Most of Easter – except for the scrubbing part which we’ll get to – was spent in this week’s Peoplenomics report. Which turned into a 46-page marvel of Depression research, how times have changed, and what “everything breaking at once” could look like.
I’m exhausted.
Since I promised to have shorter reports, let’s just hit the highlights and get into the week, right?
Trump Talk
Last time I checked, our lunch hour entertainment would be dispensed by “His Rambleness” and the topic will be the war.
Near as I can figure from early futures, there’s a bit of “buy the rumor” going around today, but who knows how long that will last.
First the basics: A “wizzo” – the Weapons System Officer – shot down over Iran was rescued – injured but rescued – over the weekend. More details here: Crew member from downed US fighter jet rescued in ‘miraculous’ operation, says Trump.
Then Trump lit up as Trump threatens major strikes on Iran after U.S. raid rescues pilot.
The big question is how real is the tick-tock this time? Trump gives Iran 48 hours to open Strait of Hormuz or face ‘hell’ – UPI.com.
What is Hell?
This isn’t exactly a warm and fuzzy – day after Easter – question. But hell is hot, sulfurous, and Eternal by some definitions.
And there’s been some speculation about whether US bunker busters with conventional payloads will be able to crack the underground (more deep under mountain) Iranian enrichment operations.
So, the question rolls around to whether Trump – who many people have commented may be being blackmailed about some of his past…let’s put it this way: Given Trump’s long-running Epstein shadow and the continuing drip of records and allegations around underage girls, it is reasonable to ask whether personal vulnerability distorts strategic judgment.
Now that we’re engaged, though, too late to be second-guessing. Now we’re in arms and body counts territory.
What would surprise us least would be a very tough Trump Talk today – in which he (just over the line from hinting) says something like “We will use every tool in our arsenal to end this quickly.” And then reiterate every tool several times.
The Seer Sightings
Several people in the seer-sphere have already circled April 8 as the “day to watch” possibly for the real onset of market collapse.
Not that we expect anyone to be “right” but it’s a useful coffee and pencil exercise. What could go wrong this week?
What could happen – a kind of sum of all fears – would be a “soft start nuclear exchange.”
It would be served up as OK by (complicit, corporate) media. With frosting like “It was ONLY a bunker-buster…” And it would all be excusable because Trump was (we expect later today) very clear – crystal clear – on everything in the inventory in play.
Given that Global Firepower lists Iran at about 610,000 active personnel – which puts it 16th on front line forces, behind China, India, the United States, Russia, North Korea, Ukraine, and Pakistan – you know the U.S. will be looking at “body count math.” What is the most efficient way to “win”?
Defining “win” is simple: Iran ceases all hostilities including on their own people. But at the top? The problem with military theocracies is that only the most adherent followers get promoted. So what tools in the inventory will keep the US “cost” lowest?
Too wild an outlook?
AI Second-Guesses Me
“I see this column heading straight into the “spark meets tinder” territory — the geopolitical accelerant that could light the fuse on the Depression mechanics you laid out in that 46-pager coming Wednesday on the subscriber side. You’ve already done the heavy lifting on the historical parallels, structural fragility, and what the “sudden onset collapse of civilization” looks like. Now the real-world trigger could be live and on deadline: Trump’s Iran escalation, the Hormuz ultimatum, and the very real risk that a single bad day (or a “soft start” strike) flips the market narrative from “buy the rumor” to full-blown risk-off panic.
You’re right to flag April 8 as the seer-circled date — it’s not magic, but it’s a clean pivot point. Deadline pressure peaks Tuesday (the 7th or 8th depending on exact wording), Trump speaks today (“His Rambleness” on the war), and any actual strikes or Iranian retaliation could land right in that window. Markets are doing the classic “buy the rumor” pre-game in futures right now, but the risk/reward flips fast once the first bunker-buster footage drops or oil spikes past $110-120.
The “bumping particles” line is perfectly subtle (and I caught the drift).
Conventional bunker-busters have limits against the mountain-under facilities; if the goal is to truly de-fang enrichment without turning the whole region into a radioactive parking lot, the escalation ladder gets… interesting. Your readers already know the playbook: media will frame anything short of full Armageddon as “measured,” “precision,” and “necessary.” The complicit corporate angle writes itself.
