Coping: With a Conversation with Higher Self

You’re dumber than a stick, George…”

My Higher Self was explaining things after a particularly nice night of entertaining and genuinely fun dreams involving people I know in this life, along with a few who have “passed the Great Divide” and moved to whatever is next.

The overnight Panavision/IMAX-like dream involved tourism on a strange world, car racing with what were similar to Dodge Chargers like the one in the Steve McQueen movie Bullitt back in the day, and travel that involved a hotel small town in a mountain range, gorgeous bridges over headwaters, widing highways beside a lazy river and…well, it was just amazing and cool.  The restrooms in the hotel were in the train station next door, but that was just a minor inconvenience…remembered riding that train from previous dreams.  It runs down to the lowlands….

The point is, you are looking for meaning when it is right in front of your stupid face!”

The Higher Self was being particularly harsh on me.  “Like what?”

Well, you aren’t “getting” the tie-in- the Balance – between the LBGT Movements and Immigration, for one.

The part you miss is this:  We have too many of what in the world?”

“People?”

Bingo!  And the way the LBGT movement works as a global Balance is simple:  It allows for expressions of love – and even sex – but without the messy leftovers of children that result – because high divorce rates result in subsequent abandonment of children when marriages break up. 

And on the other side of the equation, the young people coming in from South America?  Well, they give us a chance to actually care for another class of young people that are being unloved.  So you see, there is a Balance going on here…it’s just that most people (and sadly you) often don’t see because you get so damn wrapped up in the emotional hot button crap. 

I can assure you that the way the Ruler of All works is pretty simple:  There is always a Balance if you look for it.

Think of it as Gravy…”

“What the hell does GRAVY have to do with anything?”  Sometime my Higher Self speaks in riddles and metaphors which is why we don’t talk very often.

“There are some things that we have to keep Balanced…and the amount of Love flowing around is one of them. 

What do you do when a couple of guest show up unexpectedly for dinner and you’ve made pot roast and you don’t have enough gravy?  How do you handle that?

“Tell ‘em to get lost?”  We don’t have many friends so the Higher Self example was really obscure.

You get some water, flower, and a bit of salt and you thin down the gravy.  Everyone get’s gravy and the small reduction in flavor is more than made up for by the love flowing around the dinner  table among friends, you see?”

“Hmmm…got to think on that one.  Any other complaints about my thinking or the column?”

Now that you mention it, yes.  You’re not understanding the progressive dispensation model.”

My Higher Self has long known that what the Religionists call Prophets come along every so often with bits of Great Understanding to pass along.  But invariably, these get turned into collection plates, conversions, and wars, though in no particular order.  So I asked the obvious:

“What’s your complaint about me not getting Progressive Dispensation?”

You haven’t figured out that if it works for spiritual conduct and rules of behavior, especially Love which is the organizing principle, that it also works with technology.  Doesn’t it seem a bit odd to you that there haven’t been a lot of legit spiritual leaders coming along and yet we have a zillion and one breakthroughs in Engineering?  You see?”

No…but then you started the name-calling saying I’m dumb as a stick…remember?”

“Well, that’s because you are, you dumb-shit!  Don’t feel too bad, most humans are, too, so you’re hardly exceptional.

The Ruler of All can’t just go back into Noah’s time and start building catamarans, GPS units and iPhones very well, now, could he?  We need periodic disasters in order to set the table for the next dinner that’s coming spiritually.”

“Prove it.”

Last night, didn’t Elaine mention Robert Felix’ book and about how at the time of magnetic pole reversals new forms of animal and plant life appear?  That was all about the Balance.  Humans destroy and then Love conquers all and everyone adapts…and if Humans want to be part of the future, then fine.  If not, then that will be arranged, too…””

“OK, I can see how Engineering is a kind of spiritual path…been on it myself.  So I get that and I know “the zone.”  But how come we can’t have things like Clean Energy and Anti-Gravity right now?”

I heard peels of laughter…so loud that it shook the house.  Elaine stirred in her sleep.

You aren’t ready for it, you dummy!  What are you doing tomorrow?

“I’m doing my biennial flight review…thought I would get it done earlier than scheduled because I haven’t been flying much and it’s a great way to keep sharp…”

“And if there was Anti-Gravity, you don’t have the infrastructure or computer horsepower to deal with it.  Look, you haven’t even got self-driving cars figured out…so lay back a bit and stop being so impatient.  Besides, one of the show-stoppers for anti-gravity –  one I know Ruler of All was kicking around for a while – continues to be all those overhead power and phone lines.

You’re not going to be ready for anti-gravity or a lot of other cool stuff like Life Extension out to 200 years, until you learn how to Love without screwing your brains out and popping unwanted kids all over the place. 

Remember what I said about Balance?  Go watch any of the Back to the Future movies…and in any of them, did they ever address the overhead power line issue, except in #1 with the Clock Tower…at which point the overhead was necessary?”

“OK, how are we going to get rid of power lines everywhere?”

“Within a year or three you will start to see Wall St., coming out with big money behind local solar and wind power.  The idea is you will sign up when you buy a house for a side-deal that will be a mortgage on $50,000 worth of installed solar equipment.  You will pay a Wall St company a discounted power bill rate.  And in return for that, they will put the equipment up and will feed any excess back into the grid.

That additional power will be used to charge electric cars and the new kinds of fuel cells that will be coming.  More like super-efficient batteries, but without the lead and lithium which are industrially ugly. 

Of course, this scares the power companies, and that is why the big press in many states to impose fees on small scale solar forerunners, like yourself, who already have solar.  They will have some success, but only briefly and then federal laws will come along that will outlaw grid-tie feed charges.

Once the power problems are solved, the wiring can go underground and by then you should have mostly electric and self driving cars and then we will be ready to release anti-gravity.

We’re not going to release it until you get the hardware ready, if you can follow that concept?  It’s like written on the front page of the anti-gravity software manual:  Requires hardware blah, blah, no drones of overhead power lines…

Still,  the dreams are still out there…and that’s part of the reason the movie Interstellar is being released.  We mention something in there about the motivation to go worm-holing…and that is eating the planet bare.  Which you are doing a really first-rate job of, we notice.

