Derpendency Studies

With the market down to our “bounce or kiss” line, some views of how the fall could roll out.  Especially key will be how certain countries (China) are feeling the urgency to push forward with resource acquisitions. Of course, these also involve acquiring whole countries (*Taiwan with Australia down the road), so it makes sense … Read More

Markets Facing “Kiss or Bounce” Moment – Job Cuts Data?

“Ure must have flipped out today – talking sh*t like “Kiss or Bounce”…) Well, not so much, sorry.  It’s just that we may face the decision-point today whether markets are turned back up at the likely bounce area (the lower right red support line in this chart): The BOUNCE would work out like this:  We … Read More

Broken Country Fix-It Plans

Why. our headline today almost sounds like one of our ShopTalk Sunday reports, doesn’t it?  Except the task at hand is much larger:  How do we still “save America” and continue the rational assent of the Western World? The task is mighty daunting:  We’re going into a risky war-kindling weekend in the Winds of War … Read More

Reliving 1929: Scariest Chart – Ever!

We’ll get right to the chart our Peoplenomics.com subscribers see updated twice a week. This is based on work we have doggedly pursued since 2000 when the Internet Bubble was imploding.  After which, a funny thing happened.  The stock-sellers on Wall Street simply glossed over $5-7 TRILLION in losses.  The bait-and-switchers began talking about “blue chips” … Read More

Listening for the Tumblers

Trying to “crack the safe” in the investment world, are you?  Years ago, an outfit that made saw-sharpening and locksmithing gear, Foley-Belsaw – had a dandy locksmithing course. Turned out, it was a lot more feel and less touch than cartoons had made it seem to a young feller. Point is, in really unlocking investments, … Read More

Turnaround Tuesday? Half Off by Christmas

My consigliere called Monday.  Up scouting the slopes at Beaver Creek in Colorado.  Forgot to ask if he was wearing a gray Fedora with a black band. The reason for the call?  Most people – when you give them a set of numbers, and ask for a chart, will promptly open Excel and build a chart.  Others … Read More

Multi-War (WW III): Gold Going, Winds of War, CFNAI

We call it the Muli-War.  A War Over Everything.  WOE. It’s clicking into place even now.  No longer merely a World War (now passe!) the Multi-War extends into cyberspace, food and water supplies, space, and even the partialverse. Social Media’s in on it…hell, everything is in play. Everyone is winning and losing – all in … Read More

A Macroprudential Paradox

Every time a Bubble arises, supporters of the “new paradigm” argue that somehow “This time it’s different.“    The data says it hasn’t been different yet. One of these days that may be true.  However, we have come up with a method by which similarities may become clear between non-equivalent markets with wide temporal separation. Which … Read More

Fall’s OPTEMPO

Short for “Operations Tempo” it’s the kind of thing military commanders coordinate.  One flank moves at a certain speed while another moves at something else.  Between, an enemy is “herded” into a disadvantageous position. In markets, there is an OPTEMPO, as well. Sometimes sector moves are fast, or at other times, painfully slow. This morning … Read More

Doomsday Week? Fresh Econ Data

Know what time it is? The Bulletin of The Atomic Scientists labeled the beginning of this year as “100-seconds to Midnight.”  At which time, turn off the lights, and settle into the remnant’s struggle to pick ourselves up again in a few thousand years. The truly paranoid think the president is already in hiding and … Read More

Statistical Dating and Markets – Turn Week? Empire State

“So, this guy is walking down the street and turns into a market…”  That’s where our “philosophy of trading” discussion picks up this morning. With Ure taking a look back at something he quietly pioneered long before meeting Elaine. Statistical Dating (& Investing) This is really key to internalizing our crackpot theory of Aggregate market … Read More

The Bad News – and Worse

Two stories headline our Saturday morning thinking:  Our previously “unthinkably bad Elliott Count has been validated.  And some comments from a retired senior Air Force contributor shine an embarrassing Light of Truth on crooked political assassination efforts. Either one is bad.  Combined, they can be taken as a sure sign of more troubles and stress … Read More

CCEO Training

Let’s start with Collapse-Capable Electronics Operator training and why it’s a different cut of cloth than a ham radio operator.  Nothing against hams – finest people in the world. And I’m an Extra Class (AC7X) who’s been “Banging brass” for 60-some years, now. Everyone can benefit from a ham license – no Morse code required … Read More