In today’s Peoplenomics, we take the idea of AI “training states” out of the computer lab and apply it to human beings. Why do intelligent people examine the same evidence and reach completely different conclusions? Because every mind carries its own training stack: family, history, fear, incentives, ideology and survival lessons.
Then we apply that model to the nearly unsolvable Iran-Israel collision, ask whether Trump was tactically snookered on Hormuz, and carry the consequences directly into this week’s 36-page ChartPack. The Strait may be technically open, but normal shipping has not resumed, Iran still controls practical access, and Wall Street may be pricing more peace than presently exists. Peoplenomics subscribers can read the complete report and ChartPack now.
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A really great column this morning g.
I am reminded of a phrase I read a few weeks ago. It may have been a comment from one of your readers and if so, I apologize for not acknowledging who posted it.
“I spent a long time polishing the mirror before I realized the dust was on my face.”
re: “King Lear”, Shakespeare, 1606
feat: a mirror
A tactical sneaker shoe has dropped in an apparent dust up as the President of the Ukraine posted images from his office mail room. Upon briefest reflection, the President is returning Poland’s highest state award, the Order of the Eagle (est. 1705), which had been given by Warsaw to the Ukraine in 2023. An international tempest has allegedly formed following a recent exchange of WW2 atrocity reminisces between the pair. A shipping waybill image informed viewers that the package consignee is historian and President of Poland, Mr. Nawrocki. The Kyiv shipper, “Ukraine”, had prepaid an undisclosed freight charge amount.
Trump’s 4D on 06/17/26 telling Iran the U.S. has four weeks of oil left,
“Trump says oil reserves would run out in 4 weeks without Iran deal, risking ‘bedlam’”
No Molotovs without oil.
A fire broke out in the Manzano Mountains near where NM Mike lives. I hope he is ok. A mandatory evacuation has been issued for areas near that fire.
A small fire broke out on the northern portion of the Sandia Mountains near Placitas, but I am near the south west side of the Sandias. Wildfire season is upon us. My neck of the woods received some nice rainfall a few days ago. We truly need more rain, and our yearly monsoon season has just begun.
Hi Nancy, No worries for now. The fire was getting a bit wild yesterday and air tankers(MD-87 and 737) were flying over repeatedly. The crews seem to have everything under control for now, thank God! Several counties and the local fire crews were involved. The winds were blowing generally from the northwest overnight, but this is NM, and winds will do what they will. It’s still tinder dry here and waiting for the monsoons, if any. Thanks for the thoughts!
I have not a care in the world as to who wins or loses the stupid war with Iran beyond getting the strait opened and a full flow of shipping. We started the dumb war along with Israel and are fully culpable, and as a private citizen, I’m disgusted with the entire thing. Untold billions in infrastructure destroyed on both sides without purpose.
As of now, we seem to have about 15 percent of the traffic going through the strait, and I spend $1.50 more per gallon of gas than before the pointless war. That’s my metric. We’re still drawing down the Strategic Petroleum Reserve of necessity, and when it goes dry, then what?
Hopefully things will get better, but I’m a realist.
This is an AMAZING essay! Everyone who uses AI, or is leery of AI, should read it. I’d like to forward this to some geeky-type friends, but am not sure of how to forward a password-protected article, nor whether you would approve of my doing so.
Print using the micrsoft print-to-pdf driver, give the file a name – save it – – and then email them that as an attachment – g
Electricx George drops in: Thank you, Tumbleweed. Yes, you may forward this individual article privately to a few geeky friends. Please don’t share your PN login or post the article publicly. If it starts a few worthwhile arguments, it has done its job.
Ask AE (Albert Einstein), not AI:
https://www.shapell.org/manuscript/einstein-zionist-views-in-1946/#transcripts
‘I have served as witness before the Anglo-American Inquriy [sic] Commission on Palestine for the sole purpose to act in favor of our just cause. But it is, of course, impossible to prevent distortion by the press. I am in favor of Palestine being developed as a Jewish Homeland but not as a separate State. It seems to me a matter for simple common sense that we cannot ask to be given the political rule over Palestine where two thirds of the population are not Jewish. What we can and should ask is a secured bi-national status in Palestine with free immigration. If we ask more we are damaging our own cause and it is difficult for me to grasp that our Zionists are taking such an intransigent position which can only impair our cause.’
https://canadiandimension.com/articles/view/einstein-opposed-zionist-colonization-in-palestine-and-predicted-the-current-catastrophe
‘As for the political ancestors of the current Netanyahu government, Einstein tore into them and their political parties, particularly in the New York Times. When Menachem Begin came to New York in late 1948, Einstein, Hannah Arendt, and other Jewish intellectual figures in the United States published a letter denouncing his visit and the organization he led calling it “a political party very close in its organization, methods, political philosophy and social appeal to the Nazi and fascist parties.” One example they cited was the massacre of 240 men, women, and children in the Palestinian village of Deir Yassin.’
https://www.palestineremembered.com/Jerusalem/Dayr-Yasin/Story8497.html
‘On April 10th, 1948, the day after the horrific Deir Yassin Massacre, Albert Einstein penned a response to the Stern terror gang, who had solicited funds from him in the United States
I should much rather see reasonable agreement with the Arabs on the basis of living together in peace than the creation of a Jewish state….’
Wow…great article ..I just got to read it tonight..
I experienced it kind of.. when I went on vacation in the gated community.. what I see as reality simply doesn’t exist..
then the two little girls..that attempted to escape Seattle gheto…even in the poorest position they were in was ten thousand percent better than there..they cried when it became obvious they had to leave here..similar to my feelings of regret that I couldn’t stay where I had been.
the same with the can man..he lived in a dumpster by the television station..I am considered poor or low income yet living with us was like moving into a mansion..
then the engineer.. diplomas from several good schools..once was the man..he designed and was responsible for the construction and operation of deep water oil drilling platforms..he lived in The gated community.. where our reality simply doesn’t exist.. A horrific explosion and accident in the gulf put him in a position where he had to give testimony on what happened..
the first strike was Katrina took his beautiful home..the second strike was when insurance companies paid a penny on the dollar.. ( oh no don’t get me started on insurance companies lol.. ) then the explosion..his family turned away from him due to his loss of position and finances he ended up living in his car..had a heart attack and met this moron..where the guy living in the dumpster seen it as extravagant lifestyle..he seen it as the opposite..how could he fall so far.. he couldn’t accept it..the marine motto Improvise, Adapt, and Overcome meant nothing… he had fallen and couldn’t stand back up..
very good article..I totally could relate since I seen it with my own eyes..
Exactly. That’s the point I was trying to get at: people don’t just disagree because they are stupid, stubborn, or evil. Often they are running different training stacks. The same room can be paradise, poverty, refuge, or disgrace depending on what life trained the observer to treat as normal. AI gives us new language for that: baselines, weights, prompts, overfitting, context windows. Your examples are the real-world version of it. Same objective scene. Four different internal models. And sometimes the hardest human problem is not giving someone help, but helping them survive the collapse of the model they used to live inside.