A short sit-rep because honestly, not much has changed overnight. A number of readers are worried about the Covid Confuserator so we’ll get a wrench after that, here in a sec. But first?
Global Theater Review
Let’s walk through a somewhat abbreviated “threat board” this morning because pre-holiday doldrums loom.
Push Back Crash Worries to Oct. 18th
Our Aggregate Index closed at a new high Monday: 39,811.47. Previously the high (Aug. 16) was 39,715.64. Minimally, the 55-day historical distance from all-time-high to crash window would put us into later October. Around October 17th. Since that’s a Sunday, Black Monday on October 18th.
A date that doesn’t change if we drift a little higher in markets today.
Commodities have firmed a bit: Oil was $66.62 when I looked and the price of lumber is back over $500 (barely). But it looks like “lock and stock for fall projects” may be at hand. Retail prices should be favorable through mid September, for now.
Bitcoin slipped back under the $50,000 level earlier, which leads us to sense a little softening of the global asset bubble.
Main thing to be looking at is in the NY Times this morning: Taliban Reject Extended Deadline as U.S. Races to Finish Evacuation. This after CIA Director William Burns held secret meeting in Kabul with Taliban leader Abdul Ghani Baradar. So much for “let’s make a deal…”
Since the Taliban have literally tons of US arms, there’s virtually no incentive for them to be patient past month’s end.
What American liberals may overlook – quick to skate on due diligence – is the advise from Russia which has also been through an Afghanistan withdrawal of their own years ago: Putin Warns of Influx of Afghan Militants Disguised as Refugees. We fully expect the Biden administration to “muff” this, too. Which would add to our growing “Joe Blow” file.
First, we need to be clear: Border walls really work. Ask any Israeli. Or, have a read of this piece: Explained: Why Greece has built a 40-km long wall on Turkey border. In fact, everywhere we see people moving *(except the US border) we see walls are understood to work well. Even a fence is a good start: Poland to build fence on Belarus border.
Fortunately, America doesn’t have to deal with either reality or the lessons of History. Were we less me-me and more smarty-smart, we’d notice China had to build a Great Wall, too. Still think they don’t work?
Here? Federal judge settles lawsuit on potential environment harm at border. Essentially, the judge in the case (based on a 2017 democrat suit claiming additional border enforcement would harm the environment) agreed. This was one of those suits to stop the Trump border wall work.
Since we will be doing a serious look at the potential for the Biden Administration to become a Force Multiplier for China – when they decide to take Taiwan, here’s the latest swagger for the region: Taiwan lashes out at Beijing in global call to stand by Lithuania. Like it matters?
Meantime, Taiwan is trying to reassure the US on the chip shortage. Taiwan seeks again to reassure U.S. over tackling chip shortage. But you can’t run a production line on “reassurances.”
Vax Confusion – Surprised?
Besides Dr. Gaffe, I mean (referring to Anthony Fauci apologizes for latest gaffe in COVID analysis – remembering we’ve called for his replacement and charges against gain of function researchers…)
Time for Dr. Ure to huff-up some whiteboard marker, and give the short lecture “Understanding Bureaucracies” because a lot of people have let their pro-vax or anti-vax filters become involved in their news reading.
To begin, let’s roll with the official FDA statement (from here): Please note the part I’ve highlighted…
“On August 23, 2021, the FDA approved the first COVID-19 vaccine. The vaccine has been known as the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine, and will now be marketed as Comirnaty, for the prevention of COVID-19 disease in individuals 16 years of age and older. The vaccine also continues to be available under emergency use authorization (EUA), including for individuals 12 through 15 years of age and for the administration of a third dose in certain immunocompromised individuals.”
When you have been reading press releases for 50+ years (sheesh!) the word ALSO is the weasel-word of critical importance. It means “in another” or “secondly” in this instance.
Here’s the Confusing Part
What is nuanced here is summed up in the FDA letter to Pfizer here:
“On August 23, 2021, FDA approved the biologics license application (BLA) submitted by BioNTech Manufacturing GmbH for COMIRNATY (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) for active immunization to prevent COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 in individuals 16 years of age and older.
