Remarkably, Amazon still has these in stock: GQ GMC-500Plus Geiger Counter Nuclear Radiation Detector Monitor Dosimeter, White. Which we “Last purchased Sep 16, 2023.”
It’s just under $140 (click the coupon!) and it recharges off your everyday USB-C connector and wart.
If you don’t understand why this is so amazing, that the Zon would have stock of this, let me give you the Beginning Reporter’s View of News. It will explain all (hopefully).
How News Leads to Future
“Before the stampede, something moves the herd.”
The Hamas invasion into Israel this weekend is impacting the (global herd) this week. However, it is not unexpected.
- Iran has been swearing to “end the existence of Israel” for several of its presidents.
- The U.S. (president and State) have been paying money we held (spoils of war) fair and square to Iran. That should have been tax money! Much of the money (cash) has been used supporting Iranian militants.
- It’s also clear that this new front (we think Ukraine fighting may have triggered WW3 – the Manufacturer’s Resource Wars – things will only get worse from here: Fresh rocket attacks and ground battles as Israel and Hamas conflict intensifies.
- Iran – which in our assessment likely has several (as many as 5-8 nuclear weapons now – is looking to lock arms with other belligerents who can’t leave Israel alone. Iran calls for emergency OIC meeting as Israel battles Hamas | Reuters
- In Lebanon, which we expect to become the second front in this conflict (since it is already), the link-up between Hamas and Hezbollah means greater military coordination is evolving on the Islamist’s side. Hezbollah Issues Threat to Israel, US as Hamas War Escalates.
- Responding, the U.S. has dispatched elements of naval forces. Which is almost ironic, Being Fleet Week: More than 123K displaced in Gaza after attack, UN says; US sending warships, ammunition to Israel.
As a “junior reporter” it should be clear from these contexts that supply chains of war materiel are being ramped up. As they do, the Islamists are threatening to gang up on (swarm) Israel. As early as before the end of this year.
Hezbollah Issues Threat to Israel, US as Hamas War Escalates (newsweek.com). Which then sets off the chain reaction of? Now Missiles From Lebanon Threaten to Blow Up Wider Israel War. When there’s blood in the water, the sharks will swirl.
The cloud over this new front (WW3) is Iran is a nuclear power – and none of the free-money for Mullahs in the Obama three terms (2 elected, and 3rd being effectively). Stupid democrats seem anxious to give away spoils of conflict.
Israel, not blinded by antisemitic bullshit (everyone in the Middle East is a Semite), will not give Iran a chance to launch. There is a problem, however, in that they cannot stop Iran via software (tried with Stuxnet) and they can’t through negotiations.
No one (with half a brain) would engage in nuclear first use. UNLESS it was a “no conventional options” problem. As in Iran is now actively in link and supply chain mode with multiple entities. In response, Israel, too, knows the onl way then can destroy Iranian nuclear assets is preemptive. Again, likely before the Armageddon Supply chains are operational. Before year end.
Israel is likely still around today because of the secret development of their own nuclear weapons program in the 1960s. Some speculation was their bomb was detonated in the South Atlantic away from South Africa.
As to more recent activities: Take the time to read the Nuclear Threat Initiative summary on Israel (nti.org).
The Iranian nuclear development is widely believed to be built into mountain caves. But Israel’s “nuclear underbelly” is in more open country. At Dimona in the Negev desert region:
“Dimona was one of the development towns created in the 1950s under the leadership of Israel’s first Prime Minister, David Ben-Gurion. Dimona itself was conceived in 1953. The location chosen was close to the Dead Sea Works. It was established in 1955. The first residents were Jewish immigrants from North Africa, with an initial 36 families being the first to settle there. Its population in 1955 was about 300.
By the way, population there is over 36,000 nowadays.
The reportorial perspective on this becomes watching two fighters of vastly differing styles. If you read into Islamic history very far, you can begin to see how certain elements on the Islamic side are very much predisposed to explosive devices for political ends. In particular, the Baath Party in Lebanon is recalled from stories like Car bomb kills over 50 near Damascus ruling party office | Reuters which was back in 2013. Point is local explosions (of all sizes) are a key political tool.
At the moment, the international community is about worthless: UN Security Council fails to reach consensus on condemnation of Hamas. We hold the idea whoever swings the first punch is wrong.
