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An Additional OTHS Note

Now that you know about the OTH news project: Compared with the earlier report today, the event topology — the ridge tops in the data — has changed.

Two things: September 15 has emerged as the dominant candidate ridge, while the earlier November event cluster has pulled forward to October 31. February no longer qualifies as a candidate ridge — insufficient signal.

The fresh v0.8 result

The clean run produced 19 fresh news/sensor artifacts, 11 qualifying T+7 future atoms, and 3 Blink?OTH bridge rejections. The rejected items were exactly the kind we wanted trapped: current earthquake/hurricane material and a current mortgage-rate observation with no explicit T+7 consequence. That means spectacular things happening today no longer get to manufacture a hill in the future just because they’re spectacular.

From scratch, the temporal field now produces two candidate ridges:

September 15 — relative field 100, CANDIDATE
October 31 — relative field 31.6, CANDIDATE

Neither is a Major Ridge. September fails because the largest source still contributes 69.4% of adjusted mass. October is right on the edge at 50.8%, so the >50% single-source veto correctly kills Major status.  (Which should reduce your September fear factors.)

That September structure makes sense from the fresh underlying evidence. EIA currently assumes Hormuz flows remain severely constrained through August and begin increasing slowly in September; it also expects recovery to extend into early 2027. NOAA independently says El Niño is strengthening, with greater than a 90% chance of a very strong event during fall/winter 2026–27. USDA supplies an excellent counterbalance: U.S. wheat is tighter and more expensive, but the global wheat outlook actually has somewhat higher supplies and ending stocks, even with Black Sea logistical disruption.

So v0.8 isn’t saying “food shortage.” It is saying something more defensible:

Energy, freight, climate and war are independently applying food-price pressure, while global physical grain availability presently argues against the most extreme scarcity interpretation.

Reuters’ current reporting fits that causal picture: El Niño, elevated energy costs, fertilizer pressure and Black Sea disruptions are all feeding food-inflation concerns.

And that gets me to the second point to underscore.

That shows world food authorities predicting late-year food-price pressure and supply stress.

BUT the USDA forecasts are still very strong for food stocks through year-end.

Keep a close eye on this because one bureaucracy group may be wrong.  We just don’t know which one – yet. Inflation pressure (banksters) or supplies (farmers, war-monger fallout)? Both could be true — a kind of WW III Lite War-Flation world — but that’s a fugly future. (Damn incompetent policy-apes!)

Lab Note: Why We Use “Future Atoms”

A future atom is used as the smallest standardized, scorable unit of a forward-looking claim. We need it because terms like prediction, forecast, expectation, warning, risk, and possibility get squishy very quickly in large natural-language AI systems.

So instead of asking an AI to remember that “somebody expects trouble in Taiwan this fall,” we break the statement into a bounded object: what event, where, when, in what direction, with what magnitude, from which source, and with what confidence/provenance. That atom can then be timestamped, weighted, deposited on the future time axis, compared with other atoms, and later scored as hit, partial, miss, or unresolved.

In short, the atom prevents language from wandering. The prose may be fuzzy; the stored forecast object cannot be.

Forward View — What the Horizon Looks Like in Plain English

For readers who don’t care about the software plumbing, here’s the simple version: the strongest concentration of forward-looking signals now sits around mid-September, with a weaker second cluster around October 31. February has faded below our threshold for calling it a candidate at all. These are not predictions that “something bad happens on those dates.” Think of them instead as periods where several unrelated forward-looking data streams are pointing toward increased pressure.

The mid-September cluster is mostly about energy, transportation and their knock-on effects. Oil and shipping remain distorted by the Hormuz situation, while freight costs, fertilizer prices and transport bottlenecks can work their way into food prices. The September signal is strong in the data, but it is not yet a Major Ridge because too much of the weight still comes from one source family. In everyday terms: worth watching, but nowhere near enough evidence to panic over.

The late-October cluster is weaker but more interesting in one respect: it is closer to becoming broadly sourced. That period appears to mix climate, food, transport and economic effects rather than resting on one dominant storyline. If future scans add independent evidence, October could become more important. If not, the ridge may simply fade away.

