The global economy is on the verge of collapse in coming weeks.
Before we get into “How grim is it?” We need to roll out one of the major numbers that will drive future: Retail Sales. Just out:
Also out some imported energy data from Labor:
“Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.4 percent in September following a 0.3-percent decrease in August. Export prices rose 0.1 percent in September, after increasing 0.4 percent the previous month. Over the past year, import prices advanced 9.2 percent and export prices rose 16.3 percent.”
After the data, futures were sitting on our predicted Wave II rally target which we will get to in a moment…
In some ways, a lot of what’s going on right now can be laid at the feet of the Federal Reserve Board. Which – in our estimation – has done an OK job of dealing with the outbreak of bio-war. Questionable trading aside…
You see, when the economy cratered, back in February of 2020, the Federal Reserve simply started making up money. A LOT of money. Like $8.5 TRILLON dollars worth of money. And all done with relative ease because Dollars are not directly convertible into anything.
The “Four Futures” to Resolve
Topic in great depth of our Peoplenomics.com subscriber report tomorrow. ($40/year).
- In the nearest future, China uses its temporal advantage and takes Taiwan right after the CCP meeting in two weeks. Circle Nov. 6.
- A more distant future waits until September 2022. Then – with fresh hot new systems on line China takes Taiwan – and keeps on going. Middle Kingdom time – and they keep on going. Circle Next Labor Day.
- A bit further, The U.S. economy implodes as the Rest of World (RoW) renounces the Buck as the global reserve currency, wild-eyed free-spending leftists will have hollowed out the Dollar doing what the Soviet Union and China were not able to do.
- At best, the fourth scenario is the muddle-through. Sovietization of America with sides of Venezuela, Zimbabwe hyperinflation, and arrogant leftist organizers of the AOC “free lunch and don’t pay back debts” crowd.
We’ll go over the decision-trees (because you should have pre-programmed personal responses to each of these potential time-shifters at the ready – in the Peoplenomics report tomorrow.
For now, my consigliere’s warning that his 1979 long-range cycles work – a lightyear pasts Kondratiev, Juglar, and other cyclical economics luminaries – still has a “hot spot” for war with China in the 2022-2025 window. That’s when the the tinder is all in place.
Where the specific spark lands? Well, we have “no sparks or open flames” windows that are pretty clear. And, to a degree, somewhat actionable.
Prepping is Prudent – Not Paranoid
That we’ve invested in additional solar, PTZ wireless surveillance cams, and deliveries from Cheaper-than-Dirt and Lucky Gunner should not make us appear too paranoid. Anymore than it’s paranoid for Taiwan to order additional arms for self-defense. Or Israel wanting to lease four of our KC-135 tankers to proactively be prepared to strike back if an attack on their Dimona nuke installation is launched.
Not that my now-in-hand Part 107 FAA Remote Pilot license…along with knowledge building on how to integrate the wider application of Android apps (for surveillance) into Windows 11 informs, either. I told you there was a new main computer here, right? In times ahead, I could see government having to ban all but licensed drone operations in urban areas when this all gets kicked-over.
Amateur radio Extra Class and high speed Morse? Multiple VHF/SDR/ and HF multimode capability?
It’s all part of CoEGZ Planning. That’s Continuity of Elaine, George, and Zeus planning.
People with their woke heads where they can’t read data need to pull ’em out and WTF up. But if not, we offer the choice of sub or hypersonic. Though we hope it never comes to that. We’re law abiding AND peaceable. As long as both persist. (Rewatch the movie Bill Jack this weekend.)
Something Remains Hidden
There is, however, still something that remains hidden in our estimate. Likely related to the bio-war which will come into headlines in full force over the next year – if not sooner – in our 50-years of news judgement.
With the unlocking of the penal colony (Australia) the RoW is still going crazy with Covid. Take Protests and blockades greet new Italy Covid rules, as an example.
Now, ask yourself: Why are government’s so G-damn anxious – even desperate – to vaccinate all their tax-chattel/cattle?
They are lying at every turn about the disease: Fauci’s blatant misdirection on gain of function research, Oz locking down, Stupid Joe’s “mandates” without authority of law to private companies. (He can only mandate to federal contractors, but it hasn’t slowed him down…)
Reasons for Suspicion
Needle-Juice Desperation drives it for thinking people:
But even MORE suspect – and it’s like he and his left-of-communist government is TRYING TO TAKE DOWN AMERICA – are decisions like enabling the Covid-leaking border and spreading military-aged non-citizens around the U.S. uninvited and undoxxed. And just this morning there’s even MORE happy horseshit as New Navy Guidance Will Discharge Sailors Refusing COVID-19 Vaccination Without Exemption.
Thank God there are some high-integrity jurists left who haven’t been purged yet by the digital coup: Judge bars United from putting unvaccinated workers on leave.
But the coup marches on. Since Illinois is (besides being bankrupted by liberals) not a very freed0m loving place – where gun-banners can’t stop the S.A. gangs and their weekend killing sprees – we don’t hold much hope for independent-minded Windy City cops: Chicago police union urges officers to ‘hold the line’ over vaccine mandate. Mayor says ‘bring it on.’
The mayor is an idiot. Oh, I mean the mayor is ultra-lib Lori Lightfoot. Part of the desperation vaxxers using it to clean-house of freedom-supporting people who might not like the [still hidden] agenda.
