Long Wave Research Notes

This week, our research focuses on calendars behind human cycle recognition.  Ever since the (failed) 2012 “End of the World” predictions of others, we have been fascinated with the question “What did they get wrong?” Turns out, there is plenty of opportunity to have screwed up a lot. Worse is that the Mayan Long Count … Read More

Fed Gavels in – Market’s Jittery

Fed meeting is likely to result in a quarter point hike in rates tomorrow afternoon. The only Big market mover (at least from our 5:30 AM vantage point) is that the Labor JOLTS report will drop at 10 AM Eastern.  Set an alarm and click over to see the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey … Read More

A Monday Note

I have mentioned for a couple of months now that one of my sources, who I call “the doc for the men who stare at goats” fellow was worried about April (mid to second half) about a major “darkness” about to befall Earth. He (and his sources) weren’t able to put it into more precise … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Prepping the Shop? Woo Notes

We may come to a time of “impact risk this week” and, along with it the possibility of supply chain disruptions looms large. I speak, of course, about the May Day celebration of International Workers Day and – at least in China – Youth Day on May 4th.  Millions in China will turn this into … Read More

Saved by the Rules! Personal Income & ECI

Ure lost $49 in the stock market Thursday.  Which, as I will explain, was a very good thing. This is a primo example of one of our Trading Laws discussed Thursday.  The one that warned: Don’t hold a loss.  Not even for an hour. Sure enough, I went into a trade which, it turned out, wasn’t a bad call, per … Read More

GDP and UI Claims: Method Notes & a Kissing Ponder

Turbo Thursday begins with another “Kiss and Collapse” ponder.  This is ALL about making money, so listen up. You see, there is some axiomatic thinking that many people “playing stocks” just never seem to figure out.  Not surprisingly, even with help, their “returns” are often in the range of annual inflation. Some simple ideas that have … Read More

War and Foreign Assets

Past global wars have never to such an extend, relied on the continued construction and operation of foreign assets.  As tensions continue to increase worldwide, but most noticeably in Ukraine and Taiwan, we can appreciate the changing role of “foreign assets.” Today, we use our thought frameworks to look ahead to the coming few months … Read More

Crash Alert – Will BTC Go Bust?

Posted earlier than normal due to Housing update due (a Bulldog edition) Technical Tuesday around here is usually the “after action” analysis of my latest day trading frenzy.  To save the asking, yes, I made some lunch money on that short position taken near the close Friday. Was it George Peppard, “the Colonel” (a/k/a Hannibal … Read More

CFNAI, Etc. – Please Go, Joe – Shopping the Future

Money Monday, and we will see in coming hours if my going short into the close of stocks Friday will be a hit or a miss.  Small wager only – no point bleeding out before The End. Likely the most interesting part of this morning’s column is towards the end.  In the Around the Ranch (ATR) … Read More

The Future, Repeated, Anti-Aging Weekend

Although stock futures (early) showed the S&P down 10 and the Dow down 50-ish, we published our expectations Thursday morning and they really haven’t changed. “What we might see – and some of this has to do with Options mechanics – might be a decline today and a rally Friday.  Our Peoplenomics subscribers will see the set-up … Read More

Disaster Season Opens?

“How do we sunset?  Let me count the ways…” Despite all the hype, Climate Change doesn’t even move our meter in today’s cold, hard viewing of Reality. The smell of Depression is in the air.  For example, Public pessimism on the economy hits a new high, CNBC survey shows.  And about the leaders of the … Read More

Time to Kill Switch and License/Regulate A.I.

This being Technical Tuesday, I want to focus a little attention on A.I. because “we small humans” have gotten a lot of past, dangerous, scary technology mostly wrong. Two examples are radio’s invention and atomic physics.  Chosen because they demonstrate what happens when a technology is “done right – sort of – and when it’s done dead … Read More

Commie-fornia Power Bills, Markets Rally Until…

Money Monday offers a choice of economic wars to focus on.  We’ll toss out the easy ones first. Commie-fornia – the People’s Republik as it’s been called – is now featuring a new quite disgusting pander to Mob Rule.  (It’s what communist insurgencies do, after all.) See, at the heart of anti-American socialist engineering is … Read More