Coasting the Paradigm

3:00 AM…Again, my thanks to George Noory for being a witty and gracious host on Coast to Coast AM last night.  His 11th year in the chair, no less. 

There were lots more things to cover than we were able to talk about in an hour, so this morning in lieu of the usual “Coping” materials, we have a discussion about Computer Assisted/Aided Prediction as well as an update to some research I did in 2006 where I went looking to see what kind of “music” might be discovered in stock market data.  Yes, the market has a music of its own.

As to the predictions for 2014 (and beyond)?

More NSA Surveillance disclosures to come.  As Peoplenomics subscribers learned this weekend, you may be able to take news stories, like revelations about NSA spying, and map out their likely path by using S-curve analysis pioneered by Cesar Marchetti.

Next point was that the bloom off the rose with social media potentially ready to peak in early 2014.  The main issues include time to spend on social media, and corporations not stepping up to pay for notification of their own markets which many social media outfits are now demanding.

The Kondratieff Wave suggests global war due in the 2020-2022 area, and between now and then unemployment will likely bottom this year.  A combination of robotics and immigration will be key deciders there.  Longer term, a forecast I presented this weekend to subscribers suggests a 19% unemployment rate by 2022.

The Fed will be under pressure to begin to phase out of quantitative easing and that leads to a major market decline likely toward year-end 2014. Withdrawal is a bitch whether a controlled substance or (made-up) money.

With that traditional hedges, like gold could fall further, perhaps under a thousand/ per ounce but first a rally to 1,400 is possible near term.

By 2022: Need for new war for economic stimulus to end Depression 2.

Market high may be in this week, with other turn dates at the end of January, late April…summer rally, fall decline pattern returns.

Wild card: Rabi Yitzak Kaduri’s prediction that the Jewish Messiah will reveal himself after the passing of Ariel Sharon…and as you know, he’s been in a coma since 2006 and his condition is deteriorating.

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Coast to Coast Reader Notes

A few words about CAP – Computed Aided Prediction What’s a web bot? Term first used commercially to describe “central control software for controlling the operation of an automatic utility meter reader system comprised of utility meters interconnected via the Internet” by MU Net of Lexington, Mass Common use in 2000 as short for “internet /or/ web robot” Wikipedia: “a software application that runs automated tasks over the Internet.” Current Approaches: Astrology (oldest) Religious or drug experience Language shift studies Word-frequency analysis (change) (with fine structure-constant or without) Indicator phrase studies Time-referencing language studies Cycle analytics (May be WFA/FSc related) Search queries …and combinations in conjunction with expert/learning systems What Works Best?

Coping: Futuring with Music of the Markets

Since I was on Coast to Coast AM with George Noory overnight, I decided (while waiting for the clock to roll around to air time) to update a bit of research I did in 2006 when I set off on a quest to see what the “music of the stock market” would sound like. The approach was simple…and anyone can replicate the results. Here’s how you go about “extracting music from markets.” 1. You begin with the data sets you want to listen to.

Who Will Have Work in 2022?

We’ve laid the ground work in a couple of recent Peoplenomics reports (“Tax Robotics: Unwrapping the Future” and “Taxing Thoughts: Fighting the Wrong War.”) The first report deals with the new technologies such as 3D printing that will continue to impact manufacturing and then there is the ongoing destruction of labor demand by ever-increasing levels of factory automation. Then we look at the problem of funding government’s various roles via the income tax on humans, but not machines, in the “Taxing Thoughts” report.

The Fukushima Chill Pill

Excuse (yet another) interruption in the merriment.  But one of our prime sources (a real reactor –runner himself)  on all things “glowing” (as in Fukushima) tells us some interesting “tone it down a notch” in terms of the Fukushima Fear Dance:

Hi George,

Happy New Year to you and yours.

