The World's First UrbanSurvival Site
Our Saturday ChartPack teases some interesting problems for the coming week. What we cannot possibly know, however, is how the Fed will response to increasing pressures. Toss in the “weak” Russian stand-back from Ukraine and several other low intensity conflicts and a historical parallel to World War I appears. Yep, complete with a Spanish Flu parallel. Again, it’s like a rhyme off prior history with a side of electronica and runaway social media anarchy. Which …
Although we had a good-sized pullback in the market Thursday, it’s far from conclusive which way this pig-of-a-market will fly. The green and blue traces Mr. Artist (lol) has penciled in seem to be indecisive today: The blue track is currently favored and the (crude, amateurish) small numbers lay out the Elliott possibilities for the blue track. Which would allow for some sideways today and into early next week. And then that “usually once-a-month thing” …
Reader Advisory First: Three changes in our operations here to be aware of. First. I have made a few tweaks in appearance and performance of the various websites that keep me busy. As of this morning, our Google Page Speed ranking for Urban is 87/97 (mobile/desktop), Peoplenomics is 100/100, ComputationalFuture is 98/99 and Ultra-Make is turning in 98/99. The modest delay on Urban (mobile) is due to ad loading. Our other projects remain ad-free. At …
An exercise in Future Forecasting comes into view. We take a concept from our “Invention Day” last Sunday and explore whether we can make a reasonable future forecast based on changing differential growth rates. If that sounds daunting, don’t run away and hide. Because, dear reader, you too are living in the Land of More. This has not only driven our selection of an economic system (grow or die) but also as structural limits to …
This being Adolph Hitler’s birthday, we have a natural inclination to be especially on guard against evil and its followers this week. And although we still h0ld that events which [MIGHT] lead to WW III will not happen until Orthodox Easter (May 2), what concerns us now is the degree of coming ripples in the fabric of mass consciousness. This assumes, of course, that there is such a thing. Anticipatory Fear We see it in a …
“Effective News Reading” may be our “tag cloud” this week. Since there is little “economic news” this morning, I’ll subject you to a “free-form ramble.” Because there is a major shift in Future possibly approaching. Please don’t take this as an “anti-news” piece. More like? Analysis from the subconscious. Distilled – yet only partly clarified. The result of taking an “Invention Day” break Sunday. Priorities Flip-Flop I am getting a “sense” that large numbers of …
A garden note to begin with. I have been happy with those “poo pots” for starting plants in. However, one oddity this week. Went up to the garden to water only to discover that an animal had dug out a couple of them and had taken a bite out of the container. I suspect a rodent family member (squirrel?) as the smell of compressed cow poo might appeal to them. Could have been a skunk, …
There is only one way out of Depression: Destroying savings. However, there are two ways to go about that. In this morning’s report, we lay out what looks to us like a coming hyperinflation. It has some amazing implications for life and investing. We’re moving into the economic Twilight Zone. Where things of no value are priced infinitely high. Doubt it? Looked at cryptos? A few headlines first, but then an in-depth ChartPack section. More …
From Mr. X – a totally worthy and delicious start to our seminar. Mom’s Recipe Hall of Fame v.5: Top Secret Potato Salad This is mom’s closely-guarded personal recipe, disclosing it here is a major security breach! 1 medium red onion finely chopped Enough apple cider vinegar to cover onions 4 hard boiled eggs chopped 2 large russet potatoes diced and boiled until tender 1/4 cup butter melted 1 tsp pink salt 1 tsp …
We might as well get Housing data – just out – dispensed with: Look at the completions track and you’ll see how homebuilding is going balls2 in order to get product out there before the bubble bursts. Always take Daniel Yergin seriously. When he says the supply chain mess is chopping at the real pillars of the economy, pay very close attention. Might even be worth the $19 bucks on Kindle for his new book …
As happens Thursday mornings, we see how the “New Unemployment Claims” pool will pay off for the week. Three Bigger Stories The first is Retail Sales: You shouldn’t need too much help with that. Next is the Philly Fed outlook: More details on the Philly Fed website here. Followed by the… NY Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Report: “Business activity grew strongly in New York State, according to firms responding to the April 2021 Empire State Manufacturing …