranpak is fine. Bubble is better. Use a rubber pad to disengage the carriage lock. Keep the carriage free floating. But, wrap the typewriter in plastic wrap to keep the carriage from moving. The carriage is the most sensitive part. I’ve got a story about Royal doing a stunt involving dropping typewriters by parachute. Those that landed flat were ok. If it landed on the side — the carriage got out of whack. Don’t know about packing electrics. I use FedEx packing services. I drop off typewriter, they pack it in a new box with loads of Ranpak. After I’ve secured the carriage. Never had a problem. FedEx seems to actually care about doing a good job. It costs about $10-12 for this service, depending on typewriter size. Totally worth the peace of mind! Plus, I don’t need to keep packing supplies in stock. 

A Selectric mechanic retired to his own shop in a big city (after 50 years btw) tells me that buying a machine on eBay is like roulette – with maybe better odds in the casino due to shipping. Would you buy a machine on-line? Or, would you stick to Craigslist and an in-person type-drive?

I agree, eBay for me has been 50/50, even after giving packing tips and the offer to give them a great review! But, eBay is a buyer’s market. I look for typewriters that claim the machine is “fully working” or some such language. If it arrives not in working condition, you have the eBay buyer’s guarantee. Full refund, including shipping both ways. The seller usually just tells me to keep the machine. I have quite a few busted ones in the basement. But still bummed — the world has one less working typewriter. I don’t have a repairman nearby. Sad!

What about old-fashioned publishing? Does ANYONE have old linotype machines, presses and such? I’d sure like to set up a hot lead machine one of these days but damned if I can find one.

Forget that and the mimeo — look up Risograph. That’s what I want.? They still make ’em and you can get good used ones. Great for doing a zine. But still need some power to run the thing. Not good for the doomsday scenario. 

(Hmmm…rocks and chisels?) 2. When the whole world electronica backbone fails what role do you see the printed/typed word?

When, not IF?? I’m optimistic about the world grid staying ON. As it turns out, it’s much easier to control (distract) people when you get them hooked on these little gizmos and screens. If they go offline, they’re liable to read and think and, well, we know that’s not good. However, I’m seeing young people opting out and looking for something more fulfilling than nonsensical snippets. I suspect it’s mostly brief moments of sobriety before they drink the magic potion and lull themselves into a semi-conscious state of swiping and tapping or gaming. If reports are true, teens drink less, don’t drive and delay having sex. What’s the fun in life?!?! Not much to write home about. I yeah, I forgot, they don’t write much these days. I’ve been reading my father’s letters from WWII to his parents. While the circumstances were dire, the writing was heartwarming. Suppose these days the warriors just fire up Skype or FaceTime….

Got that right, brother.  Still…care to make any side bets (after reading books like “One Second After”) about whether the Post Office will still be delivering?

Don’t know about that book, though I watched Kevin Costner in The Postman. Still delivering after the crash! There might’ve even been a typewriter involved in that movie.

All great questions! While I might not share your view on the current state of world affairs, I am a fan of post-apocalypse tales. And it seems these stories are never in short-supply. What is it about things falling apart that is so compelling? Do we yearn for a return to simpler times? Do we need to destroy the present to restore the past? I don’t know. About the only thing I’ve been advocating is the potential for a typewriter to reduce distractions and reveal a voice that might’ve gone undiscovered. Plus, it’s damn fun to pound the keys and see those typebars make a lasting impression! I never have that much enjoyment on a computer, which always seems like work. 

Enjoy and happy trails, amigo!

Dan’s site is https://typewriterreview.com/ and also has some great sources if you’re looking for a good manual machine with a little “character” to it.

If you’re feeling flush, you can get a mechanical keyboard like the Plugable Full Size 104-Key Mechanical Keyboard for Typing Enthusiasts and Gamers with Adjustable White LED Backlighting, Blue MX Style “Clicky” Switches, Double-shot ABS Keycaps, and N-Key Rollover (long enough link for yah?) for $50 bucks, but I get occasional double-strikes with that and finding a useful double-strike filter for Win-10 (the included one is useless, won’t go less than 0.5 sec.).

Hard to be a good mechanical machine – so check Dan’s reviews of some oldies but goodies.

