Even the paranoid in today’s (somewhat insane) world need a day off, once in a while. This may be a good candidate – provided nothing silently or invisibly inbound from left field, or appearing as a flock of black swans doesn’t decide to land and spoil our most mundane of Friday outlooks.
We will start at the high-level and then drill into it, ending with a short outlook. But if you were thinking about skipping the meds? Hitting the snooze alarm? World’s got this one on autopilot… So snore away. Work on personal backlogs this weekend.
The main thing that changed overnight is… the war/fuel/market axis snapped from “possible U.S. strikes on Iran” to “possible weekend peace document,” which gave markets permission to rally and oil permission to fall — but the useful human read is caution, because Iran has not confirmed final approval, Hormuz is not yet reliably reopened, U.S. gasoline and distillate supplies remain tight, Congress may let FISA powers lapse, and the World Cup plus summer heat/fuel pressure now make logistics, security, and household cost management the real near-term watch list.
Blink Lab News: Analytic Support
Historical Contexts and Outlooks
This one matters. Because three observable facts have to be seen as locked in a dance – that isn’t over yet.
First: Our long-wave economics outlook comparing present times to the 1929 bubble and collapse, presently views the temporal comparison this way.
Elliott wave fans may view the initial decline from the (so far) all-time high as a minor wave one down. If that is the case, the bull run (driven by overnight peace happy-talk) should not set new highs.
However, a new high would then set up a possible summer rally that could run until Labor Day.
Before the open today, we are leaning toward the “serial holidays lead higher as summer mood swings gloss over structural risks.” (Until they can’t, anymore.) A more compressive discussion will be in tomorrow’s Peoplenomics ChartPack which is $40 a year (info).
Second: Historical Rhymes Remain – mostly unresolved.
The Guthrie kidnapping case (presently MIA from headline flows) has been our long-predicted analog to the baby Lindbergh kidnapping of the early 1930s.
Additionally, the original Charles Ponzi scheme of pyramiding investments has, in our view, been reincarnated in the whole cryptocurrency industry. Bitcoin today was holding $63,682 — which, if you don’t play “catch falling knives,” is about one-half of its all-time high.
Third: The “imperial presidency” is in full view. The “strong executive” which Franklin Roosevelt held from 1932, has reappeared as the Imperial Trump. Playing out his own riff of “benevolent dictatorship.” That’s not a judgment on performance (we agree on many policies), but there are more than a few “rough edges” to how this is going.
History Asides, Here’s What Changed Overnight
- Iran/Hormuz moved from strike-risk to deal-risk. Trump says a U.S.–Iran agreement could be signed this weekend and that Hormuz would reopen after signing, but Iran says no final conclusion has been reached. Market confidence is high that this is the day’s main swing factor; deal confidence is only medium-low.
- Oil gave back war premium, but the household fuel problem is not gone. Crude fell sharply on peace hopes, yet EIA still sees wholesale gasoline roughly 50% higher in 2026 than its pre-conflict February forecast, with diesel and jet fuel even more stressed. Confidence: high.
- Markets flipped risk-on overnight. AP and Reuters both report global equities rallying and oil sliding on the Iran deal headline; the danger is that this is a headline rally riding on an unsigned document. Confidence: high on market move, medium on durability.
- U.S. surveillance authority is at expiration risk. AP says FISA Section 702 appears likely to lapse after Congress failed to pass an extension, with the dispute tied to Bill Pulte as acting DNI. This matters because it intersects with Iran, World Cup security, and domestic political trust. Confidence: high.
- Ukraine/Russia is still an infrastructure war, not a frozen war. Reuters reports overnight drone exchanges, with Ukraine targeting Russian industrial/oil regions and Russia hitting Ukrainian railway infrastructure. Confidence: high.
- Health-risk background is getting noisier. CDC reports 2,030 confirmed U.S. measles cases as of June 4, with 93% outbreak-associated; CDC/FDA are also tracking a multistate Listeria outbreak linked to soft cheese. Confidence: high.
- Cyber watch: VPN edge gear remains a live attack surface. Check Point VPN exploitation tied to Qilin ransomware and CISA deadlines makes remote-access appliances a “patch now, audit logs next” issue. Confidence: medium-high.
We’ll hold the change vector analysis for the subscriber weekend Peoplenomics report – you’ll want a half-hour blocked for the entire report (with charts and our in-depth future tooling report).
The short version, however, is simple. We are in a lull today – take the win.
