OSINT Friday: Jobs & Growth, Nuke Power Play, Odessa

We can frame today’s report this way: “Open-source intelligence (OSINT) is an intelligence that is produced from publicly available information and is collected, exploited, and disseminated in a timely manner to an appropriate audience for the purpose of addressing a specific intelligence requirement.” Although Life under Joe (Biden, not Stalin, at least not yet) seems superficially … Read More

FinCrazy: Job Cuts, U.I. Filings, Productivity

Since we have FinTech, and Fin[whatever], why not FinCrazy and FinNuts? Evidence abounds.  It just ain’t called that – yet.  Trust me on this: FinFuk will be a word in 5-years, or less. High Level Downers We – hapless souls caught in skin bags for this adventure – watch as the world devolves toward a … Read More

PWP: Personal War Planner

A broad-spectrum discussion of war today:  Causes, motivations, and public reaction.  But more importantly of all, personal anticipatory activities that can improve the odds of living through this most stressful of periods. In addition to a little “news from the front” what we’ll focus on will be broadly applicable when the “next shoe drops.”  That, we … Read More

Social and Economic War Gradients

There really isn’t too much interesting news flow today, except for The War, of course.  But even here, the stories (like Hollywood Halts Releases In Russia, Including ‘The Batman’) strike us as childish.  Just like throwing out good vodka. You see, the real story here – as seen from the East Texas Outback – is … Read More

Bordering Madness, Trade Data, Jobs Week Roulette

We held onto a short position with our personal Gambler’s Stake over the weekend.  The core logic of which was the topic of the ChartPack on Peoplenomics.com.  The main idea, though, came down to “playing the Gap” between the U.S. Aggregate Index Oscillator and the Global Oscillator. You see, Friday, the Red (US line) screamed higher … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Automatic Algorithmic Gardening?

War?  Victory Gardens?  Biden Gardens? We’re in the timeframe when a “survival garden” such as we began working on in November of last year, may not seem so far-fetched, after all. The parts have continued to roll in for the highly experimental automatic veggie garden. Another small piece of the project this week was the … Read More

A “Big Moves” Trading Indicator

There is always opportunity in the midst of chaos, even with our Aggregate Trading indicator.  We used it to spot in advance the big move which would come later in the session. And we took snapshots of how it evolved over time. Very useful indicator. This morning, we discussion not only this useful tool, but … Read More

Ukraine Pain, China’s Gain, Future Plain

Since hitting age 73 this month, my interests are drifting slightly from “making more” to “enjoying more.”  Which means, for columns like this (free) one, there’s not an incentive to “give it all away.” Reason?  There can be some really nice payoffs to life-long learning and temporal/longitudinal observation series.  So, tomorrow, Peoplenomics subscribers will get a … Read More

Odds of WW III Fear Sparking Global Crash

Again, except for Peoplenomics.com reports, I will keep comments relatively short.  There is still much prepping to be done here before the arrival of “NSNW” Year, as we outlined back at Christmas. Yes, that’s right: We nailed future pretty damn well, if I do say so myself, in UrbanSurvival 2022: War Year? What KIND of … Read More

Invention Mapping (& UFOs)

Is there a hidden history to meta-materials? About how the future could be defined by them? Could a materials analog to A.I. might even be machine-printable? Off on a quest for new meta materials. “Why now,” you may be wondering. “Don’t we know there is a war on?” Yes, of course.  But wars are interesting technology … Read More

Housing: How Much is UP? Deflation Persists!

Depends on who you ask. According to new Housing data just out: “YEAR-OVER-YEAR The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported an 18.8% annual gain in December, remaining the same from the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 17.0%, up from 16.9% … Read More

War Lite? Hand of Xi, Queen’s Crud II, Rates Can Rock

As promised, a shorter column as I work on more “distillation of thinking” into higher purity trading. Let’s see what happened to the War predicted for this weekend and see when it’s more likely to take place. Mental Screen Shot The Western press has lost another key learning opportunity in how to better report “the … Read More

Stocks closed: Another “Holiday Survival” Guide

Although Ure has promised to lighten up on his keyboard, there’s not too much to be done until the Sun pops up. You can only shower and shave so many times.  (Usually once) After one pot of coffee, the caffeine kicks the blood pressure too much. The neighbors aren’t out hunting. Rain threatens. Hard to … Read More