There is only one way the market can collapse next week: That is if the K.C. Chiefs score a huge upset on Super Bowl Sunday.
The hell of it is? We think that’s a pretty good possibility. But follow along the ‘business logic’ of it all and we shall see come Sunday night…
Higher than 1929 Now
We use something I call the “Aggregate Index” I cobbled up a couple of decades back. To reveal more closely the Truth about how stocks are doing.
The Dow isn’t particularly useful: Only 30-stocks can be arb’ed up, and jacked around for a pittance in relatively inexpensive options. The NASDAQ isn’t a singular indicator, either. On the upside, look at small stock bubbles. Robin the ‘hood and all. But, let’s see how the Joe Biden putting down Musk’s run at reprising “Danger, Will Robinson!” plays out. This as Joe Biden has decided to “keep Amerizuela on the ground” for now.
[Reader Note: Respecting reader wishes (momentarily) we will not refer to the progress blaster in chief as “slow Joe” today. Instead, we will call him “No-Go-Joe” – no going into space, no-go ahead for pipelines, resulting in no-go for on-going energy independence, no-go for a level climate playing field, no-go for actual borders…. Please carefully observe the markets reaction to price-fixing of federalism as we hit new all-time market highs…]. The Fix is In and Wall St. Loves it!
What would be totally graceful would be a modest rally today, then a pullback at the close to nail the 1929 Aggregate equivalent of Sep. 3, 1929. Although improbable, that’d be a three-martini statistical event around here.
Secret Sauce? Making Up Money
Any dimwit (he writes, bowing) can see the more money is sloshed into the system the higher stocks, bitcoins and other crypto-cons will roll. It’s only a matter of time until it all falls apart.
To make the case, let’s consider the most recent “feral reserve” monthly money printing festival confessional:
The Noodle is Breaking: You will notice that the three months ended Jan 1 was having its M1 smoking off the presses at an over 80% (hyperinflationary) rate. Yet, all the “easy money” pushing on the wet noodle of economics hasn’t been absorbed by the M2 which languishes (like linguini) going nowhere.
Excessively harsh? Maybe…let’s look at the H.6 Table two data (closer to present day):
Same problem: All the ‘cash’ in the world doesn’t make the “noodle stiff” – instead it’s all a papering over.
The Future scenario thus becomes (now playing in a world near you):
- Stupid Bowl plays Sunday. K.C. Chiefs score dramatic Upset win.
- Thus, today or tomorrow becomes this macro cycle’s ATH.
- When then let’s us pencil out 55-trading days from now for a Crash Date (Around April 20-28 looks interesting – note to self, look at May slightly out of the money index put options when we get there…)
All because – as one of our most astute readers of Central Bankster Tea leaves derived from the Bank of England “Help! We can’t do anything!” report this week. Wherein he cited the BoE outlook itself:
Para. 26/ 2021 gdp falls 4% to sit at 12% below 2019 levels.
Para. 30/ anecdotal statistics of a migrant labour outflow underway.
Para. 31/ 4.5 million on government wage subsidy. (UK remember)
Para. 50/ published unemployment rate to rise 50% by mid-2021.
Of course, please don’t take a pass on the piled high dessert table that ends the meeting-
Para. 67-73/ discussion surrounding a negative interest rate toolkit implementation options for current 0.1% lending rate to drop below 0. Next meeting is set for March 17th, do pop in.
The six month countdown window begins/began when? You are invited to consider representative options using your factory set silent speaker alarm.”
Thus, and so, when our esteemed news analyst in the Winnipeg Outback finds such a treasure trove, our own insane ramblings from here in the Outback of East Texas argue the smell of putrefied scat and rotating blades will make an appearance shortly.
At which time, we will all be horrified and shocked to our core. Well, except maybe not you…
The Jobs Report
Our monthly statistical version of “Sightings” is the jobs report from the FedGov. Always a genuine test of American “powers of misdirection” to see “Where yon sausage has been placed…” The type sheet, please?
“The unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to 6.3 percent in January, while nonfarm payroll employment changed little (+49,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The labor market continued to reflect the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and efforts to contain it. In January, notable job gains in professional and business services and in both public and private education were offset by losses in leisure and hospitality, in retail trade, in health care, and in transportation and warehousing.”