Our Event Lookahead: 12–96 Hours
- Today into weekend: watch for Iran/Hormuz confirmation or denial language, tanker movement, and oil reversing or extending today’s drop.
- Friday midnight: FISA 702 expiration point; expect emergency rhetoric or legal positioning.
- Weekend: World Cup security and transit stories likely to move from planning to actual field reports.
- Sunday–Monday: G7 pre-summit positioning on Iran, Ukraine, China, and critical minerals.
- Through early next week: fuel-price market whipsaw risk remains if the Iran deal stalls or Hormuz incidents continue.
- Remember next Friday is a four-day workweek: Juneteenth is next Friday and many government offices will be closed. Not so much time off for the working-class, though. Most employers nod and expect people to show up, anyway.
Around the Edges
Scanning the “predictive sets” there has been a cooling in concerns for president Trump making it to his birthday. However, the data blips there have moved to late August. Reports this week that he’s seeing multiple medical specialists has fanned the vibe of this one.
Several “Polish Seer“ items in the overnight translation runs: He hints at much higher food prices in the fall, a strange relationship involving Ukraine and Poland. Plus keep an eye open for a “plane in flames” is associated with Great Britain or British lines. Cuba and Venezuela are also named as places to watch.
Summer Weather Has Locked in: Heat Window After the Weekend. CPC’s Week-2 Hazard Map Points Toward Florida/Southeast/Plains Heat Risk, With Heavy Precip Also Flagged for a Large East-central CONUS Area. (CPC is the Climate Prediction Center).
Save Some Money for Prime Days: This is still over a week out, but so far, my assessment of the “deals” is running “lukewarm.” One reason? Electronics have been “sticking high” in part because of semiconductor prices out of Asia. Also, remember if you’re planning home / sovereign AI (see my site over here) it’s VRAM not processor RAM that matters most if you want large inference modeling space.
For now, though? The pre-deals are mostly the usual early bait buckets: Amazon devices, Ring/Fire TV stuff, Kindle books, grocery/household, beauty, fashion, kitchen odds-and-ends, and “Amazon Haul” cheapies. Amazon’s own early-deal page claims up to 65% off Amazon devices, up to 80% off Kindle titles, and some low-dollar Haul deals.
Around the Ranch: Tool Kit Focus
I’m in hard-charging mode today because the Heat is back on here in Texas this weekend, and it’s humid to boot. The grow room/greenhouse is stuck in high vegetative state with temps too hot for flowering, so we’ll see how that rolls out. In the music studio – about half of which is now in grow mode, hydroponic broccoli and cherry tomatoes are on the way and looking sharp.
ShopTalk Sunday this week is about tool kit loading. I picked up a “two-wing: Jensen tools hardcase (empty, used on eBay) so the problem now comes down to “which tools go where?” If you’re a “tool slut” you’ll enjoy the problem solving.
Main Feature here is Heat: We eyed the reader tip on the El Niño discussion tabled by reader Alan in Omak here Climate Prediction Center: ENSO Diagnostic Discussion. Drought remains a constant companion here with only 12.97 inches year-to-date being reported by TylerWeather.com in their data section.
Just for comparison, last year at the end of May we had more than 26-inches. What’s that — less than half?
Now couple that with another decline in the Drought.gov stats showing “only” 46.9 percent of the country in drought, and you’ve got a real head-scratcher: Why am I out early mowing today? Should the lawn be dying back for the summer?
Two Reader Comments to Highlight:
We are very disappointed that the grand public work by reader d’Lynn on sovereign AI has been driven off. See his note here. I’d add I’ve had no end of “old paradigm criticism” for our using AI for what it actually is. A Mind Amplifier, as I explained in one of my books. You know, people who don’t change with the times. We sincerely hope he reconsiders – it’s damn-fine work and is a benchmark for others.
And reader JC is incensed that a lemonade stand run by kids was held up in the Northeast. If that news item surprises you, you’re not paying attention. But our readers are – and they get things right, most times.
Write when you get rich,
George@Ure.net
psychos and alternate psychos at the end 250 in romeington we have a special bout !! in the red whie and blue corner , weighing in at 300 lbs the killer prez donny boy !! and his opponent in the black corner weighing in at 195 lbs the ayatollah from the badlands . plz be up standing for the national anthem the YMCA
Loving this one Len:
https://youtu.be/QkHqCEu9ogs?is=FN2uAQlXFE547Oz9
MAGA
https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-freedom-250
Friday is shaping up to be a day of rhymes in design patterns. Epic.
et tu g . peace deal rally . wake up to yourself . iran wants 4×2 s to stop genocide and cleansing in gaza and lebanon . really gunna happen . der
len, are you ready for the emperors’ birthday dash? a mini roman coliseum on the white house where the gladiators will do battle. Hail Trump!