But let’s get back to tearing the guts out of the military, shall we?
No disrespect Joe, but hey, look… We gotta ask “Who but a Traitor would sanction reducing naval (and all services) manpower when we’re on the verge of war to defend a critical defense products and high tech chips ISLAND? Which if it falls means Australia next? Not like it’s a Cessna 182 ride from Hickam, right?
We view it as an open question: Is Joe Biden (and his Obama holdover crew) the first Traitor to hold the Oval? OR – and I hope this is the case – is there SOMETHING so bad, so evil, so un-nerving, that it cannot be revealed to the Great American Public?
Time tells, but it can take a while. Look up the fall of Rome, for example.
But to us, comes down to the question are there Traitors in Washington OR there’s some God-awful ugly fact not being admitted (and we think the outbreak of the BioWar could be it…or an “aliens from dimensions next door” mandate or we all perish) that would explain Vaccination Desperation.
Is it the same thing that’s driving such lunacy as promoting gender uncertainty, whipping up the racial divide – where CRT is picking the scab off a nearly healed wound? Or killing energy independence and pretending that will save climate? Bad news bubba – to thinking people who can model more than one move ahead in checkers, there are still plenty of 6-moves ahead chess players in the formerly United States. Which has been systematically broken.
Explain why, please?
Want another prompt?
Like we saw this week with Aspirin: Out comes a report from Israel that simply taking aspirin reduces Covid mortality 47%!!! Almost risk-free compared to the still EUA , and no natural reservoir found, needle-juice. Within 24-hours, a US Panel says “Stop taking low dose aspirin.” Not to offend here, but what the actual f*ck? If that doesn’t make you suspicious, you’re a dumb-shit.
As it has for my entire lifetime of 72+ years, we’re guided by a simple law of (behavioral and traditional) economics: “Everything is a Business Model.” Who’s making the “dough on the go” there?
What “Pops” oughta do – to restore creds – is turn over Hunter’s electronics to John Durham and explain to America why the desperation to vaccinate. Is there an econometric model out there that says if we don’t all get on the “four month re-jab” that the whole economy will implode? All sounds very hinky. Sketchy with crooks around.
I’ll take Jimmy Carter with pleasure over what’s going on now in the Biden junta. At least Carter was a nuclear sub commander and that requires some brains and knowledge of getting results. He also had enough training to handle a sidearm. This president shoots himself in the foot almost daily. No wonder a gun grab agenda, huh?
Blame for Social Idiocy
Not ALL of the American people are stupid. (Though it seems that way.) Just the ones using social media. Whose freely-shared (AND federally analyzed and sorted into deep government files on each and every American [everyone forgets the digital castle and surrounding moat at Provo].
Monetizing the flock is a useful concept. Everyone wants to cut off our “freedom nuts” and know more about us than we ourselves do. Government got there first with admiral Poindexter’s abomination of “total information awareness.” Digital despots of the private sort followed lead by Social Media with ad agencies bringing the checkbook.
See where Facebook building AI that sees, hears, and ‘understands’ everything we do? Government is already there and ad agencies want to have the same level of idiot-targeting. Right, Alexa?
Not kidding about stupid people running America, either: Student test scores fall for first time in national test’s history. Let’s see if teachers get the heat, common core, or…oh yeah…let’s blame the parents!
The few remaining deep thinkers – the small number of UrbanSurvival.com and Peoplenomics.com readers and subscribers would like some legit answers to the swirling questions around government policy decisions that make no sense.
All we’re getting so far is bullshit and bluster. Time to get real.
Gentlemen: Cui Bono?
Markets: Crash Ready
I have been laying this out since early September on the public side here – with a lot more depth on the subscriber side.
Let’s review where we are in terms of Elliott wave counts that seem to fit the present situation,
Go back to the column from yesterday morning.
Did I (or not) tell you we were going into the yellow C zone?
This morning, we’re in it. Two circled areas to study:
The blue circle is where the 6 AM Central time futures placed us. A dead-on hit for a Fibonacci .618 retracement rally from the all-time high Labor Day.
The green circle (because we will be fabulously wealthy, lol – both dollars) is where this ultimately lands IF Taiwan is still free by the end of November.
If not? Read up on 5th wave Elliott decline extensions. It’s not pretty. 2 to 3 times is an option – which would smack America with a Dow half (or less) of what it is right now.
Won’t bore you with it. Our account is none of your business and we don’t do financial advice. But when comes to economic (and news) commentary? Our readers find us useful.
More Happy Crap
Normalcy bias is still in the drivers seat. Some examples, if you aren’t clear:
Pin the blame on a pilot? Former Boeing pilot involved in Max testing indicted. Until I get some straight dope on what’s driving re-jab desperation, air travel (thus airplane makers) don’t seem particularly interesting. Climate, energy crisis, peak oil finally arrives. Yada, yada…
Yes, inflation in ‘Merica is bad, but could always be worse. Look at what “conditioned kneeling” has gifted the unfree people of England: “UK Fuel & Household Energy Spending Soared 20% In The Past 2 Weeks: Lloyds Bank.” On your knees, sheep! We’re in that line, too. Kneeling is a bad deal every time.
For us, off to a weekend before the weak end.
Write when you get rich,