The pertinent calculation for us are:
- How many people are actually working this month (Jan) compared with December? Answer: December 149,830,000 January 150,031,000. Net increase in people working: +201,000.
- How many people are working this YEAR compared with one year back? Answer: January 2020: 158,659,000 January 150,031,000. -8,628,000
- And how many more people are in the workforce both monthly (
(Answer: Dec. 160,567,000 Jan. 160,161,000 so 406,000 people were “disappeared” ) and yearly (Answer: Jan. 2020: 164,455,000 Jan. 2021: 160,161,000 so 4,294,000 were disappeared from the workforce. )
Last, but not least, how many jobs were simply “made up” in the CES Birth-Death Model? Answer: Actually, since all the “adjustments” for a year load into January, the CES B/D Model took away 143,000 jobs.
Oh, and this tilts all previous answers by like amounts.
Feel better, now?
After this statistical train wreck (see red and count up “missing people”) the Dow futures were up something like +130. Gold came back to life (since here comes more made up money/inflation).
And the Dow is still solidly endorsing the Bucs.
Bending Space-Time – for Real
Better late than never, nice to see Vice covering “U.S. Navy Has Patents on Tech It Says Will ‘Engineer the Fabric of Reality’.”
It’s an interesting rehash of the breakthrough work on one Dr. Salvatore Pais whose patents have been extensively covered on the War Drive portion of TheDrive.com.
SIDE STORY: BTW, if you hit gargoyle search now, you will have the “SafeSearch” option which near as we can figure is voluntary censorship…will it take out unapproved viewpoints in addition to other “objectionable content?” We shall see…). This all matters because there are cases like the
Georgia congressette just got stripped of relevance by the Swamp critters who don’t want anyone questioning their narratives… Click here to filter Borq-questioners..,.
Anyway, to make a long story longer – though this is useful – we first came across this whole notion of “separated space” as something which was worked on during WW II (involving Tesla (died in ’43), von Neuman, Einstein, and others. It was fielded on a vessel (IX-97) and the rumors became the basis of the whole Philadelphia Experiment. A 1990’s patent application (in my book on UFOs (“Who’s There?” – free d/l from the Peoplenomics Master Index page) includes this patent application as Appendix 2, going from memory.
What’s starting to come into focus (because of my tinkering with a “real time machine” based on acoustics to pump “separated space”) is that possibly:
- The M/V Martha’s Vineyard was the original test platform of the high-density electronic field approach to separated space generation. As the Navy switch the vessel to wartime service as the IX-97.
- Then, following, some successful “jump technology” was developed (minesweepers, for example, which is why fiberglass hulls and ceramic based diesels engines were evolved).
- But then, seems, no one was getting it…at least enough, fast enough. Which they would have lead the Navy/DoD to evolve a program to find a tiny handful (1 to half dozen) of the youngest, best, and brightest in order to move the evolution of separated spaces technology forward.
And to my way of thinking, that’s like how Dr. Salvatore Cezar Pais would have been identified and “groomed” into a black program, except he’s become a bit public which is OK because it sort of puts the pre-anti-gravity society on notice that we have to get off the excess consumption, all things for money, and figure out new paradigms for peaceful cooperation.
Which then gets into a discussion of whether the bums rush into mRNA is pre-building human evolution for space faster (radiation issues and such) or whether it’s a pop-reduction program.
But more one of these days on the PN side in one of our Directorate 153 dot-connector series.
Surgery is On!
After a little time on the phone Thursday, I nailed the bureaucratic disconnect that had Elaine’s upcoming hip surgery into an off-again, on-again, off-again loop.
Seems in the evolution of hospital managements, there are “circles within circles, when comes to managing things. (Visual: Remember on StarGate how the rings have to “lock just so” for the portal to open?)
Turns out that – in an ERP derivation – that’s how hospital administrations are evolving (at least from an IT/data workflow standpoint).
There’s general hospital billing, but then one surgery department does its own thing with insurance (which aligns two rings) but the third ring (which was cancelling, near as I could figure) hadn’t “locked.”
Emails and data, now in alignment, we can now move on with the upgrade to Elaine 1.5. In late March, the update to Elaine 2.0 will be done as Hip Kit #2 goes in….
Is it to early for a shot of anti-freeze?
Write before kickoff (literal or figurative is Ure choice…),