Not too many people speak fondly of Thomas Bayes. But, in the world of statistics Bayesian analysis. We will save the in-depth article on the application of Baye’s theory to improve trading returns while being able to make your “news predictions” nearly god-like in their accuracy. Because the real point is that “One of the … Read More
Israel was founded May 14, 1948. So, by our reckoning, their 72-year cycle “existential war” should not begin until late winter or early spring of next year. Yet, here we are on the verge of a quick, decisive ground war into PLO/Gaza land almost a year ahead of historical cycles. The US market is set … Read More
While Peoplenomics’ main focus is economics, there’s a secondary focus on “living well.” We reckon part of that to be doing a fair bit of “spiritual work.” Going into those realms in an unavoidable future problem for everyone. Today, we will dabble our toes in the waters of a “Grand Unified Theory of Everything” (*GUTE) … Read More
For your Reading File: Before we jump in to this morning’s notes on superior prepping and living the ideal “strategic life” there are two books you ought to have on your reading list because they are great values. One is Gaye Levy’s “Prepper’s Guide to Food Storage: A Practical Guide to Storing Food For the … Read More
The most significant thing on this agenda today is Job numbers. As always, there is a hype number and there are real numbers. Here’s the key part of the actual data to look at: Since I’ve been writing “news” for half a century now, here’s how an honest press release would read based on the … Read More
The storm clouds are already gathering. Wednesday, the US Federal Reserve announced a continuation of the L4L (lower for longer) interest rate protocol. They couldn’t raise rates. And today, the Bank of England followed suit, announcing: “Our Monetary Policy Committee has voted unanimously to maintain Bank Rate at 0.75%. The committee also voted unanimously to … Read More
Last weekend, the lowland lakes trout season opened up in Washington State. Surprisingly, many states “back east” (like Pennsylvania, for example) have already been open a while. The story in Washington State (at least in local fishing lore) is that the reason for the late opener is that if fishing opens before Easter, then church … Read More
Understanding China’s “Belt and Road Initiative” is key to understanding the shifting sands of planetary economic warfare. Although it gets little mention in the American Mainstream, it will likely join other monumental forces at work shaping our future; such as anti-gravity, artificial intelligence, and resource depletion as the Grand Strategies. Together, these “new forces” will … Read More
The press release is more eloquent that me: NEW YORK, APRIL 30, 2019 – S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for February 2019 shows that the rate of home price increases across the U.S. has continued … Read More
Here, have another witch hunt? Unable to come up with “collusion” or even an obstruction of justice charge, democrats are now pinning their hopes on the incoming New York state attorney general. Gotham media, like the NY Times are bashing away, in concert with the newly forming New York lynch mob in stories like “Trump … Read More
There’s so much on the economic “dance card” this week that extra deodorant may be needed by Friday. Let’s begin with a short boogie through some news, shall we? First however: Many people hate Mondays, but compared to other days of the week, we get off easy. For one, there are only 52 of them … Read More
U.S. Navy “mass reduction” patents have been surfacing lately. That’s obscura for anti-gravity. Like it, or not, we may be, as a civilization, on the cusp of a greater breakthrough than atomic power, electricity, or anything else we have been able to realize so far. But, there may be some dark sides to such a … Read More
Got some keen insight into reality a couple of years back. Oilman2‘s son was doing some work for us on a project and on a lunch break we got to talking about “friends” on social media. He was just finishing college and had lots of friends on social media. But, he was shocked at how real friends work … Read More