A familiar theme around here is the idea that social cohesion is failing. We see it as the direct result of “social media fractures” which are in the process of mortally wounding America. Plus, several other countries, as well.
Social Cohesion is also laid at the feet of government: They continuously make the error of lying to We the People. Whether it’s Covid-19 shot effectiveness (which we saw through early), or the JFK file release, UFOs, and gloBull climate change, the pattern is the same.
While the Fast Company article about the collapse of cohesion is a good read, the specifics (in) it’s self-serving of the World Economic Forum to talk about cohesion without naming the “checkbook governance” problem.
This is where government policy is bought and paid-for (like the Section 230 protection racket for social media) by self-serving interests of the uber rich. Too damn few will call social out for what it is. But there are some bright spots: Metaverse Hype Is Like Communist Propaganda: Soviet-Born Tech Founder. But logic be damned, though.
Laughably, bitching about “social cohesion” and not the underlying greed? It’s like setting your house on fire. Then blaming the fire department when it arrives. No, it’s not the fire department’s fault. It’s the clown with the matches and gas can. Or, specifically in this case, the people wielding more currency than neurons; buying wrong-headed, self-interested outcomes. Blowing-up Social IPOs and then giving them free passes…a payoff scheme.
Nothing particularly new about this. It’s just that when the periodic failure of complex societies comes along, people seem unduly surprised.
Wikipedia’s entry on Dr. Joseph Tainter’s fine tome Collapse of Comples Societies is worth at least annual review:
“Tainter begins by categorizing and examining the often inconsistent explanations that have been offered for collapse in the literature. In Tainter’s view, while invasions, crop failures, disease or environmental degradation may be the apparent causes of societal collapse, the ultimate cause is an economic one, inherent in the structure of society rather than in external shocks which may batter them: diminishing returns on investments in social complexity. Finally, Tainter musters modern statistics to show that marginal returns on investments in energy (EROEI), education and technological innovation are diminishing today. The globalized modern world is subject to many of the same stresses that brought older societies to ruin.“
Like Tainter, we’re not pessimistic. The people decrying Urban as a “doom porn site” simply don’t comprehend the data. We’re all set to “get long” and put on the rose-colored glasses. But not until – and only if – “…some new input to an economic system is brought online, whether a technical innovation or an energy subsidy, it will often have the potential at least temporarily to raise marginal productivity”
Jabbing one-another while fattening Dr. Fauci’s resume or giving away tax money (paying ourselves off, less a 20% handling fee) is not a strategy that results in an increase in marginal productivity.
At this realization, another cause for collapse and rebirth comes into view: Robots are coming, and people are going. but in the paradoxical transition zone between old economy and new, we still need record numbers of the old technologists (like OTR truck drivers). Who will be trained and fielded in record numbers, just in time to see their business models collapse?
In this, the boom-and-bust cyclical nature of economics cannot be clearer. Or, hidden from view by WEF delusions of “social cohesion.” The illusion of collapsing cohesion is little more than an uneven peaking process as ultra-complex societies roll over.
We learned from the Internet Bubble an important lesson circa 1990-2003:
Too much change, unmetered, results in excessive social displacements. Pensions funds can’t adjust, shopping malls have recently died, and now, the work-at-home model will kill construction as surely as Covid has wrecked air travel and the cruise industry.
That’s not a “social cohesion” issue. That’s a crowd of rich pricks wanting to make their money too fast, driving complexity past unadjustable limits. If you sell jabs, technology, especially robotics and electric trucks, forced premature adaptation will break the system. To the point where government – having no more imperative to rule (after enough people see the inefficiency and lies) will then have to resort to global war to cover up the global failure of elitism.
As we shall see in the next few years.
Vlad: The Impaler?
Victoria Nuland – darling princess of the Neocons and now under Secretary of Warmongers or whatever – took over the State Department daily briefing this week to call Russia “everything in the book” while trying in intimidate Russia.
“It is Russia that created this crisis out of whole cloth.
It is Russia that has amassed 100,000 troops on Ukraine’s borders.
It is Russia that has prepared internal sabotage, destabilization, and false flag options for Ukraine.
And it is Russia that has spewed disinformation and lies about Ukraine, about the United States, and about NATO to justify its own actions.”
As Pappy taught us growing up, though: “It takes two to tango.”
So specifically, while the war drums are beaten – to the delight of the Death Machines Industry – Ms. Nuland seems to have missed two things: First, since 2014 the Kiev government (which has sloshed a lot of money in Hunter’s direction – like millions) has been playing with water supplies (*irrigation and potable) to the Russian held areas (which are Russian-speaking).
Second point she misses is (as the Financial Times pointed out editorially today) that NATO IS the one making the aggressive move, trying to shoehorn Ukraine into NATO. Which wouldn’t be happening except for the European Union’s megalomaniacal plan to subsume first Ukraine and then march on eastward toward their end-game plan: an EU sprawling from “Portugal to Vladivostok” as one (alcoholic-sounding) EU leader admitted some years back in a major Truth Leak.
Until Russia receives assurances that Euro-Megalomania will renounce intentions to bring Russia into the EU, and as part of that, hold Ukraine out of NATO, none of this ends well.
For now, the liberal psychopaths who forget detente are going all-in on demonizing Vlad the Bad. As seen in Putin is Threatening a War. Are Russians Willing to Fight It?
One last round of talks. Ultimatum next week? We shall see.
But with a three-day weekend ahead, a lot might go wrong this weekend.
