ShopTalk Sunday: Ham Antenna Mystery, Winter Preps

Ever have one of those “little things go wrong” that turns into a massive time-sink?  One such “quick fix” bit me on the behind this week and as soon as this morning’s column is done, I’ll be back after it. Ham Antenna School I won’t try to explain the ARRL’s Antenna Handbook – because honestly, most 4-year … Read More

Listening for the Tumblers

Trying to “crack the safe” in the investment world, are you?  Years ago, an outfit that made saw-sharpening and locksmithing gear, Foley-Belsaw – had a dandy locksmithing course. Turned out, it was a lot more feel and less touch than cartoons had made it seem to a young feller. Point is, in really unlocking investments, … Read More

Transitory Madness: Trade and Dim Prospects

C.O.M.S.   (Crazy old man story – a nice wrap-up of the week.) Elaine and I watched a marvelous doc on Netflix last night about “How Cat’s Think.”  Well worth Ure’s time. Especially because Elaine calls me The Dog (all men really are dogs, after all).  And I call her The Cat (lithe, graceful, slinky and quiet…).  … Read More

Game Point Rally, GDP Omen, 2-Face Kids, Biden Lies Again

Not going to spend a lot of time on flowery wordsmithing today.  Instead, how about a little more direct – in Ure face – analysis? Game Point Rally As we postulated, Tuesday was the beginning of the market turn around.  However, the turn did not hold, so after climbing about a hundred Dow points during … Read More

Outlook from the ’29 Replay Model

Odds appear to be increasing that we are entering the larger Wave 3 down in markets.  Not that we won’t rally first; of course we will. But consider where our Aggregate Index work was on November 8, 2021:  41,953.86 .  Based on the close Tuesday, it had rallied from a low of 30,870.04 June 16th … Read More

Turnaround Tuesday? Half Off by Christmas

My consigliere called Monday.  Up scouting the slopes at Beaver Creek in Colorado.  Forgot to ask if he was wearing a gray Fedora with a black band. The reason for the call?  Most people – when you give them a set of numbers, and ask for a chart, will promptly open Excel and build a chart.  Others … Read More

Multi-War (WW III): Gold Going, Winds of War, CFNAI

We call it the Muli-War.  A War Over Everything.  WOE. It’s clicking into place even now.  No longer merely a World War (now passe!) the Multi-War extends into cyberspace, food and water supplies, space, and even the partialverse. Social Media’s in on it…hell, everything is in play. Everyone is winning and losing – all in … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Knowledge Preservation, Prepping

Good news – and bad – about those couple of old, tired, worn-out laptops here.  The good news is they are all screaming fast. Linux does that. The bad is they have forced me to look again – somewhat realistically – at the odds of the Internet going down within the next three years. As … Read More

ShopTalk Sunday: Egg Cartons and Solvent Selection

Last weekend’s column – the part about the Chinese sailboat build?  Well, that led to me mixing up another batch of Durham’s Rock-Hard Water Putty.  And that – in turn – had sent me sneaking into the kitchen. Elaine and I have very different ideas on recycling certain food containers.  She looks at everything as a … Read More

A Macroprudential Paradox

Every time a Bubble arises, supporters of the “new paradigm” argue that somehow “This time it’s different.“    The data says it hasn’t been different yet. One of these days that may be true.  However, we have come up with a method by which similarities may become clear between non-equivalent markets with wide temporal separation. Which … Read More

Easy Money Friday – Options 101

Welcome to Options Friday.  The Index options expired at the higher close than where we go today. So, the way this works is Big Playahs Sell Index Options at the high Thursday.  Say an S&P 500 option to make it easy.  The price was based on the S&P close of 4,283.74.  Today, the futures indicate … Read More

How “News” Became Crooked

35-pages of my latest book (on Collapse Capable Electronics Operators) can be quickly trained up in “Event of an Actual Emergency.” In this week’s partial release of the book are sections on HUMINT (HUman INTelligence) techniques as well as SIGINT (SIGnals INTelligence). This section has a very short, very worthwhile explanation of how American news … Read More

Fall’s OPTEMPO

Short for “Operations Tempo” it’s the kind of thing military commanders coordinate.  One flank moves at a certain speed while another moves at something else.  Between, an enemy is “herded” into a disadvantageous position. In markets, there is an OPTEMPO, as well. Sometimes sector moves are fast, or at other times, painfully slow. This morning … Read More