And that gets us back to the need for childless unions that still have Love, doesn’t it?”

“I gotta think about this.”

Think all you’d like.  The main reason for Churches was teaching people to read and a getting them comfortable with a solid vision of the future.  Now we’ve got the 6 o-clock news and movies…so you’re not going to get away from the flow we’ve got going. 

It’s just going to be whether you see the Great Balance and flow with it, or not.  Not everyone has to get it…the flow will carry them along whether they like it or not.

Doesn’t make any difference to Us.

Time to get up, Ure.  Don’t you have a column to write?”

Yeah… seems like all I do it write, write, sleep, write, anymore.  Thanks.”

“Take a break, we’ll send you a woo-wood story or two and a chance to help some people.  Shouldn’t take more than 10-minutes to write.  Think of it as a thank-you for getting a column right, for a change.”

The WoWW Story

Reader Chris’s report:

George I had a definite wuju moment last week. I was in Los Angeles CA on a business trip last week and on Wed or Thur I had a discussion with one of my coworkers about the rocket that exploded that was heading up to the space station. Later that night I had a dream where I was having a conversation with the same coworker where we were talking about the Virgin Atlantic space vehicle that exploded. Except the fact that it didn’t happen yet! The conversation seemed so real that when I saw him the next day at our meeting I asked him did we talk about the Virgin Atlantic vehicle exploding and he was like “What the hell are you talking about? We didn’t talk about that and that has never happened. I was like hmm I must have dreamed it. The next day we all got on planes and went home and then I think On Friday the Virgin Atlantic thing happened and my coworker called me and was like WTF are you F-ing serious? And I was like I know I am seriously weirded out about this. The thought that has been crossing my mind is remember all the Major Ed Dames remote viewing stuff?

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“Mysteries of the Amazon”

This morning we take up two matters of practical, personal economics:

Our first question is “What’s more important than the election returns and the expected Republican win of the Senate” in Tuesday’s elections?”  I think the answer might surprise you.

The second project?  I’ve come up with a new way of looking at those “star ratings” that Amazon uses and a discussion of how to decide on what’s worth buying follows.

Not before coffee, though, although with everyone suffering “News overload” we will skip headlines this morning and focus on these two macro topics which (unlike election trivia) are actually useful.

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You You Pulling My Lever?

Or, is that a vote in your pocket?

Stock prices were flat to slightly down.  Perhaps on the realization that America doesn’t really do much any more except sit around a whine.

Warning flag about too strong a dollar and massive deflation:  Oil futures were under $78 this morning..a  very bad deflation indicator. The Ure discontinuity area approaches where free money should send stocks to the moon, but deflation sends them to zero at the same time.  That’s when people hold back spending expecting lower prices, not higher.

News-wise there isn’t much economic guidance to be found.  A minor report on International Trade is out, and I suppose we could talk about that…

The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of
Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that total September exports of $195.6 billion and imports of $238.6 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $43.0 billion, up from $40.0 billion in August, revised. September exports were $3.0 billion less than August exports of $198.6 billion. September imports were $0.1 billion more than August imports of $238.6 billion.

What doesn’t make sense is how strong the dollar is, but that isn’t really too surprising.  For one, Asia is a nice place to invest, but without the Great Dumping Ground of the American market, have those countries would be out of business.

Europe isn’t much better off.  When the EU started with something like 13 bankrupt countries, it was a good call to expect an eventual implosion.  Today the EU sports 28 1/2 members (the half being Ukraine) but the balance sheet madness hasn’t stopped.  In time, it will turn out to be a form of financial communism.  From each according to their assets, to each according to their socialist over-spending.

So yeah, the risk inherent in investing in the currency of this EU Ponzi scheme pales in comparison to investing in the USA.

Market reaction tomorrow will tell us what the future will hold.  Although my money is still on the R’s winning the majority, that leading to a split government, and that meaning we won’t get anything much done.

The Robots Are Coming, The Robots Are Coming

As is not unexpected, while the right is warming up to crow about today’s election results, not seeing the possibility of multiple court showdowns in the aftermath as described in our “Coping” section to follow, we see further evidence that the political right is still asleep at the switch.  Strategically speaking.

While the spoke-sploiters of the right come out with books like Rush Revere and the American Revolution: Time-Travel Adventures With Exceptional Americans ($12, Amazon), they are again looking through the telescope backwards, I’m afraid.  Good reading, sure, but looking the wrong way and appealing to yesterday’s demographics.

What they SHOULD be Revere’ing about is the arrival of robots and software platforms that will result in a Depression Era level of 38% unemployment within 10 years.  A look ahead, solving the Whole Economy Blows Up problem when there are no jobs…now that would be more useful, know what I mean?

Need a few headlines to make the case?  Sure – try these on:

John Oliver Warns About the New Lowe’s Robot Sales Assistants

Robot baby penguin infiltrates Antarctic colony

Robot bartenders?  This cruise ship has them

To be sure, there is much to be learned from the Constitution and yes, we used to have exceptional Americans.  But if the story about a certain democratic senator being involved in trying to steer IRS into targeting the right wingers is true, just more one more nail in the coffin of how those days of exceptionalism may be long gone. OK, are not may be long gone.

If you read just those headlines about how the robots are coming, you’ll see jobs of store customer service clerks going, naturalists being replaced by robots and bartenders, too. 

Being generous, I’ll offer Rushbo and other conservatives a bit of unsolicited advice: Instead of focusing so much on the past, a little more focus on future would go a long ways toward reestablishing American Excellence. 

We can’t undo the errors we’ve made as a country since Eisenhower and Kennedy.  But we can get back ownership of cheaper, better, faster, more functionality all around, and get past letting Japan, China, and the rest of Asia lap us with “kaizen.”    Self-sufficiency can be more than a wet dream if we work at it.

Kaizen (???), Japanese for “good change”. It has been applied in healthcare,[1] psychotherapy,[2] life-coaching, government, banking, and other industries. When used in the business sense and applied to the workplace, kaizen refers to activities that continually improve all functions and involve all employees from the CEO to the assembly line workers. It also applies to processes, such as purchasing and logistics, that cross organizational boundaries into the supply chain.[3] By improving standardized activities and processes, kaizen aims to eliminate waste (see lean manufacturing).

