Climate, Jobs, and the Left’s (pseudo) Revolution

Oh, sure, it’s not popular to “tell it like it is” anymore.  Why, the right to tell America how to think is reserved for the hyper-opinionated minions of the corporate media and their left-wing parroting shills. Still, in a few places, like here in the Outback of East Texas, there is still an ability to … Read More

Pre-Holiday Run-up Over?

Ahead of a major holiday, there are only two questions that really matter. The first is “Do I cut the lawn before the Holiday, or after the Holiday?” Do it before and the place will look strack for guests.  Do it after and you won’t spend valuable pre-holiday time when you could be shopping for … Read More

This Glorious Blow-off: Updating the 1929 Replay

Ever since the Housing Bubble bottom in 2009 we have suspected that this will be the “big one” of this lifetime for all around to see it.  That’s because none of the excesses of the financial system have been resolved, as an inspection of the Dollar’s purchasing power will reveal. While you’ve been sleeping (which … Read More

Locking Up the Monetary Brakes

What is possibly MORE important than even this morning’s job numbers – which we will get to in a sec.? The answer is the Federal Reserve standing on the brakes of easy money and shortly this should result in move of interest rates up and perhaps a decline in stocks. What I’m about to show … Read More

Buy the Numbers

Although stocks were on hold for the middle of this week, we expect to see a return to bullishness to end the week now based on the latest data. As you know, the ADP Hiring report for April showed a gain of 177,ooo jobs. But wait till you read the Challenger job cuts report just … Read More

House Price Boom Continues

Just out: NEW YORK, APRIL 25, 2017 – S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for February 2017 shows that home prices continued their rise across the country over the last 12 months. More than 27 years … Read More

MOAB but not Utah

I wasn’t going to write a long piece this morning, since it’s a holiday and I have many other things I’d rather be doing. But please take the time to carefully read this morning’s “Coping” section and understand the case I’m making – namely that government is already heavily relying on ‘computational support’ as a … Read More

Thursday Pre-Holiday Blues

Yep… markets will be closed in the U.S. tomorrow and we have a boatload of reasons NOT to want to hold stocks over three days when you’d be “locked in” to holding for the longer term. As we explained to Peoplenomics readers some months back, people have three ways they can “play the market” – even … Read More

The Big Changes that Matter Are in Background

The stock market will recover a bit more of its 200+ point nosebleed experienced earlier in the week. But there are many “moving parts” going on in background that you may not be aware of because they are not as simple to dispense and “keeping up with the class” is more than a 5-second Trump-bash. … Read More

Dow 38,228? Kashkari Right at FOMC But So What?

By our East Texas Outback reasoning, Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Fed was the only one at the FOMC meeting this week who seems to “get it” with regards to the coming mega bubble and blow-off that could come close to doubling the Dow from today’s levels between today and a year from July. Go … Read More

What is a Deficit Reduction Worth?

Time for the Grown-Ups to discuss Healthcare Spending… The basic question posed by the Wall Street Journal headline this morning is really “What’s a free lunch worth?” They point to a Congressional Budget Office report: “CBO Sees 24 Million More Uninsured, $337 Billion Deficit Cut in Coming Decade With GOP Health Plan.” Let’s do the … Read More

As Predicted Last Week, Market to Open Down Tuesday

Our Peoplenomics.com subscribers have to be delirious about the accuracy of our work.  Did I, or did I not tell ya’ll last week that the market should put in a short-term low today? Earlier, it was looking like the Dow would open down 20, but I reckon it will drop even more later on.  Then … Read More

Profound Investing Advice: What Investors Learn from Golf

WTF do people expect here? I got an email from a reader (in the Comments section) who is very, very upset with what he takes as a lack of precision in terms of forecasting the minute of popping of the mega-bubble we’re now in. Specifically, he doesn’t like the idea that when the year began, … Read More