Rethink: Time vs. Price

No question, Price is the big factor in day trading.  But when comes to Futuring, prepping, and staying the hell out of harm’s way, time signals in the market are where it’s at. Paradoxically, higher price prediction confidence rises, the lower time confidence drops.  This incestuous relationship buggers up everything from military intelligence assessments to … Read More

April Collapse Odds Climbing – Ports Disaster Unfolds

Earth Time Piling Up:  A large cluster of bad ju-ju is presenting its leading edge, just now.  We see it across many of our “Seven Systems/Domains” model and it seems the next 60-days will be key to our future. Regardless of your partisan leanings (*they’re mainly a marketing division, anyway) the list of existential challenges … Read More

Rhymecast: Echoes of Locarno – Powell Saves Weimar II

Hard to make sense of the world through press off ejaculate “pressers” which artfully pick and choose morality to suit agitprop goals. However, through the lenses of history and economics, a pattern begins to fill in. And so, as near as we can figure it, the Weimar (II) has been saved by Powell as the … Read More

Immortality: The Investment Problem

Life Extension has a hard limit defined by personal income over time. Wife Elaine nailed it at breakfast Monday when she said “You can’t have one without the Other.” Life extension mainly costs money and investments usually cost time. Today, we’ll look at this balancing problem.  And begin to draw an odd kind of outlook … Read More

A Terrible Trend – Sinking the Lifeboats

The rally that stopped us out after a modest bear side short Monday continued into the market close.  And the hell of it is?  It’s likely to continue today. OK – fine.  Rallies happen.  And we did tell Peoplenomics subscribers on Saturday that: “Our favored view is higher Monday and Tuesday with Fed errors (raising anyway) … Read More

Collapse: “Noisy Thief Week”

There is a saying in technical analysis:  “You can have Price, or you can have Time.  But you can’t have them both, together.” I’ve been trading stocks since 1971, and even with more than half a century of investing, picking both time and price has been a vexation.  Yes, we know the world will end in … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: On Your Mower? Get Set…

Although I got a lot done this week, including some long-winded columns both here and on the Peoplenomics site, the two greatest accomplishments in making for a better spring were getting our income taxes done and repairing the lawnmower. “Wait?  The NEW Mower?“ Yeah, buddy.  The NEW mower.  Which we bought from Lowes, and which … Read More

Nervous Weekend, Anyone?

Between Banking (and “special treatment for the rich”) along with one war hot, one brewing, a former president facing a possible perp-walk, and rampant inflation in hard assets, it’s a hard weekend not to have the jitters. Sorry to say:  We can’t alleviate too many.  But, our steely-eyed view of things will remind you that … Read More

Bitter is Still Coming, Equinox Woo

The temps dropped in East Texas overnight.  The leading edge of expressed “bitterness” in the coming weeks and even months.  A period with more of an Angostura bent than most. Tomorrow night, we’ll kiss freezing out here, but that should be the last of Nature’s winter. Man’s winter will be measured in years. In Economic … Read More

Ex-Im, PhillyFed, Housing Starts & the BreakCiv Problem

The curse of George Ure is ALWAYS being too early.  I booked a small loss Wednesday because of misjudging the start of what may be the beginning of the stock market shaking off the recent banking mania.  Although, in fairness, Arnold’s “I’ll be back…” line is likely to be apropos. The future is always clear … Read More

The Gamer’s Guide to the Afterlife

I was wrong when I thought my book Packing to Die: Suitcase between your ears” was done.  It turns out that upon reflection, there is still a chapter missing. Maybe even a missing “next book.” Which we will rectify today with an additional chapter that will be added to the book (on Kindle) in the … Read More

CPI, Orange Bashing, Bank Pan, SD-AI and Mirrors

There’s too much going on to mess with flowery language today.  We have a ton to cover before the next leg down. But we need, like the Air Force 2025 study did, circa 1996, to consider the long-term historical “Where’ve we been?” and “Where we are going?” kind of questions. Bank runs and Crypto’s role … Read More

Weimarica Monday: Ure’s Lunch

Surely, you remember the position of Germany in the Weimar Republic debacle following imposition of reparations on the Kaiser’s former Germanic republic. It’s a period of many lessons, not the least of which is: Reparations exacted from unwilling people tend to blow up. Reparations often blow in a hyperinflationary manner.  (Money has to come from … Read More