We begin with the “Comms drill” report first. Since being an extra class ham radio guy, who has been in charge of all kinds of computery stuff over the decades, this was a real series of Crashcading Events that was both sobering and instructive. Friday’s Digital Crashcade Life changed here at 4 PM Friday afternoon. … Read More
Calling market tops is dicey at best. But we have been calling the July 31st top as “it” for over a month now. But that’s only a small part of the forecaster’s dilemma. The attending problem is “Where to from here?” Today, a deep-dive into waveforms, history, momentum dynamics, and even some high-leverage gambling notes. … Read More
Having figured out that investing can’t be done anymore, and Life is now all about Gambler’s Money Management, I haven’t particularly cared about playing this initial decline into Wave 3. “Wave 3? Want to Explain, Ure?” Let me roll out the white board, huff up some marker smell, and line out the bullet points of how … Read More
There is a reason our Peoplenomics report Wednesday focused on the light-up (into World War 3). Because the waveforms are screaming odds of a replay of 1929 are materializing before us. Consider this view of the pre-Depression Dow and our own Aggregate Index work which is a meta index more suited to widely dispersed modern markets: We … Read More
Weren’t we offering this same kind of advice back in the fall of 2008? Yes, sad to say. But if we toss in Turkey as a coming front (with Greece) there are 9-fronts open today (or is it 10?) and goods are topped up, you have plans for survival gardening as season permit and you … Read More
Strangeness is in circulation. OK, Monday’s report was just a bit long. But as feedback has come in, a useful thought or two, have become apparent. The first strange event happened at 5:31 AM today. Elaine called on the Alexa intercom (which we have in every room). “Did you want me to watch what you … Read More
Time “runs out” for “normal” in just one week’s time. At least that’s our present read on how “future arrives.” Fortune-telling is a little different than “future-telling” in that it’s “hit rate” is more impressive. As you know, fortune-telling involves sweeping generalizations which – after the fact – can be explained as a proper “seeing … Read More
We have had the same wooden backdoor on the house for all 20-some years we have been here. It was patched a couple of years ago – raccoons the guilty party then. Here lately, it’s been the possums. Once they got through the torn screens, then here comes the feral cats. It was time. So, … Read More
We are entering a critical 10-day window now. Yes, it is the economy, stupid. And despite the hype, there’s a real lack of solid growth and anything that could be sold to the marginally aware as opportunity. A few headlines, of course. But our main focus on weekends is mainly on the charts. And for … Read More
Four real brain buckets to fill today, maybe five. #1 Problem: Auto Steee-Rike!~ Workers are on strike at all 3 Detroit auto makers for the first time in their union’s history. This is not the kind of problem you want with one war going, and another (OK, other’s) likely-to-possible. And with a re-election bid in … Read More
Trifecta of marvelous topics to wend our way through today. Our headline, of course, is the tiniest view of today that’s possible. Like looking at Earth through the Webb telescope from halfway across Everything. The details when we arrange by time of occurrence, So, if you’re set to reverse-rendered Pomodoro with us… Retail Goldilocks Economics … Read More
Forgive our focus on odds of war this month over Taiwan. But… A dark of the moon is at hand. Weather has started to move out of the potential battle theater. And we see a high probability that China will make its move before additional U.S. arms land in the R.O.C. This is an incredibly … Read More
The economics are always the lead around here, this being a one-man economics rag, more or less. So, four items for this morning’s pre-flight checklist. #1 NFIB Small Business Outlook Big companies like Apple and Tesla get the headlines almost daily. But the nation’s small business gives a sometimes very different take on things. Especially when … Read More