Takes me back to my flying days. Checklists Galore! And they work great for keeping a lot of variables arranged for safe travel into an uncertain future.
Checklists facilitate something called RKA. We don’t talk about it much here (*more on the Peoplenomics subscriber site). It means Rapid Knowledge Acquisition.
When you couple RKA with the “Everything’s got a Recipe” behind it – laid out in my book The Millennial’s Missing Manual – you can go through Life much happier being highly productive.
That’s because owning a mental library of Facts and Processes lends itself to a much faster “mental processor” than an amorphous puddle of floating “goo between the ears.” Mental spaghetti code.
This latter is revealed in people who have adopted the “opinions and beliefs of Others” without bothering to grind it all down to a factual foundation. The former is what a “herd member does” while the latter is typical of “independent thinkers.”
We assume you know all this, but before we launch into a collection of facts – and many useful contexts you can “try on for size” – the larger framework is worth remembering.
News is not a destination. Contrary to the attempted “herd-jacking” by the MainStream Media, you can still assert the primacy of the individual; a fact-based, context-capable, kick-ass freedom-loving, equality believing, excellent human.
Or, you can be a piece of shit.
Seems an easy choice. But, under media hypnosis? Not so easy. So we begin.
The world isn’t ending – at least not yet – when we look at the Housing data just out from Census:
Drilling into it:
Building Permits Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,553,000. This is 5.2 percent (±1.6 percent) above the revised August rate of 1,476,000 and is 8.1 percent (±1.8 percent) above the September 2019 rate of 1,437,000. Single-family authorizations in September were at a rate of 1,119,000; this is 7.8 percent (±1.1 percent) above the revised August figure of 1,038,000. Authorizations of units in buildings with five units or more were at a rate of 390,000 in September.
Housing Starts Privately-owned housing starts in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,415,000. This is 1.9 percent (±8.8 percent)* above the revised August estimate of 1,388,000 and is 11.1 percent (±11.3 percent)* above the September 2019 rate of 1,274,000. Single-family housing starts in September were at a rate of 1,108,000; this is 8.5 percent (±9.2 percent)* above the revised August figure of 1,021,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 295,000.
Housing Completions Privately-owned housing completions in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,413,000. This is 15.3 percent (±11.4 percent) above the revised August estimate of 1,226,000 and is 25.8 percent (±11.5 percent) above the September 2019 rate of 1,123,000. Single-family housing completions in September were at a rate of 921,000; this is 2.1 percent (±9.0 percent)* above the revised August rate of 902,000. The September rate for units in buildings with five units or more was 480,000.
One thing to keep in mind, though: We figure there may be a few more homes built due to the fires out West. And with interest rates bumping along the bottom -lower than ever-before in my lifetime of more than 71-years – a lot of young families are making the smart call: “Get ’em while they’re hot!”
Quake Me, Shake Me
If you need something to worry about (with too many unallocated ‘processor clicks’ of your wetware available), try worrying about the wanderings of the Pacific Plate.
Another “Ring of Fire” bump last night; this time up north; 400 miles back toward Anchorage from Dutch, if you know the neighborhood. 7.5 Quake.
That upper middle right land mass is Kodiak Island and about the same distance again to get up to Homer and from there up Cook Inlet up to Anchorage (and Knik Arm if we were doing a travelogue, instead of a geezerly news and financial site, lol).
Anyway – thing is we are in a Solar Minimum which may (or may not, data to follow) be warming back up) but in times like this the Pacific Plate shrinks and that allows for movement.
Oh! And the worry? Well, push on one end of a stick and the other moves. So…our usual West Coast reminder to always be ready for shaken and stirred.
Monday’s 400-point Dow decline is about to be offset by a “bounce” at the open this morning. We point to Dow Futures being +158 while the S&P Futures were +21 with 90-minutes to the opening. Backed off a bit from these levels, though.
Strategically, we aren’t sure what to make of things: We can see where there’s an upside breakout case. But, there’s also a “market comes to Jesus” moment (and collapses) when the sins of Made Up Money are confessed.
The strategic sneak-peek at this corner of one of our Peoplenomics charts shows how our Aggregate Index sits with this morning’s (early) future’s pricing.
Seems up to us with the red and green trend lines about at the same place. A rally back up over these might evolve over the course of today’s trading.
Globally, things are ‘constructive’ with no major “bottoms falling out” noticed.
Though, on the other hand, with a debate to come, Retail Sales Friday, and plenty of chores to handle around the homestead, our account sits in cash until everything else is in sufficient order to allow wasting time trying to “Texas Hold ‘Em” this market.