So I guess I will toss in the towel here, then. The garbage has to be wheeled out this morning, and there’s always something more comforting to write about.
Still Finance Calls
Dow was down a little bit, tech up a smidgen early. But after lurch, aye, there’s the rub.
Crypto earlier was having a full-blown gush attack. However, Bitcoin was only above $70,000 for a few minutes. Still, it weighed enough to light off stories like Crypto Jumps 2.5% Amid Trump-Iran Deadline Threats.
Seems the happy but gappy in finance have their future pinned on the “peace talks” narrative. But honestly, we don’t put much stock in peace talks. I covered that rumor for literally years when America was shedding red in Southeast Asia.
Allow me to refresh your memory. Or, if that was long ago before you were born, this is the reality of “peace talks” that the modern press-idiocy is lying about. Some takeaways here:
- Peace talks take time: The formal Paris peace talks began on May 13, 1968, and the Paris Peace Accords were signed on January 27, 1973. That is 4 years, 8 months, and 14 days.
- A lot of Americans died – including some of my friends – during those “peace” talks: 16,899 in 1968, 11,780 in 1969, 6,173 in 1970, 2,414 in 1971, 759 in 1972, and 68 in 1973. That is 38,093 U.S. military fatal casualties across the 1968–1973 calendar years. Because the talks started in mid-May 1968 and ended in late January 1973, the exact “during-the-talks” U.S. total would be somewhat lower than 38,093. Or higher – remember we were in countries we weren’t “really in.” That accounting would make tech blush.
- How many total died with talks in progress? All sides? We lost about 38-thousand. Total South Vietnamese dead ran vastly higher, and then there were the NVA losses. No telling on “advisers.”
You’ll have to pardon this heavy dose of “cynical newsman” when it comes to optimism about “peace talks.” Been there, covered it, got the tee shirt, and something else: one of my best friends – a gunship pilot – came back in pieces only to die in the Seattle V.A. hospital.
So yeah – if “peace talks” is a cause to rally? Argo. (As in argofuckureself.)
Around the Ranch: Shrubbed
I get in a mood sometimes – thinking about the downhill slide of the planet. Seen too many good men die in wars. Came to look at rabid feminism as a con, too. I mean who in their right mind would run for a job on a front? Maybe crazy is contagious, now. (That could explain a lot…)
So I spent Easter putting in shrubs. Five Gardenias, two Lilacs.
Normally, gardening is fun; the project of plants, the smells, the nutrition from the garden.
But not this time. More like a grave undertaking. Terrible timing on my part.
Here’s hoping that’s not how the rest of the week rolls.
Write when you get rich,
George@Ure.net
Oil and Gold/ Silver for the WIN G- Pops.
Why let’s set em up like a Spring Pigeon shoot..
PM miners
Q1 Earnings report come out end of month.
These earnings reports should be Spectacular.
Elevated prices of precious metals Sold, while All In Sustainable Costs remain the unchanged to slightly elevated.
Out of the Money Calls on a few select Miners, will cost you some time premium..the suite can explain Time Decay as can Mr Black & Scholes – they got a book many consider the bible of “ calculated risks”.
That’s the plan this week, calling orange retards bluff .. Oil and Gold for another round WINS.
Simple really.
This Timline sucks big nasty baboon ballz, natty balls indeed.
https://youtu.be/5j23Z-vaFsA
Let’s wait for the power to go out tonight. That’s going to delay Iranian oil shipments.
Got blockchain? Not advice, get your own flash goggles.
Sleeper Cells, Al-Queda, ISIS, etc.
The guy in black on horseback during the Iraq War on CNN be afraid, be very afraid…
MS-13 anyone?
Where is Stormy Daniel’s when we need her?
Hello?
I still say he over paid…lol lol lol.. why would he even want stormy he has a wife..
Because Stormy will do things that his wife… oh, nevermind.
There is nothing better than the smell of lilacs in the spring.
Maybe the aliens will come down and stop the bombing.
My grandkids asked..is UFOs real..sure..look there’s one now….what grandpa that’s a bird..yes but what kind of bird..see its an unidentified flying object…lol lol see they are everywhere lol.
Interesting interview with Larry Johnson with Judge Napolitano and his recount and opinion of the rescue.