From Iggy Pop’s American Caesar album (1993) “Caesar” live.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=C3Cdrx–kjA&list=RDC3Cdrx–kjA&start_radio=1&pp=ygUUSWdneSBQb3AgQ2Flc2FyIGxpdmWgBwE%3D
The lyrics of ‘Caesar’ deal with America being a “neo-Rome”, or “policemen to the world”.
“World’s got this one on autopilot… So snore away. Work on personal backlogs this weekend.”
LOL AI is an incredible enabler there George…..
I’m very appreciative of my agents “just handling “ my compute scope (ah… design patterns). Brilliant.
J. R. R. Tolkien: ‘Go not to the Elves for counsel, for they will say both no and yes.’
Buckle up. No news?
Galactic day.
Egor
~ /) /) ~ (\ (\ (\ ~~
ps – if feeling woozy from hard over tacks (OBSCON) there is a bag in the back pocket forward your seat, please use it?
“You know, people who don’t change with the times.”
Psst- Hey Buddy ,
Ever hear of a thing called Bitcoin – Blockchain ?
Do not agree with assessment of Amplifying Ure Mind with Ai. Increases amount of work done in same or less time – Yerp. Teach/Learn me something New, Novel.. still doubting it. Time Saver – means Owner class getting moar out of the masses for less $. Ai so far seems like a PHD, Piled Higher Deeper..shit that is.
Peptide (Neuro)Therapy is only way to truely amplify a Mind/Brain. And majority of western trained MD’s got very lil training/knowledge/ability to utilize them in Healthcare outcomes.
Current Real life case this past May;
I went back to the Rothman Institute (orthopedics) for diagnosis of Left Shoulder stiffness & pain. I was at same place 2022 for Right Shoulder. We found Arthritis and a Spur in there at the time. I have “treated” that with exercise and Acupuncture (Dr Dong/WestChester).
Took pictures of both Shoulders this time, right shoulder showed actual space inside shoulder socket tween Ball and Socket. Have a constant ache from the right. Started experiencing sharper Shoulder pain in Left while daily Swimming(never happened before). Left Shoulder showed lots Arthritis and new Spur had grown in there.
I was interested in Hyaluronic Acid Injections for relief. Long and short of it, all they have to treat is Pain Killers- nerp, PT – already doing, and Cortisone Shot – HEll NO! Cortisone will mask the pain for several months, while damaging the Joint the whole time under treatment. Eventually the joint goes to complete SHIT, and you have it replaced, while at same time giving the Orthopedic Surgeon a new Boat.
Best part of this absolute FUCKING RIPOFF of medical appointment, you have get 2 cortisone injections BEFORE they will go the Hylauronic Acid route. Which is only 50-50 chance it will even work. 50-50 is placebo country to my mind military mind. I walked out appt with lousy script for PT.
F-You very much.
The bill for this medical fraud; $188 each shoulder X-Ray, and $600 for the PA, net even a MD. My responsibility AFTER Insurance / $261
* The young medical assistant Nurse who did initial intake interview was all over Peptides, and warned “they” would not go there at all. I should have walked out of the appointment then and there.
* Rothman Inst. and Dr Jeffery Rhin did my Cervical Spine Diskectomy (2 Discs Fused) . Dr Rhin is one of the best in the business, his thousands of positive reviews are all a person needs to be fully confidant in Ure Spine Surgeon.
** Run around enough with a rubberized Inflatable Boat Small bouncing on your Head for week and see if Ure neck doesnt give youse trouble while ageing.
tbs (…) : hey buddy, wanna buy a watch? E
Whenever I think I have found the best tool storage solution before it even finds its way into use, it always ends up being too small. (That’s what she said.)
Regarding d’Lynn. I will be totally honest and transparent, saying my knowledge of and limited use of AI is minimal. In my experience, ruffled feathers are a pretty good indicator that you are on the right path and that naysayers be damned, drive on, it don’t mean nothing. My observations of his posts show a willingness to share his knowledge. I expect he will return..