I wanted to reach out to you regarding your post at US regarding the federal solicitation for 14 million doses of KI tablets (https://urbansurvival.com/2013/12/31/14-million-what/).  I have avoided commenting on anything related to Fukushima lately as the noise to signal ratio is just off the charts and I tend to go on a rant when I see the mountains of misinformation out there.  Over the last 6 months Fukushima was gonna kill us all because:  We were all going to die because TEPCO is doing fuel routine movements to secure fuel (Reality – the evolutions have been going off without a hitch and fuel is being secured from the spent fuel pools).  Then a bunch of Navy sailors were all dying because they got an extra dose of radiation equivalent to about one tanning bed session (Reality, I want to see the full roster and their medical conditions, plus we are not allowed to talk about the asbestos and chemical hazards the carrier group sailed through to get to Fukushima, it has to be the radiation), and now this. 

The solicitation in question is almost certainly part of the standard procurement cycle for Project Bioshield (https://www.medicalcountermeasures.gov/barda/stockpiling.aspx)  The law was renewed in 2013 and the new rounds of procurement were to begin around the time of the government shutdown.  As part of the national effort to stockpile vaccines and other medical countermeasures (MCMs), the Department of Health and Human Services is the coordinating agency to procure various drugs and vaccines.  The last purchase of KI tablets under this program was 2005.  Depending on the vendor, KI tablets have a shelf life of 5-7 years (http://www.nrc.gov/about-nrc/emerg-preparedness/about-emerg-preparedness/potassium-iodide/ki-faq.html#shelflife), so this puts this procurement at the far end of the shelf life for the national stockpile.

I know nuclear topics generate a ton of fear.  Hopefully this can help calm a few of those worries, though I doubt anyone will believe me.  What do I know, I’m just a nuclear engineer.

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14-Million What?

A thousand pardons on this auspicious day for this interruption…. But we have just come across this very interesting Federal requisition request. They’re looking for Potassium Iodide, the kind of stuff to have on hand in the event of a nuclear incident of some kind. Or, in event of “dirty” terrorism. They (HHS) specifically are looking for 700,000 packages of 20 doses per packed.

Home Prices Recovering

New data out from S&P/Dow Jones on the Case Shiller housing index:

New York, December 31, 2013 – Data through October 2013, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices, showed that the 10-City and 20-City Composites posted year-over-year gains of 13.6%. This is their highest gain since February 2006 and marks the seventeenth consecutive month that both Composites increased on an annual basis.

In October 2013, the two Composites showed a small gain of 0.2% for the month. Eighteen cities posted lower monthly rates in October than in September. After 19 months of gains, San Francisco showed a slightly negative return. Phoenix held onto its streak and posted its 25th consecutive increase.

“Home prices increased again in October,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “Both Composites’ annual returns have been in double-digit territory since March 2013 and increasing; now up 13.6% in the year ending in October. However, monthly numbers show we are living on borrowed time and the boom is fading.

“The year-over-year figures increased slightly from last month. Thirteen cities and both Composites posted double-digit annual returns.

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Major Derailment–Quake Coming?

Time to place detective on a rail wreck.  Why?  We’ve had anecdotal reports from readers in the South (Arkansas) of noises reminiscent of ”Seneca Guns”  [mistpouffers] in the last couple of weeks.  But our antennae are up even more this morning with word of the massive oil train derailment up in North Dakota.  They a 100+ car oil tanker train of crude oil derailed and the town of Casselton has been evacuated.  Reports of the incident show a tremendous fireball and the like.

All of which is interesting, in and of itself, but one has to wonder whether land movement, or something else, is at fault. (So to speak.)

An inspection of our library of our extensive research tools reveals that Casselton is about 18u-miles west of Fargo, ND, and majority of traffic east-west is on the Burlington Northern-Santa Fe line.

Casselton is where several other lines cross.  To the north of town, there’s an abandoned right of way that used to connect up to Amenia and Vance, ND.  And the rail library shows a Red River Valley & Western line running down to Chaffee Line Jct. and another Red River line used to head southwest toward Lucas, ND.

West of Casselton about 3 1/2 miles is a switch point where the main BN/SF continues west and  a branch heads northwest up toward New Rockford, ND.

