Locked-In to Load-Up
We are eyeing this morning’s retail sales figures with the usual suspicion since people’s spending habits will mold 2021. If they falter, the dream goes down.
The problem in economics is simple: If people don’t spend, then sales fall. As sales fall, markets fall. Waking up to Reality, a few people will notice this and become very defensive in the 401K’s and the like. Word spreads. Pretty quick, nothing much is selling. Stocks are in free-fall. World can flip from the virtuous cycle to the vicious cycle in almost no time.
Right now, we’re in the “learning to ride the new bike” stage: We’ve fallen, but we’re trying to figure how to get back on “the economic bike.” We don’t hold much hope. And that gets us to the Retail Sales data:
“Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October 2020, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $553.3 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the previous month, and 5.7 percent (±0.7 percent) above October 2019. Total sales for the August 2020 through October 2020 period were up 5.1 percent (±0.5 percent) from the same period a year ago. The August 2020 to September 2020 percent change was revised from up 1.9 percent (±0.5 percent) to up 1.6 percent (±0.3 percent).
Retail trade sales were up 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent)* from September 2020, and 8.5 percent (±0.7 percent) above last year. Nonstore retailers were up 29.1 percent (±1.6 percent) from October 2019, while building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 19.5 percent (±2.3 percent) from last year.
8-million fewer people are working compared with year ago and sales are up 5.7%…wanna tell me which planet we’re on? Planet of the Apes?
A simplified chart:
HOLD THE PHONE: CAR SALES WENT UP????
Which has us asking a totally obvious question: If there are lockdowns, where are people going??? And if there’s no one going anywhere, who the hell’s gonna buy a car?
Which gets back to the problem we were talking about yesterday: At what rate of change do the Global (real) Elites want to reduce the global population count? (Refer to the Georgia Guidestones for target levels.)
Elites, too, have trade-offs to consider. Why, imagine if the population actually was driven down to 500-million worldwide: That would be one survivor out of 15. Consumption would be lessened, climate change goes away, and we won’t run out of lobster (or fish and chips). But there may not be as many “safety services” either.
For example, say you’re an Elite and want to single-hand a ULDB (ultra-light displacement [sailing] boat) around the world and you take a knock-down offshore. Would 500-million people globally be able to send out Coast Guard cutter to patrol fisheries and rescue hapless sailors? Launch and maintain SAR sats?
See, these are the kinds of “thought problems” that may (at some macro level) spell out the future much more than radical wannabe-rock-star-politicians-Greedsters with their puny demonstrations and causes could ever hope for.
But, we give you credit for having an independent future-predicting computer between your shoulders so no point on sharing all those data files today.
Last Minute War: Bets?
Been some speculation on the web lately, coming out of Israel, that before the slip to Slow Joe & Kam, it might be better to attack Iran now rather than wade into the deep end of Palestinian and Muslim appeasement. Which is where dems instinctively jump. Having be programmed by [whoever] leads child-like socialists around by the nose.
Yet, in another stunning example of the MSM getting it wrong, The Mainstream Media is trying to spin Israel trying to ensure its own forward survival into a fresh chorus of Donald Trump is a mad man. Some backgrounding on our part will help read you in:
“Trump asked for options for attacking Iran last week, but held off – source.” We’re thinking that while the source used may have gotten the question right, the context may be all FUBAR. Trump likely sees the same thing we do: Iran would have idiots blanche once past the Inaugural.
The Washington Post then rolls with Trump’s Iran agenda is about to end in failure, which almost has a ‘green light’ background cast to it, if you hold the paper just so…
With the Inauguration in just 64-days (lawsuits, notwithstanding) we can already see that the media shape-shifters in Tehran want the fear of war to become the “Next Story You’re Sick Of” because it will tie-up Trump (or, from their view “rope-a-dope”) from doing anything.
Which is why stories like “Iran says U.S. move against it would face ‘crushing’ response” will rise as a counter-force to Israeli forward-survival considerations.