This is how old man Ure’s reaction speed is this morning. You can test yours over here and it’s very good to keep an eye on reaction speeds as you’re aging. BTW, as a rough guide, young gunslingers hold an advantage the older their opponent is. At that reaction speed page, if you look at the data, 84-year-olds can have reactions a full one second in length and be normal.
Reactions matter today because in MOUT (mobile operations in urban terrain) super-fast reactions are critical when clearing residences and so forth. Where were we? Oh yes….
As a result of Hamas throwing the first punch in this title rematch – and with a few prophecy sites around the web hinting at an existential war for Israel’s existence likely before the end of this year with postings in late Spring of this year, we would shade the odds about 60-40 that Israel would strike first but then everyone jumps in both nuclear as well as conventional. Summer in East Texas hits only the upper 70s next year in the onset of nuclear winter. But it does end climate concerns for survivors…. Ki4U.com – and say high to Shane Connor for us…and absolutely watch his free video on YouTube. The Good News About Nuclear Destruction – Shane Connor. It is survivable.
Now, is our Gieger counter making sense, yet?
At the Front:
Fighting in Ukraine is now taking a back seat to the Gog-Magog table setting. Much as G.A. Stewart has been writing over on his site. In particular saying this weekend’s events were “no surprise to my readers.”
And tape off a few minutes to read Ominous Russian report on Israel: “Hamas has expanded its zone of control – Its strategy & objectives – How its forces are moving” (maps) and watch the related video.
After that, if you have a paywall key, let Russia’s Economy Is Increasingly Structured Around Its War in Ukraine – NYT sink in. Russia is experiencing an economic stimulus from the Ukraine war…which we figured would be due.
Taiwan might pop as the third major front this week, too: As I have told you many times, my consigliere has been whispering “After the World Games in China, not during.” But since those wrapped up this weekend – Games-Taiwan, Japan, China win last golds in Hangzhou. It means China will be able to pivot their people right into backing a Taiwan move.
China wants to see how far they can bully Taiwan. China Extends Taiwan Trade Probe, Taipei Cries Election Interference. This comes while a US delegation is visiting. A nice trip to China hasn’t improved one US senators behavior: US Senate Majority Leader Schumer criticizes China for not supporting Israel. Which plays well for him, maybe, since Schumer is Jewish, folks back home and all. But it wasn’t particularly smart, given China wants Taiwan, AND, China is very sensitive to “face.” My point is Schumer criticized his host, which if you understand Asian culture, is not something you do.
How does all this tie up as Ure screaming “World War 3! Get ready!“??? An AP analysis on point was very good: Some in Congress want to cut Ukraine aid and boost Taiwan’s. But Taiwan sees its fate tied to Kyiv’s.
Related to Taiwan – since it’s likely down to president Xi’s timing call, now: Biden approves emergency declaration for Guam in response to Bolaven | Guam News. You DO know Bolaven expected to pass between Rota and Tinian | News | guampdn.com? But storm damage around the base where your opponent would have to respond from, may occur to Xi, as it has for us.
It’s OK, you’ll have more money for WW3, right? Because we just know you’re going to win this week: No winner as Powerball jackpot soars to at least $1.55 billion. (Don’t forget to tip the house 10%!)
You…lucky taxpayer…will be writing checks for a second MAJOR front, which as it speeds up will give China a further advantage taking Taiwan (next weekend or over the 10-10 Holiday in Asia? How do we get Xi to hold onto Schumer for a while?
Double 10 is a very Big Deal: Historically it commemorates the Wuchang Uprising of 1911 that overthrew the Chinese emperor and established a republican form of government. It was not a clean end. Still problems in China in 1926 when the Steve McQueen movie The Sand Pebbles (film) was set. So do a little reading on the Wuchang Uprising.
Impact of War on Markets
Our Houston Bureau reminds us to mention Brent, WTI prices jump after Hamas attack on Israel (cnbc.com).
The stock futures were down as we went to clicks today:
We have to admit that the financial press doesn’t seem to have noticed that World War 3 is game on, expanding, resources in play. Missing this critical context is missing the good returns.