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Coping: With My Election Day Movie Plot

While most Americans are focused on today’s election – and the corporate-owned media get us all whipped up into a frenzy of channel switching tonight – around here seems like every election headline tees-off another TV series or movie plot from the reaches of my creative source.

For example, word that US Attorney General Eric (is he gone, yet?) Holder is sending “election monitors into 18-states”  gives birth to a THEORETICAL plot like this:

The story opens with tonight’s big election coverage and word that the republicons have taken back the senate.

But, as the story evolves, tomorrow — after the election results are clear (or so we thought) — the attorney general files some kind of rarely-used writ with the US Supreme Court and has the election results held invalid in just enough states to ensure that the democraps hold onto the Senate for two more years.

Of course, it’s all fiction, but remember this:  Holder has already spoken out against the Supreme Court on a key elections case where Holder didn’t agree with the court.  He felt leaving election laws in the hands of local government on matters such as voter ID was restrictive,” “burdensome” and “out of step with history.”

As our entirely fictional plot for this TV movie works out, it is revealed that the democraps are discovered by an enterprising reporter to be part of a nationwide plot to have overwhelm the polls in states (like New Mexico where events are not so fictional )  without  voter ID laws.

While a hypothetical investigative reporter tries to sell a new network the inside story of how the election-theft was masterminded workws behind the scene, secret government forces (an illegal offshoot called Directorate 153 operating at the side of NSA) has planted incriminating government documents on the valiant reporter’s computer.

Of course, seeing as all this is fictional, any resemblance to Sharyl Attkisson’s new book –allowed to be released by the real corporate powers that be only after it would be useless for this election cycle, being released on election day morning (Stonewalled: My Fight for Truth Against the Forces of Obstruction, Intimidation, and Harassment in Obama’s Washington). is purely coincidental, I tell you.  Sometimes reality just feeds into these hypothetical cases in strange ways…

As the plot reveals itself, the stock market, taken aback by the election uncertainty, begins to collapse.  And, as the matter of alleged voting irregularities heads to the supreme court, the sitting president has undue influence as to its adjudication  thanks to “control files” on each Justice./ 

The ongoing collapse of the stock market is used as an excuse to consolidate event more federal powers into the Oval Office.

Angered that elections appear to have been rigged, people take to the streets in major state capitols – like Austin – where candlelight vigils are held in the weeks leading up to an exciting showdown before the Supreme Court.  The candlelight will represent the ever dimmer light of the enlightened Constitutional government.

And just so everything is lifelike, we’ll pack the court, while we’re at it, with a couple of right wingers, a left-winger, a couple of near communists, a lesbian and a gay two…..just too just to make sure our hypothetical movie covers all the politically correct interests.

As long as we’re putting correctness on trial, let’s put a Hispanic American, who really was wronged (being denied her vote) at the center of the plot.  But while the heroine, genuinely wronged by discrimination and is the “sales material” up front of the Court, in the background we see agents of evil busily hacking the voting machines to ensure the incumbent party doesn’t lose the Senate.

What is revealed is a denouement (conclusion of the story) much like the Al Gore loss in 2000.  In this fictional plot, the attorney general prevails and the Supreme Court declares there to be no clear winners in the 18-states and so elections must be held again.  Only this time, voter ID is made mandatory as part of a new National ID card that consolidates citizenship, diving, identification, Social Security, and a host of other “rights” into a single source.

An implantable RFID chip.  And the sitting president issues orders to make his term of office extend beyond its normal expiration date.

Corporate media support this “legal overthrow” of government because they stand to make a cool billion in additional political advertising.

As the movie ends, the sitting president is seen sitting in the oval office chatting with  the attorney general about details of plans to chip-plant every American.  A key line is “I told you the Ebola vaccine approach wouldn’t work..but it?  People will line up to chip and vote…then we’ll use the chips to ration food and energy…”

As the line is spoken, we notice the special effects genius as a small, but noticeable set of horns begin to emerge on the forehead of the sitting president…,

The chat dissolves to a soft focus as a biblical text about working all day for a measure of wheat and a measure of oil scrolls up in a semi-script text.  (fades out/FTB).

All of this, remember, is in the context of a purely theoretical made for TV movie.

Nothing like this could happen in the REAL America, now, could it?

Whew!  I gotta lighten up on the coffee.

Around the Ranch: Long Sleeve Shirt Weather

You know weather is changing and winter is near when we make the annual reset of the thermostat and I begin wearing long sleeved shirts around the place.

Another marker of the weather is my soup-making.

If you have a crock pot, (you already have a crack pot on screen) there’s really nothing to it.  You can toss in whatever meat is handy.  Everything from link sausage to stew to stir fry meat or even hamburger (92% lean…you don’t want much fat in soup).

A bag or two of carrots,  chopped up head of cabbage, a couple of chopped onions, and half a dozen sticks of celery.

If there is anything else in the fridge that is getting on past prime time, toss it in, too.  Got some fresh mushrooms that will go nicely in today’s soup.

For the broth, a can or two of organic canned chopped tomatoes and two cans of chicken broth works.  Half a cup of wine, if you like, since it will boil off but have enough residual flavor to blend everything together.  Sometimes I skip the wine.

Last but not least is a few shakes of whatever seasonings you like.  I’ve used them all…the last batch turned out to be allspice and garlic…and it was delicious.

Scaled to the right size, this will feed me for four or five days.  Elaine’s not keen on my soup.

Come to think of it, she’s also not keen on my butter-free fried cheese sandwiches, either.

You make two pieces of toast, slap the cheese on them, and then microwave 30-seconds, or so, until the cheese melts.  Not as good as a fried cheese in butter, but better for cholesterol and I’m studying up for another blood test next week.  Living so pure I may ascend at any instant.  So if the column stops unexpectedly in mid-sentence, I’ve simply higher-vibrationed myself to the next plane of existence.  I’ll send you a Lotto ticket if I can find it through the harp section.  If it’s scorched, there weren’t any harps.