Food is the most useful real-world thing to watch. Some international indicators are warning of late-year food-price pressure, driven by energy, fertilizer, shipping and weather. But USDA data still suggest fairly healthy overall global food stocks. Both can be true: there can be enough food in warehouses and fields while the price of producing, financing, transporting and delivering it rises sharply. In that case the problem isn’t outright shortage so much as War-Flation — plenty somewhere, expensive everywhere.

Climate is another background driver. A strong El Niño can affect crops, electricity demand, drought, flooding and transportation at the same time. That means a single climate driver can ripple through several parts of the economy. Our software now separates that kind of chain reaction from truly independent signals so we don’t mistakenly count one cause three or four times.

So the lay-reader takeaway is simple: watch mid-September first, late October second, and food/energy/transport costs throughout the fall. No current OTH signal justifies catastrophe language. What the system is showing instead is a world under increasing interconnected pressure — where energy problems can become freight problems, freight problems can become food-price problems, and weather can amplify all three.

And remember: these dates are watch windows, not appointment times with history. The whole point of OTH is that the ridges can strengthen, weaken, move — or disappear entirely — as better information arrives.

Chow-down on more future later – coffee drought needs repair next,

George@Ure.net

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36 thoughts on “An Additional OTHS Note”

Comments are reviewed by a human because the web is crawling with spammers. Submissions after 4 PM Central usually appear the following morning. After you click Post Comment, you’ll jump back to the top of this article, but your comment is queued up here. We’ve got a robust community and your participation is invited. Some commenters are brilliant. Read a few and judge for yourself. Imagine. You could be one.

  1. I like your analytical process, particularly as it points to clusters rather than specific dates which always seem to get cancelled due to rain or……..

    One thing that does occur in the time frame you are focusing on is the midterm elections in the USA. I have a deep uneasiness about that time. Does your forward view have anything to say about that?

  2. George,

    Thank you for the nod on my synopsis of Ancient Children. It is an absolutely terrifying story.

    The Rio Grande through Albuquerque continues to appear as a muddy meandering stream surrounded by grasslands. Where has our summer monsoon gone? The folks in the Naptown area of Indiana have more than enough rain but are to receive even more. Send that rain west to us.

      • re: “Nibelungenlied”, ~1200 a.d.
        feat: mid. ger – ‘Songs of Worlds of Mist’

        Nap appears as another glitch in the Matrix? I had not clued in that Naptown references Indianapolis, In. prior to Nancy’s reference to it.

        Earlier this week, one could reminisce on Shaman and Seminole Chief Abiaka being addressed as ‘Sam Jones the Fisherman’ at Fort Lauderdale. This was an Americanized frontier song equivalent to “Partant pour la Syrie”. The latter’s music had been penned by Hortense, a step-daughter of Napoleon. His name may derive from the Frank-German clan of Nibelung. They feature in the heroic germanic legend “Nibelungenlied” allegedly authored in the Bavarian city of Passau around 1200 a.d. Later on, Passau became a childhood home of Adolph Hitler.

        The name Hortense (~”garden/walled garden”) is understood to derive from the 1st century b.c. Roman orator Hortensius. His close friend Cicero wrote “Hortensius” in 45 b.c. as an advisory about how to best spend one’s leisure time.

        Strangely USS Cannon commissioned in September, 1943 is listed as the lead ship of the Cannon class. However Cannon class USS Eldridge received its commission in August, 1943. It’s namesake is Lt. Com. Eldridge from Buckingham County, Va.

        The county’s namesake may have originated with the 18th century First Duke of Buckingham and Normanby. His home has since been updated to be known as Buckingham Palace lately overseen by King Charles III. The Duke’s official line died out around 1735. However his illegitimate son continued under a different aristocratic name which remains extant in 2026. That current titleholder is allegedly father-in-law to former UK PM Cameron.