Or, head to Amazon and pick up a very nicely reviewed (there) Nakajima WPT-150 Electronic Typewriter which with a ribbon or two will be under $200.

It’s the write thing to do.

Write when you get rich,

George@ure.net

Coping: “You Bought a What?”

Don’t buy it yet – we are still in the proofreading adventure on the new (non-fiction) book Dimensions Next Door, but we’re now in the test-loading phase at Amazon…but ONE of the interesting items in the book that I’ve mentioned before is the shofar.

Called “trumpets” in the Anglo-centric interpretations of the ancient texts, the shofar was typically a ram’s horn.  March around a city you don’t like with six friends for six-days, and then on the 7-th day, all seven blow shofar horns – and presto – the walls come down.  Only worked at Jericho, so far, but that made it into the record books.  Not sure if it would work on the walls of Quebec City, but to even asks is to risk rendition here on Planet Paranoid.

Having only musical skill in production and electronics – sure and some voice work, too – there didn’t seem to be anything on the web under shofarsovernight.com.  So, instead, we picked up an Amazon Hand-fired Modern Didgeridoo – Beeswax Mouthpiece – Easy Player!  It was about $30-bucks, so not exactly breaking the bank…

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When the book is done – in the next couple of days I hope – there will be an announcement on here.  In  the meantime, if the fences around the ranch fall down, I will have hit upon the magic described in the book.

In the meantime, I am looking at the didge and wondering how to get it to make all those marvelous  sounds instructors on YouTube show off.  Also wondering where people get all the breath to keep one playing.

If you’re at the other end of “over the river and through the woods” (paying exorbitant tolls and fees) AND if you don’t mine catching communicable diseases from the kids, it might be something for the old folks to have on hand to keep the “wee people” busy this time next week when Turkey time comes rolling around.

It comes with a bee’s wax mouthpiece and some spare wax.  I’m thinking it is the finest mustache wax ever.

Scheduled Days Off, Black Friday

If you are still working (who can afford not to?) might be an idea to put in for a couple of days off the week after next.  That way, when you hit the online sales on Black Friday, you’ll have someone home to collect the goodies when they land.

Just thinking ahead…

Annual Old Man Web Hosting Sale

We’re still happy with our web hosting services provided by Brian Carpenter of www.emwd.com.  As happens every year, he has a birthday sale, so you can pick up some deals on web site hosting if you’re of a mind to.

Their shared WordPress hosting is less than $5 a month in honor of Brian turning the big five-zero.  Click over to https://www.emwd.com/hosting-sale/ for details if you want to become a famous  blogger.  (If you succeed, let me know how you did it…I’ll write the book on it and get rich.  I’ll leave you to pay the taxes and provide the fans and a private jet for us for lifetime use.)

Good Letter

Not as a comment, but in a very pleasant email from one of our readers – and the topic is “climate change.”  As I’ve tried to explain, climate has been changing since the volcanos cooled and anyone who is trying to monetize that is a schuckster, plain and simple.

When a get thoughtful letters like this one, I am very pleased that our average reader’s IQ has not been reduced to the temperature of cold bath water..

 “Hi, George,

I just finished re-reading a Michael Crichton book, State of Fear. Publish date of 2004 Mr. Crichton states “This a work of fiction. … However, references to real people, institutions, and organizations that are documented in footnotes are accurate. Footnotes are real.”

The story debunks Global Warming and the footnotes substantiate the debunking.

His book greatly foretells your many comments on this and other issues, especially the development of a “state of perpetual fear” as a means of controlling the populace. He describes the results of 9-11 and the Patriot Act, most likely unconstitutional and very telling of a future police state.

I find his novels very rigorously constructed with scientific information and thought provoking ideas. And here we are 13 years later with Global Warming BS still taking up press time and effort. And as you said in today’s article “We have arrived at a day – long-predicted here – where the over-built media doesn’t have enough “real news” to keep the bloated information channels full.”

A world of Fake News.”

The problem on Planet Stupid is that everyone wants to be a star, no one does their homework, choosing instead to repeat the thoughts of others.

I’ve got a secret for you:  The reasons that religious orders throughout time have taken the vows of silence, simplicity, minimalism, and manual work, is to quiet the mind.