That’s OK with us: I told you this weekend I’d gone into the weekend in a short position index fund. Nailing our entry Friday at $15.53, our position was trading as high as $15.88 in the pre-open, so maybe out around $16 and change later on? THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. I’m an idiot playing the penny slots and compounding his returns with lots of small trades. I mention my addiction to “investing” and do own the domain name investorsanonymous.org, lol.
To Repeat: What I do is gambling which almost becomes a sure thing if you understand money management. You knew that, right?
Passing on the Tape
Once again, I have been overlooked for a Nobel Prize. Nobel economics prize goes to professor for advancing understanding of women’s labor market outcomes. We will take a moment, though, to call out the “economics” profession for contributing to the global divide. We’re not fans of gender nor race-based economics. Because as soon as you begin to count and create data there will be some aspect of division in tow. Which then fuels victimhood which leads to politicians working the topic – and in clouds of swirling confusion, American Equality has been replaced with the equity nonsense which this sure looks to be part of.
Lots of Drugs for ADHD. You wouldn’t know it from reading the Drudge report headline: Warning over shortage of ADHD medication as patients reveal they have had to try dozens of pharmacies to get hold of tablets as charity compares impact to ‘removing a wheelchair from a disabled person’ | Daily Mail Online. In other words, this is a UK story. Not news in America. Which then has us asking “Who’s running Drudge these days?” My guess is a foreign editor, as I infer a lot from story selection.
ATR: Old Men and their Motorcycles
Special Note for Reader Hank in Hawaii (HinH): He posted a comment wanting one of those red baseball hats that says “Make Orwell Fiction Again.”
Subscriber MarkR to the rescue! “HinH: $20 from https://makeorwellfictionagain.com/
That’s the proper ‘tude around here. Thoughtful, truthful, tasteful…
When the world’s going to shit and markets are ready to tank, it’s useful to find a story that remind us all of better times. Such is He Raced This 114-Year-Old Motorcycle Cross-Country and Won on the Wall St. Journal site.
I’ve owned a number of bikes in my lifetime. A 50 CC Suzuki was the learner bike. After that came my rotary-valve Yamaha RD-350 Cafe racer. From there (in 1974) it was on to my first brand new bike, a Honda (single) XL-350. Which would later be raced up and down the taxiway at BCAC in Renton, where Jordan’s king Hussein rode it up and down the taxiway for a while. (Was he a prince then; can I be that old?)
The last bike? That was a Yamaha Virago 650 shaft-drive.
Point of all this? A man’s life (if you’re an adventurer) is defined by our tools and our vehicles. Someone who has never been underwater, flown their own plane a bit, and has owned at least one serious performance land vehicle has not really lived much of a life. 10+ years of liveaboard sailing, Beechcraft, and 930 cover some bases?
Life is for adventuring. As I point out in my book Packing to Die, it’s all about the memories, you get in Life. When we “level up” we bring what’s between our ears. It’s what we’ve been living – shopping for! And you can take it with you when comes to memories!
I’ve found it tremendously useful to remember that our “REAL job” in life is to go around collecting memories to take with us to (whatever is next). People aren’t worth much if they don’t see the Whole of Life as a time to snag free adventures. E-Ticket Ride video, baby!
Such a thought – above all – is the finest reason there is to get out of bed early and get to the gathering. We are only here every day until we’re not so it’s time to put “raw memory materials” in your head every day.
Which – I know you got a schedule and all – gets me to a read of Ted Simon’s book “Jupiter’s Travels: Four Years Around the World on a Triumph.” I interviewed him for our Sunday morning public affairs/news program at KMPS back in the day (1980-ish). Grand fellow, Simon. Lived a great story – one after the other through the entire book. Best part is it’s nonfiction. Guy did it – ride about the world.
Others fit into the Global Bikerster mold. Financial legend Jim Rogers did something similar. 22-months and 50-odd countries in “Investment Biker: Around the World with Jim Rogers.” A different set of rockers, for sure.
By the way, both of these have Audibles versions for around 6-7 bucks a throw.
Off to the chow hall. A tough weekend of cutting up my drone-grabbing tree (which will never try that again!) has reminded me I need to keep my “boyish” figure.” All this exercise lately is wreaking havoc with it.
I know you may think our call (*before this latest war front opened) for “markets halved by New Years may have sounded crazy. But that was last week.
Write when you get rich,