        As an aside, the last ship of the WW2 Cannon class retired only last September from the Royal Thai Navy. Originally the vessel operated as USS Hemminger in honour of one who perished in the sea battle colloquially known as Battle of the Five Sitting Ducks.

        As chance would have it, the first USS Montauk of the Passaic class stowed the remains of President Lincoln assassin John W. Booth. Namesake of the Passaic class is Passaic, N.J.

        A movie filmed in Passaic in 2024 opened last Friday after a one year delay of unknown reason. Spoiler alert: star Anne Hathaway may be seen firing a gun! “The End of Oak Street” filmed in London, Atlanta, and at Electric Owl Studios. The latter shouldn’t be confused with the Owl-monikered parent to PhoenixNAP whose servers understood not to be of PN custom allegedly suffered heat prostration the other day in Arizona.

        “The End of Oak Street” tells a story of a neighborhood in Flowervale, Mi. Residents find themselves transported from 1982 back to the age of dinosaurs when a storm coincides with a pizza delivery. I don’t know if someone ordered a Hawaiian in the movie.

        • re: Correction!

          “The End of Oak Street” did not film in Passaic, N.J. As Shakespeare had Hamlet say after seeing a ghost: “The time is out of joint. O cursed spite, that ever I was born to set it right!”

          However apparently the city’s Montauk Cinema costarred in the 1987 movie “Anna”. Possibly this commentary ode to winks from the universe should also include the 2008 power plant sabotage comedy “Be Kind Rewind”.

    • This was the worst flooding ever seen in EC Indiana (by several inches.) The previous record was the “Flood of 1913.” Were one motivated, they might research Indiana weather between 1908 and 1918, then see what New Mexico weather was doing and determine if there’s enough evidence to support a correlation. The Dust Bowl didn’t really affect NM, but I’m sure there was a significant drought in the 1930s…

  3. Connecting to September –

    DUN DUN DUUUUN!!!

    I was typing about Passkeys* for awhile. Now this:

    “TreasuryDirect is excited to share that, starting next month, a new login experience, ID.me (https://www.id.me/), is coming to TreasuryDirect. ID.me is a standard, trusted, government-verified identity provider that uses secure technology with robust identity-proofing to verify your access.”

    What You Need to Prepare

    – Two forms of ID: Your Social Security Number (SSN) and a valid government-issued photo ID (driver’s license, state ID, or passport).

    – Mobile device: A smartphone with a camera may be required for a video selfie or additional photo verification.

    – Existing accounts: If you already use ID.me for other agencies like the IRS, you may still need to complete an extra verification step for Treasury security requirements.

    *Passkey is a new, safer way to log in to your account(s) that will replace traditional passwords. Instead of typing in a password to log in, you use your device’s security features like fingerprint, face recognition, or device passcode/PIN.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cphNpqKpKc4

    • Dig9ital Arrogance! Give all your personal shit to a “contractor”? I quit filing patents over this crap – and I will not put any information on a cell phone to be texted to me – I won’t use some ais for that reason – they demand you have a cell fone. Well, fuck ’em – that’s a choice. I will grow tomatoes and do without. Unless they block all spam and provide the free phone service they demqnd I pay for…

    • It appears that a lot of humans of the other than white and other than male will be struggling with this, according to the communists. They aren’t smart enough.Not my words , it’s the communists speaking.

  4. kick that can !!! king can kicker !!! sure george maybe you should ask the polish fortune teller . 92/96s are lifting . ohh yeah bring it on can kickers

  5. what did you think of amazon lies / non earnings. unrealized profits in dodgy spin off companies it has a disaster/investment in . any comment kingcan !!! ask the polish mate he will say to the moon.

  6. Persian gulf and strategy? Carriers arrived. Idea russian super quiet subs arrived later Nice opportunity take back embarrassment gulf war 1 and 2 losses. And usa dod sales to borderline countries. So now russia can try sink carriers and sell subs. Most rade in west would be gone and russia wins like Germany at start ww 2. So usa outlasts Russians ubs food (smaller than seawolf so faster at sea but less food time for crew). In end usa carrier not sunk. Russian subs starved. Went home. Plus. Id british seawolf there then acoustic signature russia ‘new tech subs’ listened too. Can find them now.

