Why did I sit out going short this weekend?  Therein lies a useful tale about charts, caution, time value, risk and every other financial term you can conjure up. Oh, don’t get me wrong!  I’m not going bullish, or anything outright stupid like that.  It’s just a gut feeling about “pre-holiday rallies” which (gotten wrong) … Read More

I listened to the Chairman – and since I wrote up what I thought would be the “right” talking points, I was hoping for a lot more than the namby-pamby nothing burger served at Jackson’s Hole today. Didn’t talk about the cost of war and how to finance that. Didn’t talk about bases forward in … Read More

There is a much-awaited speech from Fed boss Jerome Powell up in two hours from our morning posting time. While most speculation is that he will try to “hit one down the middle” (I think that was the WSJ assessment) people don’t generally realize how much serious change is afoot in the world. As I … Read More

We are blessed with some mighty good prognosticators reading and predicting the future for us. For example, reader Ray told us what to expect in the two-way trainwreck pawned off as legit debates last night.  Here was his “preview” Monday: “Trump confirms won’t join this week’s Republican presidential debates.” What Trump is doing is far … Read More

Although we had a very-much expected pop up in the market Monday – what that Spidey sense was warning me away from on Friday of last week – we are still in an area where a modest increase in market fortunes could arise before Labor Day. Unlike most pre-holiday periods, however, this one could spin with a … Read More

No, you won’t find “huriquakes” in the O.E.D. But it was something mentioned Saturday morning to our Peoplenomics subscribers: “What not many are aware of is the problem of Earthquakes that can accompany very low-pressure systems. The Los Angeles Times mention, as long ago as 1988 that low pressure could be a driver of earthquakes:  Air … Read More

Awe crap! I don’t need another hobby, really, do I?  Unfortunately, this one just sort of sneaked up on me when my attention was diverted elsewhere. “What is Electroculture?” The best “quick read in” is my friend Robert A. Nelson’s RexResearch site summary and overview paper here: Electro-Culture: Stimulation of plant growth with electricity, magnetism, … Read More

We will spend a few minutes on the “Cycletron” spreadsheet after the ChartPack today. Looking at some ideas about the future that may be useful in plotting your own course to, and through, what seems to be coming. As you’ll remember, I built a spreadsheet that lets you consider a range of starting points from … Read More

Here’s a shocker for you:  The day after Memorial Day this year, the total U.S. Public Debt to the Penny was $31,463,988,658,765.75.  Too many numbers for this early in the day?  Then call it $31.46 trillion. As of the most recent numbers posted, the Public Debt to the Penny is up to $32,661,578,249,677.03.  But again, … Read More

The stock market seems as though Wave 2 – the big rally since fall of 2022 – is over, done, and we are at the precipice of Wave 3 down.  As we’ve explained, this wave holds potential for markets to be halved by May of 2024. As a chart, we look to the area of the … Read More

We don’t know where the idea of directed energy weapons being used on American targets came from, but it does make for a curious line of inquiry.  Which we will take up this morning after a couple of other items. Perhaps the largest of which is the ChartPack, which as we have been telling you … Read More

There’s a book from the 1960s which all the old-timers around here have read:  “Report from Iron Mountain – on the accessibility and desirability of peace.” So controversial was (and still is) the book that it has an extensive Wikipedia entry and offers insights into the modern economy’s “grow or die” problems. “The heavily footnoted … Read More