To analyze the risk further? It’s like sizing up the risk of birth control failure in here. You can get screwed, and then there’s really screwed to follow. Market has that kind of potential!
Election Usefulness Filters
Remember our admonitions about how Big Tech is now running everything – including Elections? A further data point in support of our proposition as Google Whistleblower Tells Veritas Search Engine Is “Skewing Results” To Benefit Democrats. We are like so surprised…
While the “Official Results” won’t be known until December, we might have a delayed meeting of the Electoral College pop up as a topic shortly. One reason for that would be? Supreme Court allows Pennsylvania to count mail-in ballots received after Election Day.
And did you notice the Poll worker fired for turning away voters with “Black Lives Matter” shirts? We have to wonder if a person wearing a White Power shirt would have been treated the same? See – these are the questions that come down to real equality. Equality still mean “the same” doesn’t it?
Housing, Shake, Money, and Elected Scammers…what else might matter this fine morning?
Climate Change: Not too much talk about it in Minnesota, we’d venture. Forecast of 3 to 5 inches of snow could be a record breaker. (Not sure what it would do to cassettes or CD’s, however… “Huh?”)
PG&E’s Black Outs: Say, this is a finely crafted bit of PR to admire for our friends out in NorCal: Wildfire safety blackouts in California may impact 50,000 PG&E customers. “Safety Blackouts!” Love the term. Let’s see who gloms onto it…
The Border Still Leaks Criminals: But we’ll bet it gets worse with Open Border Dems controlling things shortly. Evidence needed? Santa Cruz County homicide investigation turns toward Mexico. Repeat after me: Sooo surprised!
Defending the Digital Mob: Mainstream stories still aren’t understand that extremism is an online phenom, not something open. Yet we read as apologist “Review of federal charges from city protests show few charged have ties to extremist groups, many from suburbs.”
Unless they’ve got detail digital surveillance audits to back up their specious “few charged have ties” bullshit, this reveals reporters with NO comprehension of how the digital world works. Let alone the online revolutionaries of the Dark. Gee-Zeus: Is this why papers are in trouble, you think?
Hiker Follow Up
With all the Missing 4-1-1 focus on hikers going missing, I promised to follow-up on the Courtier case out of Utah.
In a report here (“Holly Courtier hit her head and became disoriented early in her trip to Zion National Park, daughter says“) seems like an explanation. But, I dunno…hmm…
ATR: Raking It In
Around The Ranch: Fall Colors!
But that also means leaves – a couple of feet deep in places around the house.
As a result, I’ve been reading weather forecasts like a hawk and it looks like the “first Leaf Day” of the season will be Saturday morning. Then, a strong North Wind will be at my back as we blow leaves out of the yard and down hill.
Even better? We have been in a dry spell, so the leaves are still dry and that makes quick work – and less sticking.
Interestingly, Leaf clean-up is not a widely worked marketing niche. I’ve ordered a “special” Midwest Rake Company GIDDS2-287000 Aggregate 36″ Rake Field with 66″ Handle ($68). Both the gas-powered leaf blowers are ready: Hitachi and a Husqvarna 967144301 360BT Backpack Blower – which is not quite free, but you gotta have tools.
There’s one tool I haven’t been able to find and let me describe it for you.
I call it a “Leaf Dam.” Leaf Paddle would work, too. It’s for places (like between the house and office) where I can’t get the Kubota tractor in safely. It is to push those 4-6 foot high piles which take forever with the blower. Weeks to rake.
The “dam” would be a big plate: About 3-feet high and about 4-feet wide. It would have a handle ending in a big well-padded U that could be placed against the stomach for extra power moving a big leaf pile.
Damned if I can find one. May have to fab one up.
This whole “leaf it to George” is a great annual challenge. We sit around cocktail hour all year long scheming how to get the most leaves (with the least possible work and cost) moved.
Elaine’s a huge fan of used fishing nets – lay them down and pull the leaves off with one easy move. Wet? Hook up to tractor…
Thing is, though, they would be a nuisance the rest of the year. Not small to store, either. And they would have to be “sectioned” around trees. And that means an installation map so you could find the smaller nets under a foot or more of leaves…
Ah…joys of life, huh? Go read And Suddenly the Inventor Appeared: TRIZ, the Theory of Inventive Problem Solving and it will all make more sense.
Peoplenomics tomorrow we focus on Retroculture and where society is going. Which is an economic and social stew, for sure.
And if you have any additional comments on all the speed and optimizing of the Urban and Peoplenomics websites, better get ’em in (as comments) soon. I’m getting sick of this programming shit!
Time to carb-up….happy Bounce Day. Dow futures up only 83 now, so we shall see how the day (and Life) unwinds.
Write when you get rich,