As we paw through the reports, what we find are references to the derailment being “about a mile” west of town.  That’s where the Red River Valley & Western line heads south.

Our little mapping exercise here was done compiling data from North American Railroad Map for Windows  and Microsoft Streets and Trips 2013  – some valuable tools for the news junkie to have in the hot/standby mode.  The rail map is a must-have for preppers looking for ways to get around in the event of whatever…after the fact, level, yada, yada…

A quick check of rainfall (that might contribute to trackage issues, shows the month to date precip is about half an inch over normal, but normal is pretty dry and it was –18 when I looked this morning, so nothing’s going to be slipping around much

So, based on the location and other factors, my guess is that it’s just a regular accident.  The kind of thing that happens when pipeline opponents delay in-ground and rail takes up the job of moving oil around.  Both have issues, but Monday, Casselton, ND’s number came up.

Automating Airport Security

Remember our discussion is past weeks about how robotic applications will come along to replace humans whenever they can?  Well, an article in the Wall St.

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Coping: The Woo Road Near Medford

I’ve written to you many times about the odd goings on in the world that we are slowly sneaking up on…those events called “woo” (formerly wujo, but that term was obsoleted by a language change).  What we are piecing together is the idea – from ongoing reader reports – that the world really may be operating in accordance with Everett’s Many World’s Interpretation  (MWI) of quantum mechanics.

The overview of how this all operates is presented in the Nov. 1 article “Preppers as Procogs” and the drawing, if nothing else, are worth a quick review if you haven’t seen them.  It shows have the world “on average” can split and then “rejoin” itself.

All of which is necessary baseline to report the adventures of reader Pat, who lives in the Medford, Oregon area.

A troubled-sounding email came in from her on Boxing Day:

“…on December 24, i was exiting the south exit of Medford and there was a sudden shift of something (i was in the right place but not the right time)and the exit was unrecognizable. the street was wider, landmarks were different. my first impulse was to hit the brakes since i felt the “cat held over running water syndrome” but i gritted my teeth held onto the steering wheel for dear life as they say and by the time i reached the merging traffic into Medford i was back in familiar surroundings. it was horribly weird and tho i probe the incident in my mind like something stuck in my teeth i cannot make sense of it and have told only one person because it feels like i slipped a cog and lost my mind on the south Medford Oregon off-ramp for 15 seconds or so on Christmas eve.   -pat

As you’d expect, this has been deeply troubling Pat.  So I was pleased to receive another email from her Monday with the subject line “Revisited that south Medford exit over the weekend….”

“…and it is only a single lane exit not a six lane (three exit-three entrance) on and off the highway. that was such an uncomfortable experience i dont think i will take the everyday world for granted again. i am a person who takes landmarks very seriously.

i have such a strong feeling that something terrible (like a tsunami of plain old bad) and life changing is about to happen in the near future and it seems to be a feeling shared by many people. could it be a universal knowing or perhaps fostered by a sharing on the internet?

regarding everything is a business model.

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Wall St. – Social Disease Outbreak?

We’re asking the penetrating question this morning about when a “social” disease outbreak is about to hit Wall Street. Not the crabs or the siff…No, the “social” disease may follow in the wake of the interesting moves last week in social media-related stocks and Twitter, in particular, that on Friday dropped 13%. As we’ve reported elsewhere, when good companies like Apple (which actually makes physical products) are selling for 4.1 times their book value, how is it that Twitter can support a price to book of 48.8 times?

Coping: “Phantom Time” and a “Woo” Report

A number of readers have asked me to research a bit into “phantom time” which (even if you haven’t read Anatoly Fomenko’s History: Fiction or Science? (Chronology, No. 1)) is an intriguing notion that would destroy a lot of present-day thinking.