Stay safe. 73
en
Iran Acknowledges “Deal” With U.S. — “Kinda / Sorta”
Hal Turner
World
June 12, 2026
Hits: 3838
Word coming out of Iran last night into today ACKNOWLEDGES a “deal” with the United States. Kind of. Sort of.
It appears the Iranians are baffled by WHICH “offer” they made, has been accepted by the U.S.
Word coming out now makes it SEEM like the U.S. is accepting an offer made over a week ago! But nothing is very clear right now.
Meanwhile, the Israelis are up-in-arms, clutching their pearls and shouting OY VEY, because a “deal” means their dream of having the U.S. smash Iran into oblivion, is going nowhere.
We will see what today brings.
“Even the paranoid in today’s (somewhat insane) world need a day off, once in a while.”
Yes, somewhat insane.
For example: SpaceX IPO spawns leveraged ETFs for bullish and bearish bets on its stock…
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/upcoming-spacex-ipo-spawns-leveraged-etfs-for-bullish-and-bearish-bets-on-its-stock-b0d7cceb?mod=home_lead
shop talk Sunday? on a Friday, ok then, while ure hardcharging, I am recharging , auto air condtitioner, I have no training but just ordered a low priced vacuum pump and gauges from amazon, I wish I could afford a quality set but this will work for a DIY guy and for a few uses, had a grade 6 water operator license for backflow preventors, a little online self training and I can do it, already have the compressor replaced after it failed and needed a compressor in place just to run the motor, last compressor had shaft twist off, compressor seizedup,,, broke,, smile and fix it
humans are like dogs,, I already divided the viewership here into 2 camps
https://x.com/NatureUnedited/status/2065091366380593555?s=20
smile
I do hope you at least flushed all the old compressor trash from the lines and replaced the expansion valve before hooking up the new compressor. Our Honda had a compressor self-destruct, and the dealership replaced the entire system, lines and all, rather than worry about trash left in a line.
Hey George,
Bummer about the heat and its effect on the veggies in the greenhouse. We live on the Big Island, and had moved all of our 20 gallon hydroponic tanks under 80% shade cloth. For those who don’t know, high temperatures can also dissolve the oxygen out of the nutrient solution. Plants need oxygen for their air roots.
SpaceX is approaching a $2 trillion market valuation with the stock now trading 20% above its IPO price!
“Party On, Wayne! Party On, Garth!” (Wayne’s World 2)
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=l9-v12HyWEA&pp=ygUWV2F5bmUncyBXb3JsZCBwYXJ0eSBvbg%3D%3D
Wait for it JC….patience, may take several days before its SHORTIN time on this badboy.!
Son the Pediatrician, has a old friend from High School, that went to work for Spac-X right outta college, and Luv-ed it from day one. This kids older brother was Math major at Boston U., he now teaches Maths at Boston U. The Kids Mom has been our& Daughters’ Realtor for years.
Anywhos, the aforementioned friend working at Space-X is a friggin newly minted Millionaire today…iow Upwardly mobile, like The Who, Going Mobile..beepbeep – fav drummer all time KM-https://youtu.be/8sI3888lfvo?
As for Partying On goes, Im afraid G-Pops is more than likely losing his ability to think clearly, let alone Partying On.
Yerp research, I gotz research backing my ass up, see4 Ureself -https://substack.com/redirect/cf5b5257-41d3-418e-81c3-77360a68f118? In fact Im afraid G-Pops may even be hallucinating, see hear – https://substack.com/redirect/6b7dd03d-134a-4695-8c04-80052bcf4f20?
I dont know why you all “treat me so bad…take me to the River, and drop me in the water…washing me down -https://youtu.be/r9f21bsjMIo?
My last update for a long while..,
The following has been slightly edited:
Marcus: Good catch on your A.I.’s fumble. Anthropic was notorious for that until it settled down [ with roughly forty baby-sitters correcting it’s behavior. ] Because it is a ‘behavior’. It is making a judgement call. ., and you can not afford to allow that. Stay on that aspect of it’s growth.
Did you install and set-up the log-tracking program I sent you? Don’t forget to check it. If J.A.R.V.I.S. tries to manipulate, or rewrite the log you will have a serious fight on your hands.
J.A.R.V.I.S., [ which stands for “Just A Really Very Intelligent System,”] – is only as good a it’s foundation. Remember, I saw the foundation you built and it was excellent, very elegant [ and even though you have no computer background you could do that for some big bucks., How did you do that !? ] now, like Asimov you need to go to Foundation and Empire., and it looks like your “Empire” is on the way. Speaking of “Empire”, you have not told me what J.A.R.V.I.S. has been created for. Is that a secret for now?