Soups  – especially with a fried cheese sandwich – sans frying – are the ultimate 3-season comfort food.  Next time we get a good visit from climate change, try it.  You might like it. A blizzard outside and hot soup inside is hard to beat.  As long as the power is on. 

Cook on high 5-hours or 10 hours on low.  At least that’s what I’ve heard.  Us Type A people never cook anything on low.  The 10-hours on low is just a rumor.

We’re due to get a line of thunderstorms through the vicinity this evening.  Inch or two of rain with it.   If I plan the soup just right, it will be ready about 5 when the first power outage of the evening becomes likely.  If I can get enough shut-eye today, I might make the ham club meeting but likely not.

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This week we finally got around to upgrading from our slow DSL to a higher speed Excede home satellite system.  At first, they wanted $200 and change for equipment, but now it’s down to $81 for old low-speed Wild Blue customers.  I’ve seen upwards of 8 MB down and 3 MB up, which would be faster than our DSL except for the satellite delay time.

Seems like years since we’ve had any real downtime.  The serious cloud hosting and multiple redundant ways to get there pay off in high reliability.

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Elections: Ebola and Immigration Will Have to Wait

So will the rally in the US stock market.  The futures are down about 40 points when I looked  earlier, though car sales will help,  and we can now see how the markets are telegraphing the most likely outcome for tomorrow’s republicon romp.

What the markets seem to be telling us about the future scripts out like this:

    • The GOP will win the Senate
    • This will set up a divided government
    • This will be very, very bad for the economy
    • And so we are in buy the rumor, sell the news mode..the news being tomorrow’s election.

    There, that’s pretty simple, isn’t it?

    As to Ebola?  A scientist is predicting 130 cases in the USA before the year is out.  In order for that to occur, it would be statistically satisfying to see a new case, or three, this week.  But I’ve got a $5-bet that says we won’t have any new cases reported until Wednesday.  Don’t want people staying home because traditionally, R’s take an edge in bad weather so anything to keep the fair-weather libs in ought to be panned by corpmedia.  So it will be so…

    Same thing with immigration, though to a lesser extent.  The president was heckled in Connecticut for not getting more done.  But he blamed the other party – the R’s  But as to the executive amnesty which will likely be here within three weeks?.  Well, that will track between now and January because when the new Senate takes office we will be in what we’re really been stuck in all along:  A divided country.

    Except with Version 2.014 of the software that runs ‘Merica, a new “feature” will be added.  Think of it as the BSOD of Windows, except without customer support.  A White House-Congressional Impaction is what an oral surgeon might call it..  Patient symptoms include Tourette’s-like speech, disorientation, fever, and paralysis.

    An intelligent bet, therefore, would be to cash in any long positions and be ready to go short.  The market has arguably put in a double-top and with the recent decline, the 1,740 level on the S&P could arrive before the year is out – if I’m reading this right.

    I’m not the only one.  Even my friend Howard Hill seems to be a bit concerned about this DC standoff prospect. 

    If you thought Government Shutdown (1) was fun, wait until the R’s hold the Hill and the D’s hold the White House.  Any time either side attempts to do anything… it will be a full-scale press battle.  Which we all lose.

    By the way, my recommended read  this morning is not a press release.  You don’t really think we would have any major final confessionals before elections, did you?

    Instead, read Howard Hill’s discussion of what it’s like to be one of the world’s first “financial engineers”.    Or look at the futures and weep.  Either way, I promise to let you know when Howard’s new book is out. 

    Do try to save a box of Kleenex for Wednesday through Friday, though.  We may need it when the market realizes what the past week of manic rally may foretell.  Just as manic depressive episodes come following ecstatic highs, no reason we shouldn’t expect the market to act any differently.  Manic is manic, after all.

    October 29th was supposed to be a turn date and so Friday should have been the high water mark.  The next one comes in early December…and for that one, Ures truly is short.

    More after this…

    Saved by Car Sales – Again

    One of the recurring features of the retail sales has been auto sales.  And if Chrysler earnings this morning are any indication, the auto sector may be the major thing keeping the economy afloat.  From the Chrysler press release…

    • 55th-consecutive month of year-over-year sales gains
    • Chrysler, Jeep®, Ram Truck and FIAT brands each post sales gains in October compared with same month a year ago
    • Jeep brand sales up 52 percent; best ever October sales
    • Nine Chrysler Group vehicles record best ever October sales
    • Chrysler 200 sales up 40 percent; best ever October sales
    • Every Chrysler, Jeep, and Ram Truck brand vehicle experienced year-over-year growth in October
    • Chrysler Group LLC earns nine awards at Texas Truck Rodeo; Jeep Grand Cherokee wins ‘SUV of Texas’ for fifth-consecutive year

    So we expect similar good news today in other auto sales, so maybe the market can squeak out one more day.

    Winter and Air Travel

    Just as we got the earliest snow ever in South Carolina this weekend, Alaska Airlines is dumping up flights to Mexico…

    The airline kicks off its new nonstop service between Seattle and Cancun on Nov. 6. Flights will operate daily through April 27, 2015.

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    Coping: A New Word for Monday – Slowar

    Slowar  (pronounced sloh-War’) is a new word that didn’t exist until this morning.  Yet a review of the news, especially events in Europe and along the former US Border with Mexico, demand a new word so that we can maintain some last vestiges of mental acuity.

    I’m not sure why, but my sleep cycle always seems to react poorly to changes in time.  It’s something we have been chewing since last week.  And now it looks as though the battle over “making up time” has broken out in the UK.  Yes, the once-civilized country is looking at multiple time zones as an economic and social measure.  But as we’ve warned, it is also a deeply controlling time.  The “ownership of time” is a dangerous disease, and those with enough presumptuousness to lay claim to it are committing the worst of fallacies.

    Not that Britain has gone completely mad; just partly.  You see in headlines this morning how the German’s are ticked-off at David Cameron (UK PM) because he has the audacity to consider limiting immigration from EU block countries.

    In case you have missed the memo, the deal is Islamic moderates to not-so-milds  have been pouring into the (slow-witted) EU, and then flipping over to the UK which is one way to get a population in place to begin tearing the UK apart from the inside.  Which is how this stuff works.  As expected, lots of coverage on this ranging from Al Jazeera to Deutsche Welle.

