News

Since Urban is (nominally) a long wave economics site – which gets wildly off-track because its writer-in-chief is seriously ADHD – we will try to keep things in order by starting with some “economic reality.” All-Time-Hype We continue to sit with market’s poised for a monstrous collapse in coming weeks based on our Aggregate Markets work.  Yes, … Read More

“The Moment Before Touch” is where markets, Life, and petty dictator mandates have us waking today.  As the future of Taiwan continues sketchy and as (we pointed out on PN yesterday) the SoCal ports last month moved 6 PERCENT LESS CARGO than a year-ago.  Evidence to our simple minds that shortages (like not really vaccines) … Read More

That’s a “Science-Based Religion” plugin?  An add-on for religions (and political parties).  Which only sounds crazy until you consider the increasing levels of interpersonal warfare underway in digital realms. Humans are – to a large degree – stimulus mirrors. If you have institutions that hate and people swim in that polluted space all day, of … Read More

Been up since the wee’s again.  Working on tomorrow’s Peoplenomics report.  With already the payoff that I think I now know where “halos” came from in various religions… Watching the futures prices overnight and early, I was struck by another EXCTRAORDINARILY close hit to a predicted retracement level in our Elliott wave estimation spreadsheet based on the … Read More

Just out is Industrial Production. “Release Date: October 18, 2021 Industrial production fell 1.3 percent in September after moving down 0.1 percent in August; output was previously reported to have risen 0.4 percent in August. In September, manufacturing output decreased 0.7 percent: The production of motor vehicles and parts fell 7.2 percent, as shortages of semiconductors continued to hobble operations, … Read More

Reader Note:  Do not adjust your monitor!  (Sounds like the “Outer Limits” dude, huh?)  Yes, our logo is smaller for better appearance as in more screen space for content.  Like/Dislike is now at end of post. We are, dear Reader, on the cusp today. You see, as of Friday, our Peoplenomics Aggregate Index met our long-forecast … Read More

Sorry I didn’t get to this a little sooner (like a week ago) but turns out tiling a kitchen is not one of the fastest things to take on as a “home improvement project.” If you’re in a hurry, might we suggest Formica or Wilsonart from the Home Despots or Lowes? Seriously:  Tile Causes Time Dilation! … Read More

Wherein we look at Future’s “deal” over the next couple of years. Expanding with personal responses that follow the Friday UrbanSurvival column outline. While we await the next “turns of the screws” – indicated by the market opening bell Monday. Our eyes will be scanning the western horizon for hints about how Taiwan will play … Read More

The global economy is on the verge of collapse in coming weeks. Before we get into “How grim is it?”  We need to roll out one of the major numbers that will drive future:  Retail Sales.  Just out: Also out some imported energy data from Labor: “Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.4 percent in September following … Read More

Breaking:  PPI and Jobs Producer Prices report first:> “The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices moved up 0.7 percent in August and 1.0 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index … Read More

A series of thought-experiments to ponder.  Which may be useful, given this morning’s release of CPI data which we will get to right away. We’re actually in a Depression right now.  But it’s being effectively papered-over.  We see through the fog of collapse by looking at some units sold figures. Also today:  Ways to extend … Read More

We’ll “set the table” today with a report just out from the National Federation of Independent Business which issues a monthly “Small Business Optimism Index.” Well, except it’s not too optimistic just now:  Here’s the top of the press release. “WASHINGTON, D.C. (Oct. 12, 2021) — The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased one point in September to … Read More

We should deal with the Fall Fizzle, first. As I explained for Peoplenomics subscribers in a lot of depth this weekend, the “good news” is that Taiwan’s reunification is now looking like September 2022. For this morning, our Market view is we may get one more leg higher this week, since only the very lowest of our … Read More