Ure Goes Short: Market to Drop

It looks to me like the “K3” formation in the markets may have completed yesterday with that smoking Dow rally which left the headline average 160 points higher by the close. But on inspection, around mid morning (the trade chit says I went short (SDOW Executed @ $24.2765 10/18/17 | 10:41 AM ET), it looked to me … Read More

Coping: A EQ Note from Tehachapi

You remember my deflationist pal Jas Jain?  The fellow who went long bonds from the late 1990’s and has done very well as the Long Wave has done well for him? Well, he looks at things a little differently than most – perhaps because as a multiple-patent holder in DSP, you have to think new … Read More

Why Reagan Tax Cuts Won’t Work Now

A subscriber asked a damn fine question in response to one of our columns.  “I’m confused. Reagan overcame the worst economy with the highest interest rates I have seen in my lifetime. And started the biggest economic boom I have seen in my lifetime. Reaganomics worked extremely well for a very long time! “ No, … Read More

Toppish?

We have an idea what to expect in coming years, thanks to the presidency of Herbert Hoover.  Oftentimes, we have drawn parallels between Donald Trump and Hoover – because both face transitions from runaway serial bubbles to “normalcy” – and the transitions include long wave economic cycle lows. We are likely, in my view, just … Read More

Coping: Mailbag and Aging Notes

We get a ton of email around here – and there are some that offer outstanding ideas.  Take, for example, this note from a long-time Peoplenomics subscriber who sent us this: “Wow, George! This year you have given me two fundamentally useful recipes for organizing life. The first was the article about aircraft mechanics organizing … Read More

The Games of Options Week

No telling for sure what will happen this week, but we have some benchmarks we’d sure like to see. For one, with Bitcoin at $5,700+ this morning, we would like to see it hit the upper target we put in Saturday’s report.  That would be especially cool if it happened within a day or two … Read More

Coping: With the End of “Marriage?”

No, Elaine and I aren’t splitting the sheets…we’re just as (or more) in love & lust than when we got hitched almost 18-years back.  But Marriage is over and Mergers have replaced marriage globally. That’s what we got to talking about this weekend:  The whole notion of marriage going by the wayside.  So, maybe in our … Read More

Restyling Thought Processes; Bitcoin Outlook

A couple of interesting topics this morning.  The first ought to really be considered an “application note” from the manufacturers of your brain.  That would be biology, parents, schools, and relationships.  All brought up because I’m knee-deep in the new genre of self-help books arriving. The Bitcoin outlook?  More a mechanistic outlook, based on Elliott … Read More

CPI, Retail, and An Outlook

No point wading through all the data first:  After all, most folks these days “…don’t let the facts get in the way of their opinions…”  We’re good with that.  Who needs facts when we have social? Here’s what I think the market should do in simple 1-2-3 fashion (but if it doesn’t, don’t whine to me, … Read More

Coping: A Senior Bug-Out Bag

Yeah, sure, we wrote the book on bugging out.  Who else do you know who was ready at the time of Y2L to unplug the power from the dock and was ready to head out to see the world with a few gold coins and a paid-for 40-foot sailboat – fully stocked for the occasion? … Read More

Bitcoin Booms + Producer Prices

With Bitcoins going on to new – record – highs today, $5,179 and change, we will be updating our projections on the Peoplenomics side of the house Saturday. No point to getting too carried away with things just yet:  We want to see the new highs hold for a couple of days.  But if they do, … Read More

Coping: With Wildfires & Landsmanship

If there’s a lesson to be learned from those horrible fires that continue to plague the area of Sonoma and Napa counties out in California, it’s that land management needs to be taken more seriously. I took the camera out on our property Wednesday and shot a few pictures to illustrate a couple of points … Read More

Survival Clothing: Sense & Nonsense

Much on the plate this morning, so right to it after the headlines and some notes on how the market is following our recent outlooks to a ‘tee.’ Barely time for coffee, there’s so much ground to cover… More for Subscribers       ||| SUBSCRIBE NOW!       |||   Subscriber Help Center