On August 23, 2021, having concluded that revising this EUA is appropriate to protect the public health or safety under section 564(g)(2) of the Act, FDA is reissuing the August 12, 2021 letter of authorization in its entirety with revisions incorporated to clarify that the EUA will remain in place for the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for the previously-authorized indication and uses, and to authorize use of COMIRNATY (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) under this EUA for certain uses that are not included in the approved BLA.”
The critical point here is to see that there are two tracks for the product to get into your arm. The first, under the EUA, is for the jab to be sent to the local health departments where people (like son G2’s health districts) are administering to high risk people in nursing homes, for example.
The OTHER way is to get your primary care provider (PCP) to get you a prescription for Comirnaty and then get the biologic (which the GmbH hints may be made in Germany). Even so (the deal point) in the FDA letter is that “…clarify that the EUA will remain in place for the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine for the previously-authorized indication and uses, and to authorize use of COMIRNATY (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) under this EUA for certain uses that are not included in the approved BLA…”
Not quite full approval.
Fine Print on Inserts
For us, the key part of the (21-page “vaccine”) package insert was:
“8.5 Geriatric Use
Of the total number of COMIRNATY recipients in Study 2 as of March 13, 2021 (N = 22,026), 20.7% (n = 4,552) were 65 years of age and older and 4.2% (n = 925) were 75 years of age and older [see Clinical Studies (14.1)]. No overall differences in safety or effectiveness were observed between these recipients and younger recipient…”
Which sounds to us like “not much difference ” between 65 YO’s and 75 YO’s. We’d be much more interested in a 35 YO cohort vs. the geezer crowd.
Also? Be aware from the package insert that:
“COMIRNATY (COVID-19 Vaccine, mRNA) is a sterile suspension for injection for intramuscular use. COMIRNATY is supplied as a frozen suspension in multiple dose vials; each vial must be diluted with 1.8 mL
of sterile 0.9% Sodium Chloride Injection, USP prior to use to form the vaccine. Each dose of COMIRNATY contains 30 mcg of a nucleoside-modified messenger RNA (mRNA) encoding the viral spike (S) glycoprotein of SARS-CoV-2.”
Two points: CoV-2, not 19? (Close-enough?) And, if we were to step out of the control group, we’d want to know the person drawing the dilution…
Pages 6 through 8 of the package get into Contraindications and management of adverse reactions.
For now, we will just continue to self-quarantine, since we don’t have anyone visiting, anyway.
Bottom line as close as we can figure it: A Pfizer shot today is still under the (new and improved) EUA. A similar extension was given the Janssen (J&J) shot in June (extending shelf life from 4.5 months to 6-months). With less hype.
We don’t see much has changed with the EUA extension nor the approval of the BLA for Comirnaty. The shot just has a tradename, now.
OK to remain skeptical, but be equally so of Ivermectin: FDA warns against ivermectin as COVID treatment and our dear friend in Oklahoma who recently died was using Ivermectin. Not a silver bullet.
Scratching Our Heads
Sure, video games are a total waste of time and resources. But, can’t have everyone actually working on solving the woes of Earth when we can pretend to bash the shit out of baddies with laser weapons.
But, is the really a business in using AI to decide when humans should intervene in runaway anger in multiplayer GAMES? ayfkm? Unity acquires AI chat analysis platform OTO, launches toxicity in gaming report.
UrbanSurvival’s “game toxicity” report: Crooked money supplies, Afghanistan, the border…yada, yada… Wanna IPO us?
The Good Old Days?
Pictorial on the New York Daily News website might be a reminder: Peep shows, porn theaters and sex workers of 1970s and 1980s Times Square.
We’ll keep Alexa, non-smoking rules, electric vehicles, and universal microwaves plus smart phones and the UHD Internet speeds, thanks.
We may be old, but gotta keep up with stuff. Which is why we have two 3D printers and voice-controlled everything.
Of course, we could do without civil asset forfeiture laws, monetizing of racism and radicalism, social media, and ever-higher taxes as a fraction of income.
Here’s my point: We could also throw out the last $28-TRILLION in public debt. In 1975 US public debt was about $533 billion. This morning? $28,427,625,037,837.37. $28 trillion doesn’t buy what it used to.
Sometimes, self-delusion doesn’t pencil-out, either.
Write when you get rich,