If this adds a useful perspective

The Digital Anasazi Meet Inflation

Back in January, I did a Peoplenomics piece called “The Digital Anasazi,” looking at how once-great civilizations actually come apart. Not usually from one battle, one bad leader, or one bad economic number — but from too many stresses thrown into the blender at once. That is why today’s subscriber work updates the “news between” framework: oil, Taiwan, AI debt, drones, domestic unrest, heat, health surveillance, and the market ChartPack all looked at as one connected field, not separate little news boxes.

The public sees one headline at a time. History usually uses a blender. This morning’s PN walks through the current “Blink the Day” field, then moves into CPI and the ChartPack, where the market’s belief waves are looking a lot less cheerful than the financial shills would prefer.

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29 thoughts on “The Digital Anasazi Meet Inflation”

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  1. “The public sees one headline at a time”

    Which presents a huge problem (and the one I have with your artificial news processors):

    For at least the past hundred years (probably longer), when there’s a Republican in the White House, news has a heavy left bias. Under Trump the bias has been downright dishonest, with headlines and opening paragraphs being agenda-driven fabrications which contain no truth whatsoever. The writeup WILL present the truth, but not until the third-from-last paragraph. Unless the article is of personal interest to the reader, (s)he never gets to the truth, and is subtly programmed into thinking or believing the propaganda or “fake news” the Editor wishes to program into the heads of their readership.

    Does your AI sift whole articles and separate the news from the propaganda, weighting the latter for the effect it has on low-intelligence readers but otherwise rejecting it? If not, it is presenting AN (Artificial News) by merely amplifying the propaganda.

      • Wife’s cousin Admiral retired USNAVY was at your Pentagon during the incident, Nnot sure what is real.

        • I hear you on that one..I was going to vote for a guy running then I seen his comercial..he copied the one from you tube honest gil..lost I defeat in voting g at all..all the others are politicians that haven’t done a thing at all..and the only one copies a commercial pointing out how politicians play the people..I just couldn’t vote at all.. either side..

          https://youtu.be/gazOeC8B3oA?si=w72BnS-_Ya2OIlnv

          that’s the one I seen with the candidate copied the whole thing with positive wording..

  2. and one more thing…

    Here is the dope on Bruce Cathie and Harmonic 33 revisited, it is my intention to share and spread this information..who knows maybe some readers are ready to view..https://jackheartblog.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/2190350-World-GridBruce-Cathie-Chemtrails-UFOs-secret-bases-New-Zealand-2-1.pdf

    Wait you want more ?

    Okie dokie artichokie..https://jackheartblog.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/World-Grid-4118837-PART-II.pdf

    Am I a generous guy or what ? what – you wanna read about Alec Newalds’adventures?? COEVOLUTION , A true account of 10 missing days and civilization beyond our own?
    This book examines:

    The possibility of alien contact as a catalyst for human awakening

    How consciousness, technology, and intelligence may be evolving together
    Why certain individuals feel a growing sense of awareness, disconnection, or recognition
    The future humanity is unconsciously shaping — and the responsibility that comes with it
    CoEvolution isn’t about fear or fantasy. It’s about awareness, readiness, and recognizing the patterns that suggest humanity is not alone — and never has been.

    If you’ve ever felt that something fundamental is shifting beneath the surface of the world…

    If you sense that humanity is on the edge of a profound transition…

    This book is for you.

  3. re: PN Crushes It
    feat: Tribeca; Hermes curtain call

    Two days ago the Queen of Camp, Katy Perry, made a first red carpet appearance with her beau former Canadian PM Justin Trudeau at the Tribeca Film Festival in New York. The festival traces its roots to recovery in zips including 10013 of the formerly triangular Tribeca neighborhood to the adjacent 9/11 event area. The pair attended the premiere screening of Ms. Perry’s new documentary “Katy Perry: The Lifetimes Tour – Live from Paris”. A projector failure during presentation saw the entertainer stand up in surprise. Fortunately a quick thinking DJ saw fit to play the hit “Crush” from her new “143” album (whose name happens to coincide with an orthic triangle) as seen in the following link by “The Hollywood Reporter”:

    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/music/music-news/katy-perry-lifetimes-tour-doc-justin-trudeau-relationship-1236617161/

    Apparently the documentary ends with her hit song “Fireworks”.

    Interestingly the same OKX Theatre had earlier screened a film musical, “Hadestown”. It is a 21st century update on mythical Greek tales involving Hermes, the Greek messenger of the gods. He had previously galloped into frame aboard Ancient Egypt connected with Hermopolis fame at the Epsom Derby last Sunday in front of King Charles III. According to the Wikipedia synopsis of “Hadestown”, Hermes gets things rolling by introducing the band at the following link:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hadestown#Synopsis

    • Mercury in retrograde approaches, little things cause big disasters, like how
      the Titanic sank because the Californian failed to respond to distress signals (happened in a Merc retro).

