CFNAI, War, and Woo-Woo Reports

A dandy day of Spring, Sunday.  Second day of spring is a lot more “iffy.” Let’s begin with economic matters, especially the Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator which is just out: “The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved down to +0.51 in February from +0.59 in January. Three of the four broad categories of … Read More

Trash Pump Tuesday: Fed-in-the-Box, PPI Wreckage

I’ll save the more erudite discourse for Peoplenomics tomorrow.  Because those readers are more likely to find topics like Hysteresis in Financial Decision Making quite interesting. The general ides, though, is that of lag-times as the Future rolls into view. We are seeing this play out right now in Ukraine. The Ukrainians do X (cut off … Read More

$2,000 Gold, Screaming Oil, Dimming Prospects

Our future is Fertilizer.  Which takes a bit of explaining. When I said, a week or so back, that the market was rotating into position where a “make or break” was due – and a visit to the bottom of an obvious trend channel becomes likely. Today – and maybe carrying into tomorrow – we … Read More

Odds of WW III Fear Sparking Global Crash

Again, except for Peoplenomics.com reports, I will keep comments relatively short.  There is still much prepping to be done here before the arrival of “NSNW” Year, as we outlined back at Christmas. Yes, that’s right: We nailed future pretty damn well, if I do say so myself, in UrbanSurvival 2022: War Year? What KIND of … Read More

Train Wreck Chart Talk (Shelling and Data)

“May you live in interesting times.”  And, as Robert Kennedy said in a Cape Town speech (1966) “Like it or not we live in interesting times.” Although Kennedy attributed the quote to a “Chinese curse” there is no support in the literature for such a phrase.  We know a few multicultural white hats. This morning, … Read More

Warrior Moon vs. Turnaround Tuesday

Warrior Moon is tomorrow, or rather, tonight, depending on which side of the International Dateline you’re on. The term is rarely seen, outside of the old historical pieces, and even then, it’s often in concert with other language.  In 1907 it appears in Henry Smith Williams’ World History discussing a people who “worshipped a warrior … Read More

Joe’s Inflation. Supply Chain Wreck – and New Arms Race

It’s the trifecta from hell.  But, unless you’re making bets on Sunday’s Stupor Bowl, those are the games in progress. Sure, sure, the media is selling hard on Covid rules relaxation (“END OF COVID RULES?” leading here). But it’s only a “courtesy pivot” from the WEF’s “Great Reset” agenda – which is JAM (just another monetization) the way … Read More

Painting the Tape: See Suckerfish Dance

We never offer investment advice around here.  Just an odd way of looking at finances wrought by cobbling an F/U lifestyle of a complexified minimalist. The notion of minimalism is fine.  But, in a technological age, anyone trying to relive Thoreau’s Walden is crazy.  Even though we have been premature dropouts from high-pressure city life, we … Read More

Hysterical Media Insurrection: Fools Led by Idiots

Ure’s Manifesto time. Since little is going on in the financial world (yes, market may decline, but this ain’t advice), we think it’s time to briefly consider how WWM (Wrong-Way Media) has botched its attempted dump of their “Insurrection” narrative on the public. Since our Reality is data-based, a 3-year clip of Google Trends highlights how … Read More

Joe’s Jobs Joke Jumbles, Monetizers of Cv19

While 115,000 (and likely more) Russian troops are pressing in on Ukraine, we are more concerned in the very short-term about Narrative Collapse. You won’t see this in the MSM *(because 5 companies own 90 percent of media and they’re all hip-deep in the Big Swindle) – the Narrative Collapse has them scared shitless because … Read More

Hardening War Lines, UN Fiasco, Fools in Charge

Early stock futures had the markets set to give-back half the Friday Bear slaughter.  We’ll be hoping for more, having thrown in with the negative Nelly’s late last week. We will keep this morning’s column short.  Since the major focus around here is still spring cleaning of the office.  And getting ready for taxes which … Read More

Second Cuban Missile Crisis? Cordon Boom?

There is a near-genius level post in the comments section from overnight which has an odd “echo of future” if you read it just so. Fellow noticed the story about a week back that mentions a small flotilla of Russian landing craft had put out to sea;  Russia’s Landing Ships Are Headed To The Mediterranean … Read More

Global War Lite: How the Future Gets Here

Reader Note:  This is just one aspect of a more complex discussion about “How the Future Gets Here” that’s in prep for our Peoplenomics.com subscribers tomorrow.  But, since the Economic Fractalist figures we may have a few days left before the fractal math goes critical on us, a prediction worth considering, we will share a bit more … Read More