Friday we saw exactly what we anticipated — a “split decision” in the markets. One model suggests we may have a bit more upside compression ahead, possibly even one final squeeze before a larger turn. Another clock is ticking toward a potential unwind. The key right now isn’t prediction — it’s instrumentation. When markets compress, … Read More

“Showdown at the ol’ Market Corral today, pahdna.”  (Plus another day of Multi-Domain Sweep of Universe.) I am really looking forward to this afternoon’s close in markets.  Because we will get some incredibly useful insights into state-variance extremes versus fractal market analysis.  As you know, The Economic Fractalist has been calling for a hard violent turn … Read More

For non Peoplenomics readers – and gentle civilians who don’t indulge in market cosplay – I will keep this fairly simple. In our ChartPack Wednesday, I made a very useful remark.  The kind that burns like an ember in the brain overnight and results in leaping out of bed at 3 AM with the “brain on fire” … Read More

Maybe, But Education Might Not Be the Answer Anymore In this week’s Peoplenomics we delve into two pressing questions: State-Variance Extremes: The Key to Market Moves Our custom State-Variance Extremes model has been helping us stay ahead of the market’s movements, with a notable 11% gain in the first two months this year. We take … Read More

The early futures today are down. But in Europe, it’s a different tale.  There, markets are up – not ginormously – but up, nevertheless. Why down on the futures, including gold and silver, then?  Wasn’t our state-extreme variance trading model showing a rally is the more likely move ahead? Could be “mechanical short-covering.” See, when there is … Read More

A few minutes after 5 AM in East Texas. I’m in “the chair” and locked to do battle with the “smell-checker” while keeping the rapier wit honed to a surgical edge. EXCEPT: It’s a “Day off.” Well…sort of.  This week is my 77th birthday.  And I’d like to thank the U.S. Congress for one of the … Read More

Fortunately, I didn’t have to spend much time with the daily tracking of the “luny left” because Reader Ray laid it all out in a Comment section remark here in response to the Saturday Peoplenomics report: When Price Stops Mattering, Brace yourself. Because the core concept on the layout table today is from the old … Read More

Most people think nothing much is happening right now. Markets are drifting, headlines are recycled, and the sense of urgency feels muted. That’s usually when I start paying closer attention. Because the biggest moves rarely begin with noise — they begin with compression. Right now, a series of structural indicators suggest we’re coiled inside a … Read More

I suppose we can begin at the beginning – which is the CPI figures just out from Labor. The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in January, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased … Read More

There’s really not a hell of a lot going on.  Not really. Sure, Pam Bondi got pissed at abusive questioning on the Hill Wednesday.  A simple check of headlines in media will reveal which lean right and left. A near-enough middle is Bondi clashes with lawmakers over Epstein files. War Score and More In the … Read More

The future often reduces to a couple of numbers. This week, it’s the delayed Jobs report and Friday’s CPI. With soft ADP data and elevated Challenger job cuts in the backdrop, the official BLS print carries extra weight. Depending on how it lands, we could see the classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic … Read More

Since hitting the 77 mark this month, I have cut myself considerable slack.  Things like “pressure” to keep UrbanSurvival going, publish still more books, and doing more research.  I mean, eventually time runs out and what we leave with is all between-our ears, anyway. Still, mornings like this? Good to sit in the recliner over at the … Read More

Now that my apparently (and perhaps deeply rooted) fears of a drunk driver taking out a pole and causing a behind-the-scenes power outage have passed, we can return to pondering the road ahead. My pillow survived the interruption in non-destructive testing — and cell-level cleaning — once again. So we’re back to the clear skies … Read More