  7. George,

    Hurricane/Tropical Storm Lala, I think it may be pronounced Layla like the song, had been drenching the Hawaiian Islands. It appears that Hurricane Hernan is headed towards Hawaii now.

    Send that rain back to the western states. Our monsoon rain has been hijacked once again. I would like to see the Rio Grande watery and not grassy.

    I do wonder if this will be the year and the winter of deep snow, like we had in the late 1980’s.

  8. At my new job I was handed my computer to take with me every night (Dell Laptop) and a Cube with two nice large 32″ screens on the desk. Very happy about that.
    (The Eng Company I worked with in Kentucky (rhymes with Rectal) would only give you two 21s and used no.9 font for all email and spread sheets, just about completing my trip to blindness.)
    My new company also handed me a company iPhone.
    I consider iPhone the equivalent to AutoCad verses Microstation.
    If you want to copy the route of several pipelines in a rack with with Microstation the command is “copy parallel.”
    In Autocad the command is ‘Offset.” Offset? What does that mean?
    Same for Iphone, Android got there first with the intuitive commands.
    And as my daughter proved throughout high school, IPhone means viewing the world through broken glass.
    But what REALLY turned my off with iPhone vs Android is this. The new Samsung Galaxy 25 I got the first of this year has fingerprint verification for everything, no repeatedly typing in passwords at every app.
    The iPhone give you the choice of typing or “Facial Recognition”, no fingerprint.
    Hard stop. Android also has FR available if you want it, but I would just a soom my face (and Arts by default) stay out of Apple’s Global facial ID surveillance networks.
    So I am using the iPhone very little and typing a lot of passwords. Only use it for business and only when I have to.
    Second note about Facial Recognition.
    We are seeing the adoption of the flock Cameras at every intersection, mounted on high above the traffic lights when you pull up to every intersection. These are advertised as “License Plate Reader Cameras”
    As I said, they are on high looking at you while you wait at the traffic light.
    Looking at you aimed at the front of your car,.
    Alabama is one of the few states requiring only a rear mounted plate and NO FRONT Plate.
    So what do you think they are photographing while you sit at that light?
    As a result my habit as I approach a light is for the visor to come fully down as I stop for a light. I keep it extended out to the windshield as I drive.
    If you examine the setup you understand facial recognition is the plan for all of this and plate have nothing to do with it.

    • Flock That !

      They are being cut down, destroyed, disconnected all over the NE now. Expect more & more and more to be destroyed as the Peeps come to realize they are being CONTROLLED.

      “They” already track both Ure phones, those “tracking boxes” along the highways and byways are more prevalent than Flocks right now, but less obtrusive.

      We GAVE UP ALL our Rights to be SAFE from the Muslim Hordes and their Weapons of Mass Destruction or is that now Mass Infection ? Whats the Difference ?

      * -PS cant Fly anywhere anymore without dealing with Facial Rec. technology, starts at TSA check points, upon entry into Main section of Airport.

  9. What about high watch time period for Rapture during Feast of Trumpets in the days just prior to your September 15 ridge?

    • Thats what jock straps and safety cups are for, prevent/protect from “Ball Tags”..from frozen Hockey pucks, Baseballs, Lacrosse Balls..ect.

      Stop the Tag!

  10. G.A.Stewart” I’m glad we’re clear, and I understand; but nobody gets to take a free shot.”

    you acquiesced so soon? folded like a wet napkin? not the man I thought you were.

    G and Ray are backpedallers…..and you should know it. judge by actions – not weasel words and obfuscations.