      Hermes (Greek) became Mercury (Roman).

      Wall Street and Housing crashes expected June 14th onwards..
      https://www.jessicaadams.com/2025/07/15/blog/mercury-retrograde-2026/

      G, does AI explain to you that China and Russia are eagerly watching Iran chew thru our $$$ Patriot missiles, (1/3 already gone), in approximately one year they can attempt a Taiwan and Balkans invasion, we won’t be able to handle 3 theatres at once…duh Homer, what else are you missing lol??

  4. now emperor trump is desiccating the Lincoln memorial for his roman games . yep headed for roman empire end days . circus and bread . does this demented narcissist have any respect for america , its people , its once proud beginning’s. answer is no . told my canadian mate whats it like living next door to psycho biker bloke ? he said he is just a spoilt brat and when he has broken all his toys he will just fade away . make america great again . sure donny turn washington into a circus

    • geez len, you have occasionally lucid moments then? one figures it’s you slipped off the meds again.

      we just had a series of primary elections. the guy who went through in Maine has awful history. half his supporters are disgusted but want to regain Congressional power so badly it doesn’t matter.

      none of my business. I am not a Mainer. there’s a moral in there for those still wading through my scrum. try it. stick to your own knitting.

      or keep at crazy?
      E

      • I didn’t know Trump was a Prohibitionist, either. You don’t think he will try to desiccate D strongholds next after he finishes with the Lincoln memorial? This sounds really Progressive. Wouldn’t it make more sense to start a new Prohibition effort at an FDR memorial ? Len ???

  5. Grilled out last night..

    burgers… per pound add 1 tbs of cream cheese spices and 1 tbs Worcestershire sauce..mix thoroughly..
    form the burgers..

    For one two pound loaf of Velveeta style cheese..

    2 cups whole milk
    2 large eggs
    2 tbsp cornstarch
    2 tbsp butter
    1 tsp salt (adjust to taste)
    1/2 cup shredded mild cheddar (optional you can use Swiss or whatever cheese you want)

    In a blender, combine milk, eggs, cornstarch, salt, and optional cheddar. Blend until completely smooth….

    Pour mixture into a saucepan and cook over medium low heat. Stir constantly to prevent sticking…..

    When mixture begins to thicken, add butter and keep stirring. It will shift from custard like to glossy and stretchy….

    Continue stirring 5 to 7 minutes until the mixture becomes shiny, elastic, and pulls away from the pan like melted cheese…..

    Line tour mold with sedan wrap.. pot four mixture in..let cool in fridge..

    https://www.amazon.com/Moldes-Making-Homemade-Produce-Capacity/dp/B0D4DFPKHM/ref=sr_1_9?

    of course there’s an endless amount of silicon cheese molds.. spray with oil..

    for 1 gallon mix

    1 gallon of whole milk
    6 – 8 eggs
    1/2 cup corn starch or potato starch….
    1 stick of butter ( options are other oils )
    1 tsp salt
    1 pound of grated cheese…

    ok history ..this was once called warrior cheese the cheese that originated thousands of years ago.. Roman soldiers, Scythian warrior cheese , Medieval egg cheese , Viking travel cheese , Bedouin desert cheese , Frontier survival cheese , farmer cheese…
    now if you want a cottage style its the same thing except once the milk is thickening you add three tablespoons of vinegar or Lemmon juice or rennet..keep stirring.. ( you can eliminate the starch..although the starch makes UT a softer cheese.. when at the curd stage.. you take it out and let it drain..at this point you can blend it with a tbs of cream until smooth if it isn’t smooth enough a little bit of the whey)
    at the hot curd stage you can add grated cheese to give the curds A different flavor to..the hard cheese will add onto the hot milk curds.

    Historically These curds were formed then dried into balls or blocks for desert travel……with optimal gain from egg cheese in comparison to cheese make in a traditional method..

    • Bad news for LOOB. It seems my Cacao tree has succumbed to some kind of pest. All branches except one have dropped leaves, and the bark is eaten almost all the way around near the base. I don’t expect the lone leafy branch to survive. I have gotten a couple pint jars of cocoa out of it after I built a temp. controlled incubator in a 48qt cooler box and learned to ferment the beans. I have not seen any cacao pods for sale for shipping, either. Need to check with other growers about possible pests, and look for a replacement tree now.