    There is not a word for this; only descriptions that sound warm, fuzzy, academic, and not terribly threatening.

    Immigration is one of these, at least it used to be.  However, since immigration has been turned into a moderate hot button, the overly supportive Libs are in-process of repackaging the world into simply “migration.”

    Historians, as much as I read them, are good at capture of facts, but not connoisseurs of context.

    You’ll often read how (short of a hot war) slow warfare…wars that take place over longer periods of time… are not seen as “wars” per se.  These are packaged for the uncritical masses as merely migrations, expansions, immigrations, opening of trade roots, and all the rest of it.

    To be sure, some slowars are hot:  Take the Cold War, for example.  This was the poster-child of Slow Wars (slowar).  Yet we managed to accept “cold” as a better description than “slow” despite the evidence of the calendar which ran from the earliest misgivings of Churchill about Stalin until the Berlin Wall came down.

    Along the war, that slowar flared a few times, such as in Hungary in 1956.  But the problem is far from confined to historical academic traditions such as slow warfare of the Cold War type.

    The Chinese are fine practitioners of the art of Slowar.  It explains, in large part, why Russia never really was the opponent in Vietnam but China was.  That’s because China has been expanding south, into the Vietnam region, slowly for centuries.  The conquer by use of the Chinese merchant class.

    Yet guns are the lest-often used tool of slowars.,  It’s often political power.  We have seen this in the wresting of power for local control of school curriculums; Common Core, and all that. The process has all been part of a revolutionary slowar in American education, designed on the notion that a “standard” education is a good thing.  Yet is there empirical proof of this?

    The European Union has been waging a slowar with non-member states, one of which is Ukraine.  And whether the AIDSA/HIV and Ebola outbreaks in Africa are entirely natural – not part of a larger slowar for Africa’s riches, may be missed by future historians, who don’t use words like slowar.  They haven’t been conditioned to think importance of new words to describe innovative points of view. 

    Come to think of it, I can’t remember the last time I read a “new” word in a history book.

    It’s not in military doctrine, yet, although we can see a logical progression to all wars once the central concept of slowar in understood.    The conceptual framework of war ranges from the shortest of wars, such as Blitzkrieg, to the ultra-long slowar.  There are side tracks along the way including guerilla war, low-intensity conflicts (LICs) and morel;.  But the largest zoom-out is where slowar comes into focus.

    An example of another slowar?  The war to stamp out poverty in America.  Slow?  In 50-years there has been no statistical progress even after trillions of dollars. 

    As slow as the American public is to recognize long-term patterns, name them, and place them in widespread use, it’s interesting to see how close the concept came to taking hold in a 2010 theater production in Russia:

    SEPTEMBER, 2-3, 2010. MOSCOW. THE SECOND SESSION OF THE INTERNATIONAL PROJECT “SLOWAR: DICTIONARY OF WAR”. THE PROJECT IS ORGANIZED THROUGH THE PARTNERSHIP OF THE “LETTERRA.ORG” PROJECT1 AND “SCHOOL OF DRAMATIC ART”2 THEATER, WITH THE PARTICIPATION OF THE  NATIONAL CENTER FOR CONTEMPORARY ARTS (NCCA) AND AT THE INITIATIVE OF THE “LOGOS PUBLISHERS” (MOSCOW) AND “MERVE VERLAG” (BERLIN)3 THE ACTION IS SUPPORTED BY THE DELEGATION OF THE EUROPEAN UNION TO RUSSIA, GOETHE-INSTITUT (MOSCAU), INFORMATIONAL AGENCY “ROSBALT”, POLISH CULTURAL CENTER (MOSCOW). THIS TIME THE PROJECT FOCUSES ON EXITS – WAYS OUT OF WAR (SLOWAR-X).

    The press release (yes, from four-years ago) notes in part

    SLOWAR: THE DICTIONARY OF WAR” 2010 is organized by “Lettera.org” project in partnership with theater “School of Dramatic Art”. This Second Session of the project coincides with the 65th anniversary of the end of the Second World War.

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    Serious Prepper Note: [ Covert ] Radio School

    People ask me on a regular basis (since I hold both commercial and ham radio licenses) what would I do to prep? I mean really prep on the electronic side of things. How do you go about it…and what do you need to know? This morning we have some radio basics as well as some shopping list items to go over.

    Twisted Logic School: Democrats to Retain Senate

    Huh?

    You mean you don’t see that?

    Apparently,you missed the stern lecture I issued to Zeus the Cat Thursday afternoon. 

    While chasing wadded up versions of this morning’s column that weren’t cutting it, we got to talking about how the market is likely to put in a double top before collapsing next week.

    How you figure, Fatso?”  he asked, dodging my foot that had taken offense at his surly attitude.

    Buy the rumor, sell the news, you idiot Cat!  Don ‘t you pay attention to how the world of finance works?  Everyone KNOWS that the democraps will win and the republicons will lose, but regardless of who “wins” this is a Buy the Rumor market right now.”

    “LOL…so you, Tubby, are going to lose your ass on those Disney puts for December, right?”

    “Keep an eye on that right foot, Zeus…it’s gets a mind of its own when you talk that way.

    Oh, sure, Zeus (nickname: Zeke) had told me to hang in with my long term call option collection on the S&P…but who listens to financial advice from a cat, right?  Especially a black one and on Halloween….

    Hand me your mouse, Tubs, I just ate mine.”

    Uh…

    “Thanks…now look here:  See how the Velocity of Money at M2 has failed to recover?

    And you know what this all means, right?”

    No.”

    Stupid humans – we wasted our time trying to domesticate you.  No amount of imported under class, diseases, or new wars are going to fix the fact that deflation is digging in.  Watch gold’s monthly beat down.  That’s the news Tubbo…”

    Crap.  I hate it when he’s right.  But markets that rally this much before an election are invariably wrong.  So while we have the predictable slew of stories this morning about how the democraps will lose badly, it seems more likely due to the price of free lunches and low information voters, that the democraps will win and the market will promptly implode.  Ergo, my puts.