This reader in Atlanta might as well be part of a Lost Tibetan Order – because he’s obviously able to read more than 200 $CHRS before his brainwashing forces a GOSUB and the brain is mired in spaghetti code.

That’s refreshing.

More Holiday Reminders

Yes, we will have a column on Black Friday morning, but Turkey day I have a late appointment to test horizontal polarization issues.

On that note, don’t forget to order a bunch of Tom&Jerry mix  Alcohol-free rum flavoring and the microwave works – and it’s yummy.  If you still are consuming,  Braveheart 92-proof spiced is good.

Just remember, heat and hold over 170-F to burn off the booze, or use the flavoring.  Walk don’t drive, otherwise.  If you have a long ways to go pick up some DEWALT DG5204 Professional kneepads.

Oh, thanks for asking!  No, I haven’t talked to anyone in the NFL about logo licensing kneepads but I think it’s one way to get back in the good graces of those of us spending cold fall winter time out in the shop..

Write when you get rich,

George@ure.net

Bitcoins Biting, Stocks-a-Stalking?

Let’s ramble: A number of readers have asked me what I think is going on with Bitcoins and why – if I’m such a wise old man – I don’t ‘invest’ in them.

The answers are incredibly simple.

To begin with there is a YUGE ethical question behind Bitcoins:  What is their intrinsic value?  You see, in old-school economics, a thing has some intrinsic value: A measure of oil, a bushel of wheat, and such.  So the role of agreed money is to act as a durable substitute for the physical goods.

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Measured in terms of durability, gold and silver – hell, even the “iffy” Federal Reserve Notes – as backed up by some notional value.  Precious metals have lots of values (jewelry, dentistry, industrial, etc.) and even the FRN’s that coinsters love to bash as “having no value” actually do have significant value.

They just don’t seem to understand as well as our sources on the fringers of The Control Network, that the power to tax is altogether real and tangible.

Bitcoins, if you ever took the time to read the National Commission on EMP summarized in a report to Congress, you would grasp that placing high reliability on anything “electrical” is something of a gamble.

In fairness, there are two views on this:  One view (*which I hold to) is that when it fits the needs and agendas of The Control Network (*The PowersThatBe/PTB – the folks who are housecleaning in Hollywood and who took out Roy Moore from politics) the lights will go off while the Rich and Famous all run to their hidey-holes.  In  this scenario, the control and ruling class simply let we little people empty those 500-million rounds into one-another.  After the population reduction is complete, they will come back and “own the world” for their class.

The only issue this leaves is considering what their agenda might look like.  In other words, when will ThePowers hit those benchmarks they want online first, so that after social meltdown and cultural genocide, they will be able to pick up the pieces – with least effort – and re-establish control.

It’s a graceful outlook from their point of view because it solves almost ALL their problems.

Oil depletion becomes a non-issue:  The banking problems go away.  Most pollution problems go bye=bye, natural habitats make some recovery.  About the only thing to be done would be an “emergency force” of some kind to ensure only limited meltdowns of nuclear plants takes place during the chaos.  Or, that may simply be one of the “costs of doing business, and besides, how many are there in South America and Africa?

With a world population of 500-million, as cited in the 1976 Club of Rome report, (I would suggest you read The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome’s Project on the Predicament of Mankind first as it’s the 1976 document and then follow that with Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update to see the plan more clearly.  these things take time to manage.

The other school says no, ThePowers will never turn off the lights because controlling the lights is how people are controlled.  Our recent Peoplenomics predictions about 18 (or more) mass shootings in 2018 is based on the notion of a new form of sociopathic narcissism that you can see emerging on Social Media everywhere you look.

Used with limited purposes, computers have a marvelous application.  But, when you cross that “Make not idols of yourselves” that’s in many of the world’s old-school religions, you get into slippery slopes fairly quickly.  Speaking of which, you did see one a Worldwide Church of A.I. has filed for tax-free status with IRS?

This is another hugely important point to observe since the question is whether science has become fettered, encumbered, and controlled – like a religion – in how marketers have seized on specific environmental problems (burn down the Amazon, for example) and are trying to monetize the whole shebang into a global ruling class with a global climate change tax schema.