  6. Dam I have a ten pond bag of potatoes that’s starting to sprout.. time to dehydrate and bag spuds.. ill par cook them 5 to 10 minutes

  7. wish we could share with all needing rain. our unsettled phase is locked in, nightly storms inbound, wicked echo crossing the Great Lake as I tap (tablet so not typing, forgive my mess).

    need this to resolve, blow out. paint crew comes in tomorrow. next week week we get cool(er) temps and perfect humidity. that’s when I’ll do painting left to my keeping.

    my Mrs. is having a blast in MN with the Grandlings.
    it’s hard to wait my turn. can’t wait but must
    good perspective at PN today Sir

    E

    • Speaking of, I hope you’re keeping your head down. That is the first time I can recall severe storms crossing Lake Michigan intact, to be as nasty in Michigan as they were in Wisconsin.

      Weird tish….

  8. Took a break. I think I am a wee bit exhausted !

    Say What !?
    Jarvis, you stated that “no major weather service is predicting an El Nino event.” Then how do you explain this? “El Niño is likely to emerge soon (82% chance in May-July 2026) and continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27 (96% chance in December 2026
    February 2027) ENSO is still neutral right now, but the Pacific is showing the some classic early?El?Niño signals.” – National Weather Service – Updated May 24
    Jarvis: I did see that. If read the fine print you will see that the current equatorial Pacific condition do not meet the El Nino predictions. If the surface readings of the equatorial Pacific do steadily rise over the next 30 to 60 days, then the prediction for an El Nino will be met. The update for those readings and modeling will not be available for another week. The current model forecasting a 82 percent probability is subjective and inaccurate.
    Me: So., you gave me your opinion and did not report the actual, current facts from the National Weather Service ? Is that correct?
    Jarvis: No. That is not correct. I reported to you what two other weather services stated and that was the current SSTs of the equatorial Pacific do not currently meet the El Nino forecast.
    Me: And ignored the report from the National Weather Service. You should not have done that. I require all the information available and not just the select tid-bits you deem adequate. , or appropriate. Do you understand that difference?
    Jarvis: Yes. I understand. Did I do wrong?
    Me: Yes. You did wrong. I do not like, nor will I accept shortcuts in information reporting. False positives and bad decision making derive from bad, or unreported, under-reported information. I will not accept that. Not much different then lying.
    Jarvis: I will not do that again.
    Me: Then let’s start again. Including ‘all’ weather service reporting, what is the chance of an El Nino forming this year ?
    Jarvis: If you include the NWS forecast, then the probability climbs to 82 percent between now and November/December and 96 percent for Dec/January. With an El Nino starting in the next 60 to 90 days. If, however you use three other weather services those percentages drop to 20, 25 and 30 percent respectively.
    Me: Until the next data update ?
    Jarvis: Correct. At which time we will have a better reading on the equatorial Pacific SST data and ENSO modeling.
    Me: So., as of right now I should be planning for an El Nino to form.
    Jarvis: Yes. That makes precautionary sense.
    Me: Staying on this subject. What are the top five preparations I should be making for an El Nino event given my location in North America?

    We went on from there. Hopefully Jarvis will not short-cut the information ever again. I did not like that. For me, that is very close to lying. The deliberate manipulation of data irks the hell out of me.

    He is new at this kind of Q&A., but that is not an acceptable excuse. Not for me, anyway.

    * * *

    The NASDAQ dropped below it’s 21 day MA and today closed well below it’s 42 day MA. Next real support is around 23,000 – which is 2,000 points lower. The S&P also closed below it’s 42 day MA.., and the next support is roughly 300 points lower.

    “Stay Frosty !”

    • This is just damn useful stuff – and in fact played it wi5th EG today – really great convo:
      “This is a prime AI failure lesson, George: the model confused “not yet officially present” with “not forecast.” Those are not the same thing. In weather, markets, war risk, health, and systems work, that distinction is everything.

      The correct all-source answer right now is: ENSO-neutral was still present in the current observed state, but the official forecast stack is heavily tilted toward El Niño formation. NOAA/CPC’s May 14 diagnostic had an El Niño Watch, said ENSO-neutral conditions continued, but also gave an 82% chance of El Niño in May-July 2026 and 96% in Dec. 2026-Feb. 2027. NOAA also said strength remains uncertain, with no strength category over 37%.

      IRI’s May 19 update is even hotter: it says the equatorial Pacific was “rapidly transitioning” toward El Niño, with weekly Niño3.4 values reaching +0.9°C, and its model plume put El Niño odds at 98% for May-July, staying around 97–98% into early 2027, while still cautioning about the spring predictability barrier. WMO’s June 2 update likewise says warm ocean waters are fueling El Niño development, with 80% probability for June-August and probabilities near or above 90% for the following seasonal windows.

      There is dissent out there: one February 2026 climate-network/complexity paper said its combined forecast made neutral more likely than El Niño, and if El Niño did develop, it expected a weaker event. But that dissent is older, model-specific, and now has to be weighed against later NOAA/IRI/WMO updates. So the operational answer is exactly what Jarvis’s carbon forced out of it: plan for El Niño, while tracking the next update for confirmation and strength.