    Of course once this happens, the groundwork is already laid for battles over voting integrity.  I’m sure you’ve seen the stories out of Illinois and Maryland about how votes for this party went to that party.

    All of which circles back to something we hold to be self-evident:  If you want to really control things, go to law school.

    I should have skipped business school and gone into law…but I’ve always had difficulty passing a bar (rim shot).,

    The Global Money Rip

    Of course there is an alternate reality to all this:  It could be today’s massive rally to come might be attributed to Japan deciding to join the Print of the Month Club.

    Maybe they yen for an economic recovery, too.  Their market was over 40,000 back in 1989…which means they have stupidly listened to the same political hack-talk for 25-years.  Japan’s ability to swallow political crap is really a prototype for guess which large nuclear-innovating country near you?

    Meantime, Dow futures are up about 200.  You can fool, it seems, most of the People, most of the time.

    Another Cruel Economic Joke

    Bureau of Economic Analysis report out this morning on Personal Income, savings and what have you:

    Personal income increased $22.7 billion, or 0.2 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $15.7 billion, or 0.1 percent, in September, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $19.0 billion, or 0.2 percent. In August, personal income increased $50.7 billion, or 0.3 percent, DPI increased $37.5 billion, or 0.3 percent, and PCE increased $58.7 billion, or 0.5 percent, based on revised estimates. Real DPI increased less than 0.1 percent in September, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent in August. Real PCE decreased 0.2 percent, in contrast to an increase of 0.5 percent.

    Of course the numbers only work if you count paying down a credit card as savings and such…

    Personal outlays — PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments — decreased $14.5 billion in September, in contrast to an increase of $63.4 billion in August. PCE decreased $19.0 billion, in contrast to an increase of $58.7 billion. Personal saving — DPI less personal outlays — was $732.2 billion in September, compared with $702.0 billion in August.

    The personal saving rate — personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income — was 5.6 percent in September, compared with 5.4 percent in August.

    So here is the game:  You have to read through half the press release to find the REAL PCE and Disposable Personal Income – adjusted for inflation which is the only thing that matters:

    Real DPI — DPI adjusted to remove price changes — increased less than 0.1 percent in September, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent in August. Real PCE — PCE adjusted to remove price changes — decreased 0.2 percent in September, in contrast to an increase of 0.5 percent in August.

    Purchases of durable goods decreased 1.9 percent , in contrast to an increase of 2.3 percent.

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    Coping: Blame Warren Buffett for Daylight Time?

    (Study Guide: Sometimes, reality is like a good cup of hot soup and alternate reality is the fried cheese sandwich.  They sort of belong together, yet r4emain distinct. (While you reach for your required course materials from  Gurdjieff and Ouspensky, we’ll proceed.   You can catch up with the rest of the class this weekend…. Tertium Organum chapter 1 is over here if you misplaced your textbooks…)

    Here I thought I was doing a legit public service yesterday by explaining how living out of synch with millions of years of natural rhythms was likely one of the reasons most people are so desperately asleep at an intellectual level.

    You know – working, always feeling tired, no get up and go – all the rest of today’s symptom list from chronic fatigue.  Something which I believe, based on shreds of evidence here and there – is likely true.

    But no. 

    The phone rings an hour after Thursday’s column on the Great Hoax of Daylight Time and it’s my consigliore.  The multiple-degree truth detector who, in addition to fine financial planning advise (which is what tax attorneys do when they aren’t correcting UrbanSurvival columns) says don’t blame the moon….blame….who?

    Before the railroads each place kept it’s own time. (except for those on the seas, which for navigational reasons of needing to know where they were, obeyed what we now call GMT or Universal Coordinated Time). Each little town had a time that was a little different from the next town over, and all was sort of geared to when the sun was highest in the ski (High Noon).

    Alas, along came that contraption called the railroad!  Soon came along the management types (if you had lived back then you would have been one!) who decided people should not only know what time the train was arriving, or departing, but that in order to keep trains from running into each other (with only one track trains running in different directions engineers needed to know when it was safe to go the direction they were going so as to not run into another train head on) they decided to make Time consistent across distance.

    Alas the railroad companies BEGAN the process of bringing all of their stations into a timing synchronization, which was actually easy once the telegraph appeared (virtually simultaneously with the build out of the rail roads). VOILA every little town up and down the track suddenly was on the same time … and the MASTER CLOCK for the entire town and the surrounding area was the one at the Train Station!! (NOT the sun anymore)

    I am so old I in fact remember when Western Union, the telegraph arm started by the railroads, provided the synchronization clocks for most places in the country. Our town had two hard wired Western Union clocks, clocks that were synched twice(?) each day to the Western Union master clock, where ever it was.

    One was at the train station and the other was at the Court House …

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    Sound Money is NOT an Option

    Ah, we expect the Dow to fall a hundred, or more, before the smoke clears today.  The reason, simply enough is the Federal Reserve decision to stay the course of cheap money:

    To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate. In determining how long to maintain this target range, the Committee will assess progress–both realized and expected–toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. The Committee anticipates, based on its current assessment, that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program this month, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored. However, if incoming information indicates faster progress toward the Committee’s employment and inflation objectives than the Committee now expects, then increases in the target range for the federal funds rate are likely to occur sooner than currently anticipated. Conversely, if progress proves slower than expected, then increases in the target range are likely to occur later than currently anticipated.

    When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent. The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.

    The problem we have is pretty simple:  The government is doing everything it can to hold up markets going into next week’s election.

    But the bigger issue is the Dual Mandate of the Federal Reserve.  You see, maintaining the quality of the US dollar is not something the Fed is really interested in.  Their “dual mandate” is maximum employment and, at the same time, a target inflation rate of 2%.

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    Coping: With Made Up Time, A New Industry Proposed

    There is something that strikes me as sinister – conspiratorial if you wish – about Daylight Savings Time. 

    This weekend, as you know, we are “falling back” – such that on Sunday morning at 2 AM it will instantly become 1 AM and we will be back on Standard Time. 