      • it seems that I touch a nerve in ole Stew,,, from your link
        “I keep mentioning these Alternative Media clowns, because recently a commenter on another website joined the chorus of idiots claiming that I had Trump Derangement Syndrome and that perhaps I had been programmed by the CIA’s MKULTRA Program.”

        as I am the one who suggested he might be a MKUltra victim.
        when a lone nut job(me) in flyover country makes a comment only here, rattles him enough to respond on his blog,,, he is cracking and has thin skin. His continual rants is evidence of TDS,,
        good writer, hears the critics, examines his own work from the critics views, then ignores them, instead of fighting with them and works to improve, repair or replace his ‘work’
        I AM NOT A PROFEESIONAL WRITER, just a cheap seat critic, I bought his book, then he changed the password on me,

        maybe Stew can get an invite to Tucker’s show,,, like Hunter did.

        he refers to me as joining a chorus of idiots,,, well I do use the moniker of ‘the other brother Darrell’ from ‘The Bob Newhart’ show

        Good Luck to ya Stew,,,, and thanks for the mention

        Tucker is not trying to divide the demonrat party, he is out to split off support from MAGA and President Trump,,, I repeat myself, Judas Goat.
        “His current political stance is characterized by an “America First” ideology that opposes foreign intervention and what he terms a “uni-partisan” establishment.” google sourced.
        uniparty is a bunch of RINOs and demonites with loyalty , not to USA, but to maintaining control of US

        • Please, can we all dial it back a bit?
          I really am trying to do serious research and with head down I don’t have time for bullshit. Old man, getting older. I did not lump Stu into anything that I can remember. And if – when Ray and I are volleying – people wish to write themselves in, that’s all good. But I don’t have time to get off focus. The current book on “Over the Horizon Software” is around 400 pages and today we spun up v0.9 with the addition of more tier 1 sources. That will be along on the PN side soon enough and this Sunday’s article should at least hint in the direction this are going in the research. If or when something else comes along, it will be on the PN side. And the data book. Partisan stuff is friction and I don’t want, care for, or need it right now. thanks

  11. a master class in victim blaming – it’s not me, it’s you!
    precious snowflake!

    Chill just a bit – work on your new house…,
    “Find a place to make your stand – and take it Easy….,”

    Stu, perhaps a few deep breaths and a shard of introspection are in order, to figure out why you apparently took my comment, AFAIK completely unrelated to you, as an attack…

    If you feel like not supporting the current administration with your work, easy peasy, quit. You will show Trump that you don’t support him.

    A few readers stepped up in your defence and you turned tail and ran.

    I get it. G has supported your work in the past but this is not the same G – something has changed and I can’t quite grasp why?

  12. timing.

    if you want to spin the wheel on dates of doom, didn’t Andy foresee a nuclear attack on November 1 while adrift in the Pacific? from earlier prognostications going back a few years it was launched by AI?

    October 31. November 1 – same same in the grand scheme.

    • Winter,
      Either of those two days will fall on a weekend. Perhaps it could simply boil down to whichever side of the international date line that our boats are floating on.

      As an aside, Polymarket is currently showing a 3% chance of an Iranian nuclear test in 2026. On the other hand, punters can spin the wheel on a 31% chance of a 5 kiloton impact energy from from a meteor hitting Earth this year. The site’s fine print even offers verification backups including the US Dept. of Defense eligible through February 2027 should the primary source “NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide repository become permanently unavailable”.

  13. Phew..here I go again..I’m sure you have seen seen …peanut high protein drink..heck I buy it.. but what is it…its peanut flour after the peanut oil was removed..the discarded flour was used as compost..its the same when I would extract oil from seeds..the seed itself is extruded and you dry it and feed the birds or compost it..someone figured.. hey here’s a new product and away they went…
    to reconstitute back into peanut butter or make cookies.. so here goes..now on one end fifty percent of the seed is oil and water..

    here again the ninja bowl maker is the unit to use..it comes with four or five containers ( with lids )

    1 cup peanut flour
    3–4 tablespoons peanut oil ( give or take…its usually a little more.. mix it let it set to rehydrate it then taste it to see if its gritty.. like making chocolate)
    1–2 tablespoons water
    Pinch of salt (optional)
    1–2 teaspoons sugar or honey (optional)

    I’m

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