After expressing my outlook – that only a fool would hold a long market position over the three day Easter stock market break beginning from today’s close – I waded into the deep end of the pool again. With one of those high-leveraged option plays that can work out nicely. Trump & the Dancing Titanic … Read More
Markets may be smiling this morning, but under the hood the story is far from settled. A modest bump in private-sector jobs has futures pointing higher, yet the bigger question is whether this rally has legs—or is simply marking time ahead of more serious data later in the week. With key labor numbers still to … Read More
Just out from S&P: Year-Over-Year The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions,reported a 0.9% annual gain in January, down from a 1.1% rise in the previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annualincrease of 1.7%, down from a 2.0% increase in the previous month. The 20-City … Read More
A “Trump Bump” for Easter? The dealer’s hand will show in the next day, or two but in the early posting today, it was definitely on the menu as a choice. Still, we have data today to work through – and part 2 of this morning – the Housing data – will be here about … Read More
There’s a reason why the experienced traders around here bailed out last week (early) or at the week’s lows (Friday). State variance extremes were close-by. Have a look at the extreme right side of this chart. You will see the early futures today were painting a possible bounce. Here’s what the tape is whispering today… There … Read More
I remember it well. Standing in the last field that was part of SGC up in Bellevue, Washington. It was, gosh, about 1997, or so. We were demonstrating an HF SSB Manpack to some para-military customers. I was showing off how a single operator with nothing more than a radio (like ours) on his back … Read More
This weekend on Peoplenomics, we pull the camera back and ask a bigger question than “what happened Friday?” We ask what has to happen next for markets to turn. Inside the subscriber report and ChartPack: why the current decline still looks like a possible Wave 1 down why a (private) could still show up next … Read More
Breaking: BTC Bitcoin dropped to the vicinity of $66,600 overnight – a drop of more than $2,000 at one point. Bitcoin drops to two-week low as $300 million in longs are liquidated has a summary. Traction vs. Terror Earlier features today had the markets trying to stabilize after a terrible drop again Thursday. By itself, … Read More
This market has (trying to remember the old saying here…) “More up and downs than a bordello on Saturday night.” I mean, think about it. Dow was up Wednesday +305 points. Early futures this morning? -316. That’s a whole lot of action, but we’re not seeing much traction, Jackson. News Flows and Other Woes Grab the Kleenex, … Read More
This week Peoplenomics connects markets, consciousness, and the problem of seeing the future in a way few financial sites would even attempt. The new report starts with the practical question investors care about most — how to sense and value the future before everyone else does — and then pushes into a deeper proposition: that … Read More
We split our time this week between greenhouse improvements, waiting for the right short entry, and finding human “onboard Human PGP.” So if this morning’s column feels a lot like three simultaneous billiards games – on the same table – then so be it. Breaking: Productivity and Costs Just out from Labor: Nonfarm business sector … Read More
The United States has been sold down the river by our own – mislabeled – “leaders.” We have (pardon this) all kinds of shit blowing up in the Middle East, and with the GovDown II in process and the whole airline industry on the ropes, the “Fools on the Hill” will be taking a couple … Read More
Good Shopwork begins with solid Headwork. One of the ideas that has been sneaking up on me for years is what I’ve taken to calling domain walking. Sounds fancy, but it’s really not. It’s just the learned ability to stand in more than one mental place when looking at the same problem. Academics hate it … Read More