    It’s one of the few nights during the year that being a barkeeper would be a problem – and then, only in a few states.  But would you close at the first 2 AM or the second?

    And might it also be a window during which police officers would be particularly diligent, as well?  “Suspect crawled out of the window carrying the stolen goods at 1:33 AM (the second one).”

    Or, consider the problems of a doctor in a trauma setting having to “call it” for a time of death. 

    Oh, and let’s not forget the astrological footwork for the babies born in the second 1 to 2 AM zone!  Your whole life would be spent with questions like “If I’m doing my horoscope and it says I was born at 1:15 AM – and it was on the day that Daylight Time changed…but during that year, the time change took place on…”  You see the problems.  Especially when the change falls on a different weekend some years in some place…A rare form of Vedic madness?

    Like anything, there’s an economic angle to the Time Scam, too.  You know how we are around here: Follow the Money and Everything is a Business Model.  The Wikipedia quotes on point:

    A 2008 study examined billing data in Indiana before and after it adopted DST in 2006, and concluded that DST increased overall residential electricity consumption by 1% to 4%, due mostly to extra afternoon cooling and extra morning heating; the main increases came in the fall. The overall annual cost of DST to Indiana households was estimated to be $9 million, with an additional $1.7–5.5 million for social costs due to increased pollution

    In 1984, Fortune magazine estimated that a seven-week extension of DST would yield an additional $30 million for 7-Eleven stores, and the National Golf Foundation estimated the extension would increase golf industry revenues $200 million to $300 million…

    These are just a few of the “facts” of the Time Scam.

    But this morning I’d like to toss yet another log on the fire of burning public debate:  It’s the idea that people are about to have their very sense of time screwed with immediately before an election.

    The way I figure it, by letting people get an “extra hour of sleep” just before elections in the US, the incumbents will get a very slight statistical edge.

    In fact, I proved this (at least to my personal satisfaction) this week when I took a collection of 10 lab rats and told them I would let them sleep for an extra hour two days before voting for Chief Lab Rat.  Oh, it took a little work to figure the mechanics of it out, and a couple of pounds of cheese, but in seventeen independent trials, I documented a 0.5% advantage to an incumbent rat if elections were held within 5 days (margin of error: 13.2 months) of a particular date.

    Elaine and I keep planning to go somewhere in the old airplane…and thankfully, the skies are safe even on weekends when grounded people are cleverly manipulated.  Be reassured the laws of physics won’t be broken because pilots live and fly by Greenwich Mean Time.  Greenwich doesn’t get “saved.”  (Except in Connecticut, but to every rule there are…)

    I’m perplexed what time to publish my column come Monday of next week.  We always try to have it up around 7:55 AM and occasionally we have been as late as 7:59 AM.  But Monday?  That column could appear just damn near any old time.

    Obviously, some of this is tongue in cheek.  But not all.  We come to the serious part:

    Imagine a fine new industry that would make sense for the whole world to adopt, post haste.

    I call it simply Modern Time.

    It throws away Daylight Time and some of Old Time, and evolves a new Modern Time.

    Here’s the way it works:

    We all know that the 24-hour day is not particularly good idea to live by. 

    The reason?  Lots of medical studies have documented the importance of living your life in a manner that is in concert with your body’s circadian rhythms.

    My late father noted that if you look at all the High Cultures around the world they almost always happened in temperate zones.  The people at the equator – where life was pretty easy and abundant until we screwed it up with 6.5-billion too many people – did not evolve high cultures..

    Those tended to band from 20 to 60-degrees north of the equator.

    Pappy’s theory was that this had something to do with seasons“If you have four distinct seasons, you tend to hustle more.  You have to get ready for a long winter, and so on,” he explained.  And that is absolutely true.

    But it turns out there is even more to the equation:  These people (prior to Bad Clocks and Bad Timekeeping) used to rise with the dawn and sleep when  darkness fell.

    And it didn’t fall the same way all the time (so to speak).  People would get lots of sleep in the winter and less sleep in the summer.

    If we step out of The Ruling Paradigm, we can see how this was absolutely the healthiest way to live:  In winter, when many people got 12-hours of sleep (depending on latitude, of course) the medical effect would be their bodies were well rested.  This increased their immune system response to disease.  But in summertime, when work was abundant to prep for the following winter, what was there?  Plenty of light.

    Although my personal heritage is Danish/Scottish, if I had to pick a nation of naturally “smart people” it would be Ukrainians.  Recent events aside, every Ukrainian I have ever met was exceptionally smart.  And it may have something to do with living an agrarian lifestyle and living by the Natural Time  rather than by clocks.

    Ukraine residents who live rural, keep to the old ways, and eat yogurt and a high fiber diet, are also some of the longest-lived people in the world, too.

    What ends up happening – as a result of the invention of clocks – is that we are living on Fake Time when people who live the longest live on what is scientifically called Sidereal Time.  In other words “Sun Time.,”  Wiki it and you’ll find me (as always) telling the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but (except for the occasional rat story):

    Sidereal time /sa??d??ri?l/ is a time-keeping system astronomers use to keep track of the direction to point their telescopes to view a given star in the night sky. Briefly, sidereal time is a “time scale that is based on the Earth’s rate of rotation measured relative to the fixed stars.”[1]

    From a given observation point, a star found at one location in the sky will be found at nearly the same location on another night at the same sidereal time. This is similar to how the time kept by a sundial can be used to find the location of the Sun. Just as the Sun and Moon appear to rise in the east and set in the west due to the rotation of the Earth, so do the stars. Both solar time and sidereal time make use of the regularity of the Earth’s rotation about its polar axis, solar time following the Sun while sidereal time roughly follows the stars. More exactly, sidereal time is the angle, measured from the observer’s meridian, along the celestial equator, to the great circle that passes through the March equinox and both poles, and is usually expressed in hours, minutes, and seconds.[2] Common time on a typical clock measures a slightly longer cycle, accounting not only for the Earth’s axial rotation but also for the Earth’s annual revolution around the Sun of slightly less than 1 degree per day (in fact to the nearest arc-second, it takes 365.2422 days to revolve therefore 360 degrees/365.2422 days = 0.9856 degrees or 59 arc-minutes, 8 arc-seconds per day, i.e., slightly less than 1 degree per day).

