While in the shower Monday morning, one of those “Doh!” moments hit me. I won’t spoil the (deep) thought, but it explains nearly 100 percent of what’s going on both socially and economically around the world today. If you want to understand news headlines, read Joseph Tainter. Which we will lay out – vastly simplified … Read More
Despite the upward bias in markets, we again may be the only people who can read, around here. S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX DECLINE CONTINUED IN DECEMBER NEW YORK, FEBRUARY 28, 2023: S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the latest results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. … Read More
We have been telling you for years: If you are young, don’t expect to retire until at least 68 – and as of this morning it looks like the FRA (full retirement age) could be bumped to 70. Take a careful read of A bipartisan group of Senators is talking about raising the retirement age … Read More
Bipolar disorder is a great place to start. Although, like gout, BPD does come with some benefits. Like super creativity – depending on where you are in the cycle. Over on the subscriber side, I’ve been working on the market BPD indicator. Which as the preopen today was trying to tell us: On the subscriber … Read More
The ShopTalk Sunday column is about making things to eat. But not just any things. There’s the whole aspect of doing of things to perfection woven into the mix, too. Which leads directly to Tuesday’s disaster which rippled to within inches of becoming a $249 Chocolate Chip Cookie. However, many “Foodie” things are “cooking” here. 1- We will … Read More
You could almost hear the ice breaking under the weight of bloated markets this week. But the REAL trouble is apparent in this morning’s ChartPack where our rhymes with 1929 work says things are likely to go polyphonic. Plus, we’ll kick off with a “woo-woo” commentary – first person – and tell you about one … Read More
When I checked early this morning, Crypto’s leader (BTC) was down into the $23,800 range. Considering the high this week was over $25,000 three days ago; this was hardly encouraging news. The story out Thursday that got very little play was a joint statement by the Federal Reserve, Comptroller of the Currency, and FDIC. Bottom … Read More
Although the new GDP (gross domestic product) report is out, I want to tell you why it’s a bad indicator in many ways. All has to do with inflation. So, pretend you show up at a used car lot. You need a beater for getting to work. You spy some 20-year old import and the … Read More
Wherein we put on our Casino hat (which looks suspiciously like green eyeshades) and take a whack at beating the House. Because there are times when crossing trends do matter. Even though we botch specific bets badly (don’t ask about being stopped out Tuesday) we still love matching wits with the Odds. Of course, more … Read More
Our “Monday on Tuesday” ponder is this matter of whether time is a pure notion, or one vastly misunderstood. I mean, conventional thinking is that time is relatively linear in how it works. You go 5,280-feet in one minute and it’s a nice 60-(statute) miles-per-hour. Over large spans of time, therefore, linearity seems to work. Scales … Read More
Now that I’ve rolled over 74-years-of-age, I have increased the daily dose of cynicism medicine. Because, by God, Inquiring Minds Want to Know… As the Birthday Weekend wraps up we just throw all the so-called news in the blender and see what sticks. Markets are closed in the U.S. because they can. Crooked Border Biden … Read More
Actual progress around the Ure joint, even with the house guest this week. Elaine’s son is an extremely useful fellow. Having run something of a Home Handyman Service before going to work for the post office. Hard to explain to people sometimes, how useful (and valuable!) that wide range of “hands-on” work can be. Seems … Read More
It has taken a little longer than expected for Wave 3 down to begin clarifying. Even so, the bearish case into collapse, a second depression and global war is not fully “locked and loaded” yet. But we are getting close. Because it’s a three day weekend, our focus today is mainly on the charts. Evens … Read More