A Curious Letter to Judah Tyreman

A trip into deeper entanglement woo-woo.  On tap because we need a diversion from all the bad (and terrible) virus news. Yeah,-sure, we have plenty of that. too. First, however, our usual montage of some news headlines and virus outlooks, along with a basic “sanity check” in the ChartPack. More for Subscribers      |||   Not a … Read More

Delusions and Deleriums of Wave II Rallies

In case you weren’t clear on the answer to the question “Has America gone nuts?”  Allow me to lay the answer on you as a simple visual: As you c an see, we did a major decline from the all-time high of February 19th and we have been doing what in Elliott Wave terms is … Read More

COVID-19: The Meek Are Waiting

The Fix Is In:  Market will rally at the open this morning, but in the meantime, the president’s warning that the deaths will be piling up at faster than ever rates, has been displaced with a dandy sense of denial. Markets are working hard at creating “Greater Fools.” Let’s be logical, for a moment, though, … Read More

Will COVID Kill Social Media?

Reason to ask in an email from someone we know: “Is it just me, or is anyone else starting to take bets on if Facebook will survive this lockdown? I mean yeah, it helped pass the time and all in the beginning… but have you ever been stuck in a confined space full of morons … Read More

COVID Coping: Into the Second Depression

Since I’ve been  posting about the return of Depression to America for more than 20-years – suggesting people do quaint things like pay off debt, get rural, invest in food, make some of your own power, live where there’s water…you know, stupid ideas like that –  I’d like to offer some perspectives to anchor your … Read More

Soft-Start to a Hard Depressioni?

Think it’s been hard with the market decline, so far?  Brace yourself.  It could be getting a lot worse in short-order. This morning we focus on concrete actions you can take to reinforce your future, if all of our charts, particularly the 1929 replay chart, haven’t gotten your attention, yet. First up, a critical look … Read More

CV19 and Jobs, Mission Distractions

Is the Master of Disaster in the House? First thing out of the hopper today is the employment data from the Department of Labor.  Here’s what their news release lays out.  (Short version?  Sucks) Total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 701,000 in March, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of … Read More

In the Face of COVID-19…

Million case Thursday?  We may get there this afternoon.  Cases were up a little more than 10% Wednesday, and if it happens today, we could squeak over a million before midnight. Against the grim, the only press releases we figured that would matter this morning were these: JOB CUTS SURGE TO 222,288 IN MARCH; COVID … Read More

Target Year Life Planning

As COVID-19 sloshes around, we suggest some serious movie-watching as a tonic.  Not that we’re not fans of high drama or spaghetti westerns…it’s period information we’re after.  Because out present-day period is going away.  Which year we “land in” will matter. “Duh movies” seems like an easy way to pick up a lot of historical … Read More

Pre-Pandemic Housing Data

Before we get into the Housing Data, a word here about the timeframe of the data. We are at the end of March.  The data here is  January sales data. Pandemic impact on housing won’t be evident for some months, yet.  “Data released today for January 2020 show that home prices continue to increase at … Read More

Virus: Personal Trajectory Planning

Back to the “blocking and tackling” of being a prepper in the COVID world. But, a word first about how humans  generally fall into three categories of “time perception” because it really matters.  An understanding of how people hear and how people speak (and therefore think and act) reveals much useful information.  From the top: You’ve met … Read More

CV19: Bracing for “Hell Month”

Reader Note:  We will be posting in section this morning due to heavy weather which will likely take down our satcoms as it rolls through. Why You Should Brace Simply:  In our work the data informs that things could be much, much worse than Dr. Fouci’s much repeated forecast of a COVID-19 death toll of … Read More

Virus Impacts: The Colorado River Paradigm

Sundays I like to that don’t make it into the column during our usual hectic working times around here.    An Historical Markets and Virus View Even if you don’t subscribe to Peoplenomics.com, we still love to share (and get feedback) on our curious views of history, markets, and the ability of humans to form … Read More