What the Mullahs have wrong is Israel – as we read it. Because they won’t give a shit about petty U.S. politics when calculating how to survive Tehrans pack of genocidal Persians.
Not grim enough? Try War Lite: UN Warns Of ‘Full-scale Humanitarian Crisis’ In Ethiopia Conflict. Someone please call BLM and ask ’em to mediate? Or, don’t they?
Flash War: Get some soon.
Flash War: The Preps
As if to echo our advice, did you see where the “US shoots down ICBM in space from warship for first time in successful test.”
See? Already lobbing press releases along the front lines. CivPops been targets since Dresden and Hiroshima…
Put in Ure ear buds…gonna get noisy.
You know, war’s a good thing to watch and since there are multiple wars being fought right now, a User Guide may help:
- Military wars: Azerbaijan, Iran-Israel, N Korean-World, China-Taiwan
- Media Wars: Iran – World, Trump – World
- Money Wars: Banks-Humans, Stock Markets – Shorts and the lists go on.
Each of these pairings offers a comfy winter-assortment of viewing positions. Bring a blanket, hot chocolate, and some peppermint schnapps…
Amazon Does Drugs!
No, seriously! Check out the press release:
“SEATTLE–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Nov. 17, 2020– Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) today announced two new pharmacy offerings to help customers conveniently purchase their prescription medications. Amazon Pharmacy, a new store on Amazon, allows customers to complete an entire pharmacy transaction on their desktop or mobile device through the Amazon App. Using a secure pharmacy profile, customers can add their insurance information, manage prescriptions, and choose payment options before checking out. Prime members receive unlimited, free two-day delivery on orders from Amazon Pharmacy included with their membership. To learn more and get started, visit amazon.com/pharmacy.
One Cautionary: Not to go off paranoid on you, but what IF turns out that CV-19 is eventually connected with mail and package deliveries? Or, what if there was a mail strike or internet went down…what’s the backup plan, umm???
A “Social” Outing to watch as ” Zuckerberg, Dorsey Return To Capitol Hill For Post-Election ‘Rematch’ With Senate Judiciary.”
Going cold on Pfizer because of super-cold requirements Distributing Pfizer’s vaccine will be a “logistical nightmare”. (Can you imagine a company based largely on getting hard and cold? Hmmm…)
In our Rich-Getting-Richer Dept: Walmart Jumps After Smashing Expectations As Average Ticket Soars 24%.
Who needs clothes at home? Z’is why Kohl’s sales fall 13% as shoppers shift spending away from apparel? Online – clothing optional. Naked Zooming?
Zen Headline du jure from CNN: Opinion: Post-Trump, the need for fact checking isn’t going away. Let’s break it down: An opinion piece about a future time when politicians still lie. F**k ain’t that imaginative?
Although, in fairness: In a World where race, sex, weather, money, food, housing, air…have ALL BEEN MONETIZED, no reason not to rally around the endangered FACTS so let’s continue monetizing those, right? If we didn’t already have sewer bills, we’d be asking what other shit’s left to monetize…
Ure is convinced: Stupid people don’t have enough to do and making up these low hanging monetizations is really screwing up the future. Which is why we’re here to help. Flushing things out for ya.
We have a wide range of topics rolling betwixt the ears. And the smell of old cedar, carefully worked, sipping on hot tea while contemplating Pokemon seems like a starting point. Who ordered the red-velvet wall hangings?
M.A.D. – Modified Asian Diet
We’re planning to try a mostly-Asian diet for a while. One of these days, anyway.
Sure, soy may not be totally great for you – and Asian eats may have a bit more salt. On the other hand, we are experimenting around here in reduced wheat. I can drop 5-pounds in three days of wheat-free eating. And since one of my daughters has celiac, been wondering if wheat-free might be a good thing… Reduce inflammation?