The Wikipedia notes on “Phantom Time” relegate the idea to the the trash heap, at least on the surface:

The phantom time hypothesis is a revisionist history and conspiracy theory developed in the 1980s and ’90s by German historian and publisher Heribert Illig (born 1947 in Vohenstrauß, Germany). The hypothesis proposes that periods of history, specifically that of Europe during the Early Middle Ages (AD 614–911), are either wrongly dated, or did not occur at all, and that there has been a systematic effort to cover up that fact. Illig believed that this was achieved through the alteration, misrepresentation, and forgery of documentary and physical evidence.[

Of course, Fomenko is not the only researcher to come to the conclusion that there may be 325 years just “made up” in our historical past.  Oh, and as Fomenko contends, some of the key figures of what we take to be legit history were more likely made-up fictions who were given names of never-lived people or patterned after then-current-day folk heroes of Roman times. 

This is a battle that you’re likely to hear a lot more about.  One reason is that the wide-open communication of the internet makes it possible for people to simply “make up” a good yarn and use it to drive traffic to a web site.  It works, too.

And the other reason, of course is that “truth” is a very slippery and subjective thing, subject to the winds blowing through society at a particular time.  Which is why what an avid Christian may believe about “law” and “justice” may be considerably different than what an avid Muslim, or Buddhist, may believe about “law” and “justice.” 

Much of what’s believed is contextual and is based in no small part of how your personal operating system was installed.  I refer to the low-level formatting of your perceptions by your parents, their actions, and conferred belief structures.  Hell…their whole “way of being” is passed on at a low level that most people never get around to inspecting.

So, having said all this, yes, there are inconsistencies in the historical data, and researchers like Dr. Hans-Ulrich Niemitz (Berlin) have published some quite remarkable papers like the one “Did the Early Middle Ages Really Exist?” which may be studied online here; it’s 15 pages worth.

This a very worthy paper because it gets to the heart of the calendar-settings debate:

It seems, unbelievably, that Caesar introduced his calendar in 325 AD. This is unbelievable because by then he had already been dead for more than 300 years. If 16 centuries had passed since Caesar’s introduction of his calendar, the Julian calendar in Gregory’s time would have been out of sync with the astronomical situation by 13 days, not 10.

Others, including Fomenko, have noticed oddities like this, too/  Yet defenders of the old (Western) calendar cite factors like dendrochronology, which is the study of tree rings to make their case.

The problem is that even a “hard science” like dendrochronology has issues.  For example, if a block of 325 years really was just twisted out of the conventional time-line by the mad monks a-marketing, who did extensive historical revisionism as part of the rewrites of Biblical history in order to “age” Christianity relative to the new religion on the block (Islam), there’s nothing in the tree rings that says “anchor Islam here.” Or, anchor “Christianity here.”

As Hans-Ulrich Niemitz’s work notes:

Uwe Topper and Manfred Zeller pointed out how to resolve some important riddles and research problems of the Islamic and Persian-Arab-Byzantine world using the thesis of the phantom years. Firdowsis’ well-known epic, the Shahname, written around 1010 AD, ends with the last Persian king Yazdegird III, who died 651 AD. The epic tells nothing about the Islamic conquest of Persia and has no allusions to Islam at all.

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Taxing Thoughts: Fighting the Wrong War

Peoplenomics this weekend is being posted in two parts as we continue our exploration of the idea that we’re fighting the wrong wars. Rather than right/left, it really may reduce to who owns the means of production and who owns the capital. One thing is clear; it ain’t you and me. We’ll get to that just as soon as we review some of the headlines and then work around to our proposal to tax robotics. More for Subscribers ||| SUBSCRIBE NOW!

Friday: The Day the East Coast Nearly Died?

I am not often compelled to take time out to post additional material than other at our scheduled times. However, this came in this afternoon from the European Seismographic agency and it reports a magnitude 5.3 quake less than 30-miles from the Island of La Palma in the Canary Islands. 10 km deep, which is not very and it could have been a small undersea slide. Whether a large earthquake in the vicinity of the Island could trigger an undersea landslide, which has the potential (by some researchers) to send a mega tsunami washing westward, where in 6-8 hours time it would send large waves into the US East Coast, destroying everything within a few hundred feet of sea level, is presently debated.