Meantime, “climate change” has turned into a marketing frenzy with odd behaviors at every turn.  Take the pope for instance:  Says Climate Deniers are Perverse.  I love when non-experts enter the fray.  It becomes even more absurd when the headline “Pope Francis given a Lamborghini sports car – but plans to auction it for charity” crossed the wires.  Lambo’s are climate-friendly?  You see the contradiction, of course.

But enough of logic and discourse.  Let’s get back to good old greed:

The problem with Bitcoin this morning appears when you look at how the recent pricing (*since March) seems to present a finished advance that could be starting down.  I’ve penciled it in for you:

Granted this is not a terribly happy outcome for coinsters to consider.

The good news is there is still a count where what I have labeled wave 1 up on the left there doesn’t count and we need to look as a different count starting with the bottom of wave 2.  This underscores one of the weaknesses of Elliott in irregular markets.

By “irregular” I mean that the information and numbers of players is in flux.  The stock market, on the other hand, has a semi-regular number of players and while the number of dollars will vary, you can make a reasonable estimate as to the “size of the pot” (poker term) on Friday after the US close.  Which is why Peoplenomics comes out on Saturday mornings…

For now, we would have to project the Dow down to the 22,560 area and then a blow-off to a final spring high – and that’s good news for Bitcoiners because it would leave open that more optimistic count (from the bottom of 2 in the chart) which would put BTC (digi-tulips) up around $8500-9500 before the bottom falls out.  Nice – just keep the lights on.

On to something more current.

A Few Data Points

Industrial Production and Utilization will be announced by the Fed in about 16-mintes – that might move things.

Import and Export Prices are just out:

US. import prices advanced 0.2 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after increasing 0.8 percent in September. U.S. export prices recorded no change in October, after increasing 0.7 percent in September.

Imports

All Imports: Import prices increased 0.2 percent in October, after rising 0.8 percent in September. The price index for all imports rose 1.6 percent over the past 3 months. Higher prices for fuel and nonfuel imports contributed to the overall rise in import prices for October. U.S. import prices increased 2.5 percent for the year ended in October.

Fuel Imports: The price index for fuel imports advanced 1.4 percent in October following a 5.5-percent rise in September. Fuel import prices increased 11.1 percent over the past 3 months. The October increase was driven by higher petroleum prices which advanced 1.7 percent, more than offsetting a 6.7-percent drop in natural gas prices. Fuel import prices rose 13.2 percent over the past 12 months; petroleum prices were the primary contributor, advancing 14.9 percent. Import prices for natural gas fell 18.2 percent over the past year.”

This is just a hint but these prices would seem to suggest deterioration in the related balance of payments deficit…

And going into the Fed data, the Dow futures were up 70, which Peoplenomics readers will recognize will put us near the top of the trend line dating from April of this year, which now becomes overhead resistance, since we had a nice close below it yesterday.  From there, I’m looking for sideways action through the Holidays and a dose of “paint the tape” for year-end bonus calcs.  FAANG stocks might do OK a while longer.

A final rally driver in Q1 2018 comes into view with Global M&A Activity Predicted to Increase in Q1 2018.

Distractions and Useless?

Decide for Ure-self:

Japanese Train Line Apologizes for ‘Inconvenience’ After Departing 20 Seconds Early.

 

Amex launches blockchain-based business payments using Ripple. Here all this time, I though Gallo made Ripple.

Roy Moore’s sexual assault allegations cloud Alabama special Senate election.

Rihanna on Building a Beauty Empire: ‘I’m Going To Push the Boundaries in This Industry’.  File under ugly threats.

And our biggie to worry about:” Here’s How Many Turkeys Are Killed Each Year For Thanksgiving.

And in our Notes from The Network Department

The Oxford University college fighting elitism.

Naw…really?  Tell us it ain’t so…

Off to load on cynical pills, mor’on the morrow…

When Not to Follow Trading Models

One of our readers asked an interesting question that deserves a comprehensive answer this morning:  What is the point of all the Peoplenomics research and charts if *Ure’s truly*  doesn’t religiously follow his own models?

FOGODfear of gap opening down – –which the market is set to deliver in an unusually timely way as our example today at the open. After our usual headlines and coffee, natch.

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