Year-end Mini Rally – Reasonable Outlook for 2023

The market today will be starting (based on early futures) with a modest upside bias.  Which is due after the “downstroke” of the M that we posited earlier. Our outlook continues to expect a major decline in over-priced housing over the next six-months. Not to Be Conspiratorial But… My consigliere and I are both very worried … Read More

Silpidity, Chill, Slide, Durables & Incomes – Whee!

It was a chilly 9° F when I began my commute to the palatial UrbanSurvival office today. The cross-country commute (65-feet from the greenhouse to shop door) was not quite as miserably cold as up north of us: My 74-years-in-the-making “news nose” did find one angle on the cold I haven’t read before:  The CO2 … Read More

America’s “Silver Bullet Syndrome” – Can Santa Save Us?

I don’t know where the idea of the “Silver Bullet” came from.  Perhaps, it was the Lone Ranger in the youth of Boomers. There was a lot of “silver” in that teevee series.  Lemme see: Jay Silver Heels played the BF Tonto. The original masker rode the (high-ho of Hi-Yo, or “Hi ho’”) Silver four-legged vehicle. … Read More

Hard Week for the “War Party”?

There is a (sick) high art in Politics, American style.  Non-Solution. Issues come up, are cast about as “major campaign issues” – planks in party platforms – and despite being there (in the case of abortion rights) for more than half a century, they just never seem to get solved. Mind you, I’m not the … Read More

Day Trading the Weimar, Players a Bit Scrambled

Glorious Thursday!~ It was a highly profitable Fed announcement for Ure’s, truly.  And for a few of our readers, like D’Lynn for one.  Yes, it was a dandy day.  But punctuated with a reminder from my consigliere that although we are expecting something of a rally in here, “Counter Trend Trading is a great way … Read More

Social Security to Jump? Producer Prices

According to the new inflation numbers out this week, the inflation rate was “unchanged” in the latest reporting period.  (Month on month.) Not according to our grocery bills – and I expect yours, either.  In fact, inflation mainly moderated at the gas pumps.  Which, in turn was only because of some short-term relief from taxes … Read More

America’s “Third World Slide” – Faster Now!

The Corporate-Government alliances now ruling three major global factions in the world continued to chalk up power Monday.   As we reported to our Peoplenomics.com subscribers, part of what’s going on is China has it out for Donald Trump.  The reason is simply that China had a plan to subsume America and Donald Trump stirred things up … Read More

Dueling Sanctions: The Early Days of WW III

The visit of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan will go down in history, we’re thinking, along with other great historical gaffes.  Like Chamberlain on Appeasement of Hitler.  Sometimes bright people make very bad decisions. The underlying processes leading to conflict have not really changed since World War II.  In WW III, we will see more whiz-bang … Read More

Nancy Safe – World Not So Much

Some genuine “old reporter” chill is in order, here.  So much hype and so little hard news, that I think slowing down for a bit of perspective may be useful.  If nothing else, this may your help your blood pressure, right? From the top, then: A few years back, I wrote a wonderfully useful book called … Read More

Reason on Edge: Biden’s Jobs Problem, Failure of the EU?

Other than pondering UFOs and our ongoing search for “the Key” to Reality, not much else really matters in this life. Unless you’re talking about making some serious money.  That never goes out of style, for long. As long-time readers appreciate, we have long postulated that a massive market decline in the pending economic collapse … Read More

BTC Breaks Under $19,000 – Personal Income Fairytale

I told you so! Here’s what we posted Monday: We already know this all ends badly. The reason is simple:  The Wave 1 down whacked BTC from the $61,411 range (November around when stocks peaked, too) down to around $35,070 January 22. thousand.   Rounding-off (because of insufficient coffee to deal with decimals) call it a … Read More

2nd Depression Notes: NFIB & PPI Data plus 4M Woes

[Reader Survey Questions (toss answers up as comments(: We may cancel our MailChimp service that sends out notices when new updates are posted.  Anyone going to miss it? I miss $300/year… What is the ideal length/depth for our reports?  Eyeing that 1,000 word area as an “overhead limit” with longer works only going on Peoplenomics. How … Read More

1929 Compared: Powell’s Crash Crossroads -BTC Fails

Before the 1929 Comparison Chart, realize Bitcoin is collapsing. A canary in the financial coal mine has just keeled over. Just over $24,200 $23,846 as I write this, we regrettably are on track to another basic economic prediction coming true. With condolences to our readers who “took the plunge” into Bitcoin – who we fear … Read More