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Fed Play Predictable – But Now What?

Energy prices.

Thease are the most likely outcomes – a year-end run and new highs in 2027 OR the grim case.

As should be clear:

Extension of the lower red (rising) trend line is an obvious potential bounce point.

OR as early as tomorrow depending on how the rest of global banking falls in.

Either way – all the whooping and hollering aside – this sure looks like planned global synchronized inflation here to keep the planet reaching for carrots thaat are promised just ahead but still off-screen…

Back to my snooze…

~ure

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11 thoughts on “Fed Play Predictable – But Now What?”

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    • Brent near USD 110 is masking a much tighter physical oil market. Saudi pipeline disruptions have pushed Dated Brent above USD 130, while diesel has surged beyond USD 220 as refiners scramble for scarce barrels and export curbs loom.

  2. George,
    The SPX peak valuation on 13-14 Aug 2026 extending to the fractally predicted Oct 2026 initial nadir is still tracking the same x/2-2.5x/2-2.5x/1.5-1.6 x daily 4-phase fractal progression of the SPX peak valuation on 3 Sept 1929 to its initial nadir on 13 November 1929. The ten year note minus Fed funds yield, inverting negatively and lasting more than one month has accurately predicted recessions since 1970. The current antecedent negative inversion lasted longer than ever before, coincidently with the value of trailing ten year notes nominally losing value over the purchase price … for 25 months, the 1st time in 230 years. Only one other period had a single month of negative trailing valuation.

    This time in the ever greater US service sector economy, the coming recession will be different, having been compounded by Iran-war-related energy , helium, fertilizers, et al critical shortages coupled with a Super El Nino creating dry weather in the most world’s populous areas. This recession will be different. US global hegemonic power will, likely, be sharply eroded by the loss of the US petro dollar.

  3. Let’s pull out the juicy UAP stuff from Ure Sleeping Prophet’s lucid dream:

    “The physical thing passing overhead was what an intelligence had become—or condensed into—in order to operate within this particular physical reality.

    And there were trillions of these intelligences running around the universe.

    There is a war going on between layers of higher dimensions. They are the ones behind humans fighting with one-another. The agreed way to settle differences is to populate planets with ‘condensate dropped in animals’ and then let the animal kingdom decide the outcome. The smoke you saw out on the front line was how that war is waged.”

    I am tempted to ask Andy to get an interpretation from a higher authority. I am also tempted to ask which hand you should use to wipe up condensed propaganda smoke.

    “Respect doesn’t require surrender. Curiosity doesn’t require belief. Skepticism doesn’t require ridicule”. OK, I withdraw the “which hand” wisecrack.

    Reserving judgement. I was expecting more of a reaction from Boris, though.

        • ha ha. God Morning Sir.,

          you honor me to much old Dude. i am humbled by such a treasure. my daughter said she will ensUre the book gets handed down to her grand children.

          and all my lil old lady fan club wants a copy to read. i have like 15 little old ladys who pray for me daily, my Momma, several Auntys and a few of their friends.

          might be your biggest seller yet. i would be suprised if my aunt Carrol who just turned 80 hasnt told everyone down at the bingo hall yet. hahaha
          we shall see.

          Thank You!

    • (There is a war going on between layers of higher dimensions. They are the ones behind humans fighting with one-another. The agreed way to settle differences is to populate planets with ‘condensate dropped in animals’ and then let the animal kingdom decide the outcome. The smoke you saw out on the front line was how that war is waged.”)

      (I am tempted to ask Andy to get an interpretation from a higher authority. I am also tempted to ask which hand you should use to wipe up condensed propaganda smoke.)

      hmm.. funny you should ask that…my guess is if heavenly father spoke..considering the stories from several throughout history..the Mahabharata, the bible..carved in stone,passed down in campfire stories and legends and written in scrolls…my guess is if he was to answer..he would say something like this…….You as mankind were given the power to choose your path.
      that choice will not be taken away from you….
      But when your choices threaten all life, you must remember that you are not the owners of creation—you are only its caretakers and caretakers of the planet….
      Mankind asks to be saved…. But first we ask ourselves whether we are willing to stop destroying one another needlessly….
      We know from past civilizations that power without wisdom becomes destruction.
      Knowledge without compassion becomes a weapon…. Wealth without responsibility becomes greed….
      So we should not ask who deserves to survive.Instead we should ask what kind of humanity is worth preserving for the future of mankind…..

      The test on civilization that I see is not whether we can defeat one another we already know that that’s the easy path..the one lined with gold and silver..the wizard of oz..when I overcame my dyslexia I was given as a sign of accomplishment the first edition of the book..I forget if it was a signed copy or not..but in this edition Dorothy has silver slippers..the wicked witch is unbridled greed and destruction which is how I seen the story my intentions is to pass that on to my grandson that’s struggling with dyslexic……
      The real test is whether we can learn to live with one another…..
      We may open a door, but we as mankind must choose to walk through it….
      Prophets like Abraham, Moses, Jesus, and Muhammad emphasized Tawhid (the absolute Oneness of God) or alignment with the Divine, instructing humanity to worship the Creator rather than created objects.
      Eastern sages like Lao Tzu (Taoism) and the Vedic rishis (Hinduism) framed this as aligning with the Tao (the Way what I believe is the right way..one Jesus taught..the good samaritan) or Dharma (cosmic order)—living in harmony with the natural flow of reality rather than resisting its direction….
      The golden rule of the father..oh my isn’t this in the ten commandments…
      Confucius, Buddha, and Jesus all explicitly taught variations of the rule to treat others as you wish to be treated…..
      Old Testament prophets (like Amos and Isaiah) and Prophet Muhammad fiercely condemned social and economic exploitation, demanding protection for orphans, the poor, and the oppressed……
      Sages like Gautama Buddha and the Stoic philosophers emphasized that human suffering stems from greed, uncontrolled desire (tanha), and attachment ( the path of the business model of babylon)…Spiritual traditions emphasize that the ultimate battle is internal—subduing one’s lower impulses to foster humility, patience, and truthfulness…. ( our conscience, as in the bible all of mankind is born with the wisdom of the father..its written in our DNA )
      Like what we hear about eastern Muslim visits about the great Jihad… which that emphasize that the ultimate battle is internal—subduing one’s lower impulses to foster humility, patience, and truthfulness…
      And remember: the smallest act of mercy may matter more than the greatest display of power…..( do we step away..or move forward… usually..When faced with someone who is struggling, the easiest option is often to back away, especially when their situation makes us uncomfortable. However, if the smallest act of mercy matters more than the greatest display of power, )
      of course I am just giving my opinion of wht I believe the father would say….
      after my worst and best Christmas.. I swore I’d be the hand..ive had many trials through my own cobblestone path in life..with each ..I learned a new lesson..What i found is it takes immense strength in my faith to choose vulnerability and compassion over the comfort of stepping away…sacrifice to step forward even if its all I have..The Chinese custom of the tea ceremony..
      dam here I am being philosophical.. who knows what the father would actually say..what’s his business model for our path forward..

  5. last night got me thinking…after looking at what I had to work with . the banansla pie turned out ok..I will make a banana syrup or flavored milk next time..but everyone loved it…
    friday I have to bake a cake…
    so..
    1 white cake mix
    1/4 cup of flour
    2 packages of pistachio pudding mix
    3 eggs
    1 cup of club soda
    1 cup of oil ( I know sounds greasy)
    1 small package of peanuts blended to crushed ..
    1 1/2 cup of milk
    1 small container of cool whip

    mix it all up grease and flour your pan ..then bake at 350 degrees till done ..I’d start checking it at 30 minutes

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