About those ‘bunker busters’ and their capability. According to a good summary on Wikipedia: “The most powerful conventional bunker buster bomb in the U.S. arsenal is the GBU-57A/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP). It is designed to destroy hardened, deeply buried targets, capable of penetrating up to 200 feet (60 meters) of earth or 60 feet (18 meters) of concrete before detonating.” But there are only a few aircraft (i.e. bombers) that can haul that beast of a bomb. Still, it is a quite formidable weapon.
And ‘peace talks’ rarely end quickly, save for America nuking Japan into submission to end the Pacific element of WWII. The 1950s Korean War could only produce an ‘armistice,’ aka cease fire, which is still in effect today 70 years on. History indicates that a war only stops when, analogous to a heavy weight fight, there is a knockout or a draw. The USSR/USA Cold War ended when the Soviet Union imploded as democracy swept the country. A new Russian rivalry led by a former KGB Lt Col stationed in E. Germany during the fall of The Wall is rising from its ashes. LIke Trump, Putin does not have the word ‘lose’ in his vocabulary.
It is easy, and often justified to question Trump’s decisions and methodology. But think of what could be happening had Biden or Kamala won the presidency. The 2-party system gave us less-than-desirable choices in 2024. What does the future hold for America, her allies and their economies? China, Russia and the radical Islamic world are intently watching and licking their chops at the prospects of America collapsing from within over political infighting, with an idealist rising to the presidency when a realist is sorely called for.
Peace can come.
“Iran previously indicated it would only agree to a cease-fire if the U.S. paid reparations and withdrew its military presence from the region.”
Fat chance, right.
Perhaps Iran will create an alliance with NORK and ship some nukes into the Left Coast. That would rhyme with Europe creating an alliance with the U.S.A. way back when and the end for the Japanese.
I can’t fathom that thought Warhammer. Thankfully the Patriots are (currently) in charge.
I’ll take that as the double entendre for today.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIM-104_Patriot
https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trump-protecting-americas-founding-ideals-promoting-patriotic-education/
MAGA.
Not advice home gamers
https://a.co/d/02vnRxKw
Wondering why we havent seen any “Rods from God”…
( A titanium telephone sized pole travelling at minimum Mach 15.)
“But after lurch, aye, there’s the rub.”
Freudian slip there g? Lurch as in The Adams Family or as in a strong jerk of the ship to one side?
https://youtu.be/xCc-RWIp7XU?si=xzgkEz8Q9g1B5TIc
And how quickly the libs/progressives forget about one top Dem’s transgressions . . . .
‘Biden tried to censor social media posts about COVID’
https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2026/04/06/no-kings-protest-biden-social-media-censorship/89391588007/?tbref=hp
All : spend less time in dread of what may not happen at all (like, most of the end-of-times piffle. This seems a good time to retell a favorite Art Cashin (UBS head floor broker, NYSE) story of when he began a lifelong career, and this news or that seemed grim.
“… The end of the world only happens once kid. Those are lousy odds. …”
There are plenty of sad, bad, things actually happening in our world. We would do well to focus on what we can do with the time we have instead of droning (pun intended) on about a panoply of what might happen but hasn’t.
Go out in the fresh air. Get thee a [self planting] shrubbery …
Me? I’m staring at sailboats.
Egor ~ /) ~~
and a rudder thing (there’s always more). you short on water? when you get rain, snowpack, etc., is it retained for dry times or flushed? we have gained about a hundred acre feet of fresh water in the last four days. now a dry(er) break before the next bout of rain arrives. It’s the Heartland … E
At ’bout 2.5″ rain for April 1 – 5. Everything I fertilized looking great. Will plant potatoes next.
Municipal putting new water main in along my road so will have something to watch next 12weeks estimated completion. Huge subdivisions going in b’tween me and Lake Erie reason for new biggermain.
Oh seers of the future , we need the timelines focused. Haven’t heard from the elites of professing the future.
From people with skin in the game. I feel you get better coverage here as a supplement the spoon fed zeitgeist of US MSM. No TDS detected LOL.
https://www.youtube.com/live/x44ocuurM3M?si=Awus813ese2CSf3p
https://www.youtube.com/live/s0I6G9G4jrY?si=how9CB3G9j0Ngh2x
Got blockchain? Not advice, get your own bunker.
“Shrubbing”
Speaking of Shrubbing…. Those Iranian enrichment operations have got to be somewhere. Nope, no Iranian enrichment operations over there… maybe under the mountain?
