A short rap this morning about the measurable reality and how to avoid becoming a victim. While I’m not a yuge Carl Sagan fan, there is much to be gained from reading his “The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark” and then inspecting your personal depth of knowledge when any new technology … Read More
Yes, I make them, too. (Especially writing at 5 AM, lol). It is the Trade Date that controls the reporting…most of the time. A reader referred me to the discussion over on the Zacks website with this juicy morsel: “In almost all cases, the trade date controls the tax-reporting year for a stock sale. That … Read More
Before Launch: Let’s do the Only Chart That Matters 2019 sure looks like a peach, don’t it? Although the market futures are showing a decline this morning, that latest crackpot theory we’ve been kicking around over on our Peoplenomics.com subscriber side (“Trading Box Theory”) offers a very short-term outlook that the market could turn turn … Read More
Last Thursday morning, before the open, I told you what we believed was in the offing: A good-sized market decline this week. Specifically, this part matters: ” And based on this (wildly delusional, incredibly speculative, and obvious whack-job) line of thinking, we anticipate the S&P 500 could trade down to 2,473.98 and (again this is … Read More
As you know, every year I try to project how the coming year will go. Ever since my discovery of a “heartbeat to the market” last summer, I’ve been waiting for the chance to apply that discovery to presenting a possible future course for the market. While I’m still working on the math and outlook … Read More
In case you missed it, I am a Oneironaut. Since the term may not be familiar to you, here’s the definition: A “oneironaut (plural oneironauts) is person who explores dream worlds, usually associated with lucid dreaming.” It is both a blessing – and a curse. The blessing part is being able to “lives two lives” while … Read More
Got yet-another crackpot view of the market that has evolved since our discovery of the “Market Heartbeat” that was laid out for Peoplenomics.com subscribers (Report 880B, “July 14, 2018: Heartbeat of the Market found! (Golem #1)“). This new theory says the recent spike in selling could break and the markets could recover between now and early … Read More
December Global Financial Wresting‘s (DGFW) feature match this week involves a handful of powerful central bankers in a tag-team fiasco against a lone, overweight (and looking like a CHD victim waiting to happen) old man in a red suit. Who do you bet on? After being sent to their corners for the weekend following what … Read More
I didn’t mean to sound “preachy” (if I did) in the Saturday part one of this series, but have to say, it’s the way I really feel. Once you have enough money to buy more than you can ever consume before the worms show up, there’s time to look around and ask: Have I walked … Read More
A simple enough question. Not so simple to answer. As the markets are lining up for a potential “hell week” to come, what with the Fed meeting and all, we look mainly at the charts today and ponder what “news” will come along to fill-in the picture so the ‘sheep’ won’t get the pitchforks and … Read More
“What the hell is “cat balancing” and how does this relate to prepping?” Therein lies our story-line this weekend. We are focused on environmental balance. That’s because prepping for the “ultimate worst-case” may morph into all about living on the land. To do this, you need the observing, understanding and the subtle manipulation skills to live … Read More
Thursday I tossed out a projection that according to a new model I’ve constructed, the market was “due” to head down – and seriously so – in the next week. In fact, I put an S&P number under 2,500 on the table with a target date of next Friday. That might be aggressive, but despite … Read More
Finance is part statistics, part floating craps game, part mafiosa, part leap of faith and so on. When I wrap all of these things up into a spreadsheet (and call ity Golem II, it suggests that the market going forward may work out something like this… As always, this is not financial advice. What we … Read More