Positioning of the democrat wannabes, weather “roll-ups,” and the coming of “virtual reporters.” There are multiple stories in play which give us a chance to employ some forecasting skills. Each involves a specific “way of thinking” and are thus widely applicable skills. Oh, and the future “won’t sneak up on you” either. We will begin … Read More
Learning from Great Americans, particularly military greats, is something anyone can do. From home, using YouTube. Just pick someone who’s really smart and see what they’ve had to say. General H. Norman Schwarzkopf is an amazing fellow. IQ 168 and one of the greatest commanders of all-time. He addressed West Point Army cadents in May … Read More
Not an especially hard call to make in advance. Since the latest consumer debt numbers from the Feral Reserve (sic) showed in their most recent window, credit card sales going up at an 11% annualized rate. Despite what is being talked about on the left as an “ever-pending recession” (it’s what happens when the left … Read More
(We’ll get to the ECB going negative on rates after this.) What, trust the CPI? In a word: No. They have almost no bearing on your life and they apply only to alien life forms on some other planet, near as we figure it. There’s a lot of background to the contrary on the (massive) … Read More
Time to update September 2018’s Peoplenomics 891-B where we outlined recent advances in anti-aging. The “supplement cocktail” we approached while sniffing around last year is now making headlines. Can we get another “one year drop on the future?” Maybe so.There is much new data to review along with a “process discussion” covering how Elaine and … Read More
MUM’s the word, in Economics. Except, instead of silencio it now stands for Making Up Money. Which is what the G20 is orchestrating; reshuffling debt and making-up borrowing to make it appear all is well. Buying time on the Global Titanic. A Thought Experiment: I owe you $10-bucks; it’s all the money I have. You owe … Read More
Oh boy, another “National Mood-Swing Monday” is ahead. In the early slog, the Dow was looking at opening up 50. But the real interesting part of the day will come at 3 PM Eastern (corrected) when the (misnamed) Federal Reserve lays out the latest Consumer Debt Report. Of course, they can call it that, … Read More
I don’t reference the “Donner Party” lightly. Because prepping and survival are the most serious topics a person can address; even more so than money or mating. As we laid it out on the Peoplenomics side earlier this year, the ideawas that I would put in a simple “two veggetables” garden and conduct “The Great Tomato Race.” … Read More
No, actually, I’m not kidding. Our recent encounter with what can only be called a “time slip” August 30th has actually yielded not only an interesting set of data correlations but also deep-thinking on how “the Whole Thing (Universe) might work. Sorry it’s such a long piece, but there’s a ton of concept to digest, … Read More
Many young people (millennials) have not sucked enough air yet to squeeze in time to watch the 1970 move “Patton.” It won awards for George C. Scott for his phenomenal portrayal. In addition to a haunting soundtrack, and observing how General George S. Patton “channeled” the history of warfare back to Roman times, Patton’s speech … Read More
It’s always fun to use previous data to predict data. Humbling, oftentimes. Take this morning’s jobs report, for example. As you know, I’m one of the most skeptical people in the world when it comes to employment data. It’s an area where (IMHO) a lot of “economists” and “advisors” really get things wrong. Mainly, it’s prone … Read More
I was pleased to read the note from reader Andy in the comment section about how the planet has been granted another year before things really begin to fall apart. While democrats are spreading the word of imminent decline, no doubt to set up a ghost’s chance in hell of winning the WH in 2020 (since … Read More
I think their summary this time pretty well covers the waterfront: Overall Economic Activity On balance, reports from Federal Reserve Districts suggested that the economy expanded at a modest pace through the end of August. Although concerns regarding tariffs and trade policy uncertainty continued, the majority of businesses remained optimistic about the near-term outlook. Reports … Read More