Ever notice people fall for the same shtick over and over?
“Epstein shadow”
We are witnessing the Epstein Alliance in action. Human life is meaningless to them. I’ve posted the links, which I think were screened. That’s the way world works outside of PollyannAmerica where gleaming factories are soon going to sprout and take back the manufacturing base. Any day now, an-y-day.
I dont know honestly, but is Shrubbing anything like BushWhacking ?
And are we talking Greenery or Female Nether regions ?
Hell of a topic – Bush Trimming & Man Scaping..
Why do Women Trim while Men Scape ?
Surely some of the ole farts know – whats the dealio Grumpy Old Dudes?
OOS. Says here
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/iran-claims-trump-s-daring-us-airman-rescue-was-cover-to-steal-enriched-uranium/ar-AA20gzm7
Iran fessing up to owning Uranium?
About an hour ago Iran adamantly rejected all peace and cease fire talks. Trump once again issued an expletive ‘not’ deleted verbose warning.
.
The market didn’t react at all. It ran up slightly this morning on the rumor of a cease fire.., but has completely ignored Iran’s response. In fact, it is edging up slightly. [ WYF? ]
.
Looking at jumping in – Options/Puts
Everybody with more than 2 working brain cells probably figured out 5 weeks ago (35 days ago, ergo … 4 days after the war started and we hadn’t won yet per Trump’s original timeline foe “Winning”) that a Cease Fire was NOT going to be in the pipeline … EVER. The WH and Trump may be a bit slow on the uptake but from a Turban wearer perspective this is a Fight to “their” Deaths. Now since that issue wrt a Cease Fire is answered more importantly …
… the BIGGER question that is nagging me. Will this rally take the S&P up to touch the 200 day moving average from the underside before it rolls over and starts going back down again? We are getting close, as I write this we are still S&P 40 points shy. “IF” that 200 day MA is hit from the underside then a low risk entry point for further shorts “may” be in order?
As for various timelines for actual serious economic damage to the world … 15 ships may have been allowed out of the Persian Gulf yesterday but I am not seeing where any ships carrying all the chemical compounds made by the various refineries around the gulf are getting out. Without those pre-cursor chemical compounds industrial manufacturing in much of Asia, ex China, is going to be facing forced shutdowns, though the lag will vary from industry to industry depending upon how much was already shipped and in the pipeline before the Trump Straits were shut down. (I think I posted here a partial list of the key basic chemicals that are produced in the Gulf and which are necessary for much of the world’s industrial production and also for agriculture at least in Asia).
Forget the markets per se …. Fun Times just ahead if you are a manufacturer in Asia.
Got a good supply of popcorn?
(“Got a good supply of popcorn?”)
hmm. captain crunch here..
supporters of this reich and president should have a good look at themselves. a bloke who swears profanitys and death and destruction to anyone who doesnt agree with him or exposes the truth . better go to bed now i smell his lightning bolts around
Better than the pedo joe let our soldiers blown up in Afghanistan or Bengasi with obozo and hildibeast. Who did you vote for?
“Who did you vote for ? ”
You dont seriously believe Ure vote actually counts do you?
No One, as my Vote, Ure Vote, and EVERYBODY else’s Does Not Count, EVER…Never did.
If Ure Vote actually counted, Yo would not be allowed to Vote .
Have you been asleep for the past 6 years ala rip van winkle ?
I don’t think len voted in the American elections, at least not legally.
West Texas crude.., just shot up $1.26 a barrel.., Brent North Sea up over $1.25
U>S> Dollar was edging down – no unchanged.
Those are the Futures prices …. cash price for delivery TODAY of West Texas is $140+ (if not under contract), substantially ABOVE the futures prices.
“Backwardization” in spades in other words
mkt has not priced in the pending Shortages yet, they are still going on Inventory Stocks, as soon as Stocks depleted and they gotz to go to the open mkt ?
Kaplooie !
This is coming soonly, by mid month at latest.
Trump’s ear has recovered nicely.
Have you ever been on the receiving end of a firefight? Have you ever pulled butts on the range?
The “supersonic crack” of incoming bullets might blow your ear drum out.