Also…Our investigations conclude the Buddha didn’t sneak wheat thins…
Uric Acid and Brains
Our lone reader in Oz (Len) has been working on a mix of oils and shrooms inonotus obliquus.
Sometimes referred to as a mushroom, Chaga more like a tree fungus partial to birch trees. Wiki’s with “Chaga is traditionally grated into a fine powder and used to brew a beverage resembling coffee or tea. However, caution is warranted with chronic use due to the extremely high concentrations of oxalates in chaga.”
A favorite topic around here is such mush’ talk. Our (non-medical, this is not advice!) thinking is what gives mushrooms their “powers” is they drive blood levels of acidic chemistry around the block.
We’ve known this (forever) and I’m always focused on staying in the “acidic groove” when comes to thinking. For example, if I eat an alkaline diet, I don’t feel *or think* sharp. Carbs make me stupid tired. Some of the easiest ways to push around serum uric acid levels?
Beer is good – so is a pork roast. (Conspiracy-minded might come to think that bans on eating pork some places might be to keep people more compliant – just like fluoride in water supplies – but that’s an aside – grist for the paranoid.)
Gout effects are also – seemingly – impacted by blood sugar. So sweet and sour pork, for example, might have more of an acidifying effect. Too much? That’s the rub. Too much and you run the risk of gout and kidney issues. Hobbled or dumb…it’s a hell of a choice, ain’t it?
Pork twice a week, huperzine-A, and an odd beer with some sweets in between plus stout coffee on empty stomach. There’s a reason in the Ure fam “steak and eggs with coffee” was the pre-test regimen. Manage serum acidity and serotonin and who needs mushroom exotica?
Confession? Yeah I take a mushroom mix now and then (with Lions head) if I get too “dull.” The right knee is my onboard “gout monitor” and hints when enough is enough… Just a slight sensitivity when rubbed just so is my “smart zone.”
Happen to be helping a Gen-X’er on a project. Noticed an oddity. This person on things like Task Lists goes to great effort to underline, bold, center, italicize and assign colors to tasks.
WTF? Total time-sink. Escape path for mind to lose focus.
Time squanders like this reveal much about disciplined “thinking” *(which it’s not).
Simple docs are faster and easier to follow. No colors or fancy underline on/off keystrokes.
- Bullet points
- Or numbered
- or inset more
- If you need more insets, than four, retool your thoughts.
- or inset more
- Or numbered
But please, colors? No-no. Ideas is what you’re after. Clear, unambiguous communications. Colors have meaning and can trip-wire thinking. Highlight something in blue and someone who hates blue will miss it.
Formatting tools are totally overworked. Life’s got enough noise. Think Joe Friday.
(Ah, the old ways…)
Home Lab Supplies
In our work on light (and speed) crowns, it’s easy to lose track of which color LED is planned for what position in a project. Turns out, Amazon has a cheap optical spectroscope for under $10-bucks.
A Jeweler’s dichrometer is also useful when working on light-box mixing.
Amazon’s also got a couple of interesting low-end fiber optic multimeters, but sadly, these all seem to come with connectors for fiber. Wish someone made a frequency measuring light meter we wouldn’t have to liquidate the portfolio to fund.
More tomorrow on the Peoplenomics side an update on our Real Time Machine project. What’s odd? Pomegranates and bells may be useful.
With that obscure note, off to look at the 3D printer. Which has been chunking out a new insulator for stranded 300 ohm antenna cable.
It’s a real joy to be able to grab the calipers, measure out a cable. Go to TinkerCAD and draw up a two-part cable holder, and then print it out. Really neat. Back in the “old daze” we’d be scrounging up 1/8th inch plastic, cutting, drilling, and cursing that the holes don’t line up. Today? Click in and drop out.
Think, don’t work. Love it.
Hey! A deer just put its nose up against the office window. May knows that for now, the only things we’d shoot at have two legs, not four…
Down futures down 270 at click-time…
Write when you get rich,