It is common-consensus in the media today that the Fed – which gavels in this morning and announces rates tomorrow at 2 PM Eastern – will not move to change interest rates. But we see a rather intriguing possibility now peeking out of our charts – namely they could. First, it’s axiomatic (around here, anyway) that … Read More
There is a mighty dance underway – somewhere between a waltz, the boogaloo with a side of the twist – and behind it, a major debate. Seems about half the smart people think news drives markets. The rest believe that’s wrong because any damn-fool can tell markets drive news. This week, we’ll be watching the … Read More
The story of how Elaine and I ended up here in the Piney Woods of East Texas is a book’s worth. Three or four if we count all the lessons learned (from mistakes made) along the way. With this weekend’s return of reports on UrbanSurvival we’ll be taking a more holistic view of prepping – … Read More
In one of our “let the mind wander” deep-thinking pieces, we today look at the history of radio technology as an analog to development of modern digital platforms. Somehow, from there, we end up considering computational ecosystems and which companies need to buy what in order to “own more future.” After headlines and charts, we … Read More
Maybe not everyone, but most people can live an additional life if they put their minds to it: One life in the waking-state and one in the dream Realms., I’ve told you about this before and how I am wading through the error-correction process with my next book Psychocartography… But a fresh dream Wednesday morning is a … Read More
Well, here we go again: The daily attacks on Donald Trump, the miserable coverage by pseudo-journos, and again, none of it will make you any richer, but it sure feeds the ad machines that keeps network news co-opted since everything has a price. Easy to manipulate if you know how to do it. Just get some … Read More
“When Serial Innovation Fails” is our big ‘in-depth’ piece for Peoplenomics.com subscribers. As outlined in this morning’s restructuring note, this report will be out on Wednesday so that I get more “project time” weekends. We’re focused on quality now – and innovation, of course. We take two news stories are very much in-keeping with our … Read More
The time had to come sooner or later. We’re revising our publishing plans as our interests have evolved over time. First: I am selling off the www.ruralpioneer.com website. I will also sign over the Trademark with it. It goes without saying that a younger person should take over the task. Running a 29 acre tree … Read More
Breakthrough time: One of the most startling things to emerge from our recent explorations to evolve a “mechanical trading system” has been more than just the discovery of a semi-regular heartbeat to the market. What we’ve stumbled into is something I call “Probability Quadrature.” It has the potential to rewrite our understanding of “event measurement.” … Read More
I’ve been re-reading a fascinating book on the how math really can ‘shave the odds’ in a gambler’s favor. The Hill and Wang book “Fortune’s Formula: The Untold Story of the Scientific Betting System That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street.” What makes the book worth reading is it a) shows the relationship between technology, … Read More
One day this week, I’ll be sending one of my sons-in-law our trusty old Tecsun PL-660 shortwave receiver. We’ve had it a good long while and its main use around here has been listening to CoastToCoast AM with George Noory out of WOAI in San Antonio late nights. This particular SOL has done more actual prepping than … Read More
A few Monday AM thoughts on something that comes up all the time over cocktails: People have bigger dreams than they have budgets. Since this is (nominally) an economics website, I sometimes feel compelled to hold up the mirror to society and ask the genuinely brave to have a look. Simple questions only: 1. Have … Read More
This is one of those stories I wanted to sit on for a while because, even now, the weirdness of it is rather remarkable. It’s another one of those remarkable “adventures in The Realms” where dreams reveal themselves to be an alternate reality, not just a place to hang out when we sleep. Sometimes they … Read More