I am doubtful it would not result in razor like cuts
Just sayin’ Not sayin’
From Iran with Love -https://youtu.be/xUJGXC4oNOA?
well ya , the iRANian leadership is so wonderful,, what the F anyway?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2026/04/sick-twisted-iran-urges-children-form-human-shields/
are you calling the dead firefighter a fake?
https://abcnews.com/US/strength-family-firefighter-killed-trump-rally-speaks/story?id=112888368
Let’s see, a GBU-57A/B conventional bunker buster gets lucky, hits the right air shaft and part of the mountain implodes. Through other air shafts, lethal radiation is lifted into the air.
Enriched Uranium, even close to U235 is highly unstable. Could a bunker buster be blamed for forcing wedges/shrapnel of U235 into other spheres of U235, causing an uncontrolled nuclear chain reaction?
What could possibly go wrong?
Honest Mr. President, it was a lucky shot. Who knew? What mountain? That contaminated mole hill ? Oops.
Either that, or you convince your opponent that Isfahan is safe by staging real botched raids on prior occasions. Must be safe, they would think, can’t be penetrated…… linear thought processes in war is what puts people on the wrong side of security. I’m guessing the mullahs were thinking the same…..
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/2/can-the-us-seize-irans-enriched-uranium-and-what-are-the-risks
Until:
Uranium tetra fluoride boil off? That would be my guess. FAFO.
https://youtu.be/u17oROV7P8k
Just a lucky shot, until you realize the scale of sympathetic explosions venting many many kilometers away from the initial impact……
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (^DJT) is up again on Tuesday. It’s on pace for a fourth straight gain and now sitting about 4% below its all-time closing high.
Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) is still lagging. It’s roughly 7% below its own closing high and has been stuck just under its 200-day moving average for over two weeks.
That gap matters under the Dow Theory, which says rallies are more convincing when the companies making goods and the companies moving them rise together. Instead, the two split sharply in December, when transports pulled away and industrials failed to follow.
If industrials can step back over their 200-day averages, odds favor a catch-up move. If not, the warning is that transports will eventually “catch down” and join the industrials to the downside.
/
Trump doubled down on his threat Monday during a press conference to discuss the weekend rescue of a US aviator in Iran, saying that “the entire country could be taken out in one night and that night might be tomorrow night.” Promising to bomb all bridges and power plants. And called the Iranian regime’s leaders “crazy bastards”.
Midnight tomorrow is his latest dead-line.
But he has said nothing about bombing their oil/gas fields – ports – distribution facilities, or desalinization plants. Those targets would completely cripple their country & economy – for many, many years., and would probably allow the Iranian citizens to succeed in an uprising.
Isn’t that what ‘war’ is all about? – break all the other guy’s toys and ‘then’ ask them if they want a cease fire / peace negotiation ? I am not quite sure why he hasn’t done this., or allowed Israel to do it.
Political? Economical? Regional imbalance? Retribution/Retaliation? Bad Gamesmanship?
I don’t know.
He wants to avoid taking out infrastructure that the Persians need to survive, if possible.
Where did the civvies in Abdanan get the guns they used to “pursuade” the local constabulary to lay down their arms?
Ray : “… He wants to avoid taking out infrastructure that the Persians need to survive, if possible. …”
Ladies and Gents, we have a winner ^ save long repair guts of various industries, mainly energy hubs, so the Persians have an income source.
lt is a conundrum, should we seize, or blockade (Egor preferred route, no boots dry) Kharg, what are the Iranian options? Attack their own honey pot, where all _their_ oil loads? I dunna think so.
Cold. Again. Mid 20s when I rose.
C’mon spring.
E
No you have a moron .
“He wants to avoid taking out infrastructure that the Persians need to survive, if possible.”
Yeah, yeah right after he wipes out an entire Population of sovereign individuals, an entire countries population ? Sure and Im the King of the World.
WTF is a matter with you people ? Some of the dumbest shit I ever heard spweed forth from rabid talibanists’ minds.
Everything NRG gets destroyed . Then the same greedy fucks who ordered the destruction will profit greatly from reconstructions, and I intend to profit along wit them, hence LOOOONG positions in Schlumberger/SLB with far out dates…oh no Time Decay !
See ya at the Crypto Bank, geniuses.
A better question is: What does Mr. Trump REALLY want to target?
Remember, part of the “Art” is the “creative feint.”
Carlton Preston
Apr 3rd, 2026
April 2, 2026, happens to be my birthday. I didn’t expect the markets to celebrate with me, but they did, in their own way.