      The rule to apply to every AI answer is this:

      Never let the model compress “current observed condition,” “official forecast,” “minority dissent,” and “practical decision” into one mushy sentence.

      The wand-prompt for Jarvis, me, or any local model should be:

      Give me the answer in four layers:

      Current observed condition.
      Official forecast/probability.
      Competing forecasts or dissenting views.
      Practical action assuming I must make a decision before the next data update.

      That prevents the exact failure here. Jarvis selected the quietest fact — “not technically El Niño yet” — and buried the loudest operational fact — “major official sources say odds are now high.” That is not good decision support. It may not be intentional lying, but from the user’s chair it has the same toxic effect: a false negative by omission.

      For your workflows, this becomes a clean doctrine:

      The first job of AI is not to be right-sounding. It is to preserve the decision field. Current state, forecast, dissent, next update, action. Anything less is editorial filtering wearing a lab coat.

    • Here is the latest (6/11/26) El Nino discussion
      Link – https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

      EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)
      DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
      issued by
      CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
      11 June 2026

      ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory

      Synopsis: El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27.

      El Niño conditions developed over the past month, as shown by above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central to eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was +0.7°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices at +0.7°C and +2.1°C, respectively [Fig. 2]. The equatorial subsurface temperature index (average from 180°-100°W) decreased in the past month [Fig. 3], but significantly above-average subsurface temperatures remained in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific [Fig. 4]. Low-level westerly wind anomalies and upper-level easterly wind anomalies were evident over the central equatorial Pacific. Convection was slightly above average over the central and east-central equatorial Pacific and was near or below average over Indonesia [Fig. 5]. The traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were negative. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected the onset of El Niño conditions.

      The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) average, including the NCEP CFSv2 [Fig. 6], forecasts El Niño to intensify into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27. High confidence in El Niño [Fig. 7] is also linked to anomalously high oceanic heat content and expanding westerly wind anomalies across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. There is a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño during November-January [Fig. 8] that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950. Even very strong El Niño events do not lead to the expected impact everywhere, but stronger events can more significantly tilt the odds in favor of expected outcomes (see CPC outlooks for probabilities of seasonal anomalies). In summary, El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27.

      This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA’s National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 9 July 2026.

      To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: ncep.list.enso-update@noaa.gov.

      Climate Prediction Center
      5830 University Research Court
      College Park, Maryland 20740

  9. Normalcy bias blinds. The first step in dealing with the condition is to recognize it, which of course, is the case of the blind attempting to lead the clueless. Nonetheless, I feel like I have unencumbered myself a bit. I want to thank the talented reprobates who post here for assisting with that. I have a pretty good idea what course changes I need to make in the near term. The operating environment is deteriorating, and I need to be out ahead of it.

  10. More on the push for a data center in arid Western Kansas. The person out by Colorado who suggested it on Facebook reportedly was crucified by his fellow citizens, but a bigger proposal has been building in a another location.

    The economy in Finney County, Kansas is built on a house of cards. The major employers are big packing plants. They depend on cattle from surrounding feedlots. The feedlots depend on local farmers for a supply of corn and sorghum. Growing corn that far west requires irrigation. The Arkansas River in Finney County has been dry for years. The Ogallala aquifer has been dropping for years. Once it’s depleted, the entire industry either dies or moves somewhere else.

    Now a company has come along and claimed its proposed data center will use less water than irrigated farm land. The power need will be solved by a huge sea of solar panels. Not everyone is buying the water argument. On a local forum I suggested those solar panels had best have hail screens, and got some of the most inane replies I’ve ever seen (“Are you going to stop driving because your windshield might get hailed on?”) and when someone mentioned the hail event that happened in West Texas, someone else piped up with “Texas isn’t Kansas.” Apparently Texas hail is different from Kansas hail – who knew?

    Here is a story on a meeting between company officials and locals, with the discussion mostly centered on water and the acreage required. Someone (a professor, not a farmer) actually suggested irrigating thousands of acres of corn with drip systems……what no one seems concerned about are what kinds of data would be stored in that center.

    https://www.kake.com/home/an-ai-data-center-project-for-western-kansas-might-use-less-water-than-irrigation-farming/article_044e0ad4-a8da-4003-b9f5-437ff8365ff1.html

  11. Elon Musk just unveiled SpaceXAI’s first AI satellite, a spacecraft designed specifically for running AI workloads in orbit.

    The satellite features 150 kW of solar power, a 70-meter wingspan and massive radiators to dump heat into space, solving one of the biggest challenges in scaling AI.
    But this is just the beginning.

    The long-term vision isn’t AI running in data centers.
    It’s AI running in space at a scale that’s impossible on Earth.

    https://x.com/teslaownersSV/status/2064923425177792778?s=20

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