A series of thought-experiments to ponder. Which may be useful, given this morning’s release of CPI data which we will get to right away. We’re actually in a Depression right now. But it’s being effectively papered-over. We see through the fog of collapse by looking at some units sold figures. Also today: Ways to extend … Read More
We’ll “set the table” today with a report just out from the National Federation of Independent Business which issues a monthly “Small Business Optimism Index.” Well, except it’s not too optimistic just now: Here’s the top of the press release. “WASHINGTON, D.C. (Oct. 12, 2021) — The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased one point in September to … Read More
We should deal with the Fall Fizzle, first. As I explained for Peoplenomics subscribers in a lot of depth this weekend, the “good news” is that Taiwan’s reunification is now looking like September 2022. For this morning, our Market view is we may get one more leg higher this week, since only the very lowest of our … Read More
No report on my whiz-bang installation of tile in the kitchen this weekend. Because other events overwhelmed “The Plan.” That’s OK, though. Gives me a chance to talk about Project Planning. Which is a seriously important aspect of Life in the Shop. Steps and Pitfalls Given that most Home Shop Projects involve usually four operations (measure, … Read More
A number of people have asked me to lay out this “Lunch Money Trading System” I keep talking about. So in answer, here’s the whole thing. Of course we disavow any use you might make of this. And, please don’t ask one of our subscribers how it works. The more people that use a trading … Read More
Amazing morning! The glow from yesterday’s gains has led me to roughing out a short course in “lunch money trading” which I’ll lay out for Peoplenomics subscribers tomorrow. Sure, I was planning to take some “time off trading” but when there’s a few hundred just sitting there,, I can’t resist. What can I say? Going into … Read More
There’s a ton going on around here. So we’ll skip some of the “folksy” and try to remain on point… Jobs: Who’s Left to Fire? The news out on the Jobs front is predictably good. Not only have millions run out of unemployment comp claiming rights, but there’s also not many people left to fire. … Read More
Wherein we look at “marginal rates of return on additional effort.” Which, with containerships backing up off of Los Angeles is a rather vexing problem for industry. You see, there’s an assumption in marketing that….wait! We need to roll a few headlines and do the ChartPack. Then I can huff-up on the white-board marker and … Read More
Welcome to what (in our whack-job) work should be a “turnaround Tuesday.” In fact, we’ll be jumping for joy if our daily target level comes in. Say, oh, up 25 on the S&P by early afternoon? Sooner is fine, of course. Like around 11:30 AM Central when Europe’s closing for the day, maybe. A ton to … Read More
Usability Note: If you see a strange symbol at the start of this morning’s post, I’ve installed a “voting system” to let you voice easy Likes or Dislikes of our reports. If it gets too negative, we will abandon it (UrbanSurvival is a digital dictatorship). But feedback is useful. Who’s at the Wheel? Commies first: … Read More
Comes now the time of year when “Winter Readiness” is on the agenda. Along with some of the best “working weather” of the year, most places. “What’s Working Weather?” This is an old home-building and firehouse term. Because firefighters, many times, have real hands-on hobbies and side hustles. Like building some of the best new construction … Read More
Sure, some social harmonies. But show us the Money! Which is what we will be focusing on today because when the market opens Monday, it will mark a possible turning point week for stocks – again. Just a few headlines today. Because someone you know has been spending too much screen time making his lunch … Read More
(A 45 minute column…I write too much for free…) I’m taking a short half-bow. Because last week (Friday) I gave you the data RIGHT HERE with my wild-ass guess where the market would be at the end of Wave 5 (or a larger 1) down. Here’s how close we got: Our Aggregate Index work was … Read More