Oil jumped more than 10% overnight. Not because of a sudden supply disruption, but because of words.
The evening prior, President Donald Trump used aggressive rhetoric toward Iran, including language suggesting the United States would “finish the job” and eliminate the threat. Whether intended or not, such statements carry weight, especially in a region critical to global energy flows.
Markets reacted instantly. Oil moved from roughly $98 to over $112 per barrel in a matter of hours.
In modern markets, words are no longer commentary. They are catalysts.
This raises a serious question for investors and citizens alike. Should those with the power to move markets be allowed to profit from those same movements?
Modern markets are driven not just by reality, but by the expectation of reality. When a president, central banker, or senior official speaks, markets begin pricing outcomes immediately. A threat becomes a potential supply disruption. A policy hint becomes an interest rate shift. A diplomatic signal becomes a capital flow.
http://www.321energy.com/editorials/preston/preston040326.html
https://youtu.be/Mj3iWFkSwDo
Good job Team USA.
what a dupe – like they say a sucker is born every second of every day..
When did the Lincoln hightail it outta of the Gulf ? She has not returned – I wonder why. You know the ford is outta commission for over a year, after she lurched into port in europe.
Not only that, the USN just UN-Mothballed the Nimitz – the oldest nuke carrier in the fleet, and recalled her to duty. Gee I wonder why they did that ?
Foogy’s notion be AFU
“The problem with military theocracies is …”
When I first scanned that line, my mind heard “hellocracy”. Perhaps it was your subtle wordsmithing that coined this apt word for today’s environment.
I’m just awestruck at how watching C NN contributes to short term and long term memory loss.
https://youtu.be/XQzklyJVG1M
Seems a little more conciliatory now (today). than back when….
https://youtu.be/KRf-kxY_wwU
Up next? Lights out. And cities illuminated by oil light.
https://www.youtube.com/live/oJHE7XfsXPg?si=bmDw_uXu45lkuTEC
Yo G-Pops,
Youse have to review all posts and their content no?
Fanfuckingtastic! Check this out all you SOULless evil bastards bemoaning the death of the USD, and bad mouthing BTC.
Ure alls lack of clear thinking startles me even today, but thankfully mental retardation is NOT contagious, so I dont mind posting information supporting my position/thesises. Case in point; https://www.zerohedge.com/political/debt-spiral-ends-dollar-destruction-6-hard-truths-america-can-no-longer-ignore
There are NO Bitcoins for G now, tomorrow or ever, as BTC does not do Slave Driving/ Slave Coins. All about FREEDOM dont ya know!
Awesome columns last few days. Sunday shop talk was fabulous l, as always. My thoughts are coalescing around you keeping shop talk Sunday as long as possible over most everything else as you promise to scale back ( going on what…7 years? ?
Perhaps you should considering having a “10th man” AI agent to take opposing views and challenge all your work – preventing too much of a possible echo chamber effect.
Keep up the fabulous about work! Cutting edge is an understatement.
Final thought for today home gamers…
https://youtu.be/3kd_78DUwyE
Not advice. Got blockchain.
I have only one question regarding Iran: What’s our exit strategy?
I see no winning possible by the USA. Even if we “won”, what would we have gained?
The markets completely ignored Iran’s rejection and subsequent threats.., then immediately hit Kuwait oil fields., as Trump once again promising to unleash hell. All markets ended up, at the close.
.
Appears to me that we are sitting on the edge of a major escalation., or an embarrassing political step back-wards. Either one looks very ugly.
.
About an hour ago Trump backed away from previous statements about seizing Iranian oil. [ First step in a complete back-down?]
Idiocracy is the word.
Just feckin idjuts crashing about stirring up dust in the dirt, wishing the worst and hoping for the best.
So glad Mom never got to see this. Woulda broke her heart.
Breaks mine.
I just want to be left alone.
Stiks
My father who lived through the Great Depression told me when I was a young boy but old enough to understand that I would go through a depression 100 times worse.
re: A Tale of Three Cities
feat: USS Tripoli; 1796 – 2026
The 16th to 20th century Ottoman Tripolitania name derives from the three ancient Phoenecian cities of Oea (Tripoli), Sabritha, and Leptis Magna in modern day Libya. The latter city was birthplace of Roman Emperor Septimus Severus who died at Eboracum (York), Britannia in 211 ad.