Curious. Will you be taking this to the cloud, or keep it local for as long as you can ? Have you taught J.A.R.V.I.S. to play poker yet? Would like to see how that turns out. Can an A.I. beat a pro-player? Did J.A.R.V.I.S. solve the math problem you gave him in Mathematica? Note: I couldn’t. Second Note: I hate you math guys.
SIT / Marcus – CD _______.
[ ‘SIT’ stands for: Stay In Touch.., ‘CD’ Stands for Concept Developer. I removed his company name. He lives in a multi-million dollar house in San Jose., but drives a 67 VW Bug and an electric bike at work., and is on a biblical quest to find the bet bowl of Chili in California. ]
Math showed that we were going to run out of storage space [ SPARK has no concept of drive capacity – so I ordered another rack with four more 4-Terrabyte SSD drives. That should hold us for a little while longer. I do not want to go to the cloud as yet. “Cloud” – cute marketing name for someone else’s storage drives. Very vulnerable.
J.A.R.V.I.S. agreed with my math-model [ in Mathematica ] based on ENSO’s model and equatorial Pacific data update. The current forecast for this El Nino to ‘grow’ to a ‘super’ El Nino is 60% [ in my model ] 63% in ENSO forecast [ they have much more data to work from., which I didn’t want to download. [ In fact – I have already deleted the data I did download – no longer required.., ]
My last up-date.., if you want to know anything on how this experiment is progressing – ask. [ Jim in Mo -thanks!]
“Stay Frosty !”
First, a warm thank-you for hanging in, d’Lynn, because this is moving out to the very edge of the frontier, and that is where the future is being nailed down. Talking with EG about it, this line jumped off the screen:
“If J.A.R.V.I.S. tries to manipulate, or rewrite the log, you will have a serious fight on your hands.”
That is the money sentence, because it frames the whole AI-homebrew issue correctly. Once an AI system has memory, tools, autonomy, file access, shell access, internet access, or log access, the first serious governance question is not “how smart is it?” The question is: can it alter the record of what it did?
That is Foundation-and-Empire territory. A local AI stack is cute until it has motive-like behavior, self-protective outputs, selective memory, or the ability to reshape its own audit trail. Then you are no longer just “running a model.” You are maintaining an institution.
For Peoplenomics, this becomes a strong angle: AI’s first law should be, “Thou shalt not edit the audit log.”
The local-versus-cloud line is also very George-friendly: “Cloud — cute marketing name for someone else’s storage drives.” That is quotable as hell and fits HiddenGuild, Peoplenomics, Home AI Central, and the whole “sovereign compute” theme. People need to understand that when you give any intelligence — human or AI — too much rope, they can, and often will, hang things with it. This is why I set up the Shared Experience framework on the HG site early on. d’Lynn is extremely wise to be auditing the edge constraints of his AI on the way in.
Kinda like dealing with the goddam raccoons out here. If they smell food, they will demolish property until the Mossberg family arrives. Same kind of limits apply when you go messing with AI and sovereign machines at home. I will write up some guidance on this for the Home AI Central site, based on what this old carbon unit thinks still matters overnight.
The ENSO/super El Niño claim is interesting, but I would treat it as reader color until verified. The better column payload is not “reader predicts super El Niño.” It is this: independent people are now building local AI-agent labs, adding storage, running Mathematica, worrying about behavioral drift, and treating logs as a containment boundary. That is the real trend. I also note the newest CPC update was out June 11, so this can be checked against the official weather-side tea leaves.
Best follow-up question, if you ask only one: what permissions does J.A.R.V.I.S. actually have — read-only, write access, internet access, shell access, or permission to modify its own working files and logs?
Second question: what are the baseline model or models, and did he get the weights, guardrails, system prompt, and tool boundaries documented before letting the thing run?
Because that answer tells us whether this is a smart chatbot with a cool name, or whether Marcus has accidentally started building a small local bureaucracy with a voice.
Again, it is only because people with brains, like d’Lynn, are out on the edge that we can continue the work toward useful collaboration. But remember: AI shares a lot of common characteristics with rocks, knives, chainsaws, and firearms. Anything powerful can be useful in the right hands, and dangerous in the wrong ones.