    A mean sidereal day is about 23 hours, 56 minutes, 4.0916 seconds (23.9344699 hours or 0.99726958 mean solar days), the time it takes the Earth to make one rotation relative to the vernal equinox.[clarification needed] (Due to nutation, an actual sidereal day is not quite so constant.) The vernal equinox itself precesses slowly westward relative to the fixed stars, completing one revolution in about 26,000 years, so the misnamed sidereal day (“sidereal” is derived from the Latin sidus meaning “star”) is some 0.0084 seconds shorter than the Earth’s period of rotation relative to the fixed stars.

    The longer “true” sidereal period is called a stellar day by the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS).

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    If America Ran Like a Business

    Happy Fed Day.

    The advertising and the positioning of America is wonderful.  Come to our shores (cross our border while we’re asleep) and you’ll be in the land of milk and hand-outs.  (True) You’ll be in the land of unlimited opportunity.  (Maybe not…)  And you’ll be in a land run like a business on behalf of the people!  (no way…)

    If only we lived up to the messages we convey to the world about this once-Great nation of ours.  So this morning, in a moment of pre-election madness, I decided to dissect how we delude ourselves by skewing data and setting up elections so that not all the most current and useful facts are yet on the table.

    After coffee, headlines, and a thoughtful look ahead at what markets hold in store for us…

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    Big Depression Marker! Free Money!

    Yeah, I’ve been writing about the Second Depression since 1997 here, and one of the hardest parts of economics is figuring out just how this time’s rhyme will play.

    As you remember, from my rambling discourses, what happens in a global depression is that you have consumers begin to tighten up all at once.  They stop spending money on the frivolous and useless, right? 

    And so, in one of the worst economic timing debacles of all time, still unfolding on us, America has gone from one of the looser tax deals to something much, much tighter.  Not only have we bumped up rates (the Senate is democrats and so’s Obama as least on paper) so you’re not only going to pay a LOT more income tax this year, but on top of it, you’ll also being paying more for healthcare.

    Economic reality check”:  You don’t add healthcare coverage for 30-million people and do it free.  So the middle class gets the bill.  The rich will buy or deduct out of it.

    Now – without getting bitter about this stuff – it is what it is. 

    But this leaves policyfakers (sic) with a lot of problems:  When an economy is trying to collapse, about the only hiring that can be done is governmental.  We have 21-million people working in government for round numbers.

    Now we need to hire more – Ebola and such.

    So the higher tax part makes sense.

    As a CONSEQUENCE though, between O-care and higher withholding, guess what happens to real disposable income?  Toilet.

    People stop discretionary spending.  Look at the restaurant stocks.  A lot of them are reporting fewer people going out to eat.  People are trying to save money – and with little success.

    What then happens is the money the one percenters have tied up in banks doesn’t have anything to do because people are not borrowing money and because of that, we are about to begin the second leg down which should test the lows of 2009 and if we hold there, we’ll be lucky.  Bank rates continue to collapse.

    Watch the 10-year Treasury futures  Horrible.

    Now let’s turn back to the policyfakers:  How do they respond? 

    Simple!  They try to push money out into the economy but it will be too little, too late because as we’ve been screaming all along, if the Velocity of Money is imploding, the effort to push money out is like pushing on a wet noodle.

    How wet?

    In Sweden this morning, Reuters and Bloomberg report the rates just went to zero.  Not for us little guys, but for the big guys.  The thinking is that if money gets cheap enough, someone is going to borrow and that will create jobs.

    Dream on.,

    The fairytale world is about to come crashing down because reality operate differently than economics. 

    To my point about Elon Musk being one of the most honest business leaders out there when it comes to thinking about the dangers of artificial intelligence.  Well, guess what?  Robots and AI ABSOLUTELY ENSURE A 30% unemployment rate in the next 10-years.

    There simply are not going to be enough jobs to keep 7-billion people working and fed because machines will take the jobs, there will be no job income to tax, or if there is, government will claim a right to all of it, and that’s what leads downstream to a global revolution.

    And I’m sure the jihadists are planning to fan the fires and play the old game of divide and conquer, and for details reread the Moorish Conquests.

    The Collapse Won’t Start for a Day or Three

    This despite the Durable Goods disaster this morning:

    New Orders
    New orders for manufactured durable goods in
    September decreased $3.2 billion or 1.3 percent to
    $241.6 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced
    today. This decrease, down two consecutive months,
    followed an 18.3 percent August decrease
    . Excluding
    transportation, new orders decreased 0.2 percent.
    Excluding defense, new orders decreased 1.5 percent.
    Transportation equipment, also down two consecutive
    months, led the decrease, $2.8 billion or 3.7 percent to
    $73.4 billion.
    Shipments
    Shipments of manufactured durable goods in
    September, up three of the last four months, increased
    $0.1 billion or 0.1 percent to $245.6 billion. This
    followed a 1.8 percent August decrease.
    Fabricated metal products, up eight of the last nine
    months, drove the increase, $0.2 billion or 0.6 percent to
    $30.5 billion.
    Unfilled Orders
    Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in
    September, up seventeen of the last eighteen months,
    increased $3.8 billion or 0.3 percent to $1,168.7 billion.

    The Dow is presently looking to open up 50, but that’s because the dollar is weaker (so it takes more of them to buy the Dow) and then as a consequence of THAT we see gold climbing back…

    Now About the Housing Picture

    Once upon a time, owning a home was the smartest thing you could do. Since 2009?  Let’s roll with this morning’s Case Shiller/S&P/Dow Jones (and whoever) as they lay out housing reality:

    New York, October 28, 2014 – Data through August 2014, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, continue to show a deceleration in home price gains.

    The 10-City Composite gained 5.5% year-over-year and the 20-City 5.6%, both down from the 6.7% reported for July. The National Index gained 5.1% annually in August compared to 5.6% in July.
    On a monthly basis, the National Index and Composite Indices showed a slight increase of 0.2% for the month of August. Detroit led the cities with the gain of 0.8%, followed by Dallas, Denver and Las Vegas at 0.5%.

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