One policy change Slow Joe might consider: Let the Army, Navy, and Air Force make international decisions; not the neocons. People who have been around killing people and breaking things first-hand might make more rational decisions than Foggy Bottom’s erudite power-mongers.
Regardless of the western elites, Russia’s view in Pravda today is abundantly clear: Russia and NATO: Politics does nothing, relations escalate to the host point (pravda.ru).
Global Lies Dept. II
If you’re keeping score, Xi’an, China is still locked down this morning. 13 million boxed up there fearing not only Covid but the possibility of a natural mixing tube with the seasonal hantavirus there. Then, in addition, we see 1 million locked in Yuzhou plus 5 million in Anyang in Henan province.
We mention this to put things in perspective. It’s almost laughable that China’s state-run media is rolling out GLOBALink | Fast-spreading Omicron variant taking toll in U.S. Texas-Xinhua. Along with Why is China’s zero-COVID-19 approach effective against Omicron variant?-Xinhua (news.cn).
Seems it reads like “pre-Olympics happy-talk” to us… No lockedowns in Texas, Xi. Get a grip.
We just got the new PPI data in from Labor. This is important because it is one indicator of what’s in the inflation pipeline anywhere from right now to 90-days out.
The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This rise followed advances of 1.0 percent in November and 0.6 percent in October.
On an unadjusted basis, final demand prices moved up 9.7 percent in 2021, the largest calendar-year increase since data were first calculated in 2010.
In December, the advance in the final demand index can be traced to a 0.5-percent increase in prices for final demand services. Conversely, the index for final demand goods decreased 0.4 percent.
Prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.4 percent in December following a 0.8-percent increase in November. In 2021, the index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services moved up 6.9 percent, following a 1.3-percent advance in 2020.
In addition to inflation, the Buy’ed ‘Em posse will try to tout the falling number of new unemployment claims today:
As you can see, filings were up over 100,000 but the inept financial media – spoon-fed ridiculous seasonal adjustments and swallowing them whole, will miss the whole point. (Look surprised.)
But we will hold by the reality of the overall Jobs picture: 155,975,000 working in the US in December, says the Labor Department database. Which is still less than the number of people working in October of 2018 (156,294,000). More than three years. Remember Tainter’s metrics? Negative marginal rate of return lead where, eh?
All Over the Place
California Policy Geniuses: Let’s see: Demand electric and newer trucks resulting in the supply chain mess. Then, extend medical coverage to border-jumpers which will squander state dough. Their announce plans to double-screw people on taxes. What else do these geniuses have planned? As hospitals reel, California tells coronavirus-positive medical workers to stay on the job. Brilliant. Hand them Fauci cloth virplay masks (I’ve gotta get Elaine a cosplay nurse outfit to go with hers, lol.)
Speaking of Squandering taxpayer money (and the charade of doing the public’s biz): McCarthy rejects Jan. 6 committee request for testimony about talks with Trump. The worms are still fishing. But so far, despite endless hours of media hype, still a NOTHINGBURGER.
Grease me up! An extra tablespoon of olive oil helps lower risk of death from cancer, heart disease, dementia! – Study Finds. Too late on the dementia. Though I’m convinced it’s communicated by child wokees.
Latest on the Laptop from Hell front: Memoir by Hunter Biden’s ex-wife Kathleen Buhle details his cheating, drugs. And sure, looks like the fix MIGHT be in, as the NY Post reports that a Senate panel approves LA mayor Garcetti for India ambassador. Feller had attended a Hunter “art” show. NFT art is the coolest way to pass-through payoffs I’ve ever seen, though. Slicker than Slick Willy.
Know why the government owns pot compound patents? We’ve been wondering for years, but now check this out: Cannabis compounds stopped COVID virus from infecting human cells in lab study. Gimme a booster toke, would yah? Or a kush spot in some clinical trials?
Around the Ranch
Got the storage building painted Wednesday. Installed a new hose reel out front, too. Grocery run this morning. Blah, blah, blah.
Noticed that Amazon had a super sale going on a small cheapie nightvision monocular: VABSCE Digital Night Vision Monocular for 100% Darkness, 1080p Full HD Video Long Distance Infrared Night Vision Goggles Binoculars for Hunting, Camping, Travel, Surveillance with 32 GB Micro SD Card was $68-bucks.
Speaking of NV *(assuming all you want is something bedside, not the head-mounted for the AR with special optics, ahem…) the Carson small NV which I picked up a while back for $84 is now $99. But, to our way of thinking, the price of minimal NV gear is now down in the price range where it might actually fit a modest prepping budget.
And speaking of electronic doodads, I think it was NM Mike who was complaining about having no green thumb. You can get gardening electronics real cheap that will do basic pH and Total Dissolved Solids readings for $21 bucks or so: PH Meter, TDS PPM Meter, Soild PH Tester[2021 Upgraded Version], 3 in 1 for Home Water and Garden Soil Use. I wouldn’t set up a public water supply system with this, but to get in the ballpark for veggie growing? Hell yeah.
In much of the south/southwest the water is very hard (alkaline) and rainwater catchment is a great source of pH 7 (neutral) water. I traced back my “cherry tomato” problem (they were supposed to be Beefsteaks) to our hard water.
I’ll be putting in the first few dozen plants on seed mats in the greenhouse this weekend. Got the plastic yesterday for the sidewalls. All things in time…which there is never enough of.
Write when it warms up,