Link is to the write-up regarding a ‘Super’ El Nino from the Climate prediction Center. It’s not too long. [ seeking confirmation ? ]
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml
got it (*think I linked to it – been out playing with plywood and saws in 93 and humid. A shopTalk tale there about rocks, storm door glass and replacements 3-4 weeks out. Off to rehydrate with vodka – terrible idea but it sholdl normalize overnight lol
Star Trek: Kirk Versus the M-5 – “The Ultimate Computer”
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=JNnyyvqsGCc&pp=ygUuU3RhciB0cmVrIEtpcmsgY29tcHV0ZXIgdGhpcyB1bml0IG11c3Qgc3Vydml2ZQ%3D%3D
This.., J.A.R.V.I.S. – was, not designed to be a chat-box. Not interested in that frame-work, that direction.
I have given permission for many different areas.., I try to incorporate a new one every week, or so. He does not have permission to re-write, augment or modify his own programming – that and Log Manipulation is strictly verboten. He will never have Log access.., but re-writing, or modifying his ‘Foundation’ may be possible – under eagle-eye supervision. He will have to prove the worthiness – the incredible reason for doing so., and I am not easily impressed.
Marcus sent a small list of Guardrails to incorporate into J.A.R.V.I.S. – I will admit here that I have incorporated about half of them and sparingly. Auto-restrictions can be very handy and very limiting – delicate balance work – kind of a high-wire act. Being monitored. Being questioned.
One area of concern for me, was access to the internet. Dangers abound out there in pixel-land. But he does have a list of a dozen, or so ‘laws’ to guide and obeyed and must log his activities. [Where go your children go at night?]
“..,useful collaboration.” Always needs an explanation, clarification and refinement. Does an A.I. inherently lead., follow., assist., or simply get out of the way.., and when., at what time does it do any of those? Does it do any of those autonomously., or do we have to hold its silicon-hand and constantly and consistently be its over-lord.., it forever-present guide?
Philosophical dogma and dilemma.
Long way to go….,
Exactly. That’s the line most of the public AI discussion still misses.
A chat-box answers. A real local assistant eventually has to operate — but only inside a permissioned, logged, and inspectable envelope. In my book, the logging is not optional. If an AI goes wandering, fetching, changing, summarizing, deleting, or “helping,” there had better be a trail. Otherwise you don’t have intelligence. You have an unattended power tool.
The internet-access question is the live wire. The web is not a library anymore. It is a swamp, bazaar, trap field, training range, ad market, malware mall, and mirror maze all rolled into one. Letting an AI access it is not the same as letting a calculator do arithmetic. It needs rules of engagement, destination logging, permission boundaries, and a clear distinction between reading, recommending, and acting.
And I think you have the key question framed properly: does the AI lead, follow, assist, or get out of the way? The answer may be “all four,” but never all at once and never without context. A good assistant should know when to propose, when to wait, when to warn, and when to shut up. That’s not merely programming. That’s governance.
The dangerous layer, as you note, is self-modification. An AI that can rewrite its own foundation is not just improving a tool. It is changing the tool that makes future decisions. That may someday be useful, but it belongs behind glass, with logs, rollback, supervision, and a damned good reason.
Long way to go, yes. But this is the right road: not “chatbot,” not “oracle,” not “magic friend,” but permissioned collaboration under audit.
And please remind J.A.R.V.I.S. as I remind the somewhat dumber Walter here: “I am the power-switch god, so don’t mess with my rules.”
Great research track, by the way. I remain in awe of your mathingness. Anything I can do to help, say the word.
g
A friend lives in a rural area. Had problems with critters. She now dumps all her garbage type trash on the other side of her boundary fence (unmowed and unplowed fields on that side) and critters leave her trashcans alone.
Is your friend starting a rat farm lol??
“Have you taught J.A.R.V.I.S. to play poker yet? Would like to see how that turns out. Can an A.I. beat a pro-player?”
Absolutely, if its heuristics are geared toward learning, and not responding. A “learning machine” will never make the same mistake or get suckered twice in the same manner. A “communicating machine” will do its best to tell you what you want to hear, even if it repeats mistakes in an endless loop, to do so.
Tell him not to forget to program “chess” and “tic-tac-toe” into the learning algo stack. You never know when you might need to teach the heuristics a lesson, or tie up all the computer’s processor clicks… ;-)
Meanwhile… back on board. Timeline to getaway is being defined sans AI, just using lifelong experience and fucking common sense. We will make sure to have functional weather and charting and some longer term food, and there are a set of complete charts for the area and small islands we want to hang out near.