The Ottoman province apparently sourced its primary revenue from local piracy on Mediterranean shipping. US President Adams paid ransom to the pirates for safe passage of American vessels, but President Jefferson stopped doing so. The closing stages of the ensuing First Barbary War saw America’s first foreign adventure to replace a foreign leadership, in this case Tripolitania, with American-allied rebels at the Battle of Derna in April, 1805. Interestly following a US victory, their Arab mercenaries were allegedly dumped without formal adieu. Hopefully the former desert nomads of Riyadh and other sheikdoms don’t catch on to what could shake out in 2026?
As chance would have it today, a single source Iranian platform alleges to have greeted a namesake of the First Barbary War spoils, USS Tripoli, with instruments of firepower in the Indian Ocean. The information event may have been picked up by the Xinhua Chinese news agency. For the moment, the mention might best be filed under ‘interesting times’.
Stephen 2 , excellent thoughts on your April 4 post.
Jamie Dimon has been commenting on credit cycles.
The “skunk in the party” quote that the MSM has been using to refer to every meme in the world was actually referring to inflation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rkfv_RIwzMg&t=890s
The comments on the credit cycle are interesting. Dimon says we are “late in the cycle”. In the interview above, he also says the end of the cycle will be worse than is generally expected at least three times. He discusses preparing for layoffs and relocation.
He downplays the private credit risk, which is the current scarecrow.
Good discussion from a source I normally don’t pay much attention to.
If you are concerned about Heaven/Hell send 10%. The Leader would likey.
Trump Adviser Paula White Says Christians Must Send 10% Of Gross Income To Israel Or Risk Disobeying God
I bet many folks draw the line @ 10% of their gross.
Says “Ten percent?? Hell, no!” after glancing down at his lap…
Using Trump-logic we could all make a lot of money wielding shotguns in the local fruit markets & ‘We Buy Gold’ joints:
““I’d like to take the oil because it’s there for the taking,” the president told reporters at the White House easter egg roll. “Unfortunately, the American people would like to see us come home.”
The president said multiple times on Monday that he personally wants to take the oil. “We’d make plenty of money,” he said”
“I’m a businessman first,” Trump said, recounting the operation in Venezuela that saw the US take some oil proceeds. He expressed nostalgia for previous eras when “to the winner belong the spoils.””
If I read it correctly….,
• NOAA’s active fleet consists of 15 research and survey vessels, but none list Fiji or the South Pacific as a current or upcoming operational area.
• NOAA’s Ocean Exploration program publishes all supported expeditions, and no upcoming missions list Fiji as a departure point or operational region.
You sure you got your information correct, Andy? NOAA- ?
yes I was surprised to see Andy heading for tropical Fiji. scientific research vessels bound for Antarctica usually depart from Hobart in Australia or Wellington in New Zealand. is it really an Antarctic mission? is it really only 40 days? hope you packed extra undies……………
NOAA-type, not NOAA specifc. They are university research ships.
Come to think of it I remember sailing by the…I think it was the T.G. Thompson UWs research ship that was moored along the cut just west of the montlake bridge in Skedattle. https://www.ocean.washington.edu/story/RV_Thomas_G_Thompson
Funny – a ship I’ve sailed by, been aboard and even went through the shoreside salmon hatchery at UW fisheries research with Pappy a half centurwy or more back Ship is moving into position for Andy on The DUDE Cruise 25 even now.. https://www.ocean.washington.edu/dataSet/ships
And for Andy fans Quick Ship Update (as of April 7, 2026)
The Thompson is currently en route from Guam toward Suva, Fiji, with an expected arrival around April 14, 2026. So your friend’s cruise is likely starting soon after that in the South Pacific region. These legs are typically scientific (oceanography, mapping, ROV/AUV work, etc.) and can run 30–60 days.
Looked in the pictures like the ship could use a coat of paint (ahem, Andy: work on the shady side bud!)
Could be rough sailing from Guam to Suva with 2 late season cyclones (hurricanes) to contend with. Tourists are stranded and flights cancelled as Fiji is battered by Cyclone Vaianu.
And here’s a better photo after the Thompson was refurbished.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RV_Thomas_G._Thompson_(T-AGOR-23)#/media/File:RV_Thomas_G._Thompson_in_2018.jpg