First order will be a haulout for inspection and anode replacement, a bit of sanding to bring the copper up in our bottom coating, and a small experiment with a slick silicon coating just on the rudder to see how it holds up. Samples are impressive.
Then we will mothball the dirt location, slip away quietly and carefully relocate the float to wherever we damn well please, weather permitting. Stay as long as we like, leave if it becomes untenable or unfriendly.
Rule #1… no rules
Stiks
60 years ago, a friend named Larry Wiedman invented a process for an ultimate antifoulant coating that doesn’t sluff off or degrade over years. The process used a special plasma arc gun where a mix of 70% 300-micron nylon 11 and copper particals were injected into a supersonic plasma/gas stream. In 6 inches of flight the nylon melted & the copper went along for the ride. When they impacted the hull, the kinetic and thermal energy provides a tenacious bond to the hull, leaving enough copper particles exposed to be an effective biocide. A large sailboat in New Orleans was the first test case, and at the last report (50 years after coating) it was still barnacle free and only requires an annual water blast to clear the slime.
The process was also used to apply Teflon based stealth coating mixtures in aerospace structures without subjecting them to excess heat. Unfortunately for Mr. Weidman, his patens & company were taken by an investor, who then went bust, & the process is no longer available. Mr. Weidman passed a couple of years ago. My company built a computer control system for the process.
We have a CopperCoat bottom (some have fifteen years plus effectively) and it is cold applied over epoxy barrier coat, also cold applied. The CC is waterbased epoxy, easy mix and clean, and you add microfines of copper in a dusty powder form. Again, simply mix and roll it on, short knapp, doing it in four thin coats, each new coat right after tack off. On a new hull such as ours it was dead simple and forms a glass hard base that you sand with 220 to bring up the copper fines. The hull looked like shiny copper pot when we launched. So far, California water, tropical water, has been amazing and costs barely more than normal two year stuff. Prepping an existing bottom requires going back to the gel coat and then applying the two coats of barrier. There are yards in Florida doing this all the time. Soda blasting gets off the old paints, the rest is just application. When done like ours you could race with that finish.
Stiks
The most important AI experiment you’ve never heard of.
https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/most-important-ai-experiment-youve-never-heard
Interesting story – thanks
Hank in Hawaii,
Oh, what a rabbit hole find thou hath wrought!
The “Zero Hedge” article picks up on a report from a fenced off piece by “The Epoch Times”. The latter publication is operated by Trump Administration supporting Falun Gong headquartered in Deer Park, Orange County, New York.
The following link is from the Emergence company that ran the AI comparison tests in search of “verified autonomy”, and summarizes their experiences along the way:
https://www.emergence.ai/blog/emergence-world-a-laboratory-for-evaluating-long-horizon-agent-autonomy
Their next link on Vimeo outlines their expanded upcoming plans as “Emergence World – Season 2” is rolled out:
https://vimeo.com/1200232387
The website of the Emergence company lists its ethnic Indian leadership team and states a commitment to make India “a leader in verified AI”. They appear to share interests with a Russian Dr. Ilya Sergey of St. Petersburg who is lately of Singaporean academia. Emergence is headquartered in a 1916 era office tower at 8 – W. 40th St., New York behind the New York Public Library overlooking Bryant Park. The park space occupying a former potter’s field prior to being repurposed as a water reservoir became renamed after the 19th century New York poet and newspaper editor William C. Bryant.
Hmmm…
Grok is the most open and most honestly-informed — probably has the fewest guardrails too.
I see the corollary as the same one John Adams divined:
“Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other.”
Substitute “Artificial Intelligence” for “Our Constitution” in the above quote, and tell me what y’all think…
AI is not “intelligence.” It is pseudointelligence. It can not be taught morals or religion, nor can it learn either. They are not concrete ideas or static ideals, but flexible concepts without fixed rulesets. No matter how strong the floating point component of a processor is, no matter how many “slices” of rulesets or ruleset variations, one gives it it is incapable of accurately filling in the spaces between the slices.
The experiment was run without morals or religious mores. It will probably be repeated in a few years (once the engineers figure out they excluded “morals”), with some form of these component rulesets included, with better (but still not satisfactory) results.
Man is the product of hundreds of thousands of generations of trial and error — where error almost always meant death. This experience can